Tony Otim
Green
Suffering from Brexistential Despair
Posts: 11,892
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Post by Tony Otim on Nov 20, 2015 15:50:01 GMT
What a nightmarish bunch of seats to predict and to leave to the last minute ! Maybe you should leave things to the last minute more often  |
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Tony Otim
Green
Suffering from Brexistential Despair
Posts: 11,892
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Post by Tony Otim on Nov 20, 2015 15:50:27 GMT
I predict high faults all round this week. This was my best call of the week! |
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Post by middleenglander on Nov 20, 2015 16:40:15 GMT
Ashford, Aylesford Green
Pete Whitehead 23.5+10 faults, Lennon 21.3+10+5, Tony Otim 35.5, Robert Waller 27.4+10, Mark Senior 29.3+10, Maxque 33.3+10, David Boothroyd 37.7+10, Arthur Figgis 38.0+10, Greenhert 40.4+10, hempie 41.4+10
Carmarthen, Kidwelly
Lennon 22.8+5faults, Robert Waller 28.3, Maxque 29.2, Tony Otim 31.6, Arthur Figgis 32.4, Pete Whitehead 37.6, Greenhert 37.9, Mark Senior 52.8+10, hempie 54.8+10, David Boothroyd 57.8+10
Gwynedd, Dewi
Maxque 1.9 faults, Tony Otim 6.5, Pete Whitehead 7.8, hempie 8.1, Greenhert 10.1, David Boothroyd 14.1, Mark Senior 16.1, Robert Waller 18.9, Lennon 19.2+5, Arthur Figgis 38.4+0.3+10
Gwynedd, LLanaelhaearn
hempie 9.3 faults, David Boothroyd 10.2, Pete Whitehead 21.1, Robert Waller & Tony Otim 25.3+10, Greenhert 31.5+10, Mark Senior 37.3+10, Arthur Figgis 39.1+10, Lennon 35.5+10+5, Maxque 45.5+10
Norfolk, South Smallburgh
hempie 28.7 faults, Greenhert 32.7, Arthur Figgis 33.7, Pete Whitehead 35.3, David Boothroyd & Robert Waller 36.7, Maxque 38.7, Tony Otim 40.3, Lennon 42.7+5, Mark Senior 50.7+10
Norfolk, Watton
Robert Waller 10.3 faults, Lennon 9.3+5, Arthur Figgis 14.9, Pete Whitehead 20.9, Greenhert 23.3, Tony Otim 14.3+10, hempie 15.3+10, Maxque 18.3+10, David Boothroyd 21.3+10, Mark Senior 27.3+10
Surrey, Epsom West
Greenhert 17.7+10 faults, Arthur Figgis 18.6+10, Robert Waller 19.7+10, David Boothroyd 21.7+10, Pete Whitehead 23.5+10, hempie & Mark Senior 25.7+10, Tony Otim 28.5+10, Maxque 29.7+10, Lennon 31.7+10+5
and for the week:
Pete Whitehead 189.8 faults, Robert Waller 196.7, Tony Otim 212.0, hempie 223.4, Greenhert 223.7, Maxque 236.7, David Boothroyd 239.5, Lennon 247.6, Arthur Figgis 255.4, Mark Senior 299.2
and for the month to date:
403.6 Pete Whitehead
407.2 Robert Waller
435.1 Tony Otim
436.1 Greenhert
441.2 hempie
452.6 Maxque
481.9 Arthur Figgis
493.1 Lennon
508.9 Mark Senior
518.3 David Boothroyd
Objections please by noon Sunday
There is plenty of scope next week with 9 by-elections. Predictions on this thread by 9.00am Thursday.
