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Post by Merseymike on Sept 27, 2017 22:04:36 GMT
Which Del Singh's family are extremely unhappy about given his support for Labour Friends of Palestine. Hmm. His group is entitled "Jewish Labour" not "Friends of Israel" or similar. But the JLM is strongly pro-Israel and is affiliated to groups who support a Greater Israel blueprint and require their affiliates to do the same. Del Singhs family did not think he would have sympathised with this award. |
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Post by yellowperil on Sept 28, 2017 13:12:11 GMT
South Bucks DC , Burnham Lent Rise & Taplow Ward
Conservative died
4 candidates:
Matt Bezzant (Con)
Alexa Anne Collins (Lab)
Zoe Hatch ( Green)
Carol Lesley Linton (Lib Dem)
Note: this ward has only been contested once in its present form, in 2015, Results given below include those for the three previous elections for the two wards from which this was formed, Burnham Lent Rise, and a separate Taplow ward.
2003 election results: Burnham Lent Rise: Con 418/406/391, Ind 249, LD 209
Taplow Con unopposed
2007 election results: Burnham Lent Rise: Con 594/580/551, LD 393/375/354
Taplow : Con nopposed
2011 election results: Burnham Lent Rise: Con 814/756/751,UKIP 305
Taplow: Con 424, LD 176
2015 election results: Burnham Lent Rise & Taplow: Con 2056/1715/1584, UKIP 872, Lab 779, Green 651, Ind 501
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ColinJ
Labour
Living in the Past
Posts: 2,126
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Post by ColinJ on Sept 28, 2017 15:23:50 GMT
Salford City MB, Claremont Ward.Labour died5 candidates: Mary Ferrer (Ind)Stef Lorenz (Lib Dem)Mike Pevitt (Lab)Daniel Towers (Green)Charlotte Woods (Con)2002 election results: LD 1531, Lab 1185 2003 election results: LD 1904, Lab 1646, Con 513 2004 election results: LD 1505/1166/1074, Lab 964/848/830, Con 704 2006 election results: LD 1162, Lab 707, BNP 424, Con 331 2007 election results: LD 995, Lab 845, Con 492, BNP 316 2008 election results: LD 1227, Lab 737, Con 525, BNP 295, UKIP 149 2010 election results: Lab 1837, LD 1783, Con 887,, BNP 386,Lnd 143 2011 election results : Lab 1540, LD 809, Con 460, UKIP 282 2012 election results: Lab 1310, LD 697, Con 250, UKIP 234, BNP 198, CA 69 2014 election results: Lab 1230, UKIP 904, Con 446, Green 163, LD 142, TUSC 52 2015 election results: Lab 2335, UKIP 1124, Con 1014, LD 315, Green 305, TUSC 80 2016 election results: Lab 1294, UKIP 666, Con 489, Green 245 note- Mary Ferrer was the unsuccessful Lib Dem candidate in 2010 and 2011, and the unsuccessful UKIP candidate in 2014, 2015 and 2016. She was a former Lib Dem councillor for the ward and I assume was the successful candidate in 2006? ( can anyone confirm that - LEAP has the candidate's name that year as Margaret Ferrer?) Incidentally, she defected from Lib Dems to UKIP via the Greens! With regard to your 2006 query, the successful Lib Dem candidate was Ms. M. Ferrer. |
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Post by yellowperil on Sept 28, 2017 15:50:03 GMT
note- Mary Ferrer was the unsuccessful Lib Dem candidate in 2010 and 2011, and the unsuccessful UKIP candidate in 2014, 2015 and 2016. She was a former Lib Dem councillor for the ward and I assume was the successful candidate in 2006? ( can anyone confirm that - LEAP has the candidate's name that year as Margaret Ferrer?) Incidentally, she defected from Lib Dems to UKIP via the Greens! With regard to your 2006 query, the successful Lib Dem candidate was Ms. M. Ferrer. I know she was Ms M Ferrer- the question was Mary or Margaret? Was this just an error on LEAP or does the lady change first names as often as she changes parties? |
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Post by andrewteale on Sept 28, 2017 16:11:56 GMT
With regard to your 2006 query, the successful Lib Dem candidate was Ms. M. Ferrer. I know she was Ms M Ferrer- the question was Mary or Margaret? Was this just an error on LEAP or does the lady change first names as often as she changes parties? They are the same person. Margaret is her first name, Mary is her middle name. |
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Post by yellowperil on Sept 28, 2017 18:16:19 GMT
I know she was Ms M Ferrer- the question was Mary or Margaret? Was this just an error on LEAP or does the lady change first names as often as she changes parties? They are the same person. Margaret is her first name, Mary is her middle name. Thank you, Andrew. I knew it would not be LEAP that was wrong, so had wondered if that might be the case, So if she can be Margaret Mary, maybe she could be LibDem-UKIP is no doubt the reasoning?  |
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Post by andrewteale on Sept 28, 2017 20:59:19 GMT
I've started the research for the previews tonight. When this gets written you lot are in for a treat.
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Post by yellowperil on Sept 30, 2017 7:41:19 GMT
I've started the research for the previews tonight. When this gets written you lot are in for a treat.We always are, Andrew |
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Post by yellowperil on Sept 30, 2017 8:21:00 GMT
Warwick DC, Stoneleigh & Cubbinton Ward
Conservative resigned
4 candidates:
Richard Guy Dickson (Lib Dem)
Josh Payne (Lab)
Chris Philpott (Green)
Trevor Alexander Churchill Wright (Con)
note- this is another ward which was contested in this form only in 2015 I give the results for the two component wards of Stoneleigh and Cubbington separately for the previous three occasions.
