carlton43
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Post by carlton43 on May 1, 2024 22:37:53 GMT
Questions asked in this poll, in the order they appear in the tables, which I assume is the order in which they were asked: - "What is your main source of getting local news?" - "What are the main national problems?" - "What are the main problems in the area where you live?" - "Can you tell me the name of the MP representing your area?" (83% answered correctly) - "How would you rate Penny Mordaunt?" (only asked to those who had named her on the previous question, ratings from 1 to 10) - "If there was a General Election tomorrow, would you go to vote?" - "Which political party would you vote for?" - "If Penny Mordaunt was not the Conservative Party candidate, which political party would you vote for?" I've seen worse, but this is hardly ideal survey design. Edit: oh, and it might not come as a great surprise to know that the client was Portsmouth North Conservative Association. 83% unprompted name recognition seems quite impressive. I'm not sure whether there aresimilar results polls on name recognition, but I get the impression that pushing past 80% will always be hard considering the forgetful, apathetic and recently arrived. I consider it astonishing and probably completely wrong.
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Post by carlton43 on May 1, 2024 22:08:24 GMT
Good sound women. Like it. Thanks Dok. Didn't foresee you approving of radical feminists who complain when people go to prison for murdering newborn children. Wot! Me Sir? Are You sure Sir? And why would I blench at the one in a nation that encourages the slaying of hundreds of thousands of them to suit the lazy and the dissolute and the incompetent women who demand their children be killed for them by the state?
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Post by carlton43 on May 1, 2024 13:20:59 GMT
"A Cheshire West and Chester councillor has defected to join a new party founded by a prominent activist, whose views on gender have prompted criticism from transgender rights campaigners. Mandy Clare had been elected to represent Winsford Salt of the Earth in last May's local elections, but has announced she will now be joining the Party of Women. The fledgling party was founded by Kellie-Jay Keen, also known as Posie Parker. The party’s website states that it was founded to ‘safely say’ that ‘no woman has a penis’, ‘no man has a vagina’, there’s ‘no such thing as non-binary’, and that 'transitioning children is abuse’." www.northwichguardian.co.uk/news/24173206.councillor-quits-group-join-new-trans-critical-party/Good sound women. Like it. Thanks Dok.
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Post by carlton43 on May 1, 2024 13:17:11 GMT
But that should be peak Labour advantage. The campaign is likely to show contraction of lead. Reform are barely trending and for each new convert two may slipback into fear of a Labour gain? The ability for a Labour squeeze is very diminished. I think she will be OK.
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Post by carlton43 on May 1, 2024 7:28:54 GMT
Are we really tiptoeing into "we need to outbreed the enemy" territory here? Could we perhaps not? Help me get rid of my real and present enemy and I will join you ..... To tiptoe through the tulips ...... Well I might watch from the side of the field.
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Post by carlton43 on May 1, 2024 7:13:56 GMT
They have started to credit parlcons, but now, it's Andrew Teale that they don't credit. The results young man. What else? And do your own heavy lifting and get some service in rather asking for 'where to look'. Lazy or wot? Typical young modernist. Where is the action? What is happening? Why is that important? How should I react? What should I be thinking?
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Post by carlton43 on May 1, 2024 7:08:23 GMT
And of course there are never any mass shootings in the USA! TBF, allowing police to carry a firearm doesn’t equal allowing civilians to carry them. Except a large minority of middle aged, middle class white males of course.
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Post by carlton43 on May 1, 2024 6:53:08 GMT
Why are police not armed, if they shot him that young lad would still be here And, as we see in USA, tens of young lads would be dead, killed by trigger-happy policemen. I see that as a bonus and not as a detriment.
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Post by carlton43 on Apr 30, 2024 22:50:15 GMT
A very lowly, inferior team that gave us a bit of a shock at the weekend. Tottenham are probably Arsenal's last hope of winning the Premier League this season, if they can beat City in a couple of weeks, It had of course occured to me John. And Fulham and Wolves have the power on their day. Probability is that all will lose, but one draw is not out of the question! I think we played better than City at the weekend. This is the late nervy time when points outrank games in hand and GD is important!
