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Post by yellowperil on Feb 2, 2018 21:35:46 GMT
Super Thursday is going to see an amazing mix of 14 very different by-elections, so I will try to start posting the election details as soon as possible.
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Post by yellowperil on Feb 3, 2018 12:01:45 GMT
Doncaster MB, Armthorpe Ward
Labour died
2 candidates:
Frank John Tyas (Lab)
Martin Williams (Ind)
2002 election results: Ind 2027, Lab 1440, Con 364
2003 election results: Lab 2868, Ind 1811, Con 1411
2004 election results: Ind 2140/1834/1821,Lab 1664/1244/1172, Con 357
2006 election results: Ind 1602, Lab 1260, Con 276
2007 election results: Ind 2047, Lab 1105
2008 election results: Ind 1860, Lab 941, Con 416
2010 election results: Lab 2369, Ind 1258, LD 877, Con 845, EDP 692
2011 election results: Lab 1958, Ind 1410, Con 415
2012 election results: Lab 1677, Ind 1289, Con 226
2014 election results: Lab 1286, UKIP 975, Ind 866, Con 231, TUSC 116
2015 election results: Lab 2709/2496/2386, UKIP 2260, Con 1247, LD 638, Green 605, Ind 573
2017 election results: Lab 1479/1336/1314, UKIP 1045/767, Con 787, Green 328
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Post by yellowperil on Feb 3, 2018 12:18:41 GMT
I had thought to get Doncaster out of the way first as it looked one of the least interesting of the 14 on this day- after all , a Labour defence with just a token Independent taking up the challenge- no Lib Dem or Green or UKIP, not even a Conservative. But when I looked back at past elections in this ward it looks fascinating- that relatively unusual animal, the Labour/Indy marginal. The Independents had control of the executive mayorality for part of this time, that I knew, but I hadn't expected such a very political dogfight at ward level. Independent candidates getting over 2000 votes in local elections must be quite a rare breed.I am also fascinated to see the change from all outs to annuals, and back to all outs, and how exactly that relates to Indy fortunes. I am hoping there are Doncaster pundits out there who will be able to enlighten us as to what has gone on.
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Post by andrewp on Feb 3, 2018 12:39:01 GMT
I had thought to get Doncaster out of the way first as it looked one of the least interesting of the 14 on this day- after all , a Labour defence with just a token Independent taking up the challenge- no Lib Dem or Green or UKIP, not even a Conservative. But when I looked back at past elections in this ward it looks fascinating- that relatively unusual animal, the Labour/Indy marginal. The Independents had control of the executive mayorality for part of this time, that I knew, but I hadn't expected such a very political dogfight at ward level. Independent candidates getting over 2000 votes in local elections must be quite a rare breed.I am also fascinated to see the change from all outs to annuals, and back to all outs, and how exactly that relates to Indy fortunes. I am hoping there are Doncaster pundits out there who will be able to enlighten us as to what has gone on. I can’t find the sopn on the Doncaster council website, but is Martin Williams address in Thorne? If so, that is Martin Williams who was a Community Group councillor for Thorne from 1998-2016. |
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maxque
Non-Aligned
Posts: 9,312 
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Post by maxque on Feb 3, 2018 13:16:28 GMT
I had thought to get Doncaster out of the way first as it looked one of the least interesting of the 14 on this day- after all , a Labour defence with just a token Independent taking up the challenge- no Lib Dem or Green or UKIP, not even a Conservative. But when I looked back at past elections in this ward it looks fascinating- that relatively unusual animal, the Labour/Indy marginal. The Independents had control of the executive mayorality for part of this time, that I knew, but I hadn't expected such a very political dogfight at ward level. Independent candidates getting over 2000 votes in local elections must be quite a rare breed.I am also fascinated to see the change from all outs to annuals, and back to all outs, and how exactly that relates to Indy fortunes. I am hoping there are Doncaster pundits out there who will be able to enlighten us as to what has gone on. I can’t find the sopn on the Doncaster council website, but is Martin Williams address in Thorne? If so, that is Martin Williams who was a Community Group councillor for Thorne from 1998-2016. Kirton Lane, Thorpe. |
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Post by yellowperil on Feb 3, 2018 13:21:23 GMT
I can’t find the sopn on the Doncaster council website, but is Martin Williams address in Thorne? If so, that is Martin Williams who was a Community Group councillor for Thorne from 1998-2016. Kirton Lane, Thorpe. beat me by seconds! Don't know why you couldn't find it on the website, except that its one of those local authority websites where you have to keep going from one heading to the next and then take it as a download, but that's not uncommon- this one more labyrinthine than most ,though. |
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Post by andrewp on Feb 3, 2018 13:23:27 GMT
That is indeed Ex councillor Martin Williams then. Armthorpe is about 5 miles from Thorne I think.
