Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Nov 4, 2016 0:33:17 GMT
With both Aberdeenshire seats counting tomorrow, we're only waiting on Eastleigh. Wonder why Eastleigh is slow ... on the face of it, should have been a comfortable LD hold rather than close. I think I was at college as an undergraduate with the LD candidate (very bright man if so), but have no inside information on the contest.
Is there a TC seat counting as well? Or just the BC seat?
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Post by Robert Waller on Nov 4, 2016 0:35:50 GMT
I guess someone would have bragged about the result!  Are we sure it's counting tonight? |
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Nov 4, 2016 0:36:35 GMT
It is counting tonight.
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Post by Robert Waller on Nov 4, 2016 0:42:07 GMT
Yes, there is a PC contest too.
And looking at the SOPN, it's a different Nicholas Couldrey from the one I knew. Not the right middle name.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Nov 4, 2016 0:43:13 GMT
LD 828
Con 553
UKIP 286
Lab 132
Eastleigh
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Post by Robert Waller on Nov 4, 2016 0:45:42 GMT
LDEM: 46.0% (+6.8)
CON: 30.7% (+3.7)
UKIP: 15.9% (-6.5)
LAB: 7.3% (-4.1)
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Post by Penddu on Nov 4, 2016 1:11:15 GMT
The Docks board trained up about 50 of their office staff ( my mate was one, he was a payroll clerk) and every time a ship turned up they dragged about a dozen off them out of the offices who then loaded or unloaded the ships and were handed a modest bonus in their pay packets. The same pool of office staff were bussed over to Barry docks to handle the ships over there as well when one docked. So there you have it 165 hard working Cardiff dockers plus the Barry dockers replaced by a dozen part time office staff / new dockers. As I'm sure that Churchill probably once said...... "never have so few been paid so much to do so little" In a similar anecdote, my father used to do something similar in Swansea Docks, According to union rules there had to be so many people aboard a ship when it sailed. So he was paid to stand on board and make up the numbers whenever they needed to move a ship from one berth to another. He was a student at the time. |
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tomc
Conservative
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Post by tomc on Nov 4, 2016 2:09:05 GMT
LANCASHIRE Burnley Central East MALIK Sobia (Labour Party) 1,348 - ELECTED PAYNE Emma Louise Victoria (Liberal Democrats) 276 GIRVEN Mark (UK Independence Party (UKIP)) 249 FISK Laura (Green Party) 84 Labour 68.9% L/D 14.1% UKIP 12.7% Green 4.3% Turnout of 17.71%.....if the turnout in the Daneshouse and Stonyholme ward was anything like it's normal level, then the rest of the ward must be sub 10%, a shocking indictment of people's views on Politicians, and Politics in general.... I counted 23 votes in one of the boxes from polling stations. I had a feeling the Lib-Dems would do better than this. |
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Post by Penddu on Nov 4, 2016 2:14:17 GMT
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| Vale of Glamorgan, Gibbonsdown - Labour hold
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| Party | 2016 votes | 2016 share | since 2012 "top" | since 2012 "average" | since 2008 "top" | since 2008 "average" | | Labour | 404 | 47.9% | -14.1% | -13.8% | -3.6% | -4.0% | Plaid Cymru | 161 | 19.1% | +13.1% | +13.1% | -1.9% | -0.4% | Independent | 113 | 13.4% | -10.3% | -10.7% | from nowhere | from nowhere | Conservative | 104 | 12.3% | +4.1% | +4.1% | -10.2% | -11.0% | UKIP | 54 | 6.4% | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | Liberal Democrat | 7 | 0.8% | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | Row 7 column 7 | Liberal |
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| -5.0% | -5.2% | Total votes | 843 |
| 66% | 67% | 57% | 60% |
Swing not particularly meaningful for 2012 but ~1% / 1¾% Labour to Plaid Cymru since 2008 Council now 21 Labour, 12 Conservative, 6 Plaid Cymru, 5 Independent, 3 Llantwit First How do you calculate Labour to Plaid swing in Vale of Glamorgan? I make it a 13-14% swing... |
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Post by ideal4radio on Nov 4, 2016 2:18:31 GMT
Paper candidate, Tom ... keeping their powder dry for May 2017 perhaps. Was Mrs Cooper at the count, watching over her potential successor ??
