maxque
Non-Aligned
Posts: 9,312 
|
Post by maxque on Nov 4, 2016 11:27:22 GMT
Conservative GAIN (from SNP) in Banff.
|
|
|
|
Post by edinburghtory on Nov 4, 2016 11:29:56 GMT
This means that the Conservative-led opposition group on the Councillor now has the majority and the ability to take back control of council.
|
|
|
|
Post by timrollpickering on Nov 4, 2016 12:04:08 GMT
Hoxton West, Hackney Lab 951 (68.3%; +11.5) Con 185 (13.3%; +1.2) LD 133 (9.6%; +3.2) Grn 123 (8.8%; -11.4) This suggests the "Green surge" is fizzling out in Hackney - the Greens have been in second place in all by-elections since 2005 except in the Stamford Hill area and in 2014 they were second in all but one Labour held ward. They now seem to be in decline. |
|
|
|
Post by jollyroger93 on Nov 4, 2016 12:18:34 GMT
Do we have the share of the vote for the scottish seats yet.
|
|
|
|
Post by marksenior on Nov 4, 2016 12:37:10 GMT
Do we have the share of the vote for the scottish seats yet. At the by-election the Conservatives took 45.5% of the vote in the Banff & District ward and 38.5% in the Inverurie & District ward - up by (at a guess) something like 7% from 2016 in Banff & District and over 10% in Inverurie & District. It is unclear from the tweets whether the voting figures given for the Conservatives are the 1st pref figures or those after all transfers |
|
iain
Lib Dem
Posts: 11,438
|
Post by iain on Nov 4, 2016 12:48:39 GMT
Inverurie:
Con - 1,302 (38.8%)
SNP - 1,164 (34.6%)
LD - 755 (22.5%)
Lab - 139 (4.1%)
Banff
Con - 1,170 (44.0%)
SNP - 962 (36.2%)
LD - 526 (19.8%)
|
|
|
|
Post by edinburghtory on Nov 4, 2016 13:11:36 GMT
|
|
The Bishop
Labour
Down With Factionalism!
Posts: 38,952
Member is Online
|
Post by The Bishop on Nov 4, 2016 13:31:53 GMT
Fair play, those are impressive Tory results even by recent Scottish standards. I wonder if a vote against the sitting council administration was a factor?
|
|
Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
|
Post by Deleted on Nov 4, 2016 13:34:37 GMT
My sauce deserves an extra shake. Good call. I think that the results are an extension of the HR pattern. The SNP are slowly losing the Eastern side of the country.
|
|
|
|
Post by thirdchill on Nov 4, 2016 13:37:38 GMT
My sauce deserves an extra shake. Good call. I think that the results are an extension of the HP pattern. FTFY  |
|
Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
|
Post by Deleted on Nov 4, 2016 13:42:21 GMT
Good one. I laughed. You see I do have a sense of humour.
|
|
|
|
Post by edinburghtory on Nov 4, 2016 13:57:21 GMT
Fair play, those are impressive Tory results even by recent Scottish standards. I wonder if a vote against the sitting council administration was a factor? I think the Council Tax changes were a big factor alongside Brexit a lot of Fishermen and their families in that part of the world really not happy with the SNP about Brexit. |
|
|
|
Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Nov 4, 2016 14:04:09 GMT
Wouldn't have thought impact on the fishing industry a big issue - Inverurie is well inland, and Banff stopped being a fishing port many years ago.
|
|
|
|
Post by Robert Waller on Nov 4, 2016 14:30:22 GMT
Presumably those figures are before transfers.
Anyone have the final count figures?
Interesting to see that there must have been a strong 'unionist' element.
|
|
Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
|
Post by Deleted on Nov 4, 2016 15:50:50 GMT
In the middle of a property collapse due to the oil industry collapse the SNP introduce a tax rise where the main losers are Aberdeenshire and Aberdeen City then the surroundin areas.
