By-elections - 15th November 2012

[andrewteale]

I suspect it's died a death. Basically the webmaster has got himself a career and I haven't heard anything from him for a while.

[ColinJ]

Some news from the Central ward (Watford) campaign.

A local charity is angry after one of their shop managers was featured in a Lib Dem leaflet. The problem is that the manager was photographed in the shop with her job title featured.

www.watfordobserver.co.uk/news/10021917.Charity_anger_after_featuring_in_political_leaflet/

Local Lib Dem Mayor, Dorothy Thornhill, says the charity is "over-reacting" - so that's all right then. However, an apology will feature in the next Lib Dem leaflet.

[listener]

Here is some background to the by-election in the Saxon ward of Raunds Town Council in East Northamptonshire District.

Raunds Town Council comprises 12 members elected from two wards, Saxon (6) and Windmill (6).

The council strengths were:
Elected on 3 May 2007: Con 6, Lab 4, Green 1, No Description 1 (Con only fielded 6 candidates)
Elected on 5 May 2011: Con 10, Lab 2

The result in Saxon ward on 3 May 2007 was:
Con 4, Lab 2 unopposed

The result in Saxon ward on 5 May 2011 was:
Con 802/785/701/699/692/691, Lab 485/410/405/396

The result of the by-election in Saxon ward on 2 August 2012, caused by the resignation of Eileen Stubbs (Con), due to her personal life, was:
Con 376, Lab 330

The current by-election is caused by the resignation of Colin Atkinson (Con) for personal reasons.

The candidates are Lab and Con.

[listener]

A new parish of Rawdon has been formed from the unparished area of the City of Leeds, part of Guiseley and Rawdon ward.

The first election of the new parish council will be on 15 November 2012.

Rawdon parish council comprises 9 members elected from four wards as follows:
Cragg Wood (1), Greenacre (2), Larkfield (3) and Layton (3).

The candidates are as follows:
Cragg Wood – 1 Con unopposed
Greenacre – 3 Con, 1 Non Political Description, 2 Independent, 3 Lab
Larkfield – 2 Ind, 1 Con, 1 Lab
Layton – 3 Con unopposed

[Pete Whitehead]

Would it be fair to say that Greenacre is in fact a 3 member ward? (perhaps Larkfield is 2 member)

[listener]

Well spotted !!

I got the candidates round the wrong way.
Greenacre (2 seats) - Ind 2, Con 1, Lab 1
Larkfield (3 seats) - 3 Con, 1 Non Political Description, 2 Independent, 3 Lab

[Crimson King]

anybody got a map? I presume it borders on my neck of the woods

[listener]

Here is some background to the by-election in the Shepton West ward of Shepton Mallet Town Council in the District of Mendip in Somerset.

Shepton Mallet Town Council comprises 16 members, elected from two wards as follows –Shepton East (8) and Shepton West (8).

The town wards are coterminous with the district wards of the same name.

The council strengths were:

Elections on 3 May 2007: Con 7, Independent 4, Lib Dem 3, Lab 2
Elections on 5 May 2011: Con 6, Lib Dem 5, Independent 4, Lab 1

The current chairman is Lib Dem and the vice-chairman is Independent.

The result in Shepton West ward on 3 May 2007 was:
Independent 645/599/503, Con 628/581/537/516, Lab 530/517/495/393
Elected: Ind 2, Con 4, Lab 2

The result in Shepton West ward on 5 May 2011 was:
Independent 687/593/508, Lib Dem 654/597/453/432, Con 642/576/548/485, Lab 584/521/396/394
Elected: Ind 2, Lib Dem 2, Con 3, Lab 1

The by-election on 15 November 2012 in Shepton West ward is caused by the resignation of Jeff Curtis (Ind) announced in September. According to Shepton Mallet People, his resignation was instigated by arguments and allegations of councillors not working together for the benefit of the town. Heated rows also took place over controversial leaked design ideas for a new town hall. At the last town council meeting Mr Curtis was visibly upset. When he addressed his colleagues he said he felt he had come to “the funeral of the council’s integrity”.