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Post by Robert Waller on Nov 25, 2015 23:37:25 GMT
Ashfield DC, Selston - Selston Parish Independent resigned- 5 candidates: Con 14, Lab 14, UKIP 12, Selston Parish Ind 37, Ind Wilson 23
Fife UA, Dunfermline North - SNP resigned - 6 candidates: Con 7, Lab 31, LD 6, SNP 51, UKIP 2, Green 3
Fife UA, Rosyth - SNP resigned (now MP for Dunfermline & West Fife) - 7 candidates: Con 6, Lab, 32, LD 4, SNP 52, UKIP 2, Green 2, Ind 2
Gwynedd UA, Pwllheli South - Llais Gwynedd died - 4 candidates: Plaid Cymru 37, Llais Gwynedd 23. Ind Parry 32, No Description Underwood 8
Lancaster DC, Carnforth & Millhead - Conservative died - 5 candidates: Con 48, Lab 33, LD 5, UKIP 8, Green 6
Newport UA, Bettws - Independent resigned - 6 candidates: Con 9, Lab 49, LD 5, Green 2, Ind Cleverly 30 Ind Jordan 5
Nottinghamshire CC, Selston - Selston Area Independent resigned - 5 candidates: Con 12, Lab 20, UKIP 10, Selston Parish Ind 31, Ind Wilson 27
Rochford DC, Rochford - Conservative died - 4 candidates: Con 45, Lab 25, LD 5, UKIP 25
Wiltshire UA, St Edmund & Milford - Liberal Democrat resigned - 5 candidates: Con 31, Lab 12, LD 50, Green 3, Ind 4
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Post by greenhert on Nov 26, 2015 0:10:06 GMT
My predictions for this week's by-elections are as follows:
Ashfield DC, Selston: Selston Parish Independent 36, Independent (Anna Wilson) 25, Labour 16, Conservative 13, UKIP 10. (Selston Parish Independent hold.)
Fife UA, Dunfermline North: SNP 54, Lab 29, Con 7, Lib Dem 5, Green 3, UKIP 2. (SNP hold.)
Fife UA, Rosyth: SNP 55, Lab 30, Con 6, Lib Dem 3, Green 3, UKIP 2, Independent (Alastair McIntyre) 1. (SNP hold.)
Gwynedd UA, Pwllheli South: PC 40, Llais Gwynedd 25, Independent (Michael Parry) 25, No Description (Efim Underwood) 10. (Plaid Cymru gain from Llais Gwynedd.)
Lancaster DC, Carnforth & Millhead: Lab 39, Con 37, Green 10, Lib Dem 9, UKIP 5. (Labour gain from Conservative.)
Newport UA, Bettws: Lab 44, Independent (Janet Cleverly) 29, Independent (Jason Jordan) 11, Con 7, Lib Dem 5, Green 4. (Labour gain from Independent.)
Nottinghamshire CC, Selston: Selston Parish Independent 38, Independent (Sam Wilson) 22, Lab 21, Con 10, UKIP 9. (Selston Parish Independent hold.)
Rochford DC, Rochford: Con 41, Lab 35, UKIP 19, Lib Dem 5. (Conservative hold.)
Wiltshire UA, St Edmund & Milford (in Salisbury): Lib Dem 46, Con 28, Lab 16, Green 6, Independent (Diane Dollimore) 4. (Liberal Democrat hold.)
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Nov 26, 2015 0:57:19 GMT
ASHFIELD Selston: SPI 38, Lab 30, Ind 16, C 12, UKIP 4
FIFE Dunfermline North: SNP 49, Lab 40, C 8, L Dem 1, SGP 1, UKIP 1
FIFE Rosyth: SNP 53, Lab 32, C 6, Ind 5, L Dem 2, SGP 1, UKIP 1
GWYNEDD Pwllheli South: PC 39, Ind Parry 31, LG 20, Ind Underwood 10
LANCASTER Carnforth and Millhead: C 41, Lab 35, UKIP 11, GP 8, L Dem 5
NEWPORT Bettws: Lab 44, Ind Cleverley 24, C 21, L Dem 6, Ind Jordan 4, GP 1
NOTTINGHAMSHIRE Selston: Ind 38, SPI 35, Lab 13, C 10, UKIP 4
ROCHFORD Rochford: C 48, Lab 24, UKIP 24, L Dem 4
WILTSHIRE Salisbury St Edmund and Milford: L Dem 46, C 31, Lab 15, Ind 5, GP 3
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Post by hempie on Nov 26, 2015 8:34:01 GMT
