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Post by middleenglander on Sept 2, 2012 21:00:18 GMT
It looks as though there are 21 by-elections during September: * 3 on the 6th * 5 on the 13th * 5 on the 20th and * 8 on the 27th
11 were last contested in 2011 5 in 2009, 3 County Councils and 2 Unitaries 4 in 2012, including one in Scotland and 1 London Borough last contested in 2010
The Conservatives are defending 10 seats, 7 arising from a death and 3 resignations, Labour are defending 3 seats, 1 death and 2 resignations Lib Dems 3, 2 deaths and 1 resignation whilst Independents of one form or another are defending 5 seats, 4 deaths and a resignation.
With nominations for all the contests now in Blaby and Dartford on 27th September still awaited: Conservatives are contesting all 21 seats Labour 20 - no candidate in West Lindsey Lib Dems 17 - no candidate in Blaby, Dartford, Nottinghamshire and Scarborough UKIP 14 Independents 7 - including Its Our County in Herefordshire and Lincolnshire Independents Greens 4 English Democrats 3 and SNP, Swanscombe & Greenhithe Residents, BNP, National Front and OMRLP all 1 each.
Predictions on this thread by 9.00 am on the day of the contest.
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Deleted
Deleted Member
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Post by Deleted on Sept 5, 2012 7:44:46 GMT
Lincolnshire CC - Nettleham & Saxilby (LD died)
Candidates: Jackie Brockway - Con - 29 Richard Coupland - Lab - 10 Elliot Fountain - Eng Dem - 2 Charles Shaw - LD - 48 Howard Thompson - UKIP - 5 David Watson - Lincolnshire Independent - 6
South Gloucestershire UA, Dodington (LD resigned)
Candidates: Tony Davis - LD - 62 Kate Duffy - Con - 25 Aaron Foot - UKIP - 7 Michael McGrath - Lab - 6
West Lindsey DC - Nettleham (LD died)
Candidates: Guy Grainger - LD - 55 Giles McNeil - Con - 30 Howard Thompson - UKIP - 15
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Post by Robert Waller on Sept 5, 2012 17:20:31 GMT
Lincolnshire CC - Nettleham & Saxilby (LD died)
Candidates: Jackie Brockway - Con - 32 Richard Coupland - Lab - 5 Elliot Fountain - Eng Dem - 3 Charles Shaw - LD - 37 Howard Thompson - UKIP - 5 David Watson - Lincolnshire Independent - 18
South Gloucestershire UA, Dodington (LD resigned)
Candidates: Tony Davis - LD - 52 Kate Duffy - Con - 23 Aaron Foot - UKIP - 8 Michael McGrath - Lab - 17
West Lindsey DC - Nettleham (LD died)
Candidates: Guy Grainger - LD - 50 Giles McNeil - Con - 38 Howard Thompson - UKIP - 12
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Post by AdminSTB on Sept 5, 2012 20:50:21 GMT
Lincolnshire, Nettleham and Saxilby LD - 41% Con - 33% Lab - 10% LincInd - 7% UKIP - 6% ED - 3%
South Gloucestershire, Dodington LD - 54% Con - 21% Lab - 16% UKIP - 9%
West Lindsey, Nettleham LD - 57% Con - 32% UKIP - 11%
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Khunanup
Lib Dem
Portsmouth Liberal Democrats
Posts: 12,012
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Post by Khunanup on Sept 5, 2012 22:12:52 GMT
Mine this week.
