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Post by middleenglander on Jan 28, 2017 17:37:00 GMT
It looks like 19 by-elections for 20 seats during February
* 3 on 2nd February
* 5 on 9th February
* 6 on 16th, including a "double" seat election
* 1 on 17th (Friday)
* 1 on 21st (Tuesday)
* 3 on 23rd
13 of the contests for 14 seats are in District Councils
- 11 having all out elections in 2015, 4 single member wards, 4 two member and 3 three member
- 2 with "annual" elections, 1 where the last election was in 2015 and 1 in 2016
4 are in Metropolitan Boroughs where the last election was in 2016
2 are for Unitary Authorities, 1 with the last election in 2015 and 1 in 2016
Conservatives are defending 9 seats, 8 arising from the resignation of the former councillor, 1 a disqualification for non attendance
Labour is defending 4 seats, 3 after a resignation and 1 a disqualification for non attendance
Liberal Democrats are defending 3 seats, including the "double" election, all following resignations
UKIP is defending 2 seats, both after a resignation
Ratepayers defend 1 seat, after a disqualification for non attendance
Independents defend 1 seat after a resignation
With all nominations now declared:
Conservatives are contesting all 20 seats, Labour 17, Liberal Democrats 16 with Green and UKIP 13 each
- there are 3 Independents contesting one of the seats, 2 Residents the "double" election along with a Fylde Ratepayer and Bolliongton First, a total of 86 candidates.
Predictions on this thread by 9.00 am on day of election.
As there are 2 candidates representing each of the 6 parties / groups at the Uttlesford, Elsenham & Henham "double" election, predictions should be based on the total vote for each party / group accompanied by a prediction of how the two seats will be represented after the election.
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Post by lancastrian on Jan 29, 2017 16:22:07 GMT
East Staffs: Con 50 Lab 32 UKIP 18
Brinsworth & Catcliffe: LD 34 Lab 30 UKIP 22 Con 9 Green 5
Dinnington: Lab 27 UKIP 19 Ind(Smith) 18 Ind(Hart) 10 LD 9 Ind(Scott) 7 Con 7 Green 3
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Post by greenhert on Feb 1, 2017 23:33:52 GMT
East Staffordshire DC, Town: Conservative 48 Labour 38, UKIP 14.
Rotherham MBC, Brinsworth & Catcliffe: Labour 35, Liberal Democrats 25, UKIP 24, Conservative 10, Green 6.
Rotherham MBC, Dinnington: Labour 28, UKIP 20, Independent (Smith) 15, Independent (Hart) 12, Liberal Democrats 8, Independent (Scott) 7, Conservative 7, Green 3.
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Post by Robert Waller on Feb 1, 2017 23:51:11 GMT
East Staffs: Con 52 Lab 38 UKIP 10
Brinsworth & Catcliffe: LD 38 Lab 37 UKIP 15 Con 8 Green 2
Dinnington: Lab 30 UKIP 17 Ind(Smith) 16 Ind(Hart) 11 LD 5 Ind(Scott) 11 Con 8 Green 2
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Feb 2, 2017 0:02:07 GMT
EAST STAFFORDSHIRE Town: C 55, Lab 34, UKIP 11
ROTHERHAM Brinsworth and Catcliffe: UKIP 40, Lab 35, L Dem 14, C 8, GP 3
ROTHERHAM Dinnington: Lab 34, UKIP 25, Ind Smith 11, C 9, L Dem 8, Ind Hart 6, GP 4, Ind Scott 3
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Post by carlton43 on Feb 2, 2017 0:57:58 GMT
E. Staffs Con 56 Lab 33 UKIP 11
Brinsworth UKIP 38 Lab 37 Con 12 LD 11 Green 2
Dinnington UKIP 29 Lab 27 Ind Smith 13 Con 12 IndHart 7 LD 6 IndScott 5 Green 1
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Post by brianj on Feb 2, 2017 2:14:27 GMT
East Staffordshire DC, Town: Con 53, Lab 33, UKIP 14.
Rotherham MBC, Brinsworth & Catcliffe: LibDem 36, Lab 32, UKIP 16, Con 12, Green 4.
Rotherham MBC, Dinnington: Lab 33, LibDem 18, Ind/Smith 14, UKIP 13, Con 9, Ind/Hart 7, Ind/Scott 3, Green 3.
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Post by marksenior on Feb 2, 2017 6:59:29 GMT
East Staffs Con 52 Lab 35 UKIP 13
Rotherham Brinsworth Lab 36 LD 29 UKIP 20 Con 10 Green 5
Rotherham Dinnington Lab 32 UKIP 26 Ind Smith 12 LD 10 Con 8 Ind Hart 6 Ind Scott 4 Green 2
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Post by hempie on Feb 2, 2017 8:28:46 GMT
East Staffordshire,Town: Con 57, Lab 30, UKIP 13
Rotherham, Brinsworth and Catcliffe: Lab 36, UKIP 28, LD 25, Con 8, Green 3
Rotherham,Dinnington: Lab 31, UKIP 22, LD 12,Ind Smith 10, Con 9,Ind Hart 6, Ind Scott 6, Green 4
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Feb 2, 2017 8:39:15 GMT
Rotherham MB - Brinsworth & Catcliffe
UKIP 30.7%
Lab 29.8%
LD 28.2%
Con 9.4%
Grn 1.9%
Rotherham MB - Dinnington
Lab 28.2%
UKIP 24.2%
Ind Sm 19.5%
Con 10.8%
Ind H 8.4%
LD 3.8%
Ind Sc 3.6%
G 1.5%
East Staffordshire DC - Town
Con 50.1%
Lab 33.6%
UKIP 16.3%
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Post by carlton43 on Feb 2, 2017 11:22:08 GMT
Dinnington is going to be a graveyard for most of us I think. This is virtually impossible to get a proper hold on.