Ashfield, Selston: SPI 35, Lab 25, Ind 17, Con 13, UKIP 10
Fife,Dunfermline North: SNP 49, Lab 33, Con 9, LD 3, Green 3, UKIP 3
Fife, Rosyth: SNP 50, Lab 29, Con 7, Ind 5, LD 3, Green 3, UKIP 3
Gwynedd, Pwllheli South: PC 35, Ind Parry 29, LG 28, Ind Underwood 8
Lancaster,Carnforth and Millhead: Con 40, Lab 34, UKIP 10, Green 10, LD 6
Newport, Bettws: Lab 45, Ind Cleverley 24, Con 18, LD 5, Ind Jordan 5, Green 3
Nottinghamshire, Selston: SPI 37, Ind 32, Lab 15, Con 9, UKIP 7
Rochford, Rochford: Con 47, Lab 24, UKIP 24, LD 5
Wiltshire,St Edmund and Milford: Con 30, LD 29, Green 22, Lab 14, Ind 5
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Post by marksenior on Nov 26, 2015 8:59:07 GMT
Ashfield SPI 39 Lab 27 Ind 15 Con 12 UKIP 7
Fife Dun N SNP 45 Lab 29 Con 10 LD 10 Green 4 UKIP 2
Fife Rosyth SN 52 Lab 31 Con 7 Ind 3 Green 3 LD 2 UKIP 2
Gwynedd Plaid 44 Ind Parry 26 LG 20 Ind U 10
Lancaster Con 45 Lab 30 Green 11 UKIP 8 LD 6
Newport Lab 42 Ind C 20 Con 15 Ind J 12 LD 6 Green 5
Notts SPI 38 Lab 23 Ind 19 Con 13 UKIP 7
Rochford Con 43 Lab 27 UKIP 23 LD 7
Wiltshire LD 35 Con 31 Lab 16 Green 12 Ind 6
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Post by Arthur Figgis on Nov 26, 2015 8:59:52 GMT
Ashfield, Selston: SPI 41.3, L 22.7, Ind 14.8, C 11.9, UKIP 9.3.
Fife, Dunfermline North: SNP 40.9, L 37.4, C 7.2, LD 6.0, UKIP 5.7, G 2.8.
Fife, Rosyth: SNP 47.9, L 33.3, C 5.6, Ind 5.0, LD 3.1, UKIP 2.5, G 2.5.
Rest to follow, late. Oops.
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maxque
Non-Aligned
Posts: 9,299 
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Post by maxque on Nov 26, 2015 9:00:57 GMT
Ashfield, Selston: SPI 36, Lab 25, Ind 16, Con 16, UKIP 17
Fife, Dunfermline North: SNP 40, Lab 39, LD 11, Con 7, Green 2, UKIP 1
Fife, Rosyth: SNP 48, Lab 38, Con 5, LD 4, UKIP 3, Green 1, Ind 1
Gwynedd, Pwllheli South: PC 35, Ind Parry 33, LG 22, Ind Underwood 10
Lancaster, Carnforth and Millhead: Con 44, Lab 36, Grn 9, UKIP 8, LD 3
Newport, Bettws: Lab 42, Ind Cleverly 28, Con 17, LD 5, Ind Jordan 4, Green 4
Nottinghamshire, Selston: Ind 36, SPI 32, Lab 18, UKIP 7, Con 6
Rochford, Rochford: Con 45.2, Lab 32.2, UKIP 18.3, LD 4.3
Wiltshire, St Edmund and Milford: LD 42, Con 22, Lab 18, Green 13, Ind 5
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Nov 26, 2015 9:04:20 GMT
Wiltshire UA - Salisbury St Edmund & Wilford LD 53.4% Con 22.7% Lab 12.5% Grn 6.7% Ind 4.7% Nottinghamshire CC - Selston SPI 33.7% Lab 24.9% Ind 22.4% UKIP 11.9% Con 7.1% Ashfield DC - Selston SPI 35.6% Ind 25.8% Lab 22.5% UKIP 10.1% Con 6.0% Lancaster BC - Carnforth & Millhead Con 41.9% Lab 38.1% Grn 9.4% UKIP 7.3% LD 3.3% Rochford DC - Rochford Con 43.1% Lab 31.8% UKIP 19.7% LD 5.4% Fife - Dunfermline North SNP 42.3% Lab 29.5% LD 16.8% Con 7.3% Grn 2.9% UKIP 1.2% Fife - Rosyth SNP 45.3% Lab 34.4% LD 8.3% Con 6.7% Grn 1.9% Ind 1.8% UKIP 1.6% Gwynedd - Llanaelhaearn PC 36.8% LG 30.1% Ind 18.2% ND 14.9% Newport CC - Bettws Lab 45.7% Ind C 24.3% Ind J 15.7% Con 9.3% Grn 3.2% LD 1.8% |
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Post by Arthur Figgis on Nov 26, 2015 9:23:01 GMT
Gwynedd, Pwllheli South: PC 34.5, Ind 28.5, LG 25.6, ND 11.4.