|
|
|
|
Post by middleenglander on Nov 4, 2016 16:50:59 GMT
Aberdeenshire, Banff & District - Conservative gain from SNP
- based on First Peferences | Party | 2016 votes | 2016 share | since 2012 | since 2007 | | Conservative | 1,170 | 44.0% | +20.9% | +30.4% | SNP | 962 | 36.2% | -19.2% | +1.2% | Liberal Democrat | 526 | 19.8% | +8.7% | +4.5% | Christian |
|
| -10.3% |
| Independent 1 |
|
|
| -15.2% | Independent 2 |
|
|
| -8.4% | Green |
|
|
| -6.6% | Independent 3 |
|
|
| -3.8% | No Description |
|
|
| -2.1% | Total votes | 2,658 |
| 80% | 59% |
Swing SNP to Conservative ~20% since 2012 and ~14½% since 2007 Council now 26 SNP, 17 Conservative, 12 Independent, 10 Liberal Democrat, 2 Labour, 1 Green
Aberdeenshire, Inverurie & District - Conservative gain from Liberal Democrat sitting as Independent
- based on First Preferences
| Party | 2016 votes | 2016 share | since 2012 | since 2007 | | Conservative | 1,302 | 38.7% | +21.4% | +23.9% | SNP | 1,164 | 34.6% | -2.5% | +5.2% | Liberal Democrat | 755 | 22.5% | +5.1% | -19.9% | Labour | 139 | 4.1% | -9.1% | -6.9% | Independent 1
Independent 2 |
|
| -6.0%
-5.6%
|
| Green |
|
| -3.2% |
| Independent 3 |
|
|
| -2.4% | Total votes | 3,360 |
| 96% | 65% |
Swing SNP to Conservative ~12% since 2012 and, less meaningful, ~9% since 2007 Council now 26 SNP, 17 Conservative, 12 Independent, 10 Liberal Democrat, 2 Labour, 1 Green
Cardiff, Grangetown - Plaid Cymru gain from Labour| Party | 2016 votes | 2016 share | since 2012 "top" | since 2012 "average" | since 2008 "top" | since 2008 "average" | | Plaid Cymru | 1,163 | 41.1% | +7.7% | +7.6% | +15.3% | +16.5% | Labour | 1,049 | 37.1% | -3.1% | -3.0% | +10.4% | +9.7% | Conservative | 287 | 10.2% | +3.3% | +3.8% | -2.7% | -2.5% | Liberal Democrat | 187 | 6.6% | -4.6% | -4.9% | -25.3% | -25.8 | UKIP | 141 | 5.0% | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | Green |
|
| -4.8% | -4.8% |
|
| Christian |
|
| -1.9% | -1.9% |
|
| Communist |
|
| -1.7% | -1.8% | -2.7% | -2.9% | Total votes | 2,827 |
| 63% | 65% | 66% | 69% |
Swing Labour to Plaid Cymru ~5¼% since 2012 and if meaningful ~2½% / 3½% since 2008 Council now 41 Labour, 16 Liberal Democrat, 9 Conservative, 5 Plaid Cymru, 3 Independent, 1 Health Eastleigh, Fair Oak & Horton Heath - Liberal Democrat hold
| Party | 2016 B votes | 2016 B share | since 2016 | since 2015 | since 2014 | since 2012 | Liberal Democrat | 828 | 46.0% | +6.8% | +12.1% | +5.1% | -5.7% | Conservative | 553 | 30.7% | +3.7% | -2.0% | +8.2% | +6.8% | UKIP | 286 | 15.9% | -6.5% | -4.0% | -11.9% | +5.4% | Labour | 132 | 7.3% | -4.1% | -1.4% | -1.4% | -6.5% | Green |
|
|
| -4.6% |
|
| Total votes | 1,799 |
| 74% | 35% | 64% | 86% |
Swing Conservative to Liberal Democrat ~1½% since May and 7% since 2015 but Liberal Democrat ~1½% since 2014 and 6¼% since 2012
Council now 38 Liberal Democrat, 6 Conservative
Gloucester, Longlevens - Conservative hold
| Party | 2016 B votes | 2016 share | since 2016 "top" | since 2016 "average | since 2015 | since 2014 | since 2012 | | Conservative | 1,066 | 46.2% | +3.7% | +5.1% | -6.5% | -3.5% | -0.8% | Liberal Democrat | 852 | 36.9% | +23.7% | +23.4% | +26.9% | +27.8% | +0.3% | Labour | 223 | 9.7% | -8.2% | -8.6% | -7.9% | -5.2% | -2.6% | UKIP | 167 | 7.2% | -6.6% | -7.0% | -7.7% | -14.7% | from nowhere | Green |
|
| -12.7% | -13.0% | -4.8% | -4.3% | -4.2% | Total votes | 2,308 |
| 59% | 61% | 42% | 74% | 76% |
Swing Conservative to Liberal Democrat ~9% / 10% since May, ~17% since 2015, ~16% since 2014 (all mainly Liberal Democrat increase rather than Conservative decrease) but little change since 2012
Council now 22 Conservative, 10 Labour, 7 Liberal Democrat
|
|
|
|
Post by middleenglander on Nov 4, 2016 16:52:37 GMT
Hackney, Hoxton West - Labour hold | Party | 2016 votes | 2016 share | since 2014 "top" | since 2014 "average" | | Labour | 951 | 68.3% | +11.6% | +9.5% | Conservative | 185 | 13.3% | +1.2% | +1.2% | Liberal Democrat | 133 | 9.6% | +3.2% | +3.3% | Green | 123 | 8.8% | -11.3% | -9.2% | TUSC |
|
| -4.6% | -4.8% | Total votes | 1,392 |
| 47% | 49% |
