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Post by Pete Whitehead on Dec 12, 2013 9:14:18 GMT
Warwickshire CC - Bedworth West Lab 58.2% Con 23.7% UKIP 13.2% TUSC 4.9% Richmondshire DC - Hornby Castle UKIP 35.5% Con 32.9% Ind 31.6% South Buckinghamshire DC - Iver Village & Richings Park Con 53.3% LD 25.5% UKIP 21.2% |
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Post by middleenglander on Dec 12, 2013 13:46:56 GMT
Will be away overnight. Official results tomorrow late afternoon / early evening.
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Dec 12, 2013 17:05:56 GMT
8 entries so far with nothing public yet from Tonyotim but we may surmise he's emailed an entry to Middle Englander.
Of the 8 entries we have unanimity on a Labour hold in Nuneaton with Conservatives second, majority ranging from 28% to 47%
Near unanimity in South Bucks with 7 predictions of a Conservative gain (6 of these have the LDs in second, Catholic Left has UKIP second). Majority ranges from 5% to 27.8%
Richmondshire has rather a lot more variety. Four people are predicting an Independent gain with majorities ranging from 2% over UKIP to 9% over the Conservatives. Greatkingrat and Hempie predict a narrow Conservative hold over the Independent while Carlton and Pete Whitehead predict a UKIP gain with the Conservatives second
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Dec 12, 2013 17:10:44 GMT
Average predictions
Warwickshire CC - Bedworth West
Lab 56.3%
Con 22.2%
UKIP 16.2%
TUSC 5.4%
Richmondshire DC - Hornby Castle
Ind 35.8%
Con 34.5%
UKIP 29.7%
South Buckinghamshire DC - Iver Village & Richings Park
Con 43.3%
LD 32.1%
UKIP 24.7%
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Post by Robert Waller on Dec 12, 2013 23:14:10 GMT
South Bucks another triumph for the panel ....  - no one nearer than about 30 faults, I think (catholic left?) |
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Dec 12, 2013 23:19:07 GMT
Iver : Catholic Left 29.6 Mark Senior 37.6 Pete Whitehead 41.4 Robert Waller 41.6 Philip Davis 43.8 Greatkingrat 47.6 Hempie 49.6 Tonyotim 55.0 Carlton 55.6 +10
Puts Robert ahead on the monthly aggregate..
Bedworth: Philip Davis 8.0 Pete Whitehead 10.2 Greatkingrat 15.1 Catholic Left 15.2 Tonyotim 17.8 Hempie 18.0 MArk Senior 19.1 Robert Waller 22.0 Carlton 34.0
Which puts Phil back in the lead for the month. CAtholic Left leading the week
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carlton43
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Post by carlton43 on Dec 12, 2013 23:20:43 GMT
Bloody hell! I got more than 30 faults on one candidate and the order in reverse. I declare myself the Lord Lucan of the panel. I'm just off to batter the home help to death before slipping off by boat to the Island of Rona (damn...shouldn't have said that!)!
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Post by Deleted on Dec 12, 2013 23:21:09 GMT
South Bucks another triumph for the panel .... - no one nearer than about 30 faults, I think (catholic left?) I bottled it a bit, I should have put the Lib Dems lower as their candidate has a history of polling poorly in both national and local elections. |
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Tony Otim
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Post by Tony Otim on Dec 13, 2013 9:07:32 GMT
Richmondshire: Ind 39.2 UKIP 32.3 Con 28.5 South Bucks: Con 40.1 LD 38.7 UKIP 21.2 Warwickshire: Lab 56.8 Con 21.3 UKIP 13.9 TUSC 8.0 I make it I've got 17.8 for Warks and 55.0 for South Bucks  |
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Dec 13, 2013 10:52:23 GMT
Hornby Castle
Greatkingrat 13.6 Hempie 14.4 Philip Davies 20.4 +10 Mark Senior 26.4 +10 CAtholicleft 28.4 +10 Robert waller 32.4 +10 Pete Whitehead 34.6 +10 Tonyotim 35.4 +10 Carlton 41.6 +10
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Dec 13, 2013 10:56:49 GMT
For the week
Greatkingrat 76.3
Hempie 81.9
phildav 82.1
Catholic left 83.1
Mark Senior 93.0
Pete Whitehead 96.2
Robert Waller 105.9
Tonyotim 118.1
Carlton 151.2
For the month
Greatkingrat 286.3
phildav 287.3
Robert Waller 311.3
Pete Whitehead 314.0
Hempie 316.5
Mark Senior 330.1
Tonyotim 339.2
Catholic left 396.6
Carlton 402.3
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Tony Otim
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Post by Tony Otim on Dec 13, 2013 11:05:44 GMT
Congrats to greatkingrat for the week!