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Post by yellowperil on Feb 3, 2018 14:05:59 GMT
Falkirk UA , Bonnybridge & Larbert Ward
SNP died
5 candidates:
Niall Coleman (SNP)
Linda Gow (Lab)
Martin Stuart (UKIP)
David Robertson (Green)
George Stevenson (Con)
2007 election results: SNP 1916*, Ind 1566*, Lab 1557*, Con 576, Green 302, Ind 143, SSP 72 -* SNP, Ind and Lab all elected at stage 1
2012 election results: SNP 1387*, Lab 1235*, Ind 1018*, Con 376, SNP 299, Ind 166- *SNP elected stage 1, Lab elected stage 2, Ind elected stage 4
2017 election results: SNP 1898*, Con 1368*,Ind 1134*, Lab 884, Green 216,Ind 128- *SNP elected stage 1, Con elected stage 4, Ind elected stage 6
note -all votes listed above refer to first preference votes.
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Post by yellowperil on Feb 3, 2018 14:50:30 GMT
Epsom & Ewell BC, Ruxley Ward
Resident resigned
4 candidates:
Alex Coley(Res)
Julia Rose Kirkland (Lib Dem)
Themba Msika (Lab)
Stephen James Pontin (Con)
2003 election results: Res 579/484/437,Lab 391/387/376, Con 243, LD 131
2007 election results: Res 605/521/503, Con 518/480/479, Lab 125/125/108,LD 104/92/90
2011 election results: Res 795/609/571, Con 711/680/656,Lab 216/212, /LD 125/125/79
2015 election results: Res1353/1110/1018, Con963/930/928,Lab 429/420/383
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Feb 3, 2018 15:38:44 GMT
I am hoping there are Doncaster pundits out there who will be able to enlighten us as to what has gone on. |
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Feb 3, 2018 15:50:35 GMT
The Falkirk one is going to be interesting without the independent
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Post by yellowperil on Feb 3, 2018 16:02:08 GMT
The Falkirk one is going to be interesting without the independent Looking at the transfers last time it is not all that clear where those Indy votes go but maybe more to Labour than to Conservative or SDP? Think this one might be 3-way marginal at first preferences, and then who knows- but maybe a unionist gain of one colour or another? |
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Deleted
Deleted Member
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Post by Deleted on Feb 3, 2018 16:05:28 GMT
The Falkirk one is going to be interesting without the independent Looking at the transfers last time it is not all that clear where those Indy votes go but maybe more to Labour than to Conservative or SDP? I agree. I think it’ll be an interesting fight between Labour and the SNP. |
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Post by yellowperil on Feb 3, 2018 16:42:00 GMT
East Northamptonshire DC, Higham Ferrers Lancaster Ward
Conservative died
5 candidates:
Suzanna Marie Austin (Lib Dem)
Bill Cross (UKIP)
Harriet Jane Frances Pentland (Con)
Mark Smith (Lab)
Simon Andrew Turner (Green)
2007 election results: Con 812/787, Lab 335/316
2011 Cons x2 elected unopp
2015 Consx2 elected unopp
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Post by yellowperil on Feb 4, 2018 9:56:05 GMT
Northamptonshire County Council, Higham Ferrers Division
Conservative died
5 candidates:
Suzanna Marie Austin (LD)
Bill Cross (UKIP)
Gary Day (Lab)
Jason Smithers (Con)
Simon Andrew Turner (Green)
2005 election results: Con 2548,Lab 1582, Ind 930
2009 election results: Con 2245, Lab 690
2013 election results: Con 1184, UKIP 697, Lab 385, Ind 299, LD116
2017 election results: Con 1762, Lab 552, LD 327, UKIP 290.
