Georg Ebner
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Post by Georg Ebner on Jan 26, 2020 21:20:26 GMT
TurnOut was at ~32%.
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Georg Ebner
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Post by Georg Ebner on Jan 26, 2020 21:25:35 GMT
ihttps://twitter.com/leonardocarella/status/1221437923050119168
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Post by dizz on Jan 26, 2020 22:14:58 GMT
An exit poll for state television RAI said the PD incumbent was seen taking between 47.0%-51.0% of the vote, while the rightist candidate looked on course to take 44.0%-48.0%. Definitive results are expected early on Monday.
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andrea
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Post by andrea on Jan 26, 2020 22:30:33 GMT
Calabria easily won by Jole Santelli of Forza Italia. Exit polls are often wrong in Italy but they show a 20% lead...they are not that wrong.
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Post by Andrew_S on Jan 26, 2020 22:42:35 GMT
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andrea
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Post by andrea on Jan 26, 2020 23:46:34 GMT
Looks like Bonaccini held Emilia Romagna according to early tallies
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andrea
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Post by andrea on Jan 27, 2020 6:34:12 GMT
With 4444 polling places reported out of 4520 in Emilia Romagna the situation is as follows: PD and allies candidate 51.4 Lega-FI and allies candidate 43.7 M5S 3.5
In Calabria with 1900 reported out of 2200 it is FI-Lega-FdI and allies 56 PD and allies 30.1 M5S 7.4
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Post by Merseymike on Jan 27, 2020 12:10:40 GMT
In other words, less change than had been envisaged.
Think the Sardines appear to have actually motivated the left, and perhaps the DP need to consider this
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Georg Ebner
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Post by Georg Ebner on Sept 19, 2020 17:27:24 GMT
On SunDay and MonDay (until 15.00 MET) elections will take place:
- a referendum on reducing the number of MPs to 400 and 200
- regional elections in Veneto (ultrasafe CentroDestra), Liguria (in the Berlusconi-era a TossUp, now very safe for the CD-incumbent), Marche (formerly rather right, these days surprisingly safe for the CD-challenger), Puglia (pure TossUp, the CS-inc. being perhaps minimally ahead), the red FlagShip Toscana (CentroSinistra favoured, but a huge UpSet is not impossible), Campania (once rather right of the mid, nowadays - like Lazio - to the left due to big cities like Napoli or Salerno).
Hoping for more from Andrea.
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Georg Ebner
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Post by Georg Ebner on Sept 19, 2020 17:47:27 GMT
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Georg Ebner
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Post by Georg Ebner on Sept 19, 2020 17:54:34 GMT
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andrea
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Post by andrea on Sept 19, 2020 18:55:52 GMT
On SunDay and MonDay (until 15.00 MET) elections will take place: - a referendum on reducing the number of MPs to 400 and 200 - regional elections in Veneto (ultrasafe CentroDestra), Liguria (in the Berlusconi-era a TossUp, now very safe for the CD-incumbent), Marche (formerly rather right, these days surprisingly safe for the CD-challenger), Puglia (pure TossUp, the CS-inc. being perhaps minimally ahead), the red FlagShip Toscana (CentroSinistra favoured, but a huge UpSet is not impossible), Campania (once rather right of the mid, nowadays - like Lazio - to the left due to big cities like Napoli or Salerno). Hoping for more from Andrea. Voting intention polls are notoriously bad in Italy. So let's take the figures for what they are but I've seen polls with Fitto marginally ahead in Puglia. Fitto was the regional president in 2000 before losing to Vendola in 2005. Then he went on to become minister in some Berlusconi's governments. So not a particular new figure. One aspect that can influence the most tight races is the turnout. In Covid times, I am not sure what to expect. The referendum would see the size of Chamber of Deputies going down from 630 to 400 and the size of the Senate from 315 to 200.
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Post by robert1 on Sept 19, 2020 19:10:41 GMT
As I type this I have the ballot paper for the Constitutional Referendum to my left (former lodger). 'Modifiche agli articoli 56, 57 e 59 della Constituzione in materia di reduzione del numero dei parliamentari'.
Given my views on the excess of politicians we have in this country I would love to be able to vote in a country where they are aiming to reduce the size of their political class.
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Foggy
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Post by Foggy on Sept 19, 2020 19:36:56 GMT
The Italians were already offered a much smaller (and sensibly reformed) Senate in late 2016 and rejected it, but AFAIK this is the first time a reduced lower house has been put before them.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Sept 19, 2020 19:40:05 GMT
So THAT's why all my Italian Facebook friends have "Io voto no" in their profile pictures at the moment
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Georg Ebner
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Post by Georg Ebner on Sept 20, 2020 13:20:24 GMT
So THAT's why all my Italian Facebook friends have "Io voto no" in their profile pictures at the moment That's amazing! And amusingly all major parties ("the classa politica") support the SeatReduction, while the OutSiders oppose it...
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andrea
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Post by andrea on Sept 20, 2020 22:16:03 GMT
Turnout at the end of first voting day for the Referendum is at 39.38%
Top turnouts Valle d'Aosta 56.37% Trentino Alto Adige 54.42% Veneto 51,04%
Bottom Sicily 24.78% Sardinia 23.41%
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Georg Ebner
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Post by Georg Ebner on Sept 21, 2020 0:03:11 GMT
Turnout at the end of first voting day for the Referendum is at 39.38% Top turnouts Valle d'Aosta 56.37% Trentino Alto Adige 54.42% Veneto 51,04% Bottom Sicily 24.78% Sardinia 23.41% Disastrously low, but no quorum is required as far as i know?
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andrea
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Post by andrea on Sept 21, 2020 7:12:11 GMT
Turnout at the end of first voting day for the Referendum is at 39.38% Top turnouts Valle d'Aosta 56.37% Trentino Alto Adige 54.42% Veneto 51,04% Bottom Sicily 24.78% Sardinia 23.41% Disastrously low, but no quorum is required as far as i know? Yes, no quorum for confirmatory referendum.
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andrea
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Post by andrea on Sept 21, 2020 13:05:08 GMT
Exit polls give 60 to 64% for YES in the referendum
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