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Post by Pete Whitehead on Feb 17, 2017 8:06:41 GMT
Wokingham UA - Emmbrook
LD 52.3%
Con 37.5%
UKIP 5.7%
Lab 4.5%
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Post by middleenglander on Feb 17, 2017 21:33:19 GMT
9 entries again for this Friday by-election.
Wokingham, Emmbrook: 100% Liberal Democrat gain from Conservative with majority ranging from 8% (Mark Senior) to 33% (brianj)
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Post by middleenglander on Feb 17, 2017 22:07:14 GMT
For week 3| Authority | Week 1 & 2 | Thursday Week 3 | Wokingham | Week 3 | Week 3 | Month to date | Month to date | Ward | Faults | Faults | Emmbrook | Faults | Position | Faults | Position | brianj | 277.6 | 292.1 | 12.7
| 304.8
| 9th
| 582.4
| 7th
| Carlton43 | 374.0 | 271.7 | 3.9
| 275.6
| 8th
| 649.5
| 9th
| David Boothroyd | 308.1 | 234.6 | 23.5
| 258.1
| 4th
| 566.2
| 6th
| Greenhert | 261.9 | 244.9 | 15.5
| 260.4
| 5th
| 522.3
| 3rd
| hempie | 284.3 | 257.5 | 15.5
| 273.0
| 6th
| 557.2
| 5th
| Lancastrian | 224.1 | 238.4 | 10.1
| 248.5
| 2nd
| 472.6
| 1st
| Mark Senior | 310.9 | 247.6 | 27.5
| 275.1
| 7th
| 586.0
| 8th
| Pete Whitehead | 284.7 | 230.8 | 14.9
| 245.7
| 1st
| 530.4
| 4th
| Robert Waller | 231.9 | 237.6 | 11.5
| 249.1
| 3rd
| 481.0
| 2nd
| Total | 2,557.5
| 2,255.2
| 135.1
| 2,390.3
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| 4,947.6
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Objection please by 5.00pm Sunday. There are 4 by-elections next week, 1 on Tuesday and 3 on Thursday. Predictions on this thread by 9.00 am on day of election.
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Post by lancastrian on Feb 19, 2017 16:46:07 GMT
Basingstoke: Con 42 Lab 31 LD 27
Epping Forest: Con 59 LD 41
Kettering: Con 47 LD 25 UKIP 18 Green 10
South Hams: LD 45 Con 39 Green 10 Lab 6
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Post by carlton43 on Feb 19, 2017 20:58:22 GMT
Basingstoke Con 48 LD 26.5 Labour 25.5
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Post by marksenior on Feb 20, 2017 19:21:29 GMT
Basingstoke Con 51 Lab 30 LDem 19
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Post by Robert Waller on Feb 20, 2017 20:45:32 GMT
Basingstoke: Con 46 Lab 33 LD 21
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Feb 21, 2017 0:37:06 GMT
BASINGSTOKE AND DEANE Winklebury: C 50, Lab 31, L Dem 19
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Post by brianj on Feb 21, 2017 2:10:37 GMT
Basingstoke and Deane, Winklebury: Con 55, Lab 30, LibDem 15.
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Post by hempie on Feb 21, 2017 8:09:55 GMT
Basingstoke and Deane, Winklebury: Con 44, Lab 34, LD 22
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Post by middleenglander on Feb 21, 2017 20:10:26 GMT
8 entries for today's by-election but nothing from Greenhert who was lying 3rd ahead of this week's contests.
Basingstoke & Deane, Winklebury: 100% Conservative hold with majority over Labour ranging from 10% (hempie) to 25% (brianj).
Pete Whitehead: Conservative 50.6%, Labour 31.9%, Liberal Democrat 17.5%.
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Post by middleenglander on Feb 21, 2017 22:40:52 GMT
For week 4
| Authority | Basingstoke
& Deane | Epping Forest | Kettering | South Hams | Week 4 | Week 4 | Weeks 1 to 3 | February | February | Ward | Winklebury | Chigwell Village | Barton | Charterlands | Faults | Position | Faults | Faults | Position | Lancastrian | 61.2+10
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| 472.6 |
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| Robert Waller | 57.2+10
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| 481.0 |
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| Greenhert | 100 |
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| 522.3 |
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| Pete Whitehead | 59.4+10
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| 530.4 |
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| hempie | 55.2+10
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| 557.2 |
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| David Boothroyd | 61.2+10
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| 566.2 |
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| brianj | 63.2+10
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| 582.4 |
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| Mark Senior | 63.2+10
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| 586.0 |
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| Carlton43 | 72.2+10
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| 649.5 |
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| Total faults | 592.8+80
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| 4,947.6 |
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Post by Robert Waller on Feb 22, 2017 13:13:37 GMT
Think Hempie actually 'won' Winklebury rather than myself ...
... though in the circumstances nobody really deserves the palm.
In fact, Greenhert hasn't suffered much by missing the prediction entirely!
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Post by middleenglander on Feb 22, 2017 13:24:19 GMT
Think Hempie actually 'won' Winklebury rather than myself ... ... though in the circumstances nobody really deserves the palm. In fact, Greenhert hasn't suffered much by missing the prediction entirely! Thanks, corrected |
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Feb 22, 2017 13:53:10 GMT
Think Hempie actually 'won' Winklebury rather than myself ... ... though in the circumstances nobody really deserves the palm. In fact, Greenhert hasn't suffered much by missing the prediction entirely! Well indeed - my ambition this week was to overtake him for third place and he made that rather easy for me (it may have happened even if he had made a prediction but its difficult to believe it would have been much more dire than any of the rest of us). In the event he's only dropped to 4th place (albeit by a whisker) and can easily make up the lost ground on me tomorrow |
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Post by marksenior on Feb 22, 2017 19:11:34 GMT
Epping Forest Con 64 LDem 36
Kettering Con 54 LDem 22 UKIP 16 Green 8
South Hams Con 52 LDem 30 Green 12 Lab 6
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Post by carlton43 on Feb 22, 2017 20:14:13 GMT
Epping Con 60 LD 40
Kettering Con 55 LD 25 UKIP 15 Green 5
Hams Con 50 LD 30 Lab 10.5 Green 9.5
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Post by greenhert on Feb 22, 2017 21:29:50 GMT
Sorry I missed the Basingstoke prediction (I would have got it badly wrong anyway just like everyone else who did actually submit a prediction for that by-election)-I have been very busy with work issues lately and forgot that there was a by-election on Tuesday 21st as well as local by-elections on Thursday 23rd (hopefully these will be counted quickly since I need to keep a close eye on both parliamentary by-elections!)
Here are my predictions for Thursday's contests:
Epping Forest DC, Chigwell Village: Conservative 62, Liberal Democrats 38.
Kettering BC, Barton: Conservative 50, Liberal Democrats 25, UKIP 20, Green 5.
South Hams DC, Charterlands: Conservative 52, Liberal Democrats 31, Green 9, Labour 8.
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Post by Robert Waller on Feb 22, 2017 22:46:13 GMT
Epping Forest DC, Chigwell Village: Conservative 63.5, Liberal Democrats 36.5.
Kettering BC, Barton: Conservative 49, Liberal Democrats 27, UKIP 19, Green 5.
South Hams DC, Charterlands: Conservative 41, Liberal Democrats 42, Green 11, Labour 6.
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Feb 23, 2017 0:28:33 GMT
EPPING FOREST Chigwell Village: C 70, L Dem 30
KETTERING Barton: C 51, L Dem 31, UKIP 14, GP 4
SOUTH HAMS Charterlands: L Dem 39, C 36, Lab 18, GP 7
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