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Post by yellowperil on Feb 15, 2018 14:14:25 GMT
I was looking at these predictions from a Lib Dem perspective on Super Thursday and they are remarkable- there is a strong majority opinion in favour of 3 Lib Dem gains (Worstead, Chudleigh, and Dawlish) and single votes for 3 more (Grassmoor, Holgate and Carterton) from predictors who had generally failed to support all 3 of the more likely prospects. We are reaching the point where anything less than 3 gains would be a great disappointment, which is silly as any gain in the present climate is hard won.But the Lib Dems need those gains as next week there will be some very difficult defences to consider.
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Post by middleenglander on Feb 15, 2018 18:34:25 GMT
18 entries week with Ruggerman making a return and Londonseal80 making a first foray but not on the prediction thread.
Dibs gets 10 additional faults for adding to 110% in Teignbridge, Cudleigh whilst priceofdawn gets 4 additional faults for adding to 96% in Falkirk.
Lancastrian & Right Leaning had a Conservative in Doncaster rather than an Independent and Yellow Peril a LG in East Northamptonshire instead of a LD. I am minded to accept these as correct as there is no ambiguity as to what was intended. Ruggerman edited their prediction at 09.02 but I have no idea what changed so again no faults
Dibs has Conservative and Liberal Democrat both on 45% in North Norfolk but nominated the Liberal Democrat to win whilst also Labour and Liberal Democrat tying on 35% with the Liberal Democrat again predicted to win. However k9 predicts Conservative and Independent Hone to both get 30% in Tendring without nominating a winner - if either win the penalty is 5 faults, 10 if neither wins.
Doncaster, Armthorpe: 15 Labour hold, ajs, dibs and Olympian95 Independent gain East Northamptonshire, Higham Ferrers Lancaster: 17 Conservative hold, WilliamHone Labour gain Epsom & Ewell, Ruxley: 17 Resident Association hold, WilliamHone Liberal Democrat gain Falkirk, Bonnybridge & Larbert: 16 SNP ahead on first preferences, priceofdawn & Ruggerman Conservative ahead Halton, Halton Castle: 100% Labour hold Lancashire, Morecambe North: 100% Conservative hold Northamptonshire. Higham Ferrers: 17 Conservative hold, WilliamHone Labour gain North East Derbyshire, Grassmoor: 17 Labour hold, k9 Liberal Democrat gain North Norfolk, Worstead: 17 Liberal Democrat gain from Conservative, priceofdawn Conservative hold Teignbridge, Chudleigh: 15 Liberal Democrat gain from Conservative, Eurolefty, priceofdawn & Ruggerman Conservative hold Teignbridge, Dawlish Central & North East: 14 Liberal Democrat gain from Conservative, Eurolefty, priceofdawn, ricmk & Ruggerman Conservative hold Tendring, St Pauls: 14 Conservative gain from UKIP, k9 Conservative & Independent Hone tie, ricmk Independent Andrews gain, robbienicholl Independent Hone gain & WilliamHone Labour gain West Oxfordshire, Carterton South: 17 Conservative hold, WilliamHone Liberal Democrat gain York Holgate: 16 Labour hold, dibs Liberal Democrat gain & ricmk Conservative gain
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Post by yellowperil on Feb 15, 2018 19:14:17 GMT
I do like the idea of the Teignbridge village being Cudleigh. I know (as above) we can all get our thumbs in the wrong place, but if the result is what most of us expect it really will be cuddly.
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Post by samdwebber on Feb 15, 2018 22:19:04 GMT
Worth a read and a retweet until the results start rolling in tonight:
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Post by Robert Waller on Feb 16, 2018 1:06:19 GMT
Nothing from Doncaster and we don't know which way round the Independents are in Clacton, do we? But my very rough look at all the numbers suggests that David Boothroyd is a mile ahead (well about 100 faults) for the month and may be leading this week too, ahead of Yellow Peril and myself. YP and I have probably advanced into the monthly top five, along with Olympian and Robbie Nicoll - but this is all very tentative and incomplete.
Edit: I've now made rough calculations for either result in Clacton and David is still way ahead for the month and should win the week yet again. A devastating display so far this month. I think I may now be second for the month, just ahead of Olympian, Yellow Peril, Robbie, AJS, Andrew P and Right leaning ...
... but if the Independent wins in Armthorpe, then Olympian and AJS come roaring up the charts.
And there's another batch next week.
and I've certainly got my numbers wrong!
