|
|
Post by brianj on Feb 9, 2017 2:29:44 GMT
Corby, Kingswood and Hazel Leys: Lab 56, Con 30, Green 14.
Cotswold, Fairford North: Con 48, LibDem 44, Green 8.
Fylde, St. John's: Ratepayers 55, Con 26, Lab 15, Green 4.
North Norfolk Waterside: LibDem 46, Con 34, UKIP 11, Lab 9.
Tendring, Great and Little Oakley: Con 47, LibDem 23, UKIP 20, Lab 10.
|
|
|
|
Post by hempie on Feb 9, 2017 8:26:50 GMT
Corby,Kingswood and Hazel Leys: Lab 64, Con 28, Green 8
Cotswold,Fairford North: LD 52, Con 40, Green 8
Fylde, St John’s: RA 43, Con 40, Lab 12, Green 5
North Norfolk, Waterside: LD 48, Con 30, UKIP 16, Lab 6
Tendring, Great and Little Oakley: Con 53, UKIP 23, LD 13, Lab 11
|
|
|
|
Post by Pete Whitehead on Feb 9, 2017 8:54:00 GMT
Corby BC - Kingswood & Hazel Leys
Lab 65.5%
Con 28.4%
Grn 6.1%
Cotswold DC - Fairford North
Con 51.8%
LD 39.4%
Grn 8.8%
Fylde BC - St John's
Rate 50.3%
Con 31.8%
Lab 14.2%
Grn 3.7%
North Norfolk DC - Waterside
LD 44.8%
Con 36.2%
UKIP 11.7%
Lab 7.3%
Tendring BC - Great & Little Oakley
Con 42.2%
UKIP 20.7%
LD 19.3%
Lab 17.8%
|
|
|
|
Post by marksenior on Feb 9, 2017 9:08:46 GMT
Corby Lab 62 Con 30 Green 8
Cotswold Con 46 LD 44 Green 10
Fylde Rate 52 Con 30 Lab 15 Green 3
N Norfolk LD 50 Con 30 UKIP 12 Lab 8
Tendring Con 48 UKIP 19 LD 18 Lab 15
|
|
|
|
Post by middleenglander on Feb 9, 2017 21:24:22 GMT
9 entries again this week, same as last. Mark Senior gets 5 x 5 additional faults for being some 8 minutes late.
Corby, Kingwood & Hazel Leys: 100% Labour hold with majority over Conservative ranging from 25% (Carlton43) to 40% (Lancastrian)
Cotswold, Fairford North: 5 Liberal Democrat gain, brianj, Carlton43, Mark Senior & Pete Whitehead Conservative hold
Fylde, St John's: 100% Ratepayers hold with majority over Conservative ranging from 1% (Carlton43) to 35% (Robert Waller)
North Norfolk, Waterside: 100% Liberal Democrat gain from Conservative with majority ranging from 7% (Greenhert) to 24% (Lancastrian)
Tendring, Great & Little Oakley: 100% Conservative gain from an Independent with majority ranging from 8% (Robert Waller over Liberal Democrat) to 37% (Carlton43 over UKIP)
|
|
|
|
Post by middleenglander on Feb 9, 2017 22:16:19 GMT
| Authority | Week 1 | Corby | Cotswold | Fylde | North Norfolk | Tendring | Week 2 | Week 2 | Month to date | Month to date | Ward | faults | Kingswood &
Hazel Leys | Fairford North | St John's | Waterside | Great & Little
Oakley | faults | position | faults | position | Brianj | 98.5 | 17.2
| 48.2+10
| 20.3
| 19.9
| 53.5+10
| 179.1
| 7th
| 277.6
| 4th
| Carlton43 | 175.2 | 16.6
| 52.2+10
| 36.3
| 18.3
| 55.5+10
| 198.8
| 9th
| 374.0
| 9th
| David Boothroyd | 152.9 | 5.4
| 44.2
| 28.3
| 21.9
| 45.5+10
| 155.3
| 5th
| 308.1
| 7th
| Greenhert | 138.4 | 5.4
| 38.2
| 12.3
| 20.3
| 37.5+10
| 123.6
| 2nd
| 261.9
| 3rd
| hempie | 132.2 | 2.6
