|
|
Post by justin124 on Feb 23, 2017 15:21:10 GMT
Apparently some rumours circulating on Twitter of a Tory majority of 4000!
If that is correct , it paints a rather different picture of Labour's expectation management.
|
|
Jack
Reform Party
Posts: 8,690 
|
Post by Jack on Feb 23, 2017 15:23:14 GMT
Apparently some rumours circulating on Twitter of a Tory majority of 4000! If that is correct , it paints a rather different picture of Labour's expectation management. It's from Twitter, so I'd take that with an ocean of salt. |
|
|
|
Post by finsobruce on Feb 23, 2017 15:24:38 GMT
Apparently some rumours circulating on Twitter of a Tory majority of 4000! If that is correct , it paints a rather different picture of Labour's expectation management. er, and how - given it is half past three in the afternoon would they come up with that? |
|
Jack
Reform Party
Posts: 8,690
|
Post by Jack on Feb 23, 2017 15:25:36 GMT
Apparently some rumours circulating on Twitter of a Tory majority of 4000! If that is correct , it paints a rather different picture of Labour's expectation management. er, and how - given it is half past three in the afternoon would they come up with that? They've got Mystic Meg working on it. |
|
Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
|
Post by Deleted on Feb 23, 2017 15:39:03 GMT
Apparently some rumours circulating on Twitter of a Tory majority of 4000! If that is correct , it paints a rather different picture of Labour's expectation management. er, and how - given it is half past three in the afternoon would they come up with that? They've got mutual aiders from Northern Ireland. |
|
|
|
Post by justin124 on Feb 23, 2017 15:53:00 GMT
Apparently some rumours circulating on Twitter of a Tory majority of 4000! If that is correct , it paints a rather different picture of Labour's expectation management. er, and how - given it is half past three in the afternoon would they come up with that? Private polling? Postal vote indications? It may ,of course, be a load of tosh. |
|
|
|
Post by iainbhx on Feb 23, 2017 16:08:10 GMT
Apparently some rumours circulating on Twitter of a Tory majority of 4000! If that is correct , it paints a rather different picture of Labour's expectation management. *shakes head* Still just under 6 hours of voting to go. |
|
|
|
Post by La Fontaine on Feb 23, 2017 16:54:42 GMT
Apparently some rumours circulating on Twitter of a Tory majority of 4000! If that is correct , it paints a rather different picture of Labour's expectation management. For what it's worth (which may be nothing at all) in Darlington in 1983 Ossie O'Brien was told by a national newspaper in early afternoon that things were looking good. I presumed they were doing private polling of some kind. |
|
|
|
Post by theolo on Feb 23, 2017 17:12:31 GMT
Apparently some rumours circulating on Twitter of a Tory majority of 4000! If that is correct , it paints a rather different picture of Labour's expectation management. For what it's worth (which may be nothing at all) in Darlington in 1983 Ossie O'Brien was told by a national newspaper in early afternoon that things were looking good. I presumed they were doing private polling of some kind. But which election in 1983? |
|
|
|
Post by gwynthegriff on Feb 23, 2017 17:22:40 GMT
Apparently some rumours circulating on Twitter of a Tory majority of 4000! If that is correct , it paints a rather different picture of Labour's expectation management. Could be Labour ... er (what's the opposite of ramping) ... to persuade Tories not to bother on a cold, wet day? |
|
Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
|
Post by Deleted on Feb 23, 2017 17:29:39 GMT
Apparently some rumours circulating on Twitter of a Tory majority of 4000! If that is correct , it paints a rather different picture of Labour's expectation management. Could be Labour ... er (what's the opposite of ramping) ... to persuade Tories not to bother on a cold, wet day? Sly bastards. |
|
right
Conservative
Posts: 18,777
|
Post by right on Feb 23, 2017 17:56:00 GMT
Apparently some rumours circulating on Twitter of a Tory majority of 4000! If that is correct , it paints a rather different picture of Labour's expectation management. er, and how - given it is half past three in the afternoon would they come up with that? When I knew Tory agents quite well, they could usually tell from the differential turnouts at the various polling stations - so they knew that the Euro Elections in 1999 were going quite well early in the afternoon, but they also knew that the 1997 General was going to be appalling. That said this is probably fake news and has nothing to do with differential turnout. Expectations game. |
|
|
|
Post by finsobruce on Feb 23, 2017 18:28:57 GMT
er, and how - given it is half past three in the afternoon would they come up with that? I know, let's start a rumour that the Tories are going to romp it. As I always say....it doesn't matter if something is true. If people think it's true, then it may as well be. well, no. that would have the opposite effect. |
|
|
|
Post by finsobruce on Feb 23, 2017 18:31:00 GMT
er, and how - given it is half past three in the afternoon would they come up with that? When I knew Tory agents quite well, they could usually tell from the differential turnouts at the various polling stations - so they knew that the Euro Elections in 1999 were going quite well early in the afternoon, but they also knew that the 1997 General was going to be appalling.That said this is probably fake news and has nothing to do with differential turnout. Expectations game. I think the hermit up a pole in the desert had figured that one out before polling day...  |
|
Sibboleth
Labour
'Sit on my finger, sing in my ear, O littleblood.'
Posts: 16,029
|
Post by Sibboleth on Feb 23, 2017 18:31:14 GMT
Entirely false rumours are regularly put on twitter on polling day and early on election nights. I presume it is considered amusing.
|
|
right
Conservative
Posts: 18,777
|
Post by right on Feb 23, 2017 18:36:11 GMT
When I knew Tory agents quite well, they could usually tell from the differential turnouts at the various polling stations - so they knew that the Euro Elections in 1999 were going quite well early in the afternoon, but they also knew that the 1997 General was going to be appalling.That said this is probably fake news and has nothing to do with differential turnout. Expectations game. I think the hermit up a pole in the desert had figured that one out before polling day... Stylites, pillars of the community. People didn't quite believe the scale of it until the day, particularly after the shock of 1992. |
|
|
|
Post by justin124 on Feb 23, 2017 18:43:16 GMT
There is an apparently well informed Tory on PoliticalBetting.com who has been consistently tipping two Labour holds today. However, info from senior sources atTory Central Office in the course of the day is now making him less certain that Labour will hang on to Copeland.
|
|
Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
|
Post by Deleted on Feb 23, 2017 18:44:25 GMT
I think the hermit up a pole in the desert had figured that one out before polling day... Stylites, pillars of the community. People didn't quite believe the scale of it until the day, particularly after the shock of 1992. I remember arguing with a Conservative friend, an ex-candidate, who said my prediction that the Labour majority in 1997 would be "perhaps over 100" was preposterous. |
|
|
|
Post by Andrew_S on Feb 23, 2017 18:49:58 GMT
There is an apparently well informed Tory on PoliticalBetting.com who has been consistently tipping two Labour holds today. However, info from senior sources atTory Central Office in the course of the day is now making him less certain that Labour will hang on to Copeland. The truth is no-one knows what's going to happen.  That's what makes it so interesting. |
|
|
|
Post by justin124 on Feb 23, 2017 18:55:55 GMT
Perhaps the Tories are getting their vote out and see a fair chunk of the Labour vote staying at home.
|
|
That's what makes it so interesting.