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Post by middleenglander on Feb 16, 2018 1:14:38 GMT
Nothing from Doncaster and we don't know which way round the Independents are in Clacton, do we? But my very rough look at all the numbers suggests that David Boothroyd is a mile ahead (well about 100 faults) for the month and may be leading this week too, ahead of Yellow Peril and myself. YP and I have probably advanced into the monthly top five, along with Olympian and Robbie Nicoll - but this is all very tentative and incomplete. My initial figures (a lot of checking needed this week) has Robert ahead for the week with David second and Yellow Peril third p- don't think they had any wrong winner faults. David is some 80 ahead of Robert on my calculation.
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Post by Andrew_S on Feb 16, 2018 1:25:39 GMT
I think my faults this week so far are 384.3 assuming Hones was head of Andrews in Tendring, which is an average of 7.7 faults per candidate (50 candidates so far, 52 in total with Doncaster).
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Post by Andrew_S on Feb 16, 2018 1:42:44 GMT
Assuming Hones got more votes than Andrews in Tendring, I have DB on 326.3 faults so far and RW on 311.9 faults. olympian95 would be on 378.3 faults.
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Post by Robert Waller on Feb 16, 2018 12:01:22 GMT
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Post by Robert Waller on Feb 17, 2018 0:37:23 GMT
Week 3Authority | Doncaster | East Northants | Epsom & Ewell | Falkirk | Halton
| Lancashire | Northants | Sub-total | Ward | Armthorpe | Higham Ferrers Lancaster | Ruxley | Bonnybridge & Larbert
| Halton Castle | Morecambe North
| Higham Ferrers | faults | ajs | 52.9+10
| 28.8
| 15.9
| 22.1
| 13.5
| 45.5
| 14.2
| 202.8
| andrewp | 22.9
| 41.6
| 29.0
| 16.3
| 19.8
| 31.5
| 8.9
| 169.9
| David Boothroyd | 30.9
| 34.8
| 21.0
| 22.3
| 17.8
| 41.5
| 11.4
| 179.6
| dibs | 60.9+10
| 45.6
| 13.0
| 23.3
| 6.3
| 32.1
| 21.5
| 212.7
| Europeanlefty | 10.9
| 34.8
| 39.0
| 17.3
| 20.3
| 32.1
| 24.6
| 179.0
| greenrobinhood | 40.9
| 27.6
| 37.0
| 10.3
| 27.8
| 33.5
| 8.9
| 185.9
| hempie | 20.9
| 24.4
| 15.4
| 8.5
| 29.8
| 33.5
| 7.8
| 140.2
| k9 | 48.9
| 5.6
| 23.0
| 29.3
| 20.5
| 29.5
| 17.9
| 174.6
| Lancastrian | 34.9
| 25.6
| 15.0
| 20.1
| 27.5
| 43.5
| 17.3
| 183.7
| Olympian95 | 56.9+10
| 33.6
| 21.9
| 11.3
| 14.3
| 47.5
| 11.6
| 207.1
| priceofdawn | 26.9
| 26.4
| 33.9
| 29.7+4+10
| 17.8
| 51.5
| 13.5
| 213.7
| ricmk | 9.1
| 47.6
| 21.9
| 32.3
| 24.3
| 31.5
| 37.4
| 204.1
| Right Leaning | 38.9
| 43.6
| 15.9
| 13.4
| 15.8
| 49.5
| 19.4
| 196.5
| robbienicholl | 32.9
| 22.4
| 27.9
| 14.1
| 40.3
| 45.5
| 6.7
| 189.7
| Robert Waller | 20.9
| 18.4
| 27.0
| 6.1
| 23.8
| 35.5
| 9.4
| 141.1
| Ruggerman | 2.9
| 33.6
| 19.4
| 8.1+10
| 38.3
| 33.5
| 16.9
| 162.7
| WilliamHone | 30.9
| 57.6+10
| 69.9+10
| 20.3
| 28.3
| 43.5
| 44.9+10
| 325.2
| Yellow Peril | 0.9
| 25.6
| 19.4
| 13.3
| 9.5
| 23.5
| 20.1
| 112.3
| Total | 543.9+30
| 577.6+10
| 465.6+10
| 317.9+4+20
| 395.8
| 683.6
| 312.4+10
