India

[Georg Ebner]

The BJP has won!
Because it has lost!

[Karnataka has nearly allWays voted against the national trend.]

[Georg Ebner]

Thankfully taken from the Times Of India:

[minionofmidas]

This was reasonably interesting
www.hindustantimes.com/india-news/karnataka-elections-analysis-ahinda-resurrection-limits-of-hindutva-and-economic-pain-drive-congress-victory-101683973668084.html

[Georg Ebner]

May 13, 2023 19:06:08 GMT minionofmidas said:

This was reasonably interesting
www.hindustantimes.com/india-news/karnataka-elections-analysis-ahinda-resurrection-limits-of-hindutva-and-economic-pain-drive-congress-victory-101683973668084.html

The BJP could have played the Hindutva-card far more, but declined to do so as Karnataka would have remained an upHillBattle unlikely to be won and the manipulation of ideals too obvious.
Also it remained at respectable ~35% and - with JD(S) being semi-dead - has established itself there as the second big party.

[Georg Ebner]

[The Bishop]

Congress do seem to be making a bit of a comeback at state level.

[eastmidlandsright]

May 14, 2023 11:31:17 GMT The Bishop said:

Congress do seem to be making a bit of a comeback at state level.

Not exactly surprising after 9 years of BJP rule at national level. 

[Georg Ebner]

May 14, 2023 11:31:17 GMT The Bishop said:

Congress do seem to be making a bit of a comeback at state level.

While probably retaining Chhattisgarh they will lose Rajasthan later this year, though.
Modi is still super-popular, it's just, that most regional BJP-governments aren't (as is not unusual in India).

[Georg Ebner]

More alarming for BJP than Karnataka was, that it received in the local elections in Uttar Pradesh only ~50% of councillors, what is not impressive for a regionally governing party.

[rcronald]

May 15, 2023 7:40:50 GMT Georg Ebner said:

More alarming for BJP than Karnataka was, that it received in the local elections in Uttar Pradesh only ~50% of councillors, what is not impressive for a regionally governing party.

Especially since CM Yogi is supposedly popular.

[andrewteale]

May 15, 2023 8:14:33 GMT rcronald said:

May 15, 2023 7:40:50 GMT Georg Ebner said:

More alarming for BJP than Karnataka was, that it received in the local elections in Uttar Pradesh only ~50% of councillors, what is not impressive for a regionally governing party.

Especially since CM Yogi is supposedly popular.

Is he smarter than the average CM?

[The Bishop]

May 14, 2023 17:30:46 GMT eastmidlandsright said:

May 14, 2023 11:31:17 GMT The Bishop said:

Congress do seem to be making a bit of a comeback at state level.

Not exactly surprising after 9 years of BJP rule at national level. 

Well yes, but until recently Congress mostly appeared pretty moribund at regional level as well.

[Georg Ebner]

A poster from another forum broke the elec.-results of Karnataka down into these regions:

[Georg Ebner]

Election results of the states:



Since spring 2022 NDA&BJP have been gaining vote-% (+0.16%/0.30%), whereas UPA/INC has been further falling (-0.10%/0.18%).

[Georg Ebner]

ibfc was so friendly to send me the Elec.Comm.'s tables - and here are first fruits:

[Georg Ebner]

MarginMap for BJP+ vs. SP+:

Already posted before was the map showing the %-changes of the margins 2017 vs. 2022.

[Georg Ebner]

[Georg Ebner]

Gujarat:

[Pete Whitehead]

Gujarat looks a bit like a back to front Tendring where number 82 on that map is Walton-on-the-Naze

[ibfc]

82 is Dwarka, one of the holiest towns in India.