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Post by Andrew_S on Sept 26, 2012 23:36:27 GMT
Baby - Pastures:
Con 62
Lab 38
Camden - Hampstead Town:
Con 36
Lab 34
Green 15
LD 15
Dartford - Castle:
Con 35
Lab 33
SGRA 14
UKIP 13
ED 5
I'll continue later. (In South Korea atm).
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Post by independentukip on Sept 26, 2012 23:40:50 GMT
BLABY - Pastures
37 Labour
63 Conservative
CAMDEN - Hampstead Town
8 Green
30 Liberal Democrats
35 Conservative
27 Labour
DARTFORD - Castle
54 Conservative
4 English Democrats
10 Swanscombe and Greenhithe Residents Association
24 Labour
8 UK Independence
KING'S LYNN AND WEST NORFOLK - Spellowfields
5 Green
28 Labour
20 UK Independence
10 Liberal Democrats
37 Conservative
MIDDLESBROUGH - North Ormesby and Brambles Farm
2 Daud Bashir
11 Conserative
5 Liberal Democrats
75 Labour
3 Independent
NORFOLK - Clenchwarton and King's Lynn South
27 Conservative
17 Labour
34 Liberal Democrats
22 UK Independence
RUNNYMEDE - Chertsey Meads
46 Conservative
25 UK Independence
1 Official Monster Raving Loony
24 Labour
4 Liberal Democrats
RUNNYMEDE - New Haw
25 Labour
8 Liberal Democrats
52 Conservative
15 UK Independence
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Post by East Anglian Lefty on Sept 27, 2012 0:18:12 GMT
Blaby DC, Pastures
Con 61
Lab 39
Camden LBC, Hampstead Town
Con 42
LD 27
Lab 25
G 6
Dartford BC, Castle
Con 50
Lab 29
SGRA 11
UKIP 6
ED 4
King's Lynn and West Norfolk DC, Spellowfields
C 47
Lab 30
UKIP 14
LD 6
G 3
Middlesborough UA, North Ormesby and Brambles Farm
Lab 74
Ind 10
Con 9
ND 4
LD 3
Norfolk CC, Clenchwarton and King's Lynn South
Con 45
Lab 34
UKIP 13
LD 8
Terrible candidate recruitment here. We really ought to win this ward, but I will be slightly appalled if we actually do tomorrow.
Runnymede BC, Chertsey Meads
Con 43
UKIP 24
Lab 23
LD 8
OMRLP 2
Runnymede BC, New Haw
Con 46
Lab 31
UKIP 14
LD 9
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Khunanup
Lib Dem
Portsmouth Liberal Democrats
Posts: 11,506
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Post by Khunanup on Sept 27, 2012 0:19:51 GMT
Mine this week.