2003 election results: Cubbington: Con 852,Lab 468/447,Ind 269, LD 232/231, Green 150
: Stoneleigh: Ind 437, Con 105, Lab 84
2007 election results: Cubbington: Con 1227,/1209, Lab 573/374, Green 382
: Stoneleigh: Ind 572,Green 104
2011 election results: Cubbington: Con 1400/1355, Lab 688,Green 513/230
:Stoneleigh: Ind 436, Con 414, Green 356
2015 election results, Stoneleigh & Cubbington: Cn 1340/1177, Ind 1039, Lab 614/376, Green 468/224
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Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
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Post by Deleted on Sept 30, 2017 10:36:54 GMT
I think Labour will win the by-election in Adur, who else agrees?
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Post by wickofthesouth on Sept 30, 2017 13:22:50 GMT
I would caution against reading too much similarity between Mash Barn and that recent spectacular Labour gain in Worthing Marine. They are very different wards. Mash Barn is nowhere near as genteel and has probably attracted much less in the way of Brighton overspill and is therefore on less of a demographic divergence from its history.
I have no idea what 398 disenfranchised kippers are going to do. They may well be energised by a Corbynite Labour offering. But it's not a foregone by any means .
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Deleted
Deleted Member
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Post by Deleted on Oct 1, 2017 6:19:23 GMT
I would caution against reading too much similarity between Mash Barn and that recent spectacular Labour gain in Worthing Marine. They are very different wards. Mash Barn is nowhere near as genteel and has probably attracted much less in the way of Brighton overspill and is therefore on less of a demographic divergence from its history. I have no idea what 398 disenfranchised kippers are going to do. They may well be energised by a Corbynite Labour offering. But it's not a foregone by any means . I agree but I still think the whole area is trending against the Tories long-term - the GE result in East Worthing & Shoreham was very alarming for the Conservatives. The GE results appear quite close in that wave with LAB narrowly leading the Tories. Electoral Calculus' figures should be treated with extreme caution obviously |
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Post by yellowperil on Oct 1, 2017 8:16:28 GMT
I would caution against reading too much similarity between Mash Barn and that recent spectacular Labour gain in Worthing Marine. They are very different wards. Mash Barn is nowhere near as genteel and has probably attracted much less in the way of Brighton overspill and is therefore on less of a demographic divergence from its history. I have no idea what 398 disenfranchised kippers are going to do. They may well be energised by a Corbynite Labour offering. But it's not a foregone by any means . I like the idea that Mash Barn may not be genteel enough to vote Labour |
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Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
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Post by Deleted on Oct 1, 2017 8:18:11 GMT
I would caution against reading too much similarity between Mash Barn and that recent spectacular Labour gain in Worthing Marine. They are very different wards. Mash Barn is nowhere near as genteel and has probably attracted much less in the way of Brighton overspill and is therefore on less of a demographic divergence from its history. I have no idea what 398 disenfranchised kippers are going to do. They may well be energised by a Corbynite Labour offering. But it's not a foregone by any means . I like the idea that Mash Barn may not be genteel enough to vote Labour Surely conventional wisdom would've been that wards like Marine would be too genteel to vote Labour? 😛 |
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Post by yellowperil on Oct 1, 2017 9:34:07 GMT
I like the idea that Mash Barn may not be genteel enough to vote Labour Surely conventional wisdom would've been that wards like Marine would be too genteel to vote Labour? 😛 Well, quite. It does remind me of an election I was involved in when in my first year at university - Exeter, May 1958. I was in digs and my landlord was the Labour candidate standing against the incumbent Tory, who was the local pharmacist, and I found myself canvassing ,delivering and knocking up for my landlord. He had some rather eccentric views on how to tell who would vote for him - he looked at the front gardens, in an area overwhelmingly late Victorian terraces. If the front gardens were neat and tidy, he put them down as Labour. If they were a tip, he reckoned there were Tory. Counter-intuitive, one might have thought. At the end of the day the result was a comfortable Labour gain, but I leave you to judge whether this was down to my candidate's eccentricities or my rather more conventional canvassing techniques. |
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The Bishop
Labour
Down With Factionalism!
Posts: 38,952
Member is Online
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Post by The Bishop on Oct 1, 2017 9:38:16 GMT
There may indeed have been some method in his madness. The "roughest" family on the estate where I lived as a kid were out and proud Tories.
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Post by wickofthesouth on Oct 1, 2017 10:46:31 GMT
Can't disagree with any of that. What I was trying to suggest is that a lot of well to do metropolitan guardian reading liberal types had migrated over to Worthing from Brighton. Not many of them settling in Mash Barn which as we have clearly seen was fertile kipper territory until recently. For what it's worth I think Labour probably will take it, on the assumption that the ward will be flooded with momentum activists from Brighton...
I knew something was afoot in EW&S back in May/June when there were probably five times the number of Labour posters than at the 2015 election. Whether Mash Barn will reflect the general constituency trend I'm not certain.
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Deleted
Deleted Member
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Post by Deleted on Oct 1, 2017 10:51:11 GMT
Of course in seats like Leeds NW and Sheffield, Hallam most of the big houses are lived in by socialists!
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iain
Lib Dem
Posts: 11,438 
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Post by iain on Oct 1, 2017 10:52:12 GMT
Of course in seats like Leeds NW and Sheffield, Hallam most of the big houses are lived in by socialists! No they aren't |
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Deleted
Deleted Member
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Post by Deleted on Oct 1, 2017 10:59:54 GMT
Of course in seats like Leeds NW and Sheffield, Hallam most of the big houses are lived in by socialists! No they aren't I'm exaggerating of course but I was still somewhat surprised Labour took Hallam. Although the People's Republic of Kensington was more surprising. |
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