I think my lack of preparation/ressearch time is starting to show...
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Post by middleenglander on Dec 13, 2013 14:45:16 GMT
I concur with Pete's results, just adding that CatholicLeft would have been on 276.6 if only.
Objections please by 5.00 pm Saturday.
9 contests next week. Predictions on this thread by 9.00am on Thursday.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Dec 13, 2013 15:05:44 GMT
I concur with Pete's results, just adding that CatholicLeft would have been on 276.6 if only. Objections please by 5.00 pm Saturday. 9 contests next week. Predictions on this thread by 9.00am on Thursday. I know....it is like an open wound. |
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carlton43
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Post by carlton43 on Dec 13, 2013 15:42:43 GMT
I concur with Pete's results, just adding that CatholicLeft would have been on 276.6 if only. Objections please by 5.00 pm Saturday. 9 contests next week. Predictions on this thread by 9.00am on Thursday. I know....it is like an open wound. Dont you start. Its bad enough Tony saying he does no prep. You are the only two keeping me in sight of the peloton. |
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Dec 13, 2013 15:58:33 GMT
We have 9 by-elections next week including one very tricky one in the Highlands so all to play for still.
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Post by Deleted on Dec 13, 2013 17:55:04 GMT
I know....it is like an open wound. Dont you start. Its bad enough Tony saying he does no prep. You are the only two keeping me in sight of the peloton. The problem is, I do research and then, for some stupid act of God or computer glitch, don't meet the deadline. It is infuriating and, I suppose, a lesson in humility......mostly infuriating though. |
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Post by marksenior on Dec 18, 2013 22:24:35 GMT
Bolton Lab 57 UKIP 17 Con 15 LD 8 Green 3
Fenland Con 34 UKIP 24 Ind 20 Lab 16 LD 6
Forest Heath Con 59 UKIP 41
Highland Ind B 25 Ind F 20 SNP 16 LD 15 Lab 8 Green 6 Ind P 5 Con 5
Lincs Con 40 UKIP 25 LD 19 Linc Ind 16
Mid Sussex Con 42 UKIP 24 LD 18 Lab 10 Green 6
Torfaen Lab 45 Ind 22 Plaid 17 UKIP 9 Con 7
W Lindsey Con 47 UKIP 27 LD 16 Ind 10
W Sussex Con 39 UKIP 26 Lab 16 LD 15 Green 4
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Post by Robert Waller on Dec 18, 2013 23:30:00 GMT
Bolton Lab 68 UKIP 13 Con 14 LD 3 Green 2
Fenland Con 34 UKIP 32 Ind 19 Lab 12 LD 3
Forest Heath Con 49 UKIP 51
Highland Ind B 32 Ind F 14 SNP 18 LD 15 Lab 6 Green 6 Ind P 5 Con 4
Lincs Con 38 UKIP 21 LD 18 Linc Ind 23
Mid Sussex Con 39 UKIP 24 LD 17 Lab 16 Green 4
Torfaen Lab 57 Ind 23 Plaid 6 UKIP 6 Con 8
W Lindsey Con 50 UKIP 30 LD 10 Ind 10
W Sussex Con 36 UKIP 25 Lab 21 LD 14 Green 4
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Post by greatkingrat on Dec 19, 2013 0:02:38 GMT
BOLTON - Lab 66, Con 14, UKIP 11, LD 6, Grn 3
FENLAND - Con 36, UKIP 23, Ind 19, Lab 14, LD 8
FOREST HEATH - Con 58, UKIP 42
HIGHLAND - Barclay 29, Fraser 20, LD 16, SNP 15, Lab 6, Phillips 6, Grn 5, Con 3
LINCOLNSHIRE - Con 37, UKIP 23, Ind 22, LD 18
MID SUSSEX - Con 42, UKIP 24, LD 19, Lab 12, Grn 3
TORFAEN - Lab 61, Ind 15, PC 12, Con 7, UKIP 5
WEST LINDSEY - Day 35, Con 33, UKIP 19, LD 13
WEST SUSSEX - Con 35, UKIP 26, Lab 20, LD 16, Grn 3
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- no one nearer than about 30 faults, I think (catholic left?)
