Georg Ebner
Non-Aligned
Roman romantic reactionary Catholic
Posts: 9,230
|
Post by Georg Ebner on Nov 21, 2020 2:42:28 GMT
|
|
|
Post by David Ashforth on Nov 26, 2020 17:47:22 GMT
|
|
Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
|
Post by Deleted on Dec 3, 2020 9:58:20 GMT
|
|
ilerda
Conservative
Posts: 1,026
|
Post by ilerda on Dec 3, 2020 11:07:25 GMT
A map of the constituencies that have only been won by one party since 2010. Includes Speaker but excludes by-elections. It gives an interesting visualisation of the Red Wall, SNP takeover of Scotland, and the Lib Dem losses in 2015. www.yapms.com/app/?m=5efv
|
|
Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
|
Post by Deleted on Dec 3, 2020 11:10:33 GMT
A map of the constituencies that have only been won by one party since 2010. Includes Speaker but excludes by-elections. It gives an interesting visualisation of the Red Wall, SNP takeover of Scotland, and the Lib Dem losses in 2015. www.yapms.com/app/?m=5efvIf you want to see a party that's lost its heartland, look no further than the collapse of the Lib Dems in the South West.
|
|
The Bishop
Labour
Down With Factionalism!
Posts: 36,546
Member is Online
|
Post by The Bishop on Dec 3, 2020 12:44:09 GMT
Just 2 seats for the LibDems on that metric is a fairly well known stat, but a mere 3 for the SNP is striking.
|
|
|
Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Dec 3, 2020 13:23:30 GMT
Might be interesting to add party control in the 2005 notional election. That would take the Conservatives down a lot.
|
|
ilerda
Conservative
Posts: 1,026
|
Post by ilerda on Dec 3, 2020 13:38:53 GMT
Just 2 seats for the LibDems on that metric is a fairly well known stat, but a mere 3 for the SNP is striking. Yes I was surprised by that. And of course Perth and North Perthshire was held by just 21 votes in 2017. I suppose that's a reflection on just how much the SNP's base has changed in the past few years.
|
|
Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
|
Post by Deleted on Dec 3, 2020 14:26:37 GMT
|
|
|
Post by bjornhattan on Dec 3, 2020 15:17:14 GMT
I know it got fairly close in 2005, but I'm pretty sure Oxford East has been consistently Labour since 1987.
|
|
|
Post by Pete Whitehead on Dec 3, 2020 15:22:15 GMT
I know it got fairly close in 2005, but I'm pretty sure Oxford East has been consistently Labour since 1987. I wonder if that is based on the seat as currently drawn being notionally Lib Dem in 2005. I wouldn't personally do it that way because, as you say, it has actually ahd Labour MPs consistently since that time. There are some more glaring (and less ambiguous) errors there - Chipping Barnet, South and North West Cambridgshire, Rutland & Melton
|
|
Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
|
Post by Deleted on Dec 3, 2020 15:22:37 GMT
I know it got fairly close in 2005, but I'm pretty sure Oxford East has been consistently Labour since 1987. Hard to say. I remember hearing it was notional Lib Dem in 2005 on current boundaries because the city centre wards of Carfax and Holywell weren't in the 97-2010 seat.
|
|
|
Post by Pete Whitehead on Dec 3, 2020 15:25:13 GMT
Also Newbury, Weston Super Mare..
|
|
Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
|
Post by Deleted on Dec 3, 2020 15:25:25 GMT
I know it got fairly close in 2005, but I'm pretty sure Oxford East has been consistently Labour since 1987. I wonder if that is based on the seat as currently drawn being notionally Lib Dem in 2005. I wouldn't personally do it that way because, as you say, it has actually ahd Labour MPs consistently since that time. There are some more glaring (and less ambiguous) errors there - Chipping Barnet, South and North West Cambridgshire, Rutland & Melton See then you have a seat like Harrow West. If you use the pre-2010 boundaries it voted Tory in 2010 and 2015 but if you use the boundaries since 2010 it has been Labour since 1997.
|
|
Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
|
Post by Deleted on Dec 3, 2020 15:26:54 GMT
Also Newbury, Weston Super Mare.. As opposed to Newbury, Berkshire?
|
|
Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
|
Post by Deleted on Dec 3, 2020 15:27:50 GMT
The beauty of YAPms is that I can edit the map for corrections. Keep them coming
|
|
ilerda
Conservative
Posts: 1,026
|
Post by ilerda on Dec 3, 2020 15:32:37 GMT
Where are you getting your notional from? It’s obviously easy to predict some but for others boundary changes mean current seats a very different to the ones that were around in 1997.
|
|
|
Post by bjornhattan on Dec 3, 2020 15:38:51 GMT
Also, personally I would have ignored the Speaker, and classed Buckingham as Conservative and Chorley as Labour. But I can understand why you didn't do so (the latter particularly, since if Hoyle hadn't ran as Speaker the result would have been in doubt).
|
|
Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
|
Post by Deleted on Dec 3, 2020 15:41:51 GMT
No one noticed that I missed off Martin Bell's win in Tatton on the initial map...
|
|
Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
|
Post by Deleted on Dec 3, 2020 15:42:54 GMT
|
|