Richard Allen
Banned
Four time loser in VUKPOTY finals
Posts: 19,052
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Post by Richard Allen on Feb 29, 2016 0:09:42 GMT
With 10 seats still unresolved we have the following (final range of seats in brackets)
FG: 47 (49-50)
FF: 43 (44-46)
SF: 22 (22-25)
Lab: 6 (6-8)
PBP: 5 (5-7)
IA: 4 (5-6)
SD: 3
GRN: 2
IND: 16 (16-17)
There is also a recount in Dublin South West which could potentially switch a seat from Ind to FG
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Feb 29, 2016 0:14:30 GMT
Latest gossip is that FF may officially decide that while they won't enter a grand coalition with FG, they will give a pledge not to bring down a minority FG (+ whatever partners FG can find) government for a certain period of time.
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Richard Allen
Banned
Four time loser in VUKPOTY finals
Posts: 19,052
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Post by Richard Allen on Feb 29, 2016 0:14:32 GMT
The way the RTE site shows the results isn't very clear, it still has him on 11655 which makes it look like the surplus is yet to be transferred. If you scroll down you will see "Voting in Detail" which shows that no candidate was eliminated after the first count. Surpluses are distributed before candidates are eliminated if it is mathematically possible that the surplus could prevent the bottom candidate(s) being eliminated. |
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Post by Ghyl Tarvoke on Feb 29, 2016 0:25:36 GMT
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neilm
Non-Aligned
Posts: 25,023
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Post by neilm on Feb 29, 2016 4:16:18 GMT
In Tipperary it looks like FG have managed to to turn a 0.97 quota into 0 zero seats. It's a long way to Tipperary... |
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Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
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Post by Deleted on Feb 29, 2016 4:25:05 GMT
In Tipperary it looks like FG have managed to to turn a 0.97 quota into 0 zero seats. It's a long way to Tipperary... It is. Especially when the individual topping the ballot is under investigation and facing a high court tax case. |
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Sibboleth
Labour
'Sit on my finger, sing in my ear, O littleblood.'
Posts: 16,036
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Post by Sibboleth on Feb 29, 2016 10:29:18 GMT
Given the crash in their support, I wonder if Irish Labour might once again become vulnerable to entryism. Except this time, rather than the entryists being Trots rapidly transitioning into radical centrists, the new entryists might be leftish independents seeking a recognisable brand. Of course, that depends upon whether the brand recognition is worth the derision associated with it. Its also possible that the antediluvian elements take back control. Not that this would be a Leftwards swing, exactly... |
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Sibboleth
Labour
'Sit on my finger, sing in my ear, O littleblood.'
Posts: 16,036
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Post by Sibboleth on Feb 29, 2016 10:31:53 GMT
But by then Democratic Left were a load of centrist Eurocommunists - who took the party to the Right as they embraced Blairite free market orthodoxy Bit more complicated than that (i.e. it isn't as though Irish Labour was ever exactly left wing; they tended to avoid even using the word 'socialist' until the 1960s). Its more that the Stickie element brought their main political obsession with them (i.e. cultural cringe) and that they never really cared about anything else... |
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Post by finsobruce on Feb 29, 2016 11:50:37 GMT
In Tipperary it looks like FG have managed to to turn a 0.97 quota into 0 zero seats. It's a long way to Tipperary... although originally it was a long way to Connemara... |
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Post by Arthur Figgis on Feb 29, 2016 12:14:57 GMT
It's a long way to Killarney (but there'll now be two motorways that get you there)...
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Post by timrollpickering on Feb 29, 2016 13:21:17 GMT
And with all the pot holes filled.
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Post by greenhert on Feb 29, 2016 14:32:22 GMT
There are still five counts to complete and 10 seats to fill as of now. Watch this space for the final results in Longford-Westmeath, Wexford, Dublin South West, Dublin South Central and Dublin Bay North, since their final counts should be completed today.
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Post by Devil Wincarnate on Feb 29, 2016 17:18:31 GMT
Given the crash in their support, I wonder if Irish Labour might once again become vulnerable to entryism. Except this time, rather than the entryists being Trots rapidly transitioning into radical centrists, the new entryists might be leftish independents seeking a recognisable brand. Of course, that depends upon whether the brand recognition is worth the derision associated with it. Its also possible that the antediluvian elements take back control. Not that this would be a Leftwards swing, exactly... Step forward Ivana, your time is now! |
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Post by timrollpickering on Feb 29, 2016 17:20:02 GMT
There's MORE talk of recounts and going into another day.
The Kerry Motorways will be built before the last count has finished!
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Feb 29, 2016 17:32:23 GMT
There haven't been any new TDs declared elected since 11 pm last night.
(Just as I wrote that, Wexford concludes its count with two Fine Gael TDs being elected. Now eight more seats to fill.)
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Richard Allen
Banned
Four time loser in VUKPOTY finals
Posts: 19,052
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Post by Richard Allen on Feb 29, 2016 17:46:06 GMT
(Just as I wrote that, Wexford concludes its count with two Fine Gael TDs being elected. Now eight more seats to fill.) Winning the final seat by being ahead of SF by just 52 votes. It is all but certain now that FG will finish on 50 seats. |
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Post by timrollpickering on Feb 29, 2016 17:58:29 GMT
Does anybody want to be in government?!
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maxque
Non-Aligned
Posts: 9,312 
Member is Online
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Post by maxque on Feb 29, 2016 18:04:02 GMT
Does anybody want to be in government?! No, as it won't last for long, with likely nefarious consequences at next election. It's a giant trap, especially for junior partners. |
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mboy
Liberal
Listen. Think. Speak.
Posts: 23,761
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Post by mboy on Feb 29, 2016 18:04:11 GMT
Ireland needs a Lib Dems to take the next bullet.
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Post by Arthur Figgis on Feb 29, 2016 18:12:26 GMT
Ireland needs a Lib Dems to take the next bullet. It has a Lib Dems- your fellow European party members. They are equally liberal and principled.  |
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