| 3,380.8
| Londonseal80 |
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Authority | North East Derbyshire | North Norfolk
| Teignbridge | Teignbridge | Tendring | West Oxfordshire | York | Week 3 | Ward | Grassmoor | Worstead | Chudleigh | Dawlish Central & North East | St Pauls | Carterton South | Holgate | faults | ajs | 28.1
| 56.3
| 17.4
| 39.3
| 55.1
| 15.8
| 40.7
| 455.4
| andrewp | 30.1
| 44.3
| 27.9
| 35.3
| 51.3
| 13.1
| 30.7
| 402.5
| David Boothroyd | 14.1
| 34.3
| 25.9
| 29.3
| 20.0
| 1.3
| 54.6
| 359.2
| dibs | 22.1
| 56.3
| 27.4+10 | 31.3
| 50.4
| 17.3
| 33.4+10
| 471.0
| Europeanlefty | 52.1
| 55.4
| 21.4+10
| 51.3+10
| 23.4
| 17.3
| 34.7
| 454.7
| greenrobinhood | 26.1
| 50.3
| 25.9
| 35.3
| 43.1
| 11.1
| 36.7
| 414.3
| hempie | 42.1
| 49.4
| 41.9
| 29.3
| 27.3
| 19.3
| 46.7
| 396.2
| k9 | 54.3+10
| 49.4
| 27.4
| 39.3
| 39.9+5
| 13.3
| 50.7
| 464.0
| Lancastrian | 54.5
| 49.4
| 23.9
| 29.3
| 47.1
| 9.1
| 40.7
| 437.7
| Olympian95 | 52.3
| 48.3
| 23.9
| 15.3
| 41.3
| 21.1
| 42.7
| 452.0
| priceofdawn | 22.1
| 65.4+10
| 24.1+10
| 61.3+10
| 54.2
| 21.8
| 46.0
| 538.5
| ricmk | 42.1
| 41.4
| 27.9
| 61.3+10
| 42.5+10
| 7.3
| 64.7+10
| 521.3
| Right Leaning | 22.1
| 52.3
| 19.9
| 37.3
| 34.9
| 11.3
| 62.7
| 437.0
| robbienicholl | 58.1
| 57.4
| 23.9
| 37.3
| 47.9+10
| 12.7
| 34.7
| 471.7
| Robert Waller | 20.5
| 39.4
| 27.9
| 21.3
| 25.3
| 21.3
| 42.7
| 339.4
| Ruggerman | 8.1
| 51.4
| 30.1+10
| 63.3+10
| 15.8
| 9.1
| 58.7
| 419.1
| WilliamHone | 26.1
| 35.4
| 27.9
| 33.3
| 52.0+10
| 43.8+10
| 46.6
| 610.3
| Yellow Peril | 22.1
| 50.3
| 23.9
| 37.3
| 35.6
| 9.1
| 44.7
| 335.3
| Total | 597.4+10
| 886.6+10
| 468.8+10+30
| 686.9+40
| 707.1+35
| 275.2+10
| 812.0+20
| 7,979.7
| Londonseal80 |
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and for the first 3 weeks of February
| Weeks 1 & 2 faults | Week 3 faults | Week 3 position | Weeks 1 to 3 faults | Weeks 1 to 3 position | ajs | 278.4 | 455.4
| 12th
| 733.8
| 8th
| andrewp | 288.7 | 402.5
| 5th
| 691.2
| 4th
| David Boothroyd | 201.8 | 359.2
| 3rd
| 561.0
| 1st
| dibs | 343.6 | 471.0
| 14th
| 814.6
| 14th
| Europeanlefty | 384.0 | 454.7
| 11th
| 838.7
| 15th
| greenrobinhood | 318.0 | 414.3
| 6th
| 732.3
| 7th
| hempie | 362.2 | 396.2
| 4th
| 758.4
| 11th
| k9 | 276.4 | 464.0
| 13th
| 740.4
| 9th
| Lancastrian | 330.0 | 437.7
| 9th
| 767.7
| 12th
| Olympian95 | 256.2 | 452.0
| 10th
| 708.2
| 5th
| priceofdawn | 274.8 | 538.5
| 17th
| 813.4
| 13th
| rickmk | 452.3 | 521.3
| 16th
| 973.6
| 16th
| Right Leaning | 280.8 | 437.0
| 8th
| 717.8
| 6th
| robbienicholl | 268.8 | 471.7
| 15th
| 740.5
| 10th
| Robert Waller | 295.7 | 339.4
| 2nd
| 635.1
| 2nd
| Ruggerman | 832.7 | 419.1
| 7th
| 1,251.8
| 18th
| WilliamHone | 429.3 | 610.3
| 18th
| 1,039.6
| 17th
| Yellow Peril | 309.9 | 335.3
| 1st
| 645.2
| 3rd
| Total | 6,183.6 | 7,979.7
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| 14,163.4
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That’s an awful lot of work, well done and thanks to ME, And congrats to YP for the week! Still a long way to go - there are some stinkers next week ....