Swing not particularly meaningful
Council now 50 Labour, 4 Conservative, 3 Liberal Democrat
Lancashire, Burnley Central East - Labour hold
| Party | 2016 votes | 2016 share | since 2013 | since 2010 B | since 2009 | since 2005 | | Labour | 1,348 | 68.9% | +10.7% | +24.5% | +30.9% | +19.6% | Liberal Democrat | 276 | 14.1% | -1.4% | -17.9% | -25.5% | -21.4% | UKIP | 249 | 12.7% | -6.7% | from nowhere | +0.3% | from nowhere | Green | 84 | 4.3% | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | Conservative |
|
| -5.2% | -11.4% | -10.1% | -15.3% | BNP |
|
| -1.7% | -12.2% |
|
| Total votes | 1,957 |
| 56% | 27% | 44% | 32% |
Swing Liberal Democrat to Labour ~6% since 2013, ~21`% since 2010 by-election on General Election day, ~28% since 2009 and ~20% since 2005
Council now 39 Labour, 34 Conservative, 6 Liberal Democrat, 3 Independent, 1 Green, 1 Other
Medway, Rainham Central - Conservative hold
Party | 2016 votes | 2016 share | since 2015 "top" | since 2015 "average" | since 2011 "top" | since 2011 "average" | Conservative | 1,448 | 61.1% | +9.9% | +12.7% | +1.0% | +2.9% | UKIP | 389 | 16.4% | -5.2% | -8.1% | +8.0% | +7.4% | Labour | 320 | 13.5% | -2.9% | -1.4% | -5.7% | -6.7% | Liberal Democrat | 137 | 5.8% | from nowhere | from nowhere | -0.5% | -0.5% | Green | 61 | 2.6% | -5.2% | -6.2% | -3.3% | -3.7% | English Democrat | 14 | 0.6% | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | TUSC |
|
| -1.9% | -2.2% |
|
| Independent |
|
| -1.1% | -1.2% |
|
| Total votes | 2,369 |
| 28% | 31% | 49% | 52% |
Swing UKIP to Conservative ~7½% / 10½% since 2015 but if meaningful Conservative to UKIP 3½% / 2¼% since 2011 Council now 37 Conservative, 15 Labour, 2 UKIP, 1 Independent
Reigate & Banstead Kingswood with Burgh Heath - Conservative hold | Party | 2016 B votes | 2016 B share | since 2016 | since 2015 | since 2014 | since 2012 | | Conservative | 839 | 73.3% | +6.6% | +5.0% | +16.2% | +7.0% | UKIP | 155 | 13.5% | -8.1% | -7.2% | -18.5% | -11.0% | Labour | 96 | 8.4% | -3.3% | from nowhere | from nowhere | -0.8% | Green | 55 | 4.8% | from nowhere | -6.3% | -6.1% | from nowhere | Total votes | 1,154 |
| 65% | 29% | 55% | 68% |
Swing UKIP to Conservative ~7¼% since May, 6.1% since 2015, ~17% since 2014 and ~9% since 2012 Council now 40 Conservative, 6 Resident, 2 Liberal Democrat, 2 Green, 1 Independent
Vale of Glamorgan, Gibbonsdown - Labour hold | Party | 2016 votes | 2016 share | since 2012 "top" | since 2012 "average" | since 2008 "top" | since 2008 "average" | | Labour | 404 | 47.9% | -14.1% | -13.8% | -3.6% | -4.0% | Plaid Cymru | 161 | 19.1% | +13.1% | +13.1% | -1.9% | -0.4% | Independent | 113 | 13.4% | -10.3% | -10.7% | from nowhere | from nowhere | Conservative | 104 | 12.3% | +4.1% | +4.1% | -10.2% | -11.0% | UKIP | 54 | 6.4% | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | Liberal Democrat | 7 | 0.8% | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | Row 7 column 7 | Liberal |
|
|
|
| -5.0% | -5.2% | Total votes | 843 |
| 66% | 67% | 57% | 60% |
Swing not particularly meaningful for 2012 but ~1% / 1¾% Labour to Plaid Cymru since 2008 Council now 21 Labour, 12 Conservative, 6 Plaid Cymru, 5 Independent, 3 Llantwit First
|
|
|
|
Post by Merseymike on Nov 4, 2016 17:06:38 GMT
Of course this area pre Salmond was always Conservative, Labour nowhere in sight
If it has returned to a unionist-nationalist axis, then the Tories are in a strong position to benefit in rural areas like this, as they are really the only party in serious competition.
|
|
Sibboleth
Labour
'Sit on my finger, sing in my ear, O littleblood.'
Posts: 16,036
|
Post by Sibboleth on Nov 4, 2016 17:11:20 GMT
Smallest CLP in the country for a time I think.
|
|
Sibboleth
Labour
'Sit on my finger, sing in my ear, O littleblood.'
Posts: 16,036
|
Post by Sibboleth on Nov 4, 2016 17:14:21 GMT
Swing in Grangetown lower than I thought it'd be (though very much from the Labour fall being small rather than the Plaid increase) given past weak showings there. Mentioned as a point of curiosity not as attempt to spin result!
|
|