The three candidates on 15 November are Con, Lib Dem and Lab.

The results in the Shepton West ward of Mendip District Council were as follows:
3 May 2007 – Con 582/518, Lab 396/384, Lib Dem 307/271
By-election on 1 July 2010 – Lib Dem 459, Con 358, Lab 241, Green Party 44
Lib Dem gain from Con
5 May 2011 – Con 565/469, Lib Dem 491/479, Lab 471/379, Independent 400

[listener]

Here is some background to the by-election in the Berry Head with Furzeham ward of Brixham Town Council in the unitary Borough of Torbay.

Brixham Town Council comprises 12 members, elected from two wards as follows –Berry Head with Furzeham (7) and St. Mary’s with Summercombe (5).

The town wards are coterminous with the district wards of the same name.

The council strengths were:

Elections on 3 May 2007: Independent 7, Con 3, Lib Dem 1, Vacant 1
St. Mary’s with Summercombe ward attracted only 4 candidates for 5 seats and the final vacancy was filled by co-option.
Elections on 5 May 2011: Independent 10, Con 1, Lab 1 – all candidates were unopposed

The current chairman and vice-chairman are Independent.

The result in Berry Head with Furzeham ward on 3 May 2007 was:
Independent 1600/1464/1330/890/844/807/793/569, Con 1202/1175
Elected: Ind 5, Con 2

The result in Berry Head with Furzeham ward on 5 May 2011 was:
Independent 6, Lab 1 unopposed

The by-election in Berry Head with Furzeham on 15 November is caused by the resignation of Vic Ellery (Ind), who stepped down when he became director of the charity, Brixham Does Care.

The two candidates on 15 November are Lib Dem and Brixham Residents Against Tesco Superstore. This is Devon reported that the by-election may turn into new war over Tesco’s plans.

The results in the Berry Head with Furzeham ward of Torbay Borough Council were as follows:

14 June 2007 – Ind 1006/952/510/397, Con 853/727/689, Lib Dem 483/277/245, BNP 159/152/151, UKIP 145/129/93, Lab 71/67/66
The poll had been postponed from 3 May, because of the sudden death of a Lib Dem candidate
Elected: Ind 2, Con 1

5 May 2011 – Ind 1755/1740/1688, Con 948/778/611, Lab 398, Green Party 309, Lib Dem 227/175/154
Elected: Ind 3

[listener]

Here is some background to the by-election in the North ward of Stowmarket Town Council in the District of Mid Suffolk.

Stowmarket Town Council comprises 15 members, elected from three wards as follows – Central (4), North (6) and South (5).

The town wards are nearly coterminous with the district wards of the same name, although the Stowmarket North and Stowmarket South district wards include a small amount of urban development across the town’s boundary.

The council strengths were:

Elections on 3 May 2007: Con 8, Lab 3, Lib Dem 3, Vacant 1
North ward attracted only 5 candidates for 6 seats and the final vacancy was filled by co-option; Central ward was also unopposed

Elections on 5 May 2011: Con 9, Lab 3, Lib Dem 1, Green Party 1, Independent 1

The current town mayor and deputy mayor are Con.

The result in North ward on 3 May 2007 was:
Con 2, Lab 3, Vacant 1 - unopposed

The result in North ward on 5 May 2011 was:
Con 1147/1059/1059, Green Party 807, Lab 793/677/663, Independent 581/491, Lib Dem 502
Elected: Con 3, Green Party 1, Lab 2

The by-election in North ward on 15 November is caused by the resignation of Deborah Ball (Con).

The four candidates on 15 November are Green Party, Con, Lab and Lib Dem.

The results in the Stowmarket North ward of Mid Suffolk District Council were as follows:

3 May 2007 – Con 1011/984/804, Lab 608, Lib Dem 589
Elected: Con 3

5 May 2011 – Con 1202/1033/813, Lab 855, Green Party 737, Lib Dem 432, UKIP 348
Elected: Con 2, Lab 1

[listener]

Here is some background to the by-election in the Owlsmoor ward of Sandhurst Town Council in the unitary District of Bracknell Forest (Berkshire).