| 32.2
| 35.7
| 23.9
| 47.7+10
| 152.1
| 4th
| 284.3
| 5th
| Lancastrian | 100.8 | 3.4
| 36.2
| 32.3
| 11.9
| 29.5+10
| 123.3
| 1st
| 224.1
| 1st
| Mark Senior | 125.5 | 6.6+5 | 48.2+10+5 | 20.3+5 | 19.9+5 | 45.5+10+5 | 185.5
| 8th
| 310.9
| 8th
| Pete Whitehead | 122.8 | 5.2
| 57.4+10
| 22.3
| 20.7
| 36.5+10
| 162.0
| 6th
| 284.7
| 6th
| Robert Waller | 98.4 | 5.4
| 40.2
| 8.6
| 19.9
| 49.5+10
| 133.5
| 3rd
| 231.9
| 2nd
| Total votes | 1,144.5 | 67.8+5
| 397.0+40+5
| 216.4+5
| 176.7+5
| 400.7+90+5
| 1,413.2
|
| 2,557.5
|
|
Objections please by noon Sunday. There are 7 by-elections next week, 6 on Thursday and 1 on Friday. Predictions on this thread by 9.00am on day of election. There is a "double" election on Thursday although 6 parties each have 2 candidates. Predictions should be based on total votes for each party along with how many Councillors are elected for each party. |
|
|
|
Post by Robert Waller on Feb 9, 2017 23:28:05 GMT
4 of the 5 in ... Lancastrian looks like he is running away with it this week, and for the month so far ...
|
|
|
|
Post by Robert Waller on Feb 10, 2017 9:32:32 GMT
Think Greenhert did well in the fifth contest and may have just about caught Lancastrian up for the week.
EDIT: I have just seen that Middleenglander has updated the results chart above.
Others may have missed this too.
|
|
|
|
Post by lancastrian on Feb 12, 2017 15:45:31 GMT
Cheshire: Bollington 38 Con 27 LD 17 Lab 13 Green 5
Dudley: Labour 57 UKIP 24 Con 12 Green 7
E Staffs: LD 40 Lab 30 Con 17 UKIP 13
Forest of Dean: Lab 36 UKIP 23 Con 15 LD 13 Green 13
Oldham: Lab 53 UKIP 24 Con 12 LD 7 Green 4
Uttlesford: LD 38 Residents 34 Con 15 UKIP 5 Lab 4 Green 4. 1xLD,1xResident elected.
Wokingham: LD 58 Con 30 Lab 6 UKIP 6
|
|
|
|
Post by hempie on Feb 13, 2017 16:25:02 GMT
I'm away for a few days from tomorrow so an early prediction.
THURSDAY:
Cheshire East, Bollington: Bollington 36, Con 26, LD 20,Lab 11 Green 7
Dudley, St Thomas': Labour 55, UKIP 27, Con 10, Green 8
East Staffordshire, Burton: LD 40 Lab 28, Con 18, UKIP 14
Forest of Dean, Lydbrook & Ruardean: Lab 33, UKIP 25, LD 19, Con 13, Green 10
Oldham, Failsworth East: Lab 51, LD 22, UKIP 14, Con 10, Green 3
Uttlesford, Elsenham & Henham: LD 40, Residents 35, Con 12, UKIP 6, Lab 4, Green 3 1xLD,1xResident elected.
FRIDAY:
Wokingham, Emmsbrook: LD 52, Con 38 Lab 5, UKIP 5
|
|
|
|
Post by carlton43 on Feb 13, 2017 16:47:15 GMT
Bollington Con 29 B 28 LD 21 Lab 13 Green 9
Dudley Lab 50 UKIP 29 Con 19 Green 2
Burton LD 38 Lab 24 Con 23 UKIP 15
Forest of D. Lab 29 UKIP 26 Con 17 LD 16 Green 12
Oldham Lab 48 UKIP 17 Con 16 LD 15 Green 4
Uttlesford RA 38 LD 36 Con 11 UKIP 9 Green 6 (LD & RA)
Wokingham LD 61 Con 34 UKIP 3 Lab 2
|
|
|
|
Post by brianj on Feb 15, 2017 2:19:58 GMT
Cheshire East, Bollington: Bol1st 32, Con 30, LibDem 20, Lab 14, Green 4.