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Post by middleenglander on Feb 17, 2018 0:43:09 GMT
Week 3Authority | Doncaster | East Northants | Epsom & Ewell | Falkirk | Halton
| Lancashire | Northants | Sub-total | Ward | Armthorpe | Higham Ferrers Lancaster | Ruxley | Bonnybridge & Larbert
| Halton Castle | Morecambe North
| Higham Ferrers | faults | ajs | 52.9+10
| 28.8
| 15.9
| 22.1
| 13.5
| 45.5
| 14.2
| 202.8
| andrewp | 22.9
| 41.6
| 29.0
| 16.3
| 19.8
| 31.5
| 8.9
| 169.9
| David Boothroyd | 30.9
| 34.8
| 21.0
| 22.3
| 17.8
| 41.5
| 11.4
| 179.6
| dibs | 60.9+10
| 45.6
| 13.0
| 23.3
| 6.3
| 32.1
| 21.5
| 212.7
| Europeanlefty | 10.9
| 34.8
| 39.0
| 17.3
| 20.3
| 32.1
| 24.6
| 179.0
| greenrobinhood | 40.9
| 27.6
| 37.0
| 10.3
| 27.8
| 33.5
| 8.9
| 185.9
| hempie | 20.9
| 24.4
| 15.4
| 8.5
| 29.8
| 33.5
| 7.8
| 140.2
| k9 | 48.9
| 5.6
| 23.0
| 29.3
| 20.5
| 29.5
| 17.9
| 174.6
| Lancastrian | 34.9
| 25.6
| 15.0
| 20.1
| 27.5
| 43.5
| 17.3
| 183.7
| Olympian95 | 56.9+10
| 33.6
| 21.9
| 11.3
| 14.3
| 47.5
| 11.6
| 207.1
| priceofdawn | 26.9
| 26.4
| 33.9
| 29.7+4+10
| 17.8
| 51.5
| 13.5
| 213.7
| ricmk | 9.1
| 47.6
| 21.9
| 32.3
| 24.3
| 31.5
| 37.4
| 204.1
| Right Leaning | 38.9
| 43.6
| 15.9
| 13.4
| 15.8
| 49.5
| 19.4
| 196.5
| robbienicholl | 32.9
| 22.4
| 27.9
| 14.1
| 40.3
| 45.5
| 6.7
| 189.7
| Robert Waller | 20.9
| 18.4
| 27.0
| 6.1
| 23.8
| 35.5
| 9.4
| 141.1
| Ruggerman | 2.9
| 33.6
| 19.4
| 8.1+10
| 38.3
| 33.5
| 16.9
| 162.7
| WilliamHone | 30.9
| 57.6+10
| 69.9+10
| 20.3
| 28.3
| 43.5
| 44.9+10
| 325.2
| Yellow Peril | 0.9
| 25.6
| 19.4
| 13.3
| 9.5
| 23.5
| 20.1
| 112.3
| Total | 543.9+30
| 577.6+10
| 465.6+10
| 317.9+4+20
| 395.8
| 683.6
| 312.4+10
| 3,380.8
| Londonseal80 | 39.1
| 26.8
| 14.7+1
| 100
| 21.1
| 22.7
| 17.2+10
| 252.6
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Authority | North East Derbyshire | North Norfolk
| Teignbridge | Teignbridge | Tendring | West Oxfordshire | York | Week 3 | Ward | Grassmoor | Worstead | Chudleigh | Dawlish Central & North East | St Pauls | Carterton South | Holgate | faults | ajs | 28.1
| 56.3
| 17.4
| 39.3
| 55.1
| 15.8
| 40.7
| 455.4
| andrewp | 30.1
| 44.3
| 27.9
| 35.3
| 51.3
| 13.1
| 30.7
| 402.5
| David Boothroyd | 14.1
| 34.3
| 25.9
| 29.3
| 20.0
| 1.3
| 54.6
| 359.2
| dibs | 22.1
| 56.3
| 27.4+10 | 31.3
| 50.4
| 17.3
| 33.4+10
| 471.0
| Europeanlefty | 52.1
| 55.4
| 21.4+10
| 51.3+10
| 23.4
| 17.3
| 34.7
| 454.7
| greenrobinhood | 26.1
| 50.3
| 25.9
| 35.3
| 43.1
| 11.1
| 36.7
| 414.3
| hempie | 42.1
| 49.4
| 41.9
| 29.3
| 27.3
| 19.3
| 46.7
| 396.2
| k9 | 54.3+10
| 49.4
| 27.4
| 39.3
| 39.9+5
| 13.3
| 50.7
| 464.0
| Lancastrian | 54.5
