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Post by thinwhiteduke on Jan 14, 2020 19:10:08 GMT
Peter Casey, previously a presidential and EU election candidate, running as an independent in Donegal. Interesting. I am no fan of the man at all, but he polled well among rural voters and in this constituency at the 2018 presidential election. I can see him taking a seat here. Sinn Fein polled well here in the locals, unlike the rest of the Republic, but I cannot see them adding a seat. I think Independent Thomas Pringle might struggle to hold his seat, but we shall see. Polled nearly 57,000 votes in Midlands-North-West, in last year's EU election.. in the presidential election, from memory he received around 32% share in Donegal, around 12,000 in raw votes. Definitely has a chance of taking a seat.
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CatholicLeft
Labour
2032 posts until I was "accidentally" deleted.
Posts: 6,724
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Post by CatholicLeft on Jan 14, 2020 19:11:06 GMT
I would be surprised if Laois-Offaly is only party represented. I could see John Leahy, now an Independent who topped the poll in Birr as successful Renua candidate, and wasn't to far off a seat in the old Offaly constituency last time, putting in a challenge. Is Carol Nolan standing as an Independent this time? She will hurt SF if she does and the SF vote collapsed in the Offaly local elections, losing all three councillors. Brian Stanley is surely safe due to his strength in Laois. I agree that Flanagan has made a complete idiot of himself and deserves to lose, but I just can't see the votes for three FF TDs. I am going to go for 2 FF, 1 FG, 1 SF, 1 other. Yep, Nolan has confirmed she'll be running for re-election as an independent. Going to be tough for her, but hope she makes it.
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CatholicLeft
Labour
2032 posts until I was "accidentally" deleted.
Posts: 6,724
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Post by CatholicLeft on Jan 14, 2020 22:20:02 GMT
ireland.isidewith.com/My results: 87% Social Democrats 84% Green Party 82% Labour 81% Sinn Fein 81% Fianna Fail 75% Fine Gael
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Post by thinwhiteduke on Jan 14, 2020 22:57:33 GMT
Yep, Nolan has confirmed she'll be running for re-election as an independent. Going to be tough for her, but hope she makes it. Surprised she hasn't joined Aontu.. Hopefully, Toibin retains his seat. SF lost a huge asset when he left the party, and I completely disagree with the attempts by his former colleagues and other individuals to portray Aontu as right wing. Complete nonsense..
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Post by Arthur Figgis on Jan 14, 2020 23:06:18 GMT
66% Fine Gael 63% Labour 63% Social Democrats 59% Fianna Fail 59% Green Party 47% Sinn Fein
Not a surprise. None of them particularly high, but the top two and bottom two are certainly in the same positions as I would vote in a STV election with one candidate from each of those 6 parties.
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Post by bjornhattan on Jan 14, 2020 23:27:15 GMT
60% Fine Gael, 49% Fianna Fail, 21% Labour, 19% Green Party, 16% Social Democrats, 15% Sinn Fein. I was surprised at how low even the highest figures are, but my politics do seem much to the right of the Irish consensus. I probably would vote FG then FF if were able to.
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obsie
Non-Aligned
Posts: 862
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Post by obsie on Jan 14, 2020 23:31:10 GMT
Labour 85% Social Democrats 85% Greens 85% Fianna Fáil 84% Fine Gael 82% Sinn Féin 81% Mushy centrist
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Post by dizz on Jan 14, 2020 23:40:36 GMT
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Post by thinwhiteduke on Jan 14, 2020 23:42:55 GMT
82% Fianna Fail. 75% Sinn Féin. 75% Social Democrats. 74% Green Party. 73% Labour Party. 72% Fine Gael.
Revised, after a more detailed attempt.
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Post by syorkssocialist on Jan 15, 2020 0:02:53 GMT
95% Social Democrats 94% Green Party 93% Labour 90% Sinn Fein 85% Fine Gael 74% Fianna Fail
I could see myself supporting any of the first three depending on circumstances if I lived in Ireland, almost certainly not the latter three.
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CatholicLeft
Labour
2032 posts until I was "accidentally" deleted.
Posts: 6,724
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Post by CatholicLeft on Jan 15, 2020 0:17:27 GMT
Going to be tough for her, but hope she makes it. Surprised she hasn't joined Aontu.. Hopefully, Toibin retains his seat. SF lost a huge asset when he left the party, and I completely disagree with the attempts by his former colleagues and other individuals to portray Aontu as right wing. Complete nonsense.. I think she would probably join a technical group with Aontu if they get elected. The problem is the absolute news blackout of Aontu by much of the national media. I thought ot was an exaggeration till I did some research. Tobin has driven it by force of personality. Carol Nolan probably thinks she has hope as an Independent. The strong Renua vote that will surely coalesce around John Leahy, will not be unsympathetic to transferring across to her, as much of it will be driven by the pro-life issue.
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Post by Forfarshire Conservative on Jan 15, 2020 0:30:43 GMT
68% Fianna Fail 68% Fine Gael
etc.
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Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
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Post by Deleted on Jan 15, 2020 0:57:02 GMT
90% SDP 89% Green 88% Labour 88% SF 75% FG 71% FF
I have to say, I'm surprised.....
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nelson
Non-Aligned
Posts: 2,645
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Post by nelson on Jan 15, 2020 1:50:10 GMT
Fianna Fail 65% Social Democrats 51% Sinn Fein 47% Greens 46% Labour 39% Fine Gael 37%
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Post by ibfc on Jan 15, 2020 3:45:48 GMT
FF:65% FG: 50% SF:30% SD:28% Labour:21% Green:19%
Not surprised as I would definitely be an FF voter if I lived in Ireland and the only other party I would plausibly vote for would be FG.
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Toylyyev
Mebyon Kernow
CJ Fox avatar
Posts: 1,067
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Post by Toylyyev on Jan 15, 2020 5:57:20 GMT
After managing to answer 63% of the questions: 87% Green Party 86% Social Democrats 83% Sinn Féin & Labour Party
Democratic Socialism vs. Capitalism did to my surprise score as the most important theme and inside the 20th out of 27 cases towards the extreme end of the scale. Capitalists of Ireland, unite then. Ideological axis: 40% Authoritarian vs. Libertarian & 9% Left Wing vs. Right Wing.
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Post by edgbaston on Jan 15, 2020 7:07:29 GMT
ireland.isidewith.com/My results: 87% Social Democrats 84% Green Party 82% Labour 81% Sinn Fein 81% Fianna Fail 75% Fine Gael 91% Labour Party 91% Green Party 90% Social Democrats 87% Sinn Féin 83% Fine Gael 50% Fianna Fáil
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Post by relique on Jan 15, 2020 9:06:44 GMT
A bit of originality compared to all of you...
Sinn Féin: 89% Soc-dem: 86 Green: 84 Labour: 83 Fine Gael: 71 Fianna Fail: 65
I guess french republicanism is still 250 years after very much as terrorist friendly as it was denounced by the british in 1792
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Tony Otim
Green
Suffering from Brexistential Despair
Posts: 11,903
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Post by Tony Otim on Jan 15, 2020 9:40:11 GMT
Green Party 92 Labour 91 SD 91 SF 90 FF 81 FG 75
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Post by Merseymike on Jan 15, 2020 9:47:33 GMT
Labour, SocDems, Sinn Fein and Greens 95% Fianna Fail 74% Fine Fael 71%
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