Lancaster, Carnforth and Millhead: C 39.1, L 38.7, G 12.0, UKIP 6.1, LD 4.1.
Newport, Bettws: L 38.3, Ind C 20.6, C 16.5, Ind J 15.4, G 5.1, LD 4.1.
Nottinghamshire, Selston: SPI 42.9, L 20.7, Ind 15.0, C 11.6, UKIP 9.8.
Rochford, Rochford: C 47.2, UKIP 25.6, L 24.0, LD 3.2.
Wiltshire, St Edmund and Milford: LD 44.2, C 30.8, L 11.8, Ind 7.4, UKIP 5.8.
Probably the least researched predictions in the world, ever.
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Tony Otim
Green
Suffering from Brexistential Despair
Posts: 11,892
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Post by Tony Otim on Nov 26, 2015 9:25:28 GMT
Another, um, interesting set this week. Ashfield: Ind 33.4 SPI 26.7 Lab 18.9 UKIP 13.2 Con 7.8 Notts: Ind 37.7 SPI 25.2 Lab 17.6 UKIP 12.1 Con 7.4 Fife - Dunfermline North: Lab 35.3 SNP 34.6 LD 15.2 Con 7.1 Grn 4.5 UKIP 3.3 Fife - Rosyth SNP 42.5 Lab 35.5 Con 7.5 LD 6.5 UKIP 3.4 Grn 2.8 Ind 1.8 Gwynedd: PC 42.1 LG 26.4 Ind 18.2 ND 13.3 Lancaster: Con 42.5 Lab 36.1 Grn 11.3 UKIP 6.5 LD 3.6 Newport Lab 45.1 Ind C 20.5 LD 11.8 Ind J 9.2 Con 8.9 Grn 4.5 Rochford: Con 38.7 Lab 33.5 UKIP 24.3 LD 3.5 Wiltshire: Con 36.8 Grn 25.6 LD 17.3 Lab 15.1 Ind 5.2 |
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Tony Otim
Green
Suffering from Brexistential Despair
Posts: 11,892
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Post by Tony Otim on Nov 26, 2015 9:27:37 GMT
I think I'm either going to storm to a glorious victory or crash right down the leaderboard this week Probably the latter... |
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Post by middleenglander on Nov 26, 2015 21:45:04 GMT
9 entries this week with Lennon's boat having apparently been scuttled. Arthur Figgis gets 6 x 5 additional faults for a part late entry along with 0.1 additional fault for adding to 99.9% in Rosyth. Maxque gets 10 additional faults for adding to 110% in Ashfield and another 1 for adding to 99% in Nottinghamshire.
Ashfield: 8 Selston Parish Independent hold with Tony Otim an Independent gain
Fife, Dunfermline North: 8 SNP ahead on first preferences, Greenhert & Robert Waller winning at this stage, Tony Otim has Labour slightly ahead.
Fife, Rosyth: 100% SNP ahead on first preferences, David Boothroyd, Greenhert, Mark Senior, Robert Waller and probably hempie winning at this stage
Gwynedd: 100% Plaid Cymru gain from Llais Gwynedd who come 2nd on only two predictions and 2nd= on a third
Lancaster: 8 Conservative hold with majority ranging from 0.4% (Arthur Figgis) to 15% (Mark Senior & Robert Waller), Greenhert Labour gain
Newport: 100% Labour gain from Independent with majority over Independent Cleverly ranging from 14% (Maxque) to 24.6% (Tony Otim)
Nottinghamshire: 6 Selston Parish Independent hold, David Boothroyd, Maxque & Tony Otim Independent gain
Rochford: 100% Conservative hold with majority ranging from 5.2% (Tony Otim) to 24% (David Boothroyd)
Wiltshire: 7 Liberal Democrat hold with majority ranging from 4% (Mark Senior) to 31.7% (Pete Whitehead), hempie and Tony Otim Conservative gain
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Post by middleenglander on Nov 27, 2015 2:08:53 GMT
Needs a lot of checking in the morning but looks like Pete Whitehead won the month with Robert Waller second and hempie third.
