mboy
Liberal
Listen. Think. Speak.
Posts: 23,806
|
Post by mboy on Dec 1, 2016 23:57:46 GMT
|
|
|
|
Post by mrpastelito on Dec 2, 2016 0:08:36 GMT
|
|
Richard Allen
Banned
Four time loser in VUKPOTY finals
Posts: 19,052
|
Post by Richard Allen on Dec 2, 2016 0:29:31 GMT
This is why, while I agree with Richard Allen's first paragraph at least, I have to hope that Goldsmith wins That is certainly a point of view that I can appreciate as I came pretty close to sharing it. |
|
Khunanup
Lib Dem
Portsmouth Liberal Democrats
Posts: 12,033
|
Post by Khunanup on Dec 2, 2016 0:31:10 GMT
53.6% turnout.
|
|
|
|
Post by Andrew_S on Dec 2, 2016 0:31:15 GMT
Turnout 53.6%.
|
|
|
|
Post by Lord Twaddleford on Dec 2, 2016 0:33:59 GMT
When was the last time a by-election had a >50% turnout?
|
|
|
|
Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Dec 2, 2016 0:36:28 GMT
The turnout figure in votes is 41,367 - so 2,069 to be sure of saving the deposit.
|
|
|
|
Post by No Offence Alan on Dec 2, 2016 0:45:48 GMT
I've temporarily moved the by-elections category to the top of the home page. And there are over 100 viewing at 12.45 a.m. |
|
Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
|
Post by Deleted on Dec 2, 2016 0:46:37 GMT
When was the last time a by-election had a >50% turnout? Rochester and Clacton were both a shade over 50. |
|
|
|
Post by Lord Twaddleford on Dec 2, 2016 0:48:43 GMT
When was the last time a by-election had a >50% turnout? Rochester and Clacton were both a shade over 50. So, more recently than I had imagined... |
|
mondialito
Labour
Everything is horribly, brutally possible.
Posts: 4,961 
|
Post by mondialito on Dec 2, 2016 0:51:02 GMT
Any estimate of declaration time?
|
|
|
|
Post by jerryarkansas on Dec 2, 2016 0:51:06 GMT
Rochester and Clacton were both a shade over 50. So, more recently than I had imagined... Newark was 52% as well. |
|
Khunanup
Lib Dem
Portsmouth Liberal Democrats
Posts: 12,033
|
Post by Khunanup on Dec 2, 2016 0:52:31 GMT
Any estimate of declaration time? The initial suggestion was 2:30. |
|
Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
|
Post by Deleted on Dec 2, 2016 0:53:05 GMT
Guardian says Labour are saying 2-4k Lib Dem majority.
|
|
|
|
Post by philipchandler on Dec 2, 2016 0:54:32 GMT
Apparently Labour sources at the count believe that the Lib Dems will win with a majority of 2,000+ Just seen that and it seems quite extraordinary. Apparently Labour think, excluding postal ballots, it's 55% to 39%. Would certainly be a turn up, but I doubt that's entirely accurate. |
|
|
|
Post by jerryarkansas on Dec 2, 2016 0:54:36 GMT
Labour on the ground estimating that a Lib Dem gain with a majority of over 2 thousand. Gains of salt with that though.
|
|
|
|
Post by greenhert on Dec 2, 2016 0:54:43 GMT
Apparently Labour sources at the count believe that the Lib Dems will win with a majority of 2,000+ I honestly think the Liberal Democrat majority (if they indeed win this by-election) will barely be in treble figures at best. In fact, it could be closer than the Berwick-upon-Tweed by-election of 1973 or the West Derbyshire by-election of 1986. |
|
|
|
Post by Andrew_S on Dec 2, 2016 0:56:01 GMT
I wonder how many times tonight Alistair Carmichael is going to describe the Richmond Park electorate as "sophisticated".
|
|
mboy
Liberal
Listen. Think. Speak.
Posts: 23,806
|
Post by mboy on Dec 2, 2016 0:56:20 GMT
Still too early to count any chickens, but...GET IN THERE!!! (I'm calm, honest)
|
|
|
|
Post by Adam in Stroud on Dec 2, 2016 0:58:13 GMT
Apparently Labour sources at the count believe that the Lib Dems will win with a majority of 2,000+ I honestly think the Liberal Democrat majority (if they indeed win this by-election) will barely be in treble figures at best. In fact, it could be closer than the Berwick-upon-Tweed by-election of 1973 or the West Derbyshire by-election of 1986. It does seem a bit of an eyebrow-raiser. On the other hand, they're there, we're not, and the don't have much incentive to be suggesting they may have lost their deposit. |
|