Sandhurst Town Council comprises 24 members, elected from six wards as follows – Central Sandhurst (6), College Town (6), Little Sandhurst (6) and Owlsmoor (6).

The Central Sandhurst, College Town and Owlsmoor town wards are coterminous with the district wards of the same name.

The council strengths were:

Elections on 3 May 2007: Con 24
Elections on 5 May 2011: Con 23, Lib Dem 1

The current town mayor and deputy mayor are Con.

The result in Owlsmoor ward on 3 May 2007 was:
Con 756/730/707/706/638/604, Independent 403, Lab 232
Elected: Con 6

Owlsmoor ward (by-election 25 February 2010):
Con 453, Lib Dem 201, Lab 124, UKIP 112, Green Party 50

The result in Owlsmoor ward on 5 May 2011 was:
Con 935/923/895/794/668, Lib Dem 440/335, Lab 352/349
Elected: Con 5, Lib Dem 1

The by-election in Owlsmoor ward on 15 November is caused by the resignation of Grahame Hearnshaw (Con).

The three candidates on 15 November are Lab, Lib Dem and Con.

The results in the Owlsmoor ward of Bracknell Forest District Council were as follows:

3 May 2007 – Con 754/716, Independent 347, UKIP 245
Elected: Con 2

25 February 2010 (by-election) - Con 508, Lib Dem 238, Lab 126, Green Party 66

5 May 2011 – Con 909/900, Lab 285/266, Lib Dem 272/217
Elected: Con 2

[listener]

Here is some background to the by-election in the Town Centre ward of Bracknell Town Council in the unitary District of Bracknell Forest (Berkshire).

Bracknell Town Council comprises 27 members, elected from twelve wards as follows – Birch Hill (2), Bullbrook (3), Crown Wood (2), Garth (2), Great Hollands North (2), Great Hollands South (3), Hanworth (2), Harmans Water (3), Old Bracknell (3), Priestwood (2), Town Centre (1) and Wildridings (2).

The Town Centre and Wildridings town wards are combined to form the district ward of Wildridings and Central.

The council strengths were:

Elections on 3 May 2007: Con 21, Lab 6
The three councillors in Bullbrook ward were elected on 14 June 2007, after the poll was delayed following death of one of the candidates
Elections on 5 May 2011: Con 25, Lab 2

The current town mayor and deputy mayor are Con.

The result in Town Centre ward on 3 May 2007 was:
Con 126, Lab 56, Lib Dem 38

The result in Town Centre ward on 5 May 2011 was:
Con 153, Lab 99, Lib Dem 35

The by-election in Town Centre ward on 15 November is caused by the resignation of Neil Ellis (Con), the landlord of The Bull in Bracknell High Street, due to moving away from Bracknell.

The four candidates on 15 November are Con, Green Party, Lib Dem and Lab.

The results in the Wildridings and Central ward of Bracknell Forest District Council were as follows:

3 May 2007 – Con 583/574, Lab 294/251, Lib Dem 257/214, UKIP 89
Elected: Con 2

5 May 2011 – Con 670/642, Lab 462/393, Lib Dem 166/133, Green Party 98
Elected: Con 2

[marksenior]

No byelection comp with all these byelections but I will have a stab at the winners in each byelections .

All seats holdsby defending party except

Central Beds Silsoe ; LD gain from Con
Conwy - no idea on the strength of the 2 Inds but I will chance a Con gain
Dumfries/Galloway Con gain from Lab
Eden LD gain from Con
Havant Lab gain from LD
Merthyr Lab gain from Merthyr Ind
Newcastle LD gain from Lab
N Tyneside LD gain from Lab
Ryedale LD gain from Con
St Edmundsbury Green gain from Con

[listener]

Mark

Your predictions are very interesting.

Are you going to predict the 41 police contests? Or maybe you have already done so, on another thread.