Dudley, St. Thomas: Lab 54, Con 24, UKIP 20, Green 2.
East Staffordshire, Burton: LibDem 59, Lab 18, Con 16, UKIP 7.
Forest of Dean, Lydbrook & Ruardean: LibDem 27, Lab 25, Con 23, UKIP 19, Green 6.
Oldham, Failsworth East: Lab 55, Con 18, LibDem 15, UKIP 9, Green 3.
Uttlesford, Elsenham & Henham: LibDem 41, ResUtt 19, Con 17, Lab 12, UKIP 6, Green 5.
Wokingham, Emmsbrook: LibDem 60, Con 27, UKIP 7, Lab 6.
|
|
|
|
Post by marksenior on Feb 15, 2017 22:30:46 GMT
Cheshire East Boll 1st 35 Con 28 LD 18 Lab 15 Green 4
Dudley Lab 60 UKIP 20 Con 16 Green 4
East Staffs LDem 46 Con 24 Lab 21 UKIP 9
Forest Of Dean Lab 31 Con 27 LDem 17 UKIP 15 Green 10
Oldham Lab 62 Con 15 UKIP 13 L Dem 10 Green 3
Uttlesford LDem 41 Resid 26 Con 18 Lab 7 UKIP 5 Green 3 - 2 X LDem elected
Wokingham LDem 46 Con 38 UKIP 11 Lab 5
|
|
|
|
Post by greenhert on Feb 15, 2017 23:01:21 GMT
Cheshire East UA, Bollington: Bollington 1st 36, Conservative 32, Liberal Democrats 16, Labour 11, Green 5.
Dudley MBC, St Thomas's: Lab 61, UKIP 18, Con 18, Green 3.
East Staffordshire, Burton: Lib Dem 50, Con 23, Lab 20, UKIP 7.
Forest of Dean DC, Lydbrooke & Ruardean: Lab 30, UKIP 23, Con 19, Green 14, Lib Dem 14.
Oldham MBC, Failsworth East: Lab 64, Con 16, UKIP 12, Lib Dem 5, Green 3.
Uttlesford DC, Elsenham & Henham: Lib Dem 40, Residents for Uttlesford 25, Con 20, Green 6, UKIP 5, Lab 4; 2xLib Dem elected.
Wokingham UA, Emmbrook: Lib Dem 52, Con 35, UKIP 8, Lab 5.
|
|
|
|
Post by Robert Waller on Feb 15, 2017 23:40:33 GMT
Thursday
Cheshire: Bollington 40 Con 27 LD 17 Lab 13 Green 3
Dudley: Labour 61 UKIP 21 Con 16 Green 2
E Staffs: LD 51 Lab 28 Con 14 UKIP 7
Forest of Dean: Lab 35 UKIP 25 Con 22 LD 13 Green 5
Oldham: Lab 56 UKIP 17 Con 19 LD 6 Green 2
Uttlesford: LD 43 Residents 25 Con 18 UKIP 7 Lab 5 Green 2
|
|
|
|
Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Feb 16, 2017 0:51:49 GMT
CHESHIRE EAST Bollington: BF 41, C 31, L Dem 14, Lab 11, GP 3
DUDLEY St Thomas’s: Lab 51, UKIP 23, C 22, GP 4
EAST STAFFORDSHIRE Burton: L Dem 55, Lab 20, C 18, UKIP 7
FOREST OF DEAN Lydbrook and Ruardean: C 32, Lab 29, UKIP 21, L Dem 10, GP 8
OLDHAM Failsworth East: Lab 57, C 20, UKIP 14, L Dem 5, GP 4
UTTLESFORD Elsenham and Henham: L Dem 39, R4U 29, C 17, UKIP 7, Lab 5, GP 3
17 February
WOKINGHAM Emmbrook: L Dem 48, C 39, Lab 7, UKIP 6
|
|
|
|
Post by Pete Whitehead on Feb 16, 2017 9:59:42 GMT
Dudley MB - St Thomas Lab 59.8% UKIP 23.3% Con 13.2% Grn 3.7% Oldham MB - Failsworth East Lab 53.8% Con 17.7% UKIP 15.9% LD 6.5% Grn 6.1% Cheshire East UA - Bollington Boll 35.9% Con 25.1% Lab 20.7% LD 13.8% Grn 4.5% East Staffordshire BC - Burton LD 41.3% Lab 27.9% Con 18.4% UKIP 12.4% Forest of Dean DC - Lydbrook & Ruardean Lab 30.3% Con 23.7% UKIP 23.3% LD 12.3% Grn 10.4% Uttlesford DC - Elsenham & Henham LD 36.7% Res 29.3% Con 18.5% UKIP 6.5% Lab 5.1% Grn 3.9% |
|
|
|
Post by middleenglander on Feb 16, 2017 21:40:12 GMT
9 entries again this week with Mark Senior getting 3 additional faults for adding to 103% in Oldham, Failsworth East; brianj, David Boothroyd, Pete Whitehead and Robert Waller did not predict how the two seats in Uttlesford, Elsenham & Henham would split by party so they each get 5 additional faults along with an assumption it will be 2 Liberal Democrats.
