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Post by Deleted on Dec 14, 2017 23:49:40 GMT
LD HOLD in Handside, Welwyn Hatfield. Landslide in Hanside? |
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maxque
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Post by maxque on Dec 14, 2017 23:49:54 GMT
The general rule is that we don't read much (anything...) into December by-elections with comedy turnouts. And especially if you lose them. Well, if we read into the last weeks by-elections, there is a Liberal Democrat landslide incoming. Do you believe that? |
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Post by lancastrian on Dec 14, 2017 23:52:52 GMT
Tory strength in Staffs continues We really ought to have won this last time around. It’s still coming though. Don't forget the university. It's not that big but you don't hold many such seats now. On which note, Andrew Teale's previews note the recent poor performance of the Conservatives in Welwyn Hatfield. The University of Hertfordshire according to Wikipedia has more students than Bristol or Newcastle nowadays. |
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Post by andrewteale on Dec 14, 2017 23:59:15 GMT
We really ought to have won this last time around. It’s still coming though. I rate Ashfield as a more likely gain. More votes to squeeze. Here are two words which should warn you to be careful of projecting Ashfield results into the future - Jason Zadrozny. Underestimate his machine at your peril. |
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Post by andrewteale on Dec 15, 2017 0:03:00 GMT
LD HOLD in Handside, Welwyn Hatfield. LD 1105 C 691 Lab 260 Grn 51 |
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Post by greenhert on Dec 15, 2017 0:04:14 GMT
We really ought to have won this last time around. It’s still coming though. Don't forget the university. It's not that big but you don't hold many such seats now. On which note, Andrew Teale's previews note the recent poor performance of the Conservatives in Welwyn Hatfield. The University of Hertfordshire according to Wikipedia has more students than Bristol or Newcastle nowadays. A lot of them do not live on campus. Many of them commute from the outermost London boroughs, St Albans, or Hertsmere. I know this from my days as an undergraduate there who contested elections there twice for the Green Party (Herts CC election, 2013, and Welwyn Hatfield BC election, 2014). |
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Post by Deleted on Dec 15, 2017 0:18:31 GMT
Any news from Westward Ho!?
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Post by Robert Waller on Dec 15, 2017 0:19:15 GMT
Barnsley’s Rockingham is a Labour hold according to John Healey's twitter He also said 66% of vote, but no other figures seem to have emerged. |
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maxque
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Post by maxque on Dec 15, 2017 0:23:45 GMT
Barnsley’s Rockingham is a Labour hold according to John Healey's twitter He also said 66% of vote, but no other figures seem to have emerged. Lab 938, Con 272, LD 199 |
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Post by Robert Waller on Dec 15, 2017 0:26:15 GMT
Rockingham (Barnsley) result:
LAB: 66.6% (-9.8)
CON: 19.3% (+6.9)
LDEM: 14.1% (+14.1)
No BNP (-7.4) and TUSC (-3.8) as prev.
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Post by andrewteale on Dec 15, 2017 0:34:09 GMT
So, no word from Westward Ho! and still awaiting detailed figures from Portsoken.
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Dec 15, 2017 0:39:20 GMT
Tory strength in Staffs continues We really ought to have won this last time around. It’s still coming though. Well it has come hasn't it ? You now have both seats in this ward |
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Dec 15, 2017 0:43:27 GMT
Don't forget the university. It's not that big but you don't hold many such seats now. On which note, Andrew Teale's previews note the recent poor performance of the Conservatives in Welwyn Hatfield. The University of Hertfordshire according to Wikipedia has more students than Bristol or Newcastle nowadays. A lot of them do not live on campus. Many of them commute from the outermost London boroughs, St Albans, or Hertsmere. I know this from my days as an undergraduate there who contested elections there twice for the Green Party (Herts CC election, 2013, and Welwyn Hatfield BC election, 2014). Well there were about 10,000 full time students living in Hatfield in 2011 and I doubt the figure has gone down since then. The figures aren't significant in the other boroughs you mention with the partial exception of in Potters Bar (Hertsmere) due to the Veterinary college there. Doesn't have any bearing on the Handside result though if that was being implied |
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Post by brianj on Dec 15, 2017 0:45:13 GMT
We have what appears to be a result from Westward Ho!
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Post by andrewteale on Dec 15, 2017 0:53:12 GMT
We have what appears to be a result from Westward Ho! Looks like a box tally to me, but Westward Ho! ward only has one polling district so I think we can conclude that Laws has won. |
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Post by brianj on Dec 15, 2017 0:57:19 GMT
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Post by Robert Waller on Dec 15, 2017 1:09:53 GMT
Well, we did really well in the predictions with that one ....  |
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maxque
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Post by maxque on Dec 15, 2017 1:14:45 GMT
LD HOLD in Handside, Welwyn Hatfield. LD 1105 C 691 Lab 260 Grn 51 LD 52.4% (+16.6) Con 32.8% (-9.3) Lab 12.3% (-3.5) Grn 2.4% (-3.9) |
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maxque
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Post by maxque on Dec 15, 2017 1:17:44 GMT
We have what appears to be a result from Westward Ho! Looks like a box tally to me, but Westward Ho! ward only has one polling district so I think we can conclude that Laws has won. Ind Laws 46.9% Con 18.7% (-21.5) UKIP 13.2% LD 9.2% Ind Mason 6.9% Lab 5.1% |
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Post by yellowperil on Dec 15, 2017 2:20:27 GMT
Well, we did really well in the predictions with that one .... yes a result fully deserving its exclamation mark |
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