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Post by akmd on Oct 12, 2015 9:51:57 GMT
Yes, I wasn't too sure if Labour did carry Hastings as they certainly won the most wards across the town but the raw figures might have given the Tories the advantage. I'm guessing that, apart from Brighton and Hove, the only other major settlements in the county carried by a party other than the Conservatives were Lewes town and possibly Newhaven?
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Post by thirdchill on Oct 12, 2015 17:02:42 GMT
Would be very nice to see County Durham and Northumberland but can imagine both could be quite difficult, especially in County Durham due to the large number of independent candidates who stand at local elections.
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Oct 17, 2015 13:06:26 GMT
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Post by afleitch on Oct 29, 2015 19:02:55 GMT
Just a heads up. I've almost completed 1992 notionals for Scotland as an experiment, collapsed into 1994 Regional Wards (on which the 1997 to 2001/2007 seats were based) I've used Regional election results as a base as they are more partisan and used a mix of local data and some of the 2007 stuff for Highlands/Borders/D&G to fill in gaps. I plan on doing 1997 etc collapsing more up to date local data into these wards. It's all wonderfully pointless  |
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Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
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Post by Deleted on Oct 29, 2015 21:04:26 GMT
Can I make a request for Northumberland? A challenge..
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Oct 30, 2015 12:14:31 GMT
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The Bishop
Labour
Down With Factionalism!
Posts: 38,931
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Post by The Bishop on Oct 30, 2015 12:25:53 GMT
Is that lonely red blob Huntingdon?
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Oct 30, 2015 12:33:13 GMT
Yes Huntingdon North - if you've ever been there you would not be surprised
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iain
Lib Dem
Posts: 11,435 
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Post by iain on Oct 30, 2015 13:09:30 GMT
What's the result for Queen Edith's?
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Post by afleitch on Oct 30, 2015 22:48:15 GMT
I promise I'll make a separate thread for this when it is done, but here is 1992 for Scotland (less Highlands, Borders D&G) Whole thing will be subject to change.  |
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Oct 31, 2015 11:29:01 GMT
What's the result for Queen Edith's? Con 1616 36.1% Lab 1283 28.6% LD 1034 23.1% Grn 350 7.8% UKIP 198 4.4% |
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iain
Lib Dem
Posts: 11,435
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Post by iain on Nov 1, 2015 22:57:15 GMT
I promise I'll make a separate thread for this when it is done, but here is 1992 for Scotland (less Highlands, Borders D&G) Whole thing will be subject to change. Do you have Inverurie as Tory? I had that down as the least Tory part of Gordon? |
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Post by afleitch on Nov 2, 2015 10:55:12 GMT
I promise I'll make a separate thread for this when it is done, but here is 1992 for Scotland (less Highlands, Borders D&G) Whole thing will be subject to change. Do you have Inverurie as Tory? I had that down as the least Tory part of Gordon? Gordon is a nightmare. A runaway result in 1987 became wafer thin in 1992. I'm going to look at it again using 1990,1992 and 1994 results. |
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Harry Hayfield
Green
Cavalier Gentleman (as in 17th century Cavalier)
Posts: 2,922
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Post by Harry Hayfield on Nov 5, 2015 20:01:03 GMT
Could I ask if Oldham could be mapped (ahead of the by-election in Oldham West) and (when you are able to) Dyfed?
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iain
Lib Dem
Posts: 11,435
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Post by iain on Nov 5, 2015 21:54:57 GMT
Could I ask if Oldham could be mapped (ahead of the by-election in Oldham West) and (when you are able to) Dyfed? Greater Manchester (so including Oldham) is on page 2 |
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Nov 18, 2015 10:25:39 GMT
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Post by thirdchill on Nov 18, 2015 22:05:46 GMT
Cheers Pete those maps are great. Just two questions.
1. Which Morpeth ward do you have labour ahead in?
2. How close were the lib dems to the conservatives in some other wards such as Rothbury?
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Nov 19, 2015 0:31:28 GMT
1. I have Labour ahead in Stobhill but both that ward and Kirkhill were very close between Tory and Labour (North was quite comfortable Tory)
2. The only other ward the Lib Dems were close to winning was Amble West & Warkworth. They were within around 10% in a number of wards like Alnwick, Rothbury, Norham and Islandshires
Bear in mind that in places like this where there were not local elections on general election day, I have used a basket of results rather than just the most recent set. Therefore while Rothbury may appear to be one of the most Lib Dem inclined wards on the basis of the 2013 results (indeed it was the safest of all Lib Dem wards by some way), a longer term analysis of the areas voting behaviour suggests it is not as strongly Lib Dem (in 2005 it returned a Tory county councillor) and therefore the performance in 2013 probably owes more to a personal vote for the sitting councillor that would not readily transfer to another candidate in a general election
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Georg Ebner
Non-Aligned
Roman romantic reactionary Catholic
Posts: 9,839
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Post by Georg Ebner on Nov 25, 2015 15:58:01 GMT
= Cornwall? Or somewhat in Russia?
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Nov 26, 2015 10:18:43 GMT
Just finishing up Leicestershire at the moment. I've not done much in the South West and Cornwall will need doing but it's going to be a bit of a nightmare. I was planning to do Avon next
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