Local Council by-elections 28th March

[Tony Otim]

CLACKMANNANSHIRE UA; Clackmannan Central (SNP resigned)
Candidates:
BIGGAM, John Shier (Liberal Democrat)
BROOKES, Margaret (Labour)
MARLIN, William (Conservative)
MCTAGGART, Jane (SNP)
MICHIE, Dawson (UKIP)
ROBERTSON, Marion (Green)

2017: Lab 846, 183; SNP 714, 273; Con 428; Grn 133
Ward was unchanged in the boundary review
2012: Lab 916, 288; SNP 661, 421; Ind 88; Con 77
2007: Lab 1089, 688; SNP 620, 518; Con 190

Current Council: SNP 7; Lab 5; Con 4; Ind 1 and this vacancy



SUTTON LB; Wallington North (Lib Dem resigned)
Candidates:
BANNON, John Thomas (UKIP)
BERRY, Sheila Anne (Labour)
DICKENSON, Ashley (Christian People’s Alliance)
LEONARD, Charlotte Anne (Conservative)
LEWIS, Barry Robert (Liberal Democrat)
SAWYER, Gervais Seaforth (Independent)
THOMSON, Verity Jane (Green)

2018: LD 1637, 1587, 1505; Con 912, 888, 827; Lab 594, 526, 516; Grn 300, 222; UKIP 118, 104, 72
2014: LD 1363, 1317, 1247; Con 1033, 865, 737; UKIP 823; Lab 470, 447, 415; Grn 341, 280, 205
2010: LD 2658, 2481, 2031; Con 1801, 1785, 1573; UKIP 629; Lab 566, 529, 497; Grn 410, 291, 189
2006: LD 1541, 1532, 1451; Con 1298, 1262, 1194; Lab 244, 229, 229; Grn 242, 221, 217
2002: LD 1128, 1073, 1046; Con 961, 940, 915; Lab 333, 305, 290; Grn 181, 139

The Conservative and Green candidates were the top placed candidates for their respective parties last May.

Current Council: LD 32; Con 18; Sutton Independent Residents 3 and this vacancy.

[Deleted]

Clackmannanshire Central should be a comfortable Labour gain on Conservative transfers I imagine. An SNP hold would be a very, very poor result for Labour.

[wallington]

Looking at the nominators for the Independent candidate in Wallington North, I recognize a few of the names, so I'm certain they are connected to the Independents in Beddington North. May throw a spanner in the works for the prediction contest, as it may be hard to gauge how they will poll in the neighbouring ward. Although I imagine they will be putting effort in, as will the Conservatives. I predict a Lib Dem hold though.

[robert1]

At a quick glance this now appears to be Lib Dem's safest ward in Sutton.

Are the nominators from previously known political background or just 'new faces'?

LD candidate from Carshalton South & Clockhouse ward, while Tory is from within the ward.

[wallington]

Mar 17, 2019 18:15:34 GMT robert1 said:

At a quick glance this now appears to be Lib Dem's safest ward in Sutton.

Are the nominators from previously known political background or just 'new faces'?

LD candidate from Carshalton South & Clockhouse ward, while Tory is from within the ward.

I only really had a quick read through, I knew three, maybe four, of the independent candidate nominees from the Stop the Incinerator campaign, one being a former member of the Greens. Despite my name I am no longer in Wallington, nor could be considered as active as I once was (life has taken over). I have no news from the campaign apart from a couple of comments from friends.

[timmullen1]

Here are Andrew’s Previews for the week: britainelects.com/2019/03/27/previews-28-mar-2019/

[sirbenjamin]

I travelled through the Wallington North ward today en route to the Hope for their beer festival.

Very little activity evident. I saw exactly one window poster (Green) and one activist on the ground (a young, earnest looking LibDem). Presumably a comfortable LD hold that nobody else is unduly bothered with.

[southernliberal]

Hearing reports that Wallington North is looking closer than expected, not sure how much of that is spin though

[Davıd Boothroyd]

More than an hour of polling left so no ballot boxes are open yet - sounds like the sort of spin campaign organisers give to gee up the workers in the last hour.

[Deleted]

Mar 28, 2019 20:58:38 GMT Davıd Boothroyd said:

More than an hour of polling left so no ballot boxes are open yet - sounds like the sort of spin campaign organisers give to gee up the workers in the last hour.

tbf this might be from GOTV

[southernliberal]

Mar 28, 2019 20:58:38 GMT Davıd Boothroyd said:

More than an hour of polling left so no ballot boxes are open yet - sounds like the sort of spin campaign organisers give to gee up the workers in the last hour.

Well it got me to make a few phone calls so if it was it worked haha

[samdwebber]

Worth a read and a retweet?

[gwynthegriff]

Mar 28, 2019 20:58:38 GMT Davıd Boothroyd said:

More than an hour of polling left so no ballot boxes are open yet - sounds like the sort of spin campaign organisers give to gee up the workers in the last hour.

Probably. But a decent Agent should have a feel for how it's going, fed by telling, feedback from knocking-up etc.

[iain]

Mar 28, 2019 20:52:48 GMT southernliberal said:

Hearing reports that Wallington North is looking closer than expected, not sure how much of that is spin though

Have heard the same, but think we should be okay. Good independent performance apparently (which doesn’t surprise me).

[Davıd Boothroyd]

Clackmannanshire Central turnout 34.7%. Result shouldn't be long as there's an electronic count.

[Davıd Boothroyd]

SNP hold in Clackmannanshire Central.

[andrewp]

SNP hold is a bit of a surprise!

[Davıd Boothroyd]

Some people predicted it.

Meanwhile rumours of a Lib Dem hold in Wallington.

[Deleted]

Mar 28, 2019 23:23:20 GMT Davıd Boothroyd said:

Some people predicted it.

Meanwhile rumours of a Lib Dem hold in Wallington.

well no only you predicted it

[wallington]

Mar 28, 2019 23:23:20 GMT Davıd Boothroyd said:

Some people predicted it.

Meanwhile rumours of a Lib Dem hold in Wallington.

Sounds like a pretty easy Lib Dem hold from my sources on the ground. But we will need to wait for the final result for confirmation. I've been texted lib dems, conservative, indie in that order. But just speculation.