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Post by hullenedge on Apr 21, 2021 10:07:41 GMT
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Apr 21, 2021 10:13:27 GMT
Who the fuck is Omilana?
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Post by No Offence Alan on Apr 21, 2021 10:18:25 GMT
He is a Youtube/Twitter "influencer". The cross-break by age will be interesting; I suspect he will be scoring heavily in the 18-24 age range. (I had to Google him)
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Apr 21, 2021 10:20:21 GMT
I wonder if they randomised the order of the Independents and others rather than listing them alphabetically and he ended up on the top, therefore getting much of the 'None of the above' vote.
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The Bishop
Labour
Down With Factionalism!
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Post by The Bishop on Apr 21, 2021 10:39:09 GMT
In reality I doubt the "other" candidates will win anything like that between them, I think ComRes have done this sort of thing before in national polling.
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Apr 21, 2021 10:45:40 GMT
The biggest second vote margin of all was Ken Livingstone in 2000 who had 57.9% of the two way vote, so it would be the largest margin ever in the history of the Mayoralty.
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iain
Lib Dem
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Post by iain on Apr 21, 2021 11:28:06 GMT
I wonder if they randomised the order of the Independents and others rather than listing them alphabetically and he ended up on the top, therefore getting much of the 'None of the above' vote. Nope, don’t think so. On the cross tabs (I know I know) he is actually second with black people and with 18-24s, which does indicate some degree of actual support (though I doubt it is 5%).
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Post by afleitch on Apr 21, 2021 12:19:08 GMT
Good to see Binface getting the same 1% as actual binfaces.
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mondialito
Labour
Everything is horribly, brutally possible.
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Post by mondialito on Apr 21, 2021 13:08:16 GMT
Good to see Binface getting the same 1% as actual binfaces. In the "Who are you voting for?" thread I said I would vote for an independent who doesn't seem to have made the ballot. I am now thinking of giving Khan my first preference in the hope of a 1st round victory over Bailey, but if other pollsters show similar figures it may yet go to Binface with Khan getting my transfer.
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johnloony
Conservative
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Post by johnloony on Apr 21, 2021 13:41:44 GMT
That’s obviously a load of five-dimensional dribblesquelch with knobs on. 17% in total for the abovementioned? I guess they rounded up everybody to 1% each just for the LOLz.
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Post by Andrew_S on Apr 21, 2021 13:54:06 GMT
That’s obviously a load of five-dimensional dribblesquelch with knobs on. 17% in total for the abovementioned? I guess they rounded up everybody to 1% each just for the LOLz. The top 4 candidates' percentages adds up to 83% so maybe the 17% figure for others is correct. Not being sarcastic or anything. I just thought when I added up the top 4 candidates they might come to more than 83% which might have shown that there was a lot of rounding up going on with the minor candidates.
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Post by greenhert on Apr 21, 2021 18:01:39 GMT
Another interesting thing about this poll: Burning Pink's Valerie Brown did not attract a single vote in this poll. Even Piers Corbyn got 2 votes in that poll.
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Post by froome on Apr 21, 2021 20:29:34 GMT
17% seems far too excessive, but given the strange circumstances the election is taking place in, it can't be discounted.
I wonder how many votes Piers Corbyn will mistakenly get from Corbynites...
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Post by london(ex)tory on Apr 21, 2021 20:44:24 GMT
Another interesting thing about this poll: Burning Pink's Valerie Brown did not attract a single vote in this poll. Even Piers Corbyn got 2 votes in that poll. Good. Even by the standards of mad leftist eco loons she’s utterly hatstand.
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Post by hullenedge on Apr 23, 2021 8:31:47 GMT
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Post by hullenedge on Dec 3, 2021 13:22:30 GMT
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Post by andrew111 on Jan 28, 2022 14:59:40 GMT
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Mar 14, 2022 11:20:15 GMT
New poll from Deltapoll Write-up for OnLondon here.
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Post by mattbewilson on Mar 14, 2022 11:54:07 GMT
worth saying that the London local polls tend to overestimate the gap between Labour and Tories. It was 20% plus in 2018 but was actually 15% and last May it was 10% plus and ended up being 5%.
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andrewp
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Post by andrewp on Mar 14, 2022 12:06:59 GMT
Appreciate that it’s not possible to do exactly given the boundary changes, but has any one done any estimates as to what percent swing would be needed for Boroughs to change hands? Eg Wandsworth, Barnet, Westminster, Hillingdon?
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