Cheshire East, Bollington: 8 Bollington First gain from Conservative with majority ranging from 2% (brianj) to 13% (Robert Waller) with Carlton43 Conservative hold
Dudley, St Thomas': 100% Labour hold with majority ranging from 21% (Carlton43 over UKIP) to 43% (Greenhert over Conservative & UKIP tie)
East Staffordshire, Burton: 100% Liberal Democrat hold with majority ranging from 10% (Lancastrian over Labour) to 41% (brianj over Labour)
Forest of Dean, Lydbrook & Ruarden: 7 Labour gain from UKIP with brianj a Liberal Democrat gain and David Boothroyd a Conservative gain
Oldham, Failsworth East: 100% Labour hold with majority ranging from 29% (hempie over Liberal Democrat & Lancastrian over UKIP) to 48% (Greenhert over Conservative)
Uttlesford, Elsenham & Henham: 8 Liberal Democrat poll most votes ranging from "majority" over Residents of 4% (Lancastrian) to 22% (brianj) with Carlton43 Residents mosts
- Carlton43,hempie & Lancastrian predict 1 Liberal Democrat & ! Resident elected, Greenhert & Mark Senior 2 Liberal Democrats
|
|
|
|
Post by Robert Waller on Feb 17, 2017 0:25:37 GMT
Friday
Wokingham: LD 54 Con 34 Lab 6 UKIP 6
|
|
|
|
Post by middleenglander on Feb 17, 2017 2:08:51 GMT
Week 3 - ThursdayAuthority | Cheshire East | Dudley | East Staffordshire | Forest 0f Dean | Oldham | Uttlesford | Thursday Week 3 | Ward | Bollington | St Thomas's | Burton | Lydbrook & Ruardean | Failsworth East | Elsenham & Henham | Total | brianj | 46.6
| 27.4
| 22.8
| 61.3+10
| 27.7 | 81.3+10+5 | 292.1
| Carlton43 | 45.1+10
| 21.5
| 30.9
| 61.3+10
| 39.5 | 48.4+5
| 271.7
| David Boothroyd | 34.3
| 27.1
| 18.8
| 54.7+10
| 13.5 | 61.3+10+5 | 234.6
| Greenhert | 40.3
| 18.0
| 24.2
| 53.3+10
| 19.6 | 69.4+10
| 244.9
| hempie | 36.3
| 11.7
| 25.4
| 73.3+10
| 46.4 | 49.3+5
| 257.5
| Lancastrian | 32.6
| 13.1
| 25.4
| 63.3+10
| 37.5 | 51.4+5
| 238.4
| Mark Senior | 40.6
| 15.1
| 26.2
| 50.7+10
| 24.6+3 | 67.4+10
| 247.6
| Pete Whitehead | 37.8
| 8.9
| 22.8
| 51.1+10
| 24.5 | 60.7+10+5 | 230.8
| Robert Waller
| 32.6
| 12.3
| 12.8
| 65.3+10
| 20.4 | 69.3+10+5 | 237.6
| Total | 346.2+10
| 155.1
| 209.3
| 534.3+90
| 253.7+3 | 558.5+75+20
| 2,255.2
|
|
|