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Nov 27, 2015 9:00:07 GMT
Needs a lot of checking in the morning but looks like Pete Whitehead won the month with Robert Waller second and hempie third. That's me in the silver car  |
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Nov 27, 2015 9:04:28 GMT
Put another way, it's a welcome return to form by Gwynedd.
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Post by middleenglander on Nov 27, 2015 10:27:40 GMT
Will complete later including an amendment to last night's reported figures. We have a serious smash near our house and the road is totally blocked.
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Post by middleenglander on Nov 27, 2015 13:46:38 GMT
Ashfield, Selston
Arthur Figgis 53.9 faults, Mark Senior 58.1, David Boothroyd 58.8, Robert Waller 59.0, Greenhert 61.0, Pete Whitehead 61.8, hempie 63.0, Maxque 72.1+10, Tony Otim 79.6+10
Fife, Dunfermline North
Mark Senior 7.0 faults, Pete Whitehead 15.3, Robert Waller 18.7, hempie 20.0, Greenhert & Maxque 21.9, Arthur Figgis 22.7, David Boothroyd 31.9, Tony Otim 28.5+10
Fife, Rosyth
Pete Whitehead 9.6 faults, Tony Otim 9.9, Arthur Figgis 11.8+0.1, Maxque 13.5, Robert Waller 14.6, hempie & Mark Senior 16.9, David Boothroyd 20.7, Greenhert 21.8
Gwynedd, Pwllheli
Pete Whitehead 61.1+10 faults, Tony Otim 64.3+10, David Boothroyd, Greenhert, Mark Senior & Maxque 70.9+10, Arthur Figgis 68.1+5+10, hempie & Robert Waller 74.9+10
Lancaster, Carnforth & Millhead
Robert Waller 13.9 faults, Maxque 23.5, Mark Senior 24.4, Tony Otim 25.3, Pete Whitehead 27.1, David Boothroyd 27.9, hempie 29.9, Arthur Figgis 31.7+5, Greenhert 35.9+10
Newport, Bettws
Pete Whitehead 38.8+10, Greenhert 43.4+10, Arthur Figgis 43.8+5+10, Robert Waller 50.9+10, Mark Senior & Maxque 51.8+10, hempie 57.8+10, Tony Otim 60.2+10, David Boothroyd 63.3+10
Nottinghamshire, Selston
Greenhert 44.3 faults, hempie 44.5, Mark Senior 50.3, Pete Whitehead 52.1, Arthur Figgis 48.5+5, Robert Waller 56.5, David Boothroyd 49.8+10, Maxque 53.5+1+10, Tony Otim 68.1+10
Rochford, Rochford
Tony Otim 15.5+10 faults, Mark Senior 21.9+10, Pete Whitehead 22.1+10, Greenhert 23.1+10, Maxque 26.3+10, Robert Waller 27.1+10, hempie 29.9+10, David Boothroyd 31.9+10, Arthur Figgis 32.7+5+10
Wiltshire, Salisbury St Edmund & Milford - amended
Tony Otim 17.0 faults, hempie 25.4, Mark Senior 32.5+10, Maxque 44.5+10, Greenhert 50.5+10, David Boothroyd 52.5+10, Robert Waller 58.5+10, Arthur Figgis 53.7+5+10, Pete Whitehead 66.7+10
and for the week:
Mark Senior 373.8 faults, hempie 392.2, Pete Whitehead 394.2 414.1, Robert Waller 414.1, Greenhert 422.8, Tony Otim 428.4, Arthur Figgis 436.9, Maxque 439.0, David Boothroyd 457.7
and for November
798.2 Pete Whitehead
821.3 Robert Waller
833.4 hempie
858.9 Greenhert
863.6 Tony Otim
882.6 Mark Senior
891.6 Maxque
918.8 Arthur Figgis
976.0 David Boothroyd
Objections please by 9.00 am Sunday.
New thread for December.
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