Pastures: Con 61%, Lab 39%
Hampstead Town: Con 41%, Lib Dem 29%, Lab 20%, Green 10%
Castle: Con 52%, UKIP 22%, Lab 15%, SGRA 7%, Eng Dem 4%
Spellowfields: Con 40%, Lab 32%, UKIP 14%, Lib Dem 10% Green 4%
North Ormesby and Brambles Farm: Lab 73%, Con 15%, Lib Dem 5%, Ind 4%, No Desc 3%
Clenchwarton and King's Lynn South: Lab 38%, Con 37%, Lib Dem 17%, UKIP 8%
Chertsey Meads: Con 49%, UKIP 22%, Lab 19%, Lib Dem 8%, OMRLP 2%
New Haw: Con 48%, UKIP 20%, Lab 18%, Lib Dem 14%
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Post by Andrew_S on Sept 27, 2012 1:24:50 GMT
Kings Lynn: con 36, lab 31, ukip 20, ld 7, green 6
Middlesbrough: lab 73, con 10, riley 7, bashir 6, ld 4
Norfolk: con 35, lab 25, ld 23, ukip 17
Runnymede - Chertsey Meads: con 55, ukip 19, lab 18, ld 6, loony 2
Runnymede - New Haw: con 57, lab 20, ukip 16, ld 7
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dibs
Non-Aligned
Posts: 63
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Post by dibs on Sept 27, 2012 6:44:49 GMT
Blaby...con 55 lab 45
camden...ld 35 con 30 lab 25 green 10
dartford...con 40 srga 30 lab 20 ukip 5 ed 5
kings lynn...con 40 lab 28 ld 20 ukip 12
middlesbrough...lab 55 con 15 ld 10 bashir 10 riley 10
norfolk...con 45 ld 35 lab 15 ukip 5
Runny CM...con 40 ukip 20 lab 20 ld 15 loony 5
Runny NH....con 55 lab 25 ld 10 ukip 10
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hempie
Forum Regular
Posts: 875
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Post by hempie on Sept 27, 2012 7:02:00 GMT
Blaby, Pastures: Con 64, Lab 36
Camden, Hampstead Town: Con 39, Lib Dem 36, Lab 19, Green 6
Dartford, Castle: Con 48, Lab 24, SGRA 15, UKIP 9, Eng Dem 4
King's Lynn & West Norfolk,Spellowfields: Con 41, Lab 30, UKIP 16, Lib Dem 8, Green 5
Middlesbrough, North Ormesby and Brambles Farm: Lab 68, Con 15, Lib Dem 7, Ind 5, No Desc 5
Norfolk, Clenchwarton and King's Lynn South: Con 35, Lab 30, Lib Dem 26, UKIP 9
Runnymede, Chertsey Meads: Con 46, UKIP 23, Lab 20, Lib Dem 9, OMRLP 2
Runnymede, New Haw: Con 49, Lab 20, UKIP 18, Lib Dem 13
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Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
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Post by Deleted on Sept 27, 2012 7:22:07 GMT
Blaby
Con 59
Lab 41
Camden
Con 40
LD 31
Lab 21
Green 8
Dartford
Con 38
Lab 25
SGRA 15
UKIP 13
Eng Dem 9
King's Lynn
Con 39
Lab 31
UKIP 19
Green 6
LD 5
Middlesbrough
Lab 72
Con 12
LD 7
Ind Riley 5
Bashir 4
Norfolk
Con 40
Lab 28
LD 22
UKIP 10
Runnymede Chertsey Meads
Con 48
UKIP 23
Lab 19
LD 8
OMRLP 2
Runnymede New Haw
Con 53
Lab 21
UKIP 17
LD 9
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Post by greatkingrat on Sept 27, 2012 7:36:17 GMT
BLABY - Con 62, Lab 38
CAMDEN - Con 35, LD 30, Lab 26, Grn 9
DARTFORD - Con 50, Lab 23, SGRA 13, UKIP 8, ED 6
KINGS LYNN - Con 41, Lab 32, LD 12, UKIP 9, Grn 6
MIDDLESBROUGH - Lab 73, Con 12, LD 6, Bashir 5, Riley 4
NORFOLK - Lab 44, Con 33, LD 15, UKIP 8
RUNNYMEDE (Chertsey) - Con 47, UKIP 24, Lab 20, LD 7, Loony 2
RUNNYMEDE (New Haw) - Con 52, Lab 21, UKIP 17, LD 10
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Post by marksenior on Sept 27, 2012 7:38:21 GMT
My forecasts
Blaby Con 67 Lab 33
Camden LD 38 Con 36 Lab 18 Green 8
Dartford Con 51 Lab 22 UKIP 13 SGRA 8 Eng Dem 6
Kings Lynn Con 40 Lab 29 LD 17 UKIP 9 Green 5
Middlesbrough Lab 72 Ind 14 Con 10 LD 4
Norfolk Con 38 LD 32 Lab 22 UKIP 8
Runn C M Con 51 Lab 20 UKIP 17 LD 9 OMRLP 3
Runn N H Con 49 Lab 22 UKIP 15 LD 14
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Post by erlend on Sept 27, 2012 8:02:18 GMT
Blaby Con 62 Lab 38
Camden Con 40 LD 35 Lab 20 Gr 5
Dartford Con 48 Lab 28 UKIP 12 SGRA 4 ED 8
KL Con 40 Lab 32 LD 12 UKIP 11 Gr 5
Midd Lab 75 Ind 15 Con 8 LD 2
Norf Con 40 Lab 28 UKIP 7 LD 25
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Post by erlend on Sept 27, 2012 8:06:52 GMT
Had intended to get those ahead of the 0900/00/59 deadline but seem to have failed so here are the others.
