johnloony
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Post by johnloony on Jul 6, 2024 0:58:40 GMT
I notice that Reform was in 2nd place in a lot of South Wales, and was within 2k of winning in Llanelli |
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Post by Robert Waller on Jul 6, 2024 9:38:49 GMT
Mcr Rusholme had 40% which I think is the lowest. Not saying there's a correlation but it was the only seat in GB outside of Chorley with no Lib Dem candidate. Lots of students, in top three in country, in Rusholme. Not there in July. Plus inner city. |
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The Bishop
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Post by The Bishop on Jul 6, 2024 9:58:02 GMT
Llanelli was actually the closest Reform got to taking a Labour seat, don't think many had that on their bingo cards.
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andrewp
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Post by andrewp on Jul 6, 2024 9:59:08 GMT
Does anyone know if any of the newspapers have got a full list of results in them today?
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The Bishop
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Post by The Bishop on Jul 6, 2024 10:02:46 GMT
Turnout at almost exactly 60% was the second lowest in a century.
One question, though - didn't the outgoing government recently make loads of overseas residents eligible to vote by abolishing the time restriction on residence outside the country? Presumably that will have added to the electoral rolls, but likely relatively few will have taken up their right to vote - which would depress turnout figures overall.
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Post by mick745 on Jul 6, 2024 10:46:11 GMT
Does anyone know if any of the newspapers have got a full list of results in them today? The Times does. Telegraph doesnt. |
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johnloony
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Post by johnloony on Jul 6, 2024 10:52:27 GMT
Does anyone know if any of the newspapers have got a full list of results in them today? The Times does. Telegraph doesnt. I bought both. I am annoyed by the latter. I flicked through the Telegraph quickly in the shop to check, and it says “(Inside Your 10-Page Election Special)” but when I got home I found it was economic analysis rather than actual normal real interesting actual. |
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The Bishop
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Post by The Bishop on Jul 6, 2024 11:00:06 GMT
Does the Grauniad not do one anymore? I still have their election pullout from 1997 somewhere.
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andrewp
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Post by andrewp on Jul 6, 2024 11:02:18 GMT
I’ve had Guardian ones before. I shall buy the Times then, and will check the Guardian before buying in the shop.
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Post by redvers on Jul 6, 2024 11:25:29 GMT
Anyone got a list yet of seats won by Labour in 1997 that they (or their successor seats) did NOT win in 2024?
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Post by gerrardwinstanley on Jul 6, 2024 11:28:10 GMT
Anyone got a list yet of seats won by Labour in 1997 that they (or their successor seats) did NOT win in 2024? Staffordshire Moorlands is one that springs to mind, which the exit poll had Labour winning. Bristol Central and Brighton Pavilion also come to mind. Unfortunately, that's all the information I can offer you. I'm sure someone will have a list for you soon though. |
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Post by greatkingrat on Jul 6, 2024 11:42:42 GMT
Quite a few in Essex - Basildon, Castle Point, Braintree, Harwich, Romford, Upminster.
Others include Harrow East, Hendon, Keighley, Newark, Staffordshire Moorlands, Stockton South, The Wrekin, Wyre Forest.
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Post by redvers on Jul 6, 2024 11:50:25 GMT
Quite a few in Essex - Basildon, Castle Point, Braintree, Harwich, Romford, Upminster. Others include Harrow East, Hendon, Keighley, Newark, Staffordshire Moorlands, Stockton South, The Wrekin, Wyre Forest. We did win Hendon, just FYI |
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The Bishop
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Post by The Bishop on Jul 6, 2024 11:57:22 GMT
Great Yarmouth is another obvious one, and of course Ashfield.
Not to mention Islington North and the Muslim Indy wins.
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andrewp
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Post by andrewp on Jul 6, 2024 12:05:10 GMT
Does the Grauniad not do one anymore? I still have their election pullout from 1997 somewhere. No they don’t appear to. Having just flicked it in the shop. So possibly the Times is the only one this year. |
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Post by Robert Waller on Jul 6, 2024 12:25:06 GMT
The Times is the best hard copy I've found, though one imperfection is that they seem to think one can't have changes of share of the parties from notionals, but still give swing figures, which is contradictory.
On another matter, has anyone yet found which seat had the lowest winning percentage? There are quite a few contenders this year.
If anyone has any other nuggets, I am currently revising my 100 word profiles for The Times House of Commons book in the light of the results.
(Again thanks to all the contributors to the Almanac board here, I've used a lot of the insights.)
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Jul 6, 2024 12:27:09 GMT
I've found 30.6% in IoW East which will be difficult to beat I imagine
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Post by Robert Waller on Jul 6, 2024 12:30:30 GMT
I've found 30.6% in IoW East which will be difficult to beat I imagine I feel I've seen some in the 20s. Dumfries & Galloway 29.6 % for example. |
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spqr
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Post by spqr on Jul 6, 2024 12:32:22 GMT
Fairly certain it was the Truss-slayer Terry Jermy in SW Norfolk who had the lowest winning share - 26.7%.
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Post by greatkingrat on Jul 6, 2024 12:37:27 GMT
5 lowest winning shares
SOUTH WEST NORFOLK - Lab 26.7, Con 25.3, Ref 22.5, Ind 14.2, LD 5.9
BLACKBURN - Ind 27.0, Lab 26.7, WP 18.3, Ref 12.5, Con 8.9
EAST LONDONDERRY - DUP 27.9, SF 27.4, SDLP 12.7, TUV 10.6, APNI 9.0, UUP 8.3
NORTH ANTRIM - TUV 28.3, DUP 27.2, SF 18.7, APNI 10.9, UUP 9.5
EXMOUTH AND EXETER EAST - Con 28.7, Lab 28.5, LD 22.2, Ref 13.8
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