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Post by carlton43 on Apr 30, 2024 20:41:12 GMT
I have not seen a single blue poster on the island (Milton/E & C/Fratton/Central Southsea/St Judes/St Thomas). These are the areas I go running through most days a week - and like to feel I'm quite observant on these things. I think they'll be close to wipeout - though would be very surprised to see D&F fall. If the GE is late in the year, I just wonder if the electorate will have priced in a Labour Win and already be in post-election mode before the actual election? Could the GE morph into the first post-Labour Government reality shift in advance of the event to stop the power and the sweep being too great? Could many think we are already in a Labour environment by election day and move for a correction?
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Post by carlton43 on Apr 30, 2024 20:33:25 GMT
So the Workers Party are going to de facto endorse a hardline pro-independence party despite offically being strongly pro-Union? Do not even attempt to inject abstract theoretical politics, logic or reason into this proterozoic soup of low lifes, grifters, racists, and white english haters who 'KNOW' where their truth lies even if they have many and diverse such truths in their own heads. This is an unthinking mob juggernaut and they are here for the holy ride into a twilight apocalypse. This is raw emotion in a zone devoid of normal thought.
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Post by carlton43 on Apr 30, 2024 20:21:12 GMT
I accept that, which is why there is a huge range of Tory opinion on this forum. We even have heslingtonian in the Tory sub forum even though he has been badmouthing the party and those of us in it like a scorned spouse for months. However, on Noakes, there's a limit. I simply don't see her as a Conservative. Incidentally I am very happy to be removed from the Conservative sub forum as I'm no longer a Conservative supporter. Let's please attempt to keep our big tent on the right and of the right here in this small part of our Forum. I will accept banishment of course if asked to go, but I like it here even if far less comfortable with many of you than I used to be. I have broadened bridges with some members of the Red Team because they are going to win, I am not very tribal, I have intellectual and cultural interests that are closer to them than to most of you, more of them are interested in serious films. I have always had friends in Labour and often more friends there than in the Conservatives. Do any of you feel the earth moving under our feet politically? This is not a 'left-right' issue. This is is deep fundamental stuff. We are faced with a large and growing internal enemy of the anti-British and it is being added to every day. How long before they are difficult to beat? How long before they outbreed us? Anybody else concerned about it?
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Post by carlton43 on Apr 30, 2024 20:05:16 GMT
What do we think of Tottenham? A very lowly, inferior team that gave us a bit of a shock at the weekend.
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Post by carlton43 on Apr 30, 2024 15:49:26 GMT
If the sums make sense go for it. Always be pragmatic and make the system work with you or for you. And use energy, talent and time in perfecting your reactions to what is! Never bother with the politics at all. Others will dedicate their lives to try to 'effect a change' or 'to make a difference', wasting their energies and much of their lives on it, whilst neglecting their own family and essential finances in the process. Maynard Keynes was always available to draft plans, craft systems and to apply his intellect to structural change for fees or a position of power, but never overlooked using that intellect and those sources of information to keep himself in economic comfort. That has to be the intelligent man's approach. Be involved and fully understand the structure. Apply the knowledge to being fully secure. There are always people who will deliver leaflets in the rain or spend hours in committee drafting and redrafting changes of only slight significance. But it was ever thus. Some study react and prosper and the underlying facts don't really matter. Others study are outraged and burn themselves out trying alter it all. I admire both groups but know which one I am always going to be in. The other group often don't like 'my group' but are indifferent to the lazy majority who do nothing at all. At 160 GBP a year its pocket money to get a full UK pension. With 2 kids under school age, I am afraid my days wasting time on politics are behind of me. Instead of being engaged in changing the system, I am engaged in essentially (legally) manipulating systems to my benefit and try and pay as little tax as humanely possible. Yes it is and a lot more than my income, but one needs a much smaller income when old and a pensioner. No longer buying property or paying a mortgage; no business wear expenses; no commuting costs; no education fees; no car expenses; children off hands; no longer maintaining second home; not paying into pensions; furnishing or extending. Need more personal service at home; more heating costs and possible care assistance; taxis; specialist diet; finer wines. Usually run budget at substantial surplus.
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Post by carlton43 on Apr 30, 2024 15:35:59 GMT
A rigged poll to attempt to change perceptions and momentum. Indeed, which lays the lie that polls are scientific. Somebody nearly always pays for any given poll, and the individuals running polls often have their own agenda such as Professor Goodwin. They may use scientific methods to analyse the data, but if the data is questionable because of vested interests involved in it's collection, then the accusation of being a rigged poll could apply to most of them. I have never thought them to be that scientific or very useful for anything at all. I see them to be transactional with a payment and I am sure there have been instances of a deliberate slant and still are. But they get the general picture trend pretty well if you like that sort of thing. Probably not actually very corrupt but a bit.