Nettleham and Saxilby: Lib Dem 38%, Con 30%, UKIP 15%, Lab 10%, Lincoln Ind 4%, Eng Dem 3% Dodington: Lib Dem 55%, Con 26%, Lab 10%, UKIP 9% Nettleham: Lib Dem 54%, Con 30%, UKIP 16%
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dibs
Non-Aligned
Posts: 63
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Post by dibs on Sept 5, 2012 22:54:39 GMT
Lincolnshire CC - Nettleham & Saxilby Lib Dem 44 Con 26 Lab 14 UKIP 8 Watson Linc Indep 4 Fountain Eng Dem 4
South Gloucestershire UA, Dodington Lib Dem 40 Con 30 Lab 20 UKIP 10
West Lindsey DC - Nettleham Lib Dem 55 Con 35 UKIP 10
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Sept 5, 2012 23:30:49 GMT
LINCOLNSHIRE Nettleham and Saxilby: C 38.4, L Dem 36.4, Lincs Ind 9.6, Lab 7.9, UKIP 5.8, ED 1.9
SOUTH GLOUCESTERSHIRE Dodington: L Dem 56.1, C 21.6, Lab 17.4, UKIP 4.9
WEST LINDSEY Nettleham: L Dem 57.4, C 35.4, UKIP 7.2
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Post by independentukip on Sept 6, 2012 0:50:42 GMT
Lincolnshire, Nettleham and Saxilby LD - 36 Con - 38 Lab - 10 LincInd - 3 UKIP - 11 ED - 2
South Gloucestershire, Dodington LD - 37 Con - 17 Lab -30 UKIP - 16
West Lindsey, Nettleham LD - 40 Con - 42 UKIP - 18
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Post by East Anglian Lefty on Sept 6, 2012 2:00:38 GMT
Nettleham and Saxilby, Lincs CC
C 42 LD 31 L 10 UKIP 8 Lincs Ind 6 ED 3
Dodington, South Gloucs UA
LD 53 C 24 UKIP 13 L 10
Nettleham, West Lindsey DC
LD 52 C 41 UKIP 7
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Deleted
Deleted Member
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Post by Deleted on Sept 6, 2012 6:28:41 GMT
Lincolnshire
LD 38, Con 33, Lab 12, Ukip 10, L Ind 4, ED 3
South Glos
LD 56 Con 24 Lab 13 Ukip 7
West Lindsey
LD 58 Con 35 Ukip 7
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Post by Arthur Figgis on Sept 6, 2012 6:53:35 GMT
Lincs CC, Nettleham & Saxilby: C 34.9, LD 34.4, L 10.9, UKIP 8.5, Lincs Ind 8.5, ED 2.8. South Gloucs UA, Dodington: LD 52.8, C 19.6, L 18.3, UKIP 9.3. West Lindsey, Nettleham: LD 47.9, C 41.7, UKIP 10.4.
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Post by hempie on Sept 6, 2012 7:05:55 GMT
Lincolnshire, Nettleham & Saxilby: LD 38, Con 34, Lab 10, Lincs Ind 10, UKIP 5, ED 3. South Gloucestershire, Dodington: LD 55, Con 23, Lab 16, UKIP 6 West Lindsey, Nettleham: LD 55, Con 40, UKIP 5
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Post by marksenior on Sept 6, 2012 7:08:21 GMT
My forecasts to start the month .
Lincs CC - LD 33 Con 27 Lab 18 Linc Ind 12 UKIP 7 Eng Dem 3 S Glos - LD 55 Con 30 Lab 15 W Lindsey - LD 50 Con 36 UKIP 14
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Tony Otim
Green
Suffering from Brexistential Despair
Posts: 11,901
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Post by Tony Otim on Sept 6, 2012 8:21:53 GMT
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Post by erlend on Sept 6, 2012 8:28:02 GMT
Lincs LD 40 Con 31 Lab 14 Linc Ind 7 UKIP 7 Eng Dem 1 S Glos LD 48 Con 35 Lab 17 W Lindsey LD 47 Con 41 UKIP 12
With some penalty points
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Sept 6, 2012 8:28:20 GMT
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Post by middleenglander on Sept 6, 2012 8:29:31 GMT
There are 18 19 entries this week with some who sat out August returning to the fray. Arthur Figgis and East AnglianLefty have returned after several month's absence whilst strinity makes his debut. Erlend gets 15 additional faults for being up to 1 hour late, whilst he and Mark Senior have UKIP in South Gloucestershire, Dodington failing to get any votes.
13 14 Lib Dem holds in Lincolnshire, Nettleham and Saxilby with Arthur Figgis, David Boothroyd, EastAnglianLefty, Independent UKIP and Pete Whitehead predicting a Conservative gain.
100% Lib Dem hold in South Gloucestershire, Dodington
15 16 Lib Dem holds in West Lindsey, Nettleham with Andrew Teale, Independent UKIP and Pete Westwood Whitehead predicting a Conservative gain.
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Post by erlend on Sept 6, 2012 8:50:19 GMT
Ouch although I suspect the lack of UKIP in S Gloucs will not be my worst error!
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Post by Robert Waller on Sept 6, 2012 10:36:14 GMT
Good turnout as the 'political season' gets under way ... .. in fact, would that be 20 rather than 19 with Pete Westwood in the fray again?!
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Post by middleenglander on Sept 6, 2012 10:39:37 GMT
Good turnout as the 'political season' gets under way ... .. in fact, would that be 20 rather than 19 with Pete Westwood in the fray again?! If he is not sure of his own name, how can I be expected to know who he is?
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