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Post by LDCaerdydd on Nov 4, 2016 9:24:36 GMT
Grangetown, Cardiff PC 1163 (41.1%; +7.6) Lab 1049 (37.1%; -3.1) Con 287 (10.2%; -3.4) LD 187 (6.6%; -4.6) UKIP 141 (5.0%) Very pleased with this result...and also a good performance in Barry. Surprised at just how bad the LD showing was.... The Lib Dems had a poor choice of a paper candidate. Plaid had a good showing in 2008 and a really good showing in 2012 plus conserntrated their efforts in the CS&P Parliamentry by election in in this ward (LDs chose Splott) and have been working the ward ever since. From a Lib Dem POV we didn't even send out an election freepost in 2014,15 and 16 to this ward so apart from some sporadic canvassing from the candidate and one or two others this ward hadn't had a leaflet in four years. To finish behind the Conservatives is embarising but nothing hugly significant. |
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maxque
Non-Aligned
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Post by maxque on Nov 4, 2016 10:19:42 GMT
Count began at 10AM in Aberdeenshire.
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Post by samdwebber on Nov 4, 2016 11:02:23 GMT
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Post by samdwebber on Nov 4, 2016 11:02:47 GMT
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The Bishop
Labour
Down With Factionalism!
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Post by The Bishop on Nov 4, 2016 11:12:41 GMT
That's a swing of about 5% to Plaid in Grangetown surely, not 10%?
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Post by middleenglander on Nov 4, 2016 11:17:15 GMT
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| Vale of Glamorgan, Gibbonsdown - Labour hold
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| Party | 2016 votes | 2016 share | since 2012 "top" | since 2012 "average" | since 2008 "top" | since 2008 "average" | | Labour | 404 | 47.9% | -14.1% | -13.8% | -3.6% | -4.0% | Plaid Cymru | 161 | 19.1% | +13.1% | +13.1% | -1.9% | -0.4% | Independent | 113 | 13.4% | -10.3% | -10.7% | from nowhere | from nowhere | Conservative | 104 | 12.3% | +4.1% | +4.1% | -10.2% | -11.0% | UKIP | 54 | 6.4% | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | Liberal Democrat | 7 | 0.8% | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | Row 7 column 7 | Liberal |
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| -5.0% | -5.2% | Total votes | 843 |
| 66% | 67% | 57% | 60% |
Swing not particularly meaningful for 2012 but ~1% / 1¾% Labour to Plaid Cymru since 2008 Council now 21 Labour, 12 Conservative, 6 Plaid Cymru, 5 Independent, 3 Llantwit First How do you calculate Labour to Plaid swing in Vale of Glamorgan? I make it a 13-14% swing... In 2012 Plaid Cymru came 4th behind Labour, Independent and Conservative polling 6%. You are correct the arithmetic has Plaid Cymru increasing by some 13% with Labour falling by a similar amount. However, I do not consider such a ~13½% swing particularly meaningful from a psephological viewpoint as Plaid Cymru started from such a weak position from 2012. It is in some way akin to a party not standing in the previous election and winning / coming second where the arithmetic swing is totally meaningless. |
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Post by middleenglander on Nov 4, 2016 11:21:31 GMT
That's a swing of about 5% to Plaid in Grangetown surely, not 10%? Perfectly correct, thanks. Now amended. It was a long night again fuelled by a drop of the spirits!! |
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maxque
Non-Aligned
Posts: 9,312
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Post by maxque on Nov 4, 2016 11:24:26 GMT
Conservative GAIN in Inverurie.
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Post by edinburghtory on Nov 4, 2016 11:25:26 GMT
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Post by edinburghtory on Nov 4, 2016 11:27:16 GMT
And they have also gained Banff! Quite an incredible set of results for the Scottish Conservatives.
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