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Post by carlton43 on Apr 30, 2024 13:21:05 GMT
We're all going to look very silly when nobody in Hartlepool, Stockton, Middlesbrough and Redcar & Cleveland bothers voting and Houchen sweeps to a landslide based on two votes from Darlington. I think you were all going to look silly anyway, he got 70% last time for reason. It just seems most of you think Private Eye etc al are some sort of Oracles. I hope a suitable apology to the ladies in Darlington are forthcoming from all you experts in due course. There is seemingly a lot to be learnt by 'experts' from the views of people on the Darlington omnibus. On a serious point would anybody like to offer an opinion on the science, methodology and analysis that had Houchen down amongst the dead men at 30% just a week or so ago. A rigged poll to attempt to change perceptions and momentum.
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Post by carlton43 on Apr 30, 2024 13:15:16 GMT
If we can afford billions to assuage climate changers, billions for frit people to laze at home instead of face up to a nasty strain of flu, and billions to add to the killing fields of Ukraine for a daft principle, why can't we afford our own pensioners? Most of you will make it to pensioner and then you will change your views : believe me because I did.I won't (on the later point, who knows about the first one). Obviously, despite this I am creaming as much as I can for myself by paying Class 2 NICs and getting two full state pensions. If the sums make sense go for it. Always be pragmatic and make the system work with you or for you. And use energy, talent and time in perfecting your reactions to what is! Never bother with the politics at all. Others will dedicate their lives to try to 'effect a change' or 'to make a difference', wasting their energies and much of their lives on it, whilst neglecting their own family and essential finances in the process. Maynard Keynes was always available to draft plans, craft systems and to apply his intellect to structural change for fees or a position of power, but never overlooked using that intellect and those sources of information to keep himself in economic comfort. That has to be the intelligent man's approach. Be involved and fully understand the structure. Apply the knowledge to being fully secure. There are always people who will deliver leaflets in the rain or spend hours in committee drafting and redrafting changes of only slight significance. But it was ever thus. Some study react and prosper and the underlying facts don't really matter. Others study are outraged and burn themselves out trying alter it all. I admire both groups but know which one I am always going to be in. The other group often don't like 'my group' but are indifferent to the lazy majority who do nothing at all.
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Stroud
Apr 30, 2024 12:55:37 GMT
Post by carlton43 on Apr 30, 2024 12:55:37 GMT
Surely you have already decided to vote Labour? So this is a matter of zero consequence to you and alters nothing. It ought to be pleasing to see that a minion has fouled up for them? But it happens to every party every year in dozens of places. Calm down and save your irony for the big results. It's trivial in itself of course, but what EL and I are noting is that in a District where the Conservatives are the largest party, got 43% vote share in last election and have the incumbent MP (who in normal circs they should be busting a gut to defend, since it's a marginal seat with unhelpful boundary changes) the Tory campaign is virtually invisible, and when it does show up, incompetent. It's not that they made a tiny error, it's that in the entire campaign they've literally not done anything right, albeit largely because they've done done anything, period. Well, how very satisfactory and pleasing that must be for you? Surely you don't want to see them improve?
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Post by carlton43 on Apr 30, 2024 12:01:47 GMT
The Tories have delivered us a local election leaflet telling us all about their candidates for Dursley ward. Problem is I live in Cam. And not even that close to the border Surely you have already decided to vote Labour? So this is a matter of zero consequence to you and alters nothing. It ought to be pleasing to see that a minion has fouled up for them? But it happens to every party every year in dozens of places. Calm down and save your irony for the big results.
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Post by carlton43 on Apr 30, 2024 8:39:03 GMT
I will wager a lot of money that Sunak is sharper, quicker, higher IQ, much better educated, has much more more experience and is in every way superior to you. Yet you from your lofty heights you can say that of him without knowing any of the facts. Ha ha! All Sunak's higher IQ and education has achieved is opinion poll ratings as high as someone outlasted by a lettuce. Ah well! No contest there. Your evidence is conclusive and your logic impeccable. Why am I wasting time engaging with such a towering genius?
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