By-elections - September 29th

[gwynthegriff]

Sept 29, 2016 15:57:21 GMT hempie said:

Okay I have done my stint in Adeyfield West for today. From what I have seen since I last reported:
Lib Dems have put out an eve of poll leaflet and in some parts an election day "Rise & Shine". Quite a bit of activity today and telling at both polling stations. He was the only candidate I saw doing the rounds.
Labour have been campaigning quite hard, several activists out and about today. Telling at both stations.
Conservatives claim they have done a lot of canvassing (I haven't seen any evidence of it) and again have activists working in the ward. Tellers at both stations (where I was a couple of councillors from other wards)
UKIP nothing seen of them so far today, no telling operation.
Green - telling at the main station for part of the day only. Some election day leaflets delivered.
By 2:30 approximately 200 votes cast at the main station (out of approx. 3,7000) and just 23 at the small station (approx. 400 voters). I haven't heard anything about levels of postal voting.

Funniest comment today when I was telling was from the Labour teller who thought it was "deceitful" for the Lib Dem candidate to claim he was the only candidate living in the ward - the truth is that he is the only one who lives in the ward! He was unhappy because the Labour candidate also lives in Adeyfield - but in the East ward (which he knew full well).

I may well be proved wrong but it looks to me like a Lib Dem win here.

My rule of thumb in my ward was that the turnout at 16.00 would double by close of poll. This - of course - will vary ward by ward (relatively few commuters on my patch) and this was in the days of few PVs. Points to a low turnout in this case.


Labour are fond of moaning about things that they regard (quite unjustifiably) as improper.

[Devil Wincarnate]

Sept 29, 2016 15:57:21 GMT hempie said:

Okay I have done my stint in Adeyfield West for today. From what I have seen since I last reported:
Lib Dems have put out an eve of poll leaflet and in some parts an election day "Rise & Shine". 

Clearly softer in the Lib Dems, I remember them being known as "dawn raids" when I was in the Tories!

[andrewteale]

The Tory candidate in Glaven Valley put out this rather bizarre leaflet:

[Deleted]

Sept 29, 2016 16:16:54 GMT Pete Whitehead said:

My sons' nanny lives in Adeyfield West - I'm annoyed that I forgot when I saw her on Tuesday to remind her about (or alert her to) this by-election. Hopefully she will be aware, or her partner will ensure she votes. Both are UKIP voters but she tends more toward the apathetic. I didn't imagine I would be able to draw any great insights from her about how the campaign may be going (and being post-operative was unfortunately unable to help myself). I'm disappointed to hear that Hemel UKIP have not organised a telling operation as the importance of this cannot be underestimated IMO and they are an active branch

Or even overestimated...

and, yeah, I always forget to tell my servants which way to vote too, but like you have to rely on their menfolk to make sure they vote as they're told

[ideal4radio]

Sept 29, 2016 20:49:38 GMT andrewteale said:

The Tory candidate in Glaven Valley put out this rather bizarre leaflet:

I voted for Brexit, but bizarre is only the half of it... Don't be so modest, Andrew...tell us your good points 

[Robert Waller]

Liberal Democrat GAIN Adeyfield West (Dacorum) from Conservative.

[Robert Waller]

Adeyfield West

LDEM: 49.5% (+24.4)
CON: 22.2% (-4.6)
LAB: 15.8% (-8.7)
UKIP: 10.9% (-12.7)
GRN: 1.6% (+1.6)

[andrewteale]

Sept 29, 2016 21:55:08 GMT Robert Waller said:

Adeyfield West

LDEM: 49.5% (+24.4)
CON: 22.2% (-4.6)
LAB: 15.8% (-8.7)
UKIP: 10.9% (-12.7)
GRN: 1.6% (+1.6)

LD 520 C 233 Lab 166 UKIP 115 Grn 17

[maxque]

LD gain from Con in Adeyfield West, Dacorum

LD 520 (49.5%; +24.4)
Con 233 (22.2%; -4.6)
Lab 166 (15.8%; -8.7)
UKIP 115 (10.9%; -12.7)
Grn 17 (1.6%)

[Davıd Boothroyd]

Votes in Adeyfield West:

Adrian England (Liberal Democrats) 520
Tony Gallagher (The Conservative Party Candidate) 233
Gary Cook (The Labour Party Candidate) 166
Rachel Biggs (UK Independence Party (UKIP)) 115
Angela Lynch (The Green Party) 17

[Davıd Boothroyd]

COTSWOLD Stow

Dilys Neill (L Dem) 555
David Penman (C) 300

[Robert Waller]

Stow

LDEM: 64.9% (+21.0)
CON: 35.1% (-21.0)

[maxque]

Sept 29, 2016 22:05:07 GMT Davıd Boothroyd said:

COTSWOLD Stow

Dilys Neill (L Dem) 555
David Penman (C) 300

LD 64.9% (+21.0)
Con 35.1% (-21.0)

[gwynthegriff]

Sept 29, 2016 16:16:54 GMT Pete Whitehead said:

My sons' nanny lives in Adeyfield West - I'm annoyed that I forgot when I saw her on Tuesday to remind her about (or alert her to) this by-election. Hopefully she will be aware, or her partner will ensure she votes. Both are UKIP voters but she tends more toward the apathetic. I didn't imagine I would be able to draw any great insights from her about how the campaign may be going (and being post-operative was unfortunately unable to help myself). I'm disappointed to hear that Hemel UKIP have not organised a telling operation as the importance of this cannot be underestimated IMO and they are an active branch

Your sons have to share a nanny!


Oh the times we live in!

[mrhell]

21% swing in Stow.

[maxque]

Labour hold in Tyldesley, Blackpool with 48.3%

[gwynthegriff]

Sept 29, 2016 20:49:38 GMT andrewteale said:

The Tory candidate in Glaven Valley put out this rather bizarre leaflet:

Unless Glaven Valley is a very strange place I would expect that to be a counterproductive leaflet.

[Adam in Stroud]

Hmm.  Dare I say that the demographics for Stow are not that unlike Witney, just a few miles to the East....

[Sibboleth]

Cotswold District is a well known corrupt basketcase.

[maxque]

Tyldesley, Blackpool

Lab 535 (48.3%; +10.0)
Con 297 (26.8%; -2.4)
UKIP 238 (21.5%; -0.5)
LD 37 (3.3%; -2.3)