CatholicLeft
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Post by CatholicLeft on Dec 16, 2023 22:07:36 GMT
Surely, Labour is -2, Reform +1 and Greens no change?
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andrewp
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Post by andrewp on Dec 16, 2023 22:09:18 GMT
Surely, Labour is -2, Reform +1 and Greens no change? Yes you are right. I took that from X!
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Post by gibbon on Dec 16, 2023 23:22:32 GMT
So no great difference from about a month ago yet but some newspapers consider this to be a major change in opinion.
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Post by mattbewilson on Jan 13, 2024 20:19:58 GMT
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andrewp
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Post by andrewp on Jan 14, 2024 14:27:12 GMT
LAB: 41% (+1) CON: 27% (-) LDEM: 11% (-) REF: 10% (+1) GRN: 6% (-1)
via @opiniumresearch, 10 - 12 Jan
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andrewp
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Post by andrewp on Jan 27, 2024 20:07:09 GMT
LAB: 42% (+1) CON: 27% (=) LDM: 10% (-1) RFM: 10% (=) GRN: 6% (=) SNP: 3% (=)
Via @opiniumresearch, 24-26 Jan. Changes w/ 10-12 Jan.
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Post by timmullen on Feb 10, 2024 20:38:32 GMT
Westminster Voting Intention:
LAB: 43% (=) CON: 25% (-2) LDM: 11% (+1) REF: 10% (=) GRN: 7% (+1) SNP: 2% (-1)
Via @opiniumresearch, On 6-9 Feburary, Changes w/ 24-26 January.
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batman
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Post by batman on Feb 10, 2024 22:03:23 GMT
That's a high lead by Opinium standards. And Labour is up 1 not unchanged.
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timmullen1
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Post by timmullen1 on Feb 10, 2024 22:07:43 GMT
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Post by mattbewilson on Feb 10, 2024 23:36:18 GMT
Sometimes depends on who has comissioned the poll. Some people will do the changes between each poll and others will do it from the last time the observer published an opinium poll. This was often true of survation between Mail polls and GMB polls or Yougov in the Sun and Redbox Yougov polls.
More likely though it's a rounding thing can't remember if opinium publish the share to decimal point or not
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Post by timmullen on Feb 11, 2024 1:57:26 GMT
Sometimes depends on who has comissioned the poll. Some people will do the changes between each poll and others will do it from the last time the observer published an opinium poll. This was often true of survation between Mail polls and GMB polls or Yougov in the Sun and Redbox Yougov polls. More likely though it's a rounding thing can't remember if opinium publish the share to decimal point or not The report on The Observer website when I read it a couple of hours ago further complicates matters by describing Labour as being up two points on the last poll.
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The Bishop
Labour
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Post by The Bishop on Feb 11, 2024 10:27:16 GMT
Certain pollsters, Opinium and Survation amongst them, have a habit at times of quoting previously unpublished surveys when doing "change" figures.
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Post by woollyliberal on Feb 11, 2024 12:37:07 GMT
Certain pollsters, Opinium and Survation amongst them, have a habit at times of quoting previously unpublished surveys when doing "change" figures. Which means you can infer what the unpublished poll was. Suits me.
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andrewp
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Post by andrewp on Feb 12, 2024 17:40:03 GMT
LAB: 43% (=) CON: 25% (-2) LDM: 11% (+1) RFM: 10% (=) GRN: 7% (+1) SNP: 2% (-1)
Via @opiniumresearch, 6-9 Feb. Changes w/ 24-26 Jan.
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batman
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Post by batman on Feb 12, 2024 18:47:20 GMT
that's the same poll that was reported on Saturday (by Tim) & was mentioned in the Observer yesterday
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Post by hullenedge on Feb 17, 2024 20:15:24 GMT
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Post by graham on Feb 17, 2024 20:29:25 GMT
That looks like a 16% lead!
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Post by mattbewilson on Feb 17, 2024 20:36:34 GMT
That looks like a 16% lead! it's probably rounding. Like if labour were on 42.7 and Tories on 27.3
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The Bishop
Labour
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Post by The Bishop on Feb 18, 2024 11:22:55 GMT
Opinium do this quite often
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Post by timmullen on Feb 25, 2024 0:52:17 GMT
New polling with @observeruk
Labour leads by 15 points. • Labour 42% (-1) • Conservatives 27% (n/c) • Lib Dems 10% (n/c) • SNP 3% (n/c) • Greens 7% (n/c) • Reform 10% (+1) This lead is unchanged from last week.
I’ll leave it to you to argue over “this lead is unchanged from last week” 😉
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