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Post by middleenglander on Feb 2, 2017 20:04:02 GMT
9 all valid entries this week but with nothing from finsobruce and ricmk.
East Staffordshire, Town: 100% Conservative hold with majority over Labour ranging from 10% (greenhert) to 27% (hempie)
Rotherham, Brinsworth & Catcliffe: 3 Labour hold, greenhert, hempie & Mark Senior Liberal Democrat gain, Carlton43, David Boothroyd & Pete Whitehead UKIP gain
Rotherham, Brinsworth & Catcliffe: 3 Labour hold, brianj, Lancastrian & Robert Waller Liberal Democrat gain, Carlton43, David Boothroyd & Pete Whitehead UKIP gain
Rotherham, Dinnington: 8 Labour gain from UKIP with majority ranging from 4% (Pete Whitehead over UKIP) to 15% (brianj over Liberal Democrat) with Carlton43 UKIP hold
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Post by Robert Waller on Feb 2, 2017 20:13:00 GMT
I predicted a LD gain in Brinsworth. I think Hempie went for a Labour hold.
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Post by middleenglander on Feb 2, 2017 20:35:41 GMT
I predicted a LD gain in Brinsworth. I think Hempie went for a Labour hold. Correct above, thanks. |
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Post by middleenglander on Feb 2, 2017 23:41:28 GMT
February - week 1
| Authority | East Staffordshire | Rotherham | Rotherham | Total faults | Position | Ward | Town | Brinsworth & Catcliffe | Dinnington | week 1 | week 1 | brianj | 7.5 | 60.1
| 30.9
| 98.5
| 2nd
| Carlton43 | 13.5 | 110.1+10
| 31.6+10
| 175.2
| 9th
| David Boothroyd | 13.5 | 104.1+10
| 25.3
| 152.9
| 8th
| greenhert | 16.1 | 82.1+10
| 30.2
| 138.4
| 7th
| hempie | 9.5 | 82.1+10
| 30.6
| 132.2
| 6th
| Lancastrian | 4.6 | 64.1
| 32.2
| 100.8
| 3rd
| Mark Senior | 10.1 | 74.1+10
| 31.3
| 125.5
| 5th
| Pete Whitehead | 7.3 | 75.7+10
| 29.8
| 122.8
| 4th
| Robert Waller | 16.1 | 56.1
| 26.2
| 98.4
| 1st
| Total | 98.2 | 708.5+60
| 268.1+10
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Objections please by noon Sunday. There are 5 by-elections next week. Predictions on this thread by 9.00 am Thursday. |
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Post by lancastrian on Feb 5, 2017 13:33:53 GMT
Corby: Lab 65 Con 25 Green 10
Cotswold: LD 50 Con 41 Green 9
Fylde: Ratepayers 45 Con 38 Lab 13 Green 4
North Norfolk: LD 54 Con 30 UKIP 9 Lab 7
Tendring: Con 35 UKIP 30 LD 23 Lab 12
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Post by Robert Waller on Feb 8, 2017 23:37:54 GMT
Corby: Lab 66 Con 28 Green 6
Cotswold: LD 48 Con 47 Green 5
Fylde: Ratepayers 62 Con 27 Lab 8 Green 3
North Norfolk: LD 50 Con 30 UKIP 10 Lab 10
Tendring: Con 38 UKIP 20 LD 30 Lab 12
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Post by greenhert on Feb 8, 2017 23:52:31 GMT
Corby BC, Labour 65, Conservative 29, Green 6.
Cotswold DC, Fairford North: Liberal Democrats 49, Conservative 46, Green 5.
Fylde DC, St John's: Ratepayers 55, Con 30, Lab 11, Green 4.
North Norfolk DC, Waterside: Lib Dem 45, Con 38, UKIP 10, Lab 7.
Tendring DC, Great & Little Oakley: Con 40, UKIP 23, Lib Dem 22, Lab 15.
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Feb 9, 2017 1:04:44 GMT
CORBY Kingswood and Hazel Leys: Lab 66, C 28, GP 6
COTSWOLD Fairford North: L Dem 46, C 45, GP 9
FYLDE St John’s: RA 48, C 39, Lab 10, GP 3
NORTH NORFOLK Waterside: L Dem 45, C 34, UKIP 14, Lab 7
TENDRING Great and Little Oakley: C 51, UKIP 25, L Dem 15, Lab 9
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Post by carlton43 on Feb 9, 2017 1:15:27 GMT
Corby Lab 60 Con 35 Green 5
Fairford Con 51 LD 42 Green 7
Fylde RA 46 Con 45 Lab 8 Green 1
Norfolk LD 46 Con 36 UKIP 9.1 Lab 8.9
Tendring Con 56 UKIP 19 LD 15 Lab 10
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