| 49.4
| 23.9
| 29.3
| 47.1
| 9.1
| 40.7
| 437.7
| Olympian95 | 52.3
| 48.3
| 23.9
| 15.3
| 41.3
| 21.1
| 42.7
| 452.0
| priceofdawn | 22.1
| 65.4+10
| 24.1+10
| 61.3+10
| 54.2
| 21.8
| 46.0
| 538.5
| ricmk | 42.1
| 41.4
| 27.9
| 61.3+10
| 42.5+10
| 7.3
| 64.7+10
| 521.3
| Right Leaning | 22.1
| 52.3
| 19.9
| 37.3
| 34.9
| 11.3
| 62.7
| 437.0
| robbienicholl | 58.1
| 57.4
| 23.9
| 37.3
| 47.9+10
| 12.7
| 34.7
| 471.7
| Robert Waller | 20.5
| 39.4
| 27.9
| 21.3
| 25.3
| 21.3
| 42.7
| 339.4
| Ruggerman | 8.1
| 51.4
| 30.1+10
| 63.3+10
| 15.8
| 9.1
| 58.7
| 419.1
| WilliamHone | 26.1
| 35.4
| 27.9
| 33.3
| 52.0+10
| 43.8+10
| 46.6
| 610.3
| Yellow Peril | 22.1
| 50.3
| 23.9
| 37.3
| 35.6
| 9.1
| 44.7
| 335.3
| Total | 597.4+10
| 886.6+10
| 468.8+10+30
| 686.9+40
| 707.1+35
| 275.2+10
| 812.0+20
| 7,979.7
| Londonseal80 | 28.7
| 54.1+1+10
| 19+10+10
| 43.7+10
| 28.1+9.2
| 17.3
| 34.7
| 528.2
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and for the first 3 weeks of February
| Weeks 1 & 2 faults | Week 3 faults | Week 3 position | Weeks 1 to 3 faults | Weeks 1 to 3 position | ajs | 278.4 | 455.4
| 12th
| 733.8
| 8th
| andrewp | 288.7 | 402.5
| 5th
| 691.2
| 4th
| David Boothroyd | 201.8 | 359.2
| 3rd
| 561.0
| 1st
| dibs | 343.6 | 471.0
| 14th
| 814.6
| 14th
| Europeanlefty | 384.0 | 454.7
| 11th
| 838.7
| 15th
| greenrobinhood | 318.0 | 414.3
| 6th
| 732.3
| 7th
| hempie | 362.2 | 396.2
| 4th
| 758.4
| 11th
| k9 | 276.4 | 464.0
| 13th
| 740.4
| 9th
| Lancastrian | 330.0 | 437.7
| 9th
| 767.7
| 12th
| Olympian95 | 256.2 | 452.0
| 10th
| 708.2
| 5th
| priceofdawn | 274.8 | 538.5
| 17th
| 813.4
| 13th
| rickmk | 452.3 | 521.3
| 16th
| 973.6
| 16th
| Right Leaning | 280.8 | 437.0
| 8th
| 717.8
| 6th
| robbienicholl | 268.8 | 471.7
| 15th
| 740.5
| 10th
| Robert Waller | 295.7 | 339.4
| 2nd
| 635.1
| 2nd
| Ruggerman | 832.7 | 419.1
| 7th
| 1,251.8
| 18th
| WilliamHone | 429.3 | 610.3
| 18th
| 1,039.6
| 17th
| Yellow Peril | 309.9 | 335.3
| 1st
| 645.2
| 3rd
| Total | 6,183.6 | 7,979.7
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| 14,163.4
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Objections please by 5 pm Sunday There are 12 by-elections next week. Predictions on this thread by 9.00 am Thursday
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Post by middleenglander on Feb 17, 2018 1:26:27 GMT
Somehow or other I got robbienicoll.sd prediction for Halton Castle and Grassmoor mixed up. His correct faults are 23.8 for Halton Castle (not 40.3) and 18.1 for Grassmoor (58.1) resulting in 415.2 for the week, placing him in 7th place (not 15th), and 684.0 for the month to date - in 4th rather than 10th.
