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Post by manchesterman on Feb 15, 2024 22:26:17 GMT
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Post by manchesterman on Feb 15, 2024 22:14:11 GMT
I wouldnt have a clue where to even start but there must be some on the forum who have a working knowledge of recording for YouTube/ podcasting etc? We could have special "guests" too who've been on "proper" tv like johnhemming Robert Waller et al
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Post by manchesterman on Feb 15, 2024 22:02:32 GMT
It's such a crazy situation that byelections have become something you only see covered in detail on the internet by amateurs, when the BBC used to think nothing of having an overnight programme even for ultra safe seats. Related to this. When the NY special election happened earlier this week, I used my VPN and watched US programming and YouTube channels which otherwise I couldn't access. I flicked between three channels - admittedly two MAGA and one exceptionally amateur so didn't stick around - and wondered why the UK doesn't have something similar. Maybe we could do a go-fund-me for our very own VoteUK News channel
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Post by manchesterman on Feb 15, 2024 17:59:36 GMT
Here is said video...
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Post by manchesterman on Feb 15, 2024 17:13:04 GMT
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Post by manchesterman on Feb 15, 2024 0:34:25 GMT
Lab 44.9% Con 31.1% Reform 9.9% Green 7.7% Lib Dem 5.5% UKIP 0.9%
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Post by manchesterman on Feb 15, 2024 0:30:24 GMT
Lab 40% Con 31% Reform 17% Lib Dem 4.4% Green 4.2% BF 1.7% OMRLP 0.6% Watts 0.4% Turner-Hawes 0.3 Pyne-Bailey 0.3 Love 0.1
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Post by manchesterman on Feb 14, 2024 23:46:37 GMT
DACORUM DC; Tring West & Rural: Lib Dem 52, Con 25, Green 14, Lab 9
EAST HAMPSHIRE DC; Four Marks & Medstead: Lib Dem 59, Con 41
KINGSTON-UPON-HULL UA; Avenue: Lib Dem 44, Lab 40, Green 9, Con 5, Ind 2
NEATH PORT TALBOT UA; Briton Ferry East: Lab 48, Ind 47, Green 5
NEATH PORT TALBOT, Rhos: PC 39, Lab 35, Ind 14, Lib Dem 7, Green 5
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Post by manchesterman on Feb 14, 2024 23:21:33 GMT
I'll be very surprised if the LDs win Sheffield Hallam. Labour won this in 2019 despite a ) their lamentable standing in the country as a whole and b ) the obvious complete unfitness to serve of the previous briefly-Labour MP. Olivia Blake should enjoy a modest first-time incumbency boost, although perhaps not much of one, plus Labour is much stronger nationally. They have had a decent & functional Labour MP for the first time & it would be surprising if she were now ousted. In Ashfield I suspect Lee Anderson will be third.Electoral Calculus, as you probably know, ranks all parties in each seat with a percentage chance of victory.
It had Labour at 44% chance Reform UK 30% Ind 13% with Lee Anderson in 4th on a 11% shot!
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Post by manchesterman on Feb 14, 2024 14:59:16 GMT
I'm not really sure I want to "see her on the job" tyvm
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Post by manchesterman on Feb 14, 2024 14:49:06 GMT
Wasnt sure where to post this, as I dont think it merits a thread of its own. However, interesting reading - albeit the sample size is only 800
A tangible Brexit "benefit" at last
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Post by manchesterman on Feb 13, 2024 22:50:41 GMT
excellent point about 9/11(regardless of whether you approved of the actions taken or not post 9/11, the point stands)
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Post by manchesterman on Feb 12, 2024 21:52:23 GMT
One way or the other, best just to get this shitshow of a by-election out of the way. If Galloway wins, so be it. He will make the HoC 'entertaining' in his own self-aggrandising way for a few months, then come the GE, Labour can announce a new candidate [let's hope they make exhaustive checks first, eh?!] , boot gorgeous George out and get some normality back into our politics!
All in all this seems likely to be a most unpleasant campaign, maybe even more unpleasant than the last very unpleasant one in Batley & Spen.... anyone spot the common theme?
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Post by manchesterman on Feb 12, 2024 21:43:54 GMT
Agreed, although I've noticed over time, that CNN, MSNBC et al have become less 'balanced' ..this may be part of a "if you cant beat em, join em" mentality,which is depressing but understandable/inevitable
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Post by manchesterman on Feb 12, 2024 14:34:32 GMT
I can't get on board with this idea that you just "fall" for a niche conspiracy theory by accident. Can you imagine the same if a candidate endorsed the Great Replacement, shape-shifting lizards, Bill Gates using COVID jabs to make you subscribe to Office 365 etc? Publicly expressing such a thing in a meeting is your choice and your responsibility. Likewise, why is a man with a record of fighting antisemitism now expressing such dodgy suggestions? Without wishing to engage in hyperbole, history has provided plenty of examples of people who consider antisemitism to be foolish and then indulge in it for political gain. Can we leave the hon member for Leicestershire NW out of this please
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Post by manchesterman on Feb 12, 2024 1:48:28 GMT
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Post by manchesterman on Feb 12, 2024 1:20:33 GMT
The "make european nations contribute more" isnt new. The "I think my mate Vlad should invade a few of them with my blessing" is jawdropping..even by his standards!
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Post by manchesterman on Feb 12, 2024 0:27:34 GMT
I'd forgotten about that! I guess my brain can only retain so many vile and depraved things he's come out with over the years!
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Post by manchesterman on Feb 12, 2024 0:17:20 GMT
He was vile to many of his 2016 rivals eg; Cruz, Carson etc, and they still supported him. I suspect the number of Republican who publicly refuse to support him will be limited to the genuinely moderate and a few oddballs. Cruz did famously decline to endorse him at the 2016 RNC when giving a speech, but then he decided to around September if I remember correctly. Then became more of a big supporter as Trump’s term went on Indeed. This is commonplace for Trump. He said some disgusting things repeatedly about Cruz's wife..things that would have me punching him in his face! But Cruz is as cowardly as the rest and caved in.
Haley's comeback was smart. To the effect of "my husband is serving his country in the military overseas..something you would know nothing about". Great attack line if it had been said by a Republican about a Democrat. Sadly it will bounce off Trump like a fly off a closed window!
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Post by manchesterman on Feb 12, 2024 0:05:09 GMT
All I know is that all these various "issues" with numerous candidates are going to make the prediction competition a nightmare!
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