Post by thirdchill on Jun 19, 2016 13:15:10 GMT
Jun 19, 2016 7:38:32 GMT @joe said:
This is my main concern with other major parties choosing not to contest. Political extremes gain a traction when there isn't a respectable voice there that isn't one of the major parties. The Lib Dems filled this prior to 2010, UKIP and the Greens fill this space now, and it's thanks in part to these two parties having a significant presence that other more extreme parties have not been able to fill this spaceLabour.r]That's not to say that The Greens are automatically attracting all the revolutionary socialists, or UKIP are attracting all the hard core racists. The very small number of people with those convictions probably dislike both of those parties intensely. The hard core racists have a deep seated loathing of Farage, for example. But otherwise people who are fairly respectable and who are not hard core racists or hardcore revolutionaries who advocate violence but are disenchanted with the main political parties may support UKIP or the Greens instead of one of the nasty extreme outfits.
However labour should expect to get at the bare minimum of 80% if none of the other major parties contest, possibly 90%.
Dont agree. There is greater than 10% of B+S that would never ever vote Labour. 80% is perhaps possible if these people dont turn out, but thats a max. Id expect 20% to vote for me if it was me v Labour.
There may be greater than 10 percent who would not vote labour but a fair number of those would stay at home if these crank outfits were the only other option.