Will wait to see how many more errors before updating.
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Post by yellowperil on Feb 17, 2018 2:41:37 GMT
This was a mammoth task,ME, and we all owe you a huge debt of gratitude for pulling it off.I am hoping that you won't find more errors to take away the first place for Super Thursday because I find that one difficult to believe... And congratulations again to David for hanging on to the overall lad by a wide margin. Edit: oops that should have read lead
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Feb 17, 2018 9:19:23 GMT
If you know where the overall lad is, please introduce him to me, he sounds like my type.
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Post by yellowperil on Feb 17, 2018 17:53:17 GMT
Somehow or other I got robbienicoll.sd prediction for Halton Castle and Grassmoor mixed up. His correct faults are 23.8 for Halton Castle (not 40.3) and 18.1 for Grassmoor (58.1) resulting in 415.2 for the week, placing him in 7th place (not 15th), and 684.0 for the month to date - in 4th rather than 10th. Will wait to see how many more errors before updating. I feel the problem comes from predictions being in a strange order -the normal order most of the time is alphabetical (principal councils), but sometimes they get sent in random order as the poster finalises a particular election (I'm one of the worst for that), Maybe would help if we all try hard to get the order right especially on these big and complex weeks? Might ease ME's nightmares!
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Post by middleenglander on Feb 17, 2018 20:06:52 GMT
Somehow or other I got robbienicoll.sd prediction for Halton Castle and Grassmoor mixed up. His correct faults are 23.8 for Halton Castle (not 40.3) and 18.1 for Grassmoor (58.1) resulting in 415.2 for the week, placing him in 7th place (not 15th), and 684.0 for the month to date - in 4th rather than 10th. Will wait to see how many more errors before updating. I feel the problem comes from predictions being in a strange order -the normal order most of the time is alphabetical (principal councils), but sometimes they get sent in random order as the poster finalises a particular election (I'm one of the worst for that), Maybe would help if we all try hard to get the order right especially on these big and complex weeks? Might ease ME's nightmares! I think this is what happened and a second check missed the error. I also try to keep the same order of parties - Con, Lab, LD, Nationalist (if any), Green, UKIP, others as this also helps to avoid mistakes.
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Post by middleenglander on Feb 18, 2018 19:57:26 GMT
Week 3 - AmendedAuthority | Doncaster | East Northants | Epsom & Ewell | Falkirk | Halton
| Lancashire | Northants | Sub-total | Ward | Armthorpe | Higham Ferrers Lancaster | Ruxley | Bonnybridge & Larbert
| Halton Castle | Morecambe North
| Higham Ferrers | faults | ajs | 52.9+10
| 28.8
| 15.9
| 22.1
| 13.5
| 45.5
| 14.2
| 202.8
| andrewp | 22.9
| 41.6
| 29.0
| 16.3
| 19.8
| 31.5
| 8.9
| 169.9
| David Boothroyd | 30.9
| 34.8
| 21.0
| 22.3
| 17.8
| 41.5
| 11.4
| 179.6
| dibs | 60.9+10
| 45.6
| 13.0