[greatkingrat]

Central Bedfordshire (Silsoe) - This is one of the most interesting elections. Firstly it is in Nadine's constituency which may well have an impact. Normally I would agree with Mark as a LD gain, but the fly in the ointment is the Independent Alison Graham, who was a LD councillor who lost her seat in 2011. So with the LD vote split, I'm going for a Conservative hold, possibly on a very low percentage of the vote.

Conwy - One of the independents (Edwards) is a former councillor for Caerhun ward who lost his seat in May. The other Independent (Bullock) came bottom of the poll in Craig y Don ward in May. So I agree with a Con gain.

Dumfries/Galloway - Con gain
Eden - LD gain
Havant - LD hold
Merthyr - Lab gain
Newcastle - LD gain
N Tyneside - LD gain
Ryedale - Con hold
St Edmundsbury - Con hold

[Pete Whitehead]

The recent result in nearby Stotfold didn't bode very well for a LD gain in Silsoe but I must admit than in the absence of a predcition competition I haven't researched any of these. I'm surprised if these LD gains in Newcastle and North Tyneside seem likely. I still think Watford Central is a possible Labour gain, but I wouldn't put money on it

[marksenior]

Newcastle was won by the LibDems quite comfortably in May .
North Tyneside was won by Labour this May by just 6 votes .
I agree with Great King Rat that the Independent could win Silsoe , I have no local knowledge as to how much help Alison Graham is getting .
Central Watford we have discussed before , Labour's candidate for the past 3 elections has had to give up the fight and they have been going backwards in 2011 and in May .

[andrea]

Nov 12, 2012 2:23:22 GMT marksenior said:

North Tyneside was won by Labour this May by just 6 votes .

I don't know if it had an impact on May result but the LD candidate defeated by 6 votes was the Cllr for more than 40 years (I think 43). So he may have had quite a personal vote that helped to keep LD vote up while turnout (and Labour vote) decreased.

[listener]

Here is some background to the by-election in the South East ward of Yate Town Council in the unitary District of South Gloucestershire.

Yate Town Council comprises 17 members, elected from five wards as follows – Central (3), North (4), South (2), South East (3) and West (5).

The Central and South East town wards are combined to form the Yate Central ward of South Gloucestershire District.

The Yate town council strengths were:

Elections on 3 May 2007: Lib Dem 17
Elections on 5 May 2011: Lib Dem 17

The current town mayor and deputy mayor are Lib Dem.

The result in South East ward on 3 May 2007 was:
Lib Dem 957/954/813, Con 261/236
Elected: Lib Dem 3

The result in South East ward on 5 May 2011 was:
Lib Dem 965/903/847, Con 321/314
Elected: Lib Dem 3

The by-election in South East ward on 15 November is caused by the death of Arthur Adams (Lib Dem), a former chairman of South Gloucestershire district council.

The four candidates on 15 November are Independent, Lib Dem, Lab and Con.

The results in the Yate Central ward of South Gloucestershire District Council were as follows:

3 May 2007 – Lib Dem 1668/1617, Con 426/414, Lab 181/168
Elected: Lib Dem 2

5 May 2011 – Lib Dem 1601/1506, Con 484/451, Lab 360/295
Elected: Lib Dem 2

[listener]

Two new community councils have been set up in the Borough of Caerphilly. Risca East and Risca West are coterminous with the borough wards of the same name.

The first election of the new community councils will be on 15 November 2012.

Risca East community council comprises 9 members elected from three wards as follows:
Pontymister Ty Sign (4), Pontymister Upper (2) and Trenewydd (3).

The candidates are as follows:
Pontymister Ty Sign (4) – 3 Lab and 1 Independent unopposed
Pontymister Upper (2) – 1 No Description, 2 Lab and 1 Independent
Trenewydd (3) – 1 Independent and 3 Lab

Risca West community council comprises 8 members elected from four wards as follows:
Danygraig (1), Pontymister Lower (1), Risca Town and Fernlea (3) and Ty Isaf Fields (3).

The elections for Risca West are uncontested, with 5 No Description and 3 Independent candidates returned unopposed.