Opinium

[Daft H'a'porth A'peth A'pith]

Dec 18, 2022 10:30:50 GMT The Bishop said:

It *may* have been 14 points before rounding tbf

I wondered if someone might say that, honestly I couldn't be  bothered to check in more detail.

[timmullen1]

LAB: 45% (+1)
CON: 29% (=)
LDM: 9% (=)
REF: 6% (-2)
GRN: 5% (=)
SNP: 3% (=)

Via @opiniumresearch, On 11-13 January,
Changes w/ 14-16 December.

[The Bishop]

Have this lot given up?

I also note there are quite a few polls in the last 48 hours not posted on these threads.

[woollyliberal]

They've only done two in the last 8 weeks. Perhaps The Observer are cutting costs and have gone from fortnightly to monthly.

[london(ex)tory]

Still nothing from these chaps. Have they given up poitical polling?

[batman]

I'm wondering if they are reviewing their methodology. Of course, it is more than possible that they have ceased operations, as pollsters do from time to time.

[andrewp]

First news from Opinium for a while.

[The Bishop]

And yes, its good to see another poll from them - though we may be just seeing monthly surveys now? Personally I think either weekly or fortnightly is best - more than weekly is arguably overkill outside actual election periods, really irregular polling can lead to misleadingly big "changes" which isn't always helpful.

[woollyliberal]

Feb 19, 2023 12:01:29 GMT The Bishop said:

And yes, its good to see another poll from them - though we may be just seeing monthly surveys now? Personally I think either weekly or fortnightly is best - more than weekly is arguably overkill outside actual election periods, really irregular polling can lead to misleadingly big "changes" which isn't always helpful.

They have said they're back on a 2 week schedule now. From a data POV more frequently is better so you can better tell the signal from the noise. Daily is perhaps more than is necessary. Twice weekly or weekly us probably enough.

[woollyliberal]

Feb 19, 2023 12:01:29 GMT The Bishop said:

And yes, its good to see another poll from them - though we may be just seeing monthly surveys now? Personally I think either weekly or fortnightly is best - more than weekly is arguably overkill outside actual election periods, really irregular polling can lead to misleadingly big "changes" which isn't always helpful.

They have said they're back on a 2 week schedule now. From a data POV more frequently is better so you can better tell the signal from the noise. Daily is perhaps more than is necessary. Twice weekly or weekly us probably enough.

[lackeroftalent]

Lab 44% --
Con 27% -1
Rfm 8% +1
Grn 7% +1
LDm 7% -2
SNP 3% -1
PC 0% --
Other 3% +1

[timmullen1]

LAB: 44% (=)
CON: 29% (=)
LDM: 8% (=)
REF: 7% (-1)
GRN: 6% (+1)
SNP: 3% (=)

Via @opiniumresearch, On 15-17 March,
Changes w/ 8-10 March.

[andrewp]

I think that is +2 for the Cons as the previous one from them was 44-27

[finsobruce]

Mar 18, 2023 20:15:51 GMT timmullen1 said:

LAB: 44% (=)
CON: 29% (=)
LDM: 8% (=)
REF: 7% (-1)
GRN: 6% (+1)
SNP: 3% (=)

Via @opiniumresearch, On 15-17 March,
Changes w/ 8-10 March.

slack water

[timmullen1]

Mar 18, 2023 20:51:57 GMT andrewp said:

I think that is +2 for the Cons as the previous one from them was 44-27

According to Opinium the changes are from last week not the last Observer poll .

[The Bishop]

Yes, this doing changes with unpublished polls thing is seen with a few pollsters now - its annoying.

[robert1]

Interestingly, whoever does the wikipedia page of UK polls has made the error, presumably as a result of seeing 'no change'. The numbers they have put up are correct i.e. 29/44 but in the lead column they have posted 17% not 15%.

The wiki page has now been changed