| 23.3
| 6.3
| 32.1
| 21.5
| 212.7
| Europeanlefty | 10.9
| 34.8
| 39.0
| 17.3
| 20.3
| 32.1
| 24.6
| 179.0
| greenrobinhood | 40.9
| 27.6
| 37.0
| 10.3
| 27.8
| 33.5
| 8.9
| 185.9
| hempie | 20.9
| 24.4
| 15.4
| 8.5
| 29.8
| 33.5
| 7.8
| 140.2
| k9 | 48.9
| 5.6
| 23.0
| 29.3
| 20.5
| 29.5
| 17.9
| 174.6
| Lancastrian | 34.9
| 25.6
| 15.0
| 20.1
| 27.5
| 43.5
| 17.3
| 183.7
| Olympian95 | 56.9+10
| 33.6
| 21.9
| 11.3
| 14.3
| 47.5
| 11.6
| 207.1
| priceofdawn | 26.9
| 26.4
| 33.9
| 29.7+4+10
| 17.8
| 51.5
| 13.5
| 213.7
| ricmk | 9.1
| 47.6
| 21.9
| 32.3
| 24.3
| 31.5
| 37.4
| 204.1
| Right Leaning | 38.9
| 43.6
| 15.9
| 13.4
| 15.8
| 49.5
| 19.4
| 196.5
| robbienicholl | 32.9
| 22.4
| 27.9
| 14.1
| 23.8
| 45.5
| 6.7
| 173.2
| Robert Waller | 20.9
| 18.4
| 27.0
| 6.1
| 23.8
| 35.5
| 9.4
| 141.1
| Ruggerman | 2.9
| 33.6
| 19.4
| 8.1+10
| 38.3
| 33.5
| 16.9
| 162.7
| WilliamHone | 30.9
| 57.6+10
| 69.9+10
| 20.3
| 28.3
| 43.5
| 44.9+10
| 325.2
| Yellow Peril | 0.9
| 25.6
| 19.4
| 13.3
| 9.5
| 23.5
| 20.1
| 112.3
| Total | 543.9+30
| 577.6+10
| 465.6+10
| 317.9+4+20
| 379.3
| 683.6
| 312.4+10
| 3,364.3
| Londonseal80 | 39.1
| 26.8
| 14.7+1
| 100
| 21.1
| 22.7
| 17.2+10
| 252.6
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Authority | North East Derbyshire | North Norfolk
| Teignbridge | Teignbridge | Tendring | West Oxfordshire | York | Week 3 | Ward | Grassmoor | Worstead | Chudleigh | Dawlish Central & North East | St Pauls | Carterton South | Holgate | faults | ajs | 28.1
| 56.3
| 17.4
| 39.3
| 55.1
| 15.8
| 40.7
| 455.4
| andrewp | 30.1
| 44.3
| 27.9
| 35.3
| 51.3
| 13.1
| 30.7
| 402.5
| David Boothroyd | 14.1
| 34.3
| 25.9
| 29.3
| 20.0
| 1.3
| 54.6
| 359.2
| dibs | 22.1
| 56.3
| 27.4+10 | 31.3
| 50.4
| 17.3
| 33.4+10
| 471.0
| Europeanlefty | 52.1
| 55.4
| 21.4+10
| 51.3+10
| 23.4
| 17.3
| 34.7
| 454.7
| greenrobinhood | 26.1
| 50.3
| 25.9
| 35.3
| 43.1
| 11.1
| 36.7
| 414.3
| hempie | 42.1
| 49.4
| 41.9
| 29.3
| 27.3
| 19.3
| 46.7
| 396.2
| k9 | 54.3+10
| 49.4
| 27.4
| 39.3
| 39.9+5
| 13.3
| 50.7
| 464.0
| Lancastrian | 54.5
| 49.4
| 23.9
| 29.3
| 47.1
| 9.1
| 40.7
| 437.7
| Olympian95 | 52.3
| 48.3
| 23.9
| 15.3
| 41.3
| 21.1
| 42.7
| 452.0
| priceofdawn | 22.1
| 65.4+10
| 24.1+10
| 61.3+10
| 54.2
| 21.8
| 46.0
| 538.5
| ricmk | 42.1
| 41.4
| 27.9
| 61.3+10
| 42.5+10
| 7.3
| 64.7+10
| 521.3
| Right Leaning | 22.1
| 52.3
| 19.9
| 37.3
| 34.9
| 11.3
| 62.7
| 437.0
| robbienicholl | 18.1
| 57.4
| 23.9
| 37.3
| 47.9+10
| 12.7
| 34.7
| 415.2
| Robert Waller | 20.5
| 39.4
| 27.9
| 21.3
| 25.3
| 21.3
| 42.7
| 339.4
| Ruggerman | 8.1
| 51.4
| 30.1+10
| 63.3+10
| 15.8
| 9.1
| 58.7
| 419.1
| WilliamHone | 26.1
| 35.4
| 27.9
| 33.3
| 52.0+10
| 43.8+10
| 46.6
| 610.3
| Yellow Peril | 22.1
| 50.3
| 23.9
| 37.3
| 35.6
| 9.1
| 44.7
| 335.3
| Total | 557.4+10
| 886.6+10
| 468.8+10+30
| 686.9+40
| 707.1+35
| 275.2+10
| 812.0+20
| 7,923.2
| Londonseal80 | 28.7
| 54.1+1+10
| 19+10+10
| 43.7+10
| 28.1+9.2
| 17.3
| 34.7
| 528.2
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and for the first 3 weeks of February
| Weeks 1 & 2 faults | Week 3 faults | Week 3 position | Weeks 1 to 3 faults | Weeks 1 to 3 position | ajs | 278.4 | 455.4
| 13th
| 733.8
| 9th
| andrewp | 288.7 | 402.5
