CatholicLeft
Labour
2032 posts until I was "accidentally" deleted.
Posts: 6,729
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Post by CatholicLeft on Sept 16, 2024 14:25:20 GMT
Byelections in Ireland are required to take place within 6 months of the vacating of the seat, unless a General Election is close. Given that 6 months plus the 18-25 days from the writ is moved until the likely polling day, it would put you at the end of January, so a February election would have to be set in stone by the middle of January or the Speaker of the Dail, the Ceann Comhairle, is required to direct the Clerk of the Dail to issue the writ. The claim by Micheal Martin that the government has received legal advice that "it would not be sustainable to hold a byelection immediately before the general election" is probably correct as the General Election will have to be by March 2025 at the latest. However, I suspect it is legally challengeable if somebody is so minded.
I would be very surprised if it was that late - I fully expect a November election and, given the recent escalation of candidate selections taking place at the moment, I am sure that is a view generally held across the political parties.
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Post by thinwhiteduke on Sept 21, 2024 23:57:12 GMT
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Post by thinwhiteduke on Oct 5, 2024 17:04:18 GMT
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Post by mattbewilson on Oct 5, 2024 17:25:54 GMT
at least FF are back in third |
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Post by hiberno on Oct 8, 2024 11:28:14 GMT
Polls typically under-represent FF by a few points. Mary Lou Mc Donald having to explain some strange goings on in the parties Northern operation instead of opposing the government is not a good look so close to an election.
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Post by mattbewilson on Oct 8, 2024 12:51:42 GMT
Polls typically under-represent FF by a few points. Mary Lou Mc Donald having to explain some strange goings on in the parties Northern operation instead of opposing the government is not a good look so close to an election. weird that it's not affecting SF in the north tho |
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The Bishop
Labour
Down With Factionalism!
Posts: 38,952
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Post by The Bishop on Oct 8, 2024 13:59:21 GMT
Polls typically under-represent FF by a few points. Mary Lou Mc Donald having to explain some strange goings on in the parties Northern operation instead of opposing the government is not a good look so close to an election. What is this all about? |
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stb12
Top Poster
Posts: 8,384 
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Post by stb12 on Oct 8, 2024 15:31:41 GMT
Polls typically under-represent FF by a few points. Mary Lou Mc Donald having to explain some strange goings on in the parties Northern operation instead of opposing the government is not a good look so close to an election. What is this all about? This I think www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c625ng2xj9lo |
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Foggy
Non-Aligned
Yn Ennill Yma
Posts: 6,137
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Post by Foggy on Oct 8, 2024 23:57:15 GMT
According to "journalist" Raymona Crozier to whom that article is credited, the "dáil" (with no capital letter) is the upper chamber of the Oireachtas. Standards be damned...
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Post by thinwhiteduke on Oct 12, 2024 22:58:56 GMT
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Post by mattbewilson on Oct 13, 2024 1:01:13 GMT
they might fancy their chances given the support for Independent candidates in the polls |
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Post by thinwhiteduke on Oct 20, 2024 11:26:19 GMT
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Post by mattbewilson on Oct 20, 2024 12:21:06 GMT
record level support for indies? |
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Post by Devil Wincarnate on Oct 20, 2024 21:16:13 GMT
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Post by mattbewilson on Oct 20, 2024 21:48:55 GMT
just seems weird that problems for SF in the North has hurt the party in the republic more than the north |
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stb12
Top Poster
Posts: 8,384
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Post by stb12 on Oct 20, 2024 23:24:07 GMT
just seems weird that problems for SF in the North has hurt the party in the republic more than the north There’s no upcoming elections in Northern Ireland so probably a bit difficult to tell on that at the moment |
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Post by mattbewilson on Oct 21, 2024 16:18:44 GMT
just seems weird that problems for SF in the North has hurt the party in the republic more than the north There’s no upcoming elections in Northern Ireland so probably a bit difficult to tell on that at the moment the shinners lost the lead in the polls in the republic in June while in the north they topped the poll in Westminster elections for the first time |
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stb12
Top Poster
Posts: 8,384
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Post by stb12 on Oct 21, 2024 16:43:57 GMT
There’s no upcoming elections in Northern Ireland so probably a bit difficult to tell on that at the moment the shinners lost the lead in the polls in the republic in June while in the north they topped the poll in Westminster elections for the first time True but quite a lot of the scandal has come since July |
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Post by finsobruce on Oct 21, 2024 16:49:09 GMT
the shinners lost the lead in the polls in the republic in June while in the north they topped the poll in Westminster elections for the first time True but quite a lot of the scandal has come since July I would have thought that a lot of it has to do with politics in the Republic being a lot more competitive, and both Fianna Fial and Fianna Gael being able to attack SF with a reasonable chance of getting their vote. |
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stb12
Top Poster
Posts: 8,384
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Post by stb12 on Oct 21, 2024 16:51:57 GMT
True but quite a lot of the scandal has come since July I would have thought that a lot of it has to do with politics in the Republic being a lot more competitive, and both Fianna Fial and Fianna Gael being able to attack SF with a reasonable chance of getting their vote. True, Northern Ireland wise new leadership of the SDLP combined with the scandals may see Sinn Fein lose some ground but with how Northern Ireland politics are maybe not all that much especially with the whole tribal largest party contest |
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