the remainder
Runnymede Chertsey Con 55 Lab 21 UKIP 13 LD 10.6 Loony 0.4
Runnymede New Haw Con 51 Lab 23 UKIP 10 LD 16
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Tony Otim
Green
Suffering from Brexistential Despair
Posts: 11,258
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Post by Tony Otim on Sept 27, 2012 8:27:33 GMT
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Post by andrewteale on Sept 27, 2012 9:12:36 GMT
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Sept 27, 2012 10:12:43 GMT
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Post by middleenglander on Sept 27, 2012 10:47:07 GMT
16 entries this week with Dibs re-appearing, PhilDav76 on his honeymoon (bad planning as he should be away next week!!), ianrobo playing truant and Arthur Figgis and Kristofer Keane again absent.
erlend gets 8 x 5 faults for again being late on parade whilst Independent UKIP has 4 for adding to only 96% in Middlesbrough.
Unanimity in 5 contests:
* Conservative holds in Blaby, Dartford and the two Runnymede seats
* Labour hold in Middlesbrough
15 Conservative holds in Kings Lynn & West Norfolk with Catholic Left going for a Labour gain
12 Conservative holds in Camden with David Boothroyd, Dibs, Mark Senior and Robert Waller predicting a Lib Dem gain
12 Conservative holds in Norfolk with Andrew Teale, greatkingrat and Khunanup having a Labour gain whilst Independent UKIP a Lib Dem gain.
Neither erlend nor Mark Senior have a prediction for the No Description candidate in Middlesbrough but this is not faultable.
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Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
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Post by Deleted on Sept 27, 2012 11:06:27 GMT
sorry about my lack of one ... too many things yesterday
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Sept 27, 2012 14:43:18 GMT
Norfolk CC, Clenchwarton and King's Lynn SouthCon 45 Lab 34 UKIP 13 LD 8 Terrible candidate recruitment here. We really ought to win this ward, but I will be slightly appalled if we actually do tomorrow. I was intrigued by these comments and wonder if EAL would care to elaborate? I can understand why the candidate wouldn't be to my taste - she's a lefty from East Anglia, but not clear what EastAnglianlefty's objections might be? Its interesting (and worrying) that both Andrew and GKR have Labour winning here qquite easily. I toyed with a Labour win here but obviously decieded against though I do think I have the Tory share too high now and it will probably be closer. My rationale was that while only a bit under half the electorate are in S&W Lynn where Labour are strong (but not overwhelmingly so), that turnout has tendd to be much lower there than in the outlying areas. If that pattern to be reversed as Labour manage to get their vote out then they should win. This is clearly the crucial by-eletcion for the prediction contest. If Labour win then Andrews lead should be assured whatevr happens in the other 7 contests. If not then tyhings get much more interesting |
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Post by greatkingrat on Sept 27, 2012 15:18:30 GMT
Ordinarily I wouldn't expect Labour to win a ward like this but I think the incinerator issue could cause a large swing against Tories.
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Post by andrewteale on Sept 27, 2012 15:31:44 GMT
That was also my reasoning. The local anti-incinerator campaign have called for electors to vote against the Conservatives in the county by-election. This is the county division that contains the planned incinerator site.
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