| 5th
| 691.2
| 5th
| David Boothroyd | 201.8 | 359.2
| 3rd
| 561.0
| 1st
| dibs | 343.6 | 471.0
| 15th
| 814.6
| 14th
| Europeanlefty | 384.0 | 454.7
| 12th
| 838.7
| 15th
| greenrobinhood | 318.0 | 414.3
| 6th
| 732.3
| 8th
| hempie | 362.2 | 396.2
| 4th
| 758.4
| 11th
| k9 | 276.4 | 464.0
| 14th
| 740.4
| 10th
| Lancastrian | 330.0 | 437.7
| 10th
| 767.7
| 12th
| Olympian95 | 256.2 | 452.0
| 11th
| 708.2
| 6th
| priceofdawn | 274.8 | 538.5
| 17th
| 813.4
| 13th
| rickmk | 452.3 | 521.3
| 16th
| 973.6
| 16th
| Right Leaning | 280.8 | 437.0
| 9th
| 717.8
| 7th
| robbienicholl | 268.8 | 415.2
| 7th
| 684.0 | 4th
| Robert Waller | 295.7 | 339.4
| 2nd
| 635.1
| 2nd
| Ruggerman | 832.7 | 419.1
| 8th
| 1,251.8
| 18th
| WilliamHone | 429.3 | 610.3
| 18th
| 1,039.6
| 17th
| Yellow Peril | 309.9 | 335.3
| 1st
| 645.2
| 3rd
| Total | 6,183.6 | 7,923.2
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| 14,106.9
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Objections please by 5 pm Sunday There are 12 by-elections next week. Predictions on this thread by 9.00 am Thursday
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maxque
Non-Aligned
Posts: 9,301
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Post by maxque on Feb 21, 2018 21:14:51 GMT
11 by-elections only, the on in Bryn, Wigan was cancelled by court decision (which Council decided to not appeal).
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dibs
Non-Aligned
Posts: 63
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Post by dibs on Feb 21, 2018 22:21:40 GMT
Lichfield, Stowe: Con 45 Lab 25 LD 15 Green 13 Something New 2
Arun, Marine: Con 30 Ind 26 LD 24 Lab 20
Boston, Old Leake & Wrangle: Con 50 Lab 28 UKIP 20 Blue Revolution 2
Chichester, Fishbourne: LD 50 Con 40 Lab 20
Dorset CC, Bridport LD 40 Con 36 Lab 13 Green 11
West Dorset, Bridport North LD 40 Con 30 Green 16 Lab 14 Hertfordshire, Goffs Oak & Bury Green Con 65 Lab 20 LD 10 Green 5
North Kesteven, Eagle, Swinderby & Witham St Hughs Con 55 Linc Inds 35 LD 10
West Somerset, Minehead South Con 40 LD 35 Lab 25
Wigan, Bryn CANCELLED
Torfaen, Trevethin Lab 50 Green 10 Ind Wildgust 20 Ind Parker 20
Scottish Borders, Selkirkshire Con 40 SNP 30 LD 8 Ind Gunn 7 Ind Penman 6 Lab 5 Green 4
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Post by Ruggerman on Feb 21, 2018 22:23:31 GMT
Arun DC, Marine: Con; 30, Lab; 16, LD; 19, Ind; 35 Boston BC, Old Leake and Wrangle: Con; 62, Lab; 21, UKIP; 12, Blue Revolution; 5 Chichester DC, Fishbourne: Con; 30, Lab; 14, LD; 56 Dorset CC, Bridport: Con; 36, Lab; 20, LD; 40, Green; 4 Hertfordshire CC, Goffs Oak and Bury Green: Con; 68, Lab; 14, LD; 11, Green; 7 Lichfield DC, Stowe: Con; 46, Lab; 28, LD; 17, Green; 7, Something New; 2 North Kesteven DC, Eagle, Swinderby and Witham St Hughs: Con; 59, LD; 4, Lincolnshire Inds; 37 Scotish Borders UA, Selkirkshire: Con; 33, Lab; 8, LD; 10, Green; 3, SNP; 26, Ind (Gunn); 13, Ind (Penman); 7 Torfaen UA, Trevethin: Lab; 35, Green; 15, Ind (Parker); 22, Ind (Wildgust); 28 West Dorset DC, Bridport North: Con; 42, Lab; 18, LD; 28, Green; 12 West Somerset DC, Minehead South: Con; 48, Lab; 29, LD; 23
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