YouGov

[Deleted]

Well we have today's showing an increase to 12% of the Labour lead, well within MOE.

I Would be interested in the polling whether anyone really cares

[The Bishop]

For the record, the full figures:

Lab 43
Con 31
LibDem 11
UKIP 10

Approval -32 (-29 yesterday)

[Deleted]

well if the eu debate mattered to people nothing showing in today's poll showing steady 10% lead for labour

[Andrew_S]

According to YouGov 13% of people say they are more likely to vote Tory as a result of Cameron's speech but 16% say less likely. Not what Cameron was hoping for.

[Deleted]

totally predictable, how does that break down by party ?

[Deleted]

Jan 25, 2013 8:24:35 GMT Andrew_S said:

According to YouGov 13% of people say they are more likely to vote Tory as a result of Cameron's speech but 16% say less likely. Not what Cameron was hoping for.

Now I'm not suprised at the numbers, just I expected the other way round....

Certainly not Cameron's magic bullet, as said.

Still think it will be a temporary thing.

Either way, if part of his strategy to is attract ex-Tory UKIP support back for 2015 & it becomes clear that he won't be able to deliver on an opportunistic promise, not sure how many he will get to return.

[woollyliberal]

Today's YouGov shows slightly more people would vote OUT than IN in an EU referendum today. If Cameron gets a successful renegotiation then IN would win 2:1. Unsurprisingly, Con and Others will be more persuated than Lab or LD, but my favourit figure is Labour. If Cameron suggests we stay in, the number of Labour OUT votes goes up!

[The Bishop]

Jan 25, 2013 8:24:35 GMT Andrew_S said:

According to YouGov 13% of people say they are more likely to vote Tory as a result of Cameron's speech but 16% say less likely. Not what Cameron was hoping for.

Isn't that the Populus survey (which AFAICS doesn't have VI figures)??

Today's YouGov in full:

Lab 43
Con 33
LibDem 10
UKIP 9

Approval -30

There has apparently been some improvement in Cameron's personal ratings, but it is notable that has had little effect on general Govt approval.

There might be four polls this weekend, followed probably by a Populus VI survey on Monday. If those show no significant Tory bounce, then.......

[Deleted]

then .. we now have the economic news today, perople will here triple dip and suspect any impact of the Euro is impacted.

[Andrew_S]

Jan 25, 2013 11:34:02 GMT The Bishop said:

Jan 25, 2013 8:24:35 GMT Andrew_S said:

According to YouGov 13% of people say they are more likely to vote Tory as a result of Cameron's speech but 16% say less likely. Not what Cameron was hoping for.

Isn't that the Populus survey (which AFAICS doesn't have VI figures)??

Today's YouGov in full:

Lab 43
Con 33
LibDem 10
UKIP 9

Approval -30

There has apparently been some improvement in Cameron's personal ratings, but it is notable that has had little effect on general Govt approval.

There might be four polls this weekend, followed probably by a Populus VI survey on Monday. If those show no significant Tory bounce, then.......

Yes, that should have been Populus not YouGov. Apologies.

[The Bishop]

Cameron gets his poll bounce - but for how long??

Lab 41
Con 35
LibDem 12
UKIP 7

Approval -27

[Deleted]

is it a bounce or top end of MOE and a few from UKIP ...

[Deleted]

Jan 27, 2013 13:10:05 GMT The Bishop said:

Cameron gets his poll bounce - but for how long??

Lab 41
Con 35
LibDem 12
UKIP 7

Approval -27

This most likely isn't a turning point. Things will probably get worse before they get better - which I am confident they will - for both coalition parties.
I can envisage Labour getting a boost after forthcoming local elections.
The threat from UKIP in June 2014 may well have been checked somewhat after the PM's recent announcement.
Interesting times ahead.

[East Anglian Lefty]

Jan 27, 2013 16:15:52 GMT swanarcadian said:

I can envisage Labour getting a boost after forthcoming local elections.

Not terribly likely. The number of gains will be large as a proportion of the total, but our best areas aren't up this year and there are far fewer county than district seats. Add that to the fact that we can only plausibly win a few authorities, and that there are several others the Tories can't plausibly lose, and the spin we get is unlikely to be as favourable as that we got in 2012 - which didn't seem to boost our figures.

[erlend]

Jan 25, 2013 13:00:13 GMT @ianrobo said:

then .. we now have the economic news today, perople will here triple dip and suspect any impact of the Euro is impacted.

Triple dip or even vigintable dip is bluntly just silly. If for Labour at the emd of 5 years of the coalition the total effect is significantly down that is relevant. If it is significantly up that is good for the Tories (and I suspect to lesser extent the Lib Dems). How many times we have gone in and out of technical recession is a load of Ed Bs.

And by significantly down I would say ca 5% or more. Up that much I don't see as likely to happen that soon partly because at least the first chunk was due to the previous government like after every election.

[Deleted]

Tories can take Some comfort in today's daily showing them at 35 which be the highest for some time?

[Deleted]

Labour can be concerned that in today's daily poll shows them at one of the smallest leads in months.

[Crimson King]

Jan 29, 2013 6:08:30 GMT @ianrobo said:

Tories can take Some comfort in today's daily showing them at 35 which be the highest for some time?

apart from 2 days ago?

[Deleted]

Jan 29, 2013 7:47:23 GMT doktorb🏳️‍🌈🏳️‍⚧️ said:

Labour can be concerned that in today's daily poll shows them at one of the smallest leads in months.

or rating has not really suffered though but the approval rating has suddenly upped by around 20 points

[The Bishop]

No it hasn't - that is a typo. The approval rating on YouGov's own table is actually -28, not -11