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Post by yellowperil on Feb 4, 2018 10:41:35 GMT
One might think that Northamptonshire would attract some interest at this time given the extreme financial straits the County administration is currently in. Chance for the opposition parties to make inroads in the present climate both against the County Council ruling party here, and in the district by-election in the same patch? Ah but hang on the county council leader says its all the fault of the national government. So maybe the voters should take it out of the national party of government instead? Hmm..
Incidentally I can't quite get my head round Higham Ferrers being in Northamptonshire. That name sounds like it belongs in Devon, or maybe Dorset... West Country, anyway, not the bloody East Midlands.
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Post by yellowperil on Feb 4, 2018 12:41:12 GMT
Halton UA, Halton Castle Ward
Labour, died
3 candidates:
Ian John Adams (Con)
Christopher Martin Carlin (Lab)
Darrin Whyte (ND)
notes: (1)prior to 2010 this ward was known as Castlefields
(2)HLIP =Halton Local Independents Party
2004 election results: Lab 1045/833/816, Ind 440, LD 369, Con 300, BNP 232
2006 election results: Lab 448,LD 332, Ind 156, Ind 122, Con 105
2007 election results: LD 565, Lab 562, Con 99
2008 election results: Lab 555, LD 461, Con 122
2010 election results: Lab 1398, LD 714,Con 283
2011 election results: Lab 1067, HLIP 323, LD 250
2012 election results: Lab 930, LD 195
2014 election results: Lab 956, UKIP 413, TUSC (D.Whyte) 72
2015 election results: Lab 1985,UKIP 487, LD 220, TUSC (D.Whyte)142
2016 election results: Lab 1035,UKIP 211, Ind (D.Whyte) 115
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Post by yellowperil on Feb 4, 2018 21:03:41 GMT
Lancashire CC Morecambe North division
Conservative sitting as Independent resigned
3 candidates:
Darren Keith Clifford (Lab)
Stuart Charles Morris (Con)
Andrew Moore Severn ( LD)
2005 election results: Con 2667,Lab 1840, LD 1089, Green 231
2009 election results: Con 1972, Lab 837, Green 659
2013 election results: Con 1271, Lab 710, Ind 639, Green 132
2017 election results: Con 2404, Lab 838, LD 310, Green 253
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Foggy
Non-Aligned
Yn Ennill Yma
Posts: 6,137
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Post by Foggy on Feb 5, 2018 0:49:45 GMT
Incidentally I can't quite get my head round Higham Ferrers being in Northamptonshire. That name sounds like it belongs in Devon, or maybe Dorset... West Country, anyway, not the bloody East Midlands. I agree that Higham Ferrers sounds out of place in Northants, but it wouldn't seem right around these parts either. I think it should be located 'higher' up the road from South Woodham Ferrers in Essex, in a posher and more remote part of that county. |
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timmullen1
Labour
Closing account as BossMan declines to respond to messages seeking support.
Posts: 11,823
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Post by timmullen1 on Feb 5, 2018 1:24:09 GMT
Incidentally I can't quite get my head round Higham Ferrers being in Northamptonshire. That name sounds like it belongs in Devon, or maybe Dorset... West Country, anyway, not the bloody East Midlands. I agree that Higham Ferrers sounds out of place in Northants, but it wouldn't seem right around these parts either. I think it should be located 'higher' up the road from South Woodham Ferrers in Essex, in a posher and more remote part of that county. I’m sure when we get Andrew’s Previews he’ll shed light on this, but I’m guessing there’s a connection to the Shirley family, aka Earl Ferrers, who originated from Astwell Castle in Northamptonshire. |
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