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Post by middleenglander on Nov 30, 2013 23:32:16 GMT
There were 21 principal local authority by-elections scheduled during December although the Conservatives retained one seat unopposed leaving 20 contests:
* 8 on 5th December
* 3 on 12th December
* 9 on 19th December
9 are within District Councils, 7 last contested in 2011, 1 in 2012 and 1 where there was a by-election in 2012
3 in Metropolitan Boroughs which have elections 3 years in 4
3 for County Council Division elected earlier this year in May
3 for Welsh Councils and 2 in Scottish Councils last elected in 2012.
Labour are defending 9 seats, 5 following the death of the former Councillor, 3 resignations and 1 disqualification for non-attendance
Conservatives are defending 8 seats, 6 from a death, 1 a resignation and 1 disqualification after a long term illness
Lib Dems defend 1 seat following a resignation whilst Independents and a Resident Association each defend 1 seat following a death.
Conservatives are contesting 20 seats, Labour 15, Lib Dems 14 with UKIP 19, Greens 8 and Independents having 10 candidates in 7 seats
SNP, Plaid Cymru, BNP & English Democrats each have 2 candidates, TUSAC are contesting 7 whilst there are resident groups in Chelmsford, Dartford & Lincolnshire
and single candidates for Britannica, Christian, Communist, Liberal, No Bedroom Tax, Pirate, Scottish Democratic Alliance, Scottish Socialist and No Description
a total of 113 candidates or an average of around 5½ per seat.
Predictions on this thread by 9.00 am on day of election.
There are 12 candidates in Glasgow Shettleston on 5th December. As for the Glasgow, Govan election, I propose predictions for Conservative, Labour, Lib Dems, SNP, UKIP, Green and No Bedroom Tax with the remaining 5 (Britannica, Christian, Democratic Alliance, Socialist and TUSAC) combined to give effectively 8 candidates.
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Post by Robert Waller on Dec 4, 2013 20:53:41 GMT
CARDIFF - Riverside (Labour resigned)
Joel BEER (Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition) 1.5
Aled CROW (Welsh Conservative Party Candidate) 5
Sian DONNE (Liberal Democrats / Democratiaid Rhyddfrydol) 2
Elizabeth GOULD (Plaid Cymru - The Party of Wales) 33
Darren WILLIAMS (Welsh Labour / Llafur Cymru) 54.5
Simon ZEIGLER (UKIP Wales / UKIP Cymru) 4
CARDIFF - Splott (Labour resigned)
Elys JOHN (Independent) 5
Daniel MASON (Welsh Conservative Party Candidate) 3
Jamie MATTHEWS (Liberal Democrats / Democratiaid Rhyddfrydol) 30
Brian MORRIS (UKIP Wales) 4
Edward STUBBS (Welsh Labour / Llafur Cymru) 56.5
Katrine WILLIAMS (Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition) 1.5
CHELMSFORD - South Woodham Elmwood and Woodville (Conservative disqualified)
Derek BARNETT (The Labour Party Candidate) 8
Linda DENSTON (The Conservative Party Candidate) 32
Jeni GOLDFINCH (Liberal Democrats) 2
Ian NICHOLLS (UK Independence Party) 18
Ian ROBERTS (South Woodham Ferrers Independents) 40
DARTFORD - Swanscombe (Residents Association died)
Steve DORAN (Labour Party Candidate) 21
Steven JARNELL (The Conservative Party Candidate) 5
Richard LEES (Independent) 25
Vic OPENSHAW (Swanscombe and Greenhithe Residents Association) 31
Stephen WILDERS (UKIP) 18
GLASGOW - Shettleston (Labour died)
Charles BAILLIE (Britannica) 0.5
Tommy BALL (Scottish Socialist Party - People Not Profit) 1
Jamie COCOZZA (Scottish Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition) 1
Laura DOHERTY (Scottish National Party (SNP)) 30
Alasdair DUKE (Scottish Green Party) 1
John FLANAGAN (No Bedroom Tax - No Welfare Cuts) 5
Raymond MCCRAE (Scottish Conservative and Unionist) 2.5
Victor MURPHY (Scottish Christian Party "Proclaiming Christ's Lordship") 2
Martin NEILL (Scottish Labour Party) 54
James SPIERS (Scottish Liberal Democrats) 0.5
Arthur THACKERAY (UKIP) 2
James TROLLAND (Scottish Democratic Alliance) 0.5
LIVERPOOL - Riverside (Labour resigned)
Peter COONEY (Independent) 3
Michelle CORRIGAN (The Labour Party Candidate) 70
Martin DOBSON (The Green Party) 10
Alison GOUDIE (Independent) 3
Chris HALL (The Conservative Party Candidate) 2
Adam HEATHERINGTON (UK Independence Party) 5
John MARSTON (Trade Unionists and Socialists Against Cuts) 3
Steven MCELLENBOROUGH (English Democrats - "Putting England First!") 2
Kevin WHITE (Liberal Democrat) 2
MANCHESTER - Ancoats and Clayton (Labour died)
Caroline BELLAMY (Communist League) 1
Pete BIRKINSHAW (Green Party) 4
Gareth BLACK (British National Party) 2
Alex DAVIDSON (Trade Unionists and Socialists Against Cuts) 1
Ken DOBSON (The Liberal Party) 1.5
Loz KAYE (Pirate Party UK) 4
Ollie MANCO (Labour Party Candidate) 75
Claude NSUMBU (Liberal Democrat) 1
Martin POWER (UK Independence Party) 7.5
David SEMPLE (Conservative and Unionist Party) 3
NUNEATON AND BEDWORTH - Arbury (Labour disqualified)
Trevor BEARD (UK Independence Party (UKIP)) 14
Alwyn DEACON (British National Party) 4
Patricia ELLIOTT (Labour Party Candidate) 52
Jeffrey MORGAN (Conservative Party Candidate) 24
Aiden O'TOOLE (Trade Unionists and Socialists Against Cuts) 1
Stephen PAXTON (English Democrats - "England's National Party!") 1
Michael WRIGHT (The Green Party Candidate) 4
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Post by marksenior on Dec 4, 2013 21:39:19 GMT
Cardiff Riverside Lab 45 Plaid 29 UKIP 10 Con 6 Green 5 LD 3 TUSC 2
Cardiff Splott Lab 48 LD 28 Ind 10 UKIP 7 Con 4 TUSC 3
Chelmsford SWFI 38 Con 34 UKIP 16 Lab 7 LD 5
Dartford SGRA 43 Lab 20 Ind 18 UKIP 15 Con 4
Glasgow Lab 54 SNP 26 NBT 7 Con 4 Green 3 UKIP 2 LD 1 Others 3
Liverpool Lab 74 UKIP 7 Green 6 TUSC 4 LD 3 Con 2 Ind 2 each Eng Dem 0
Manchester Lab 67 UKIP 9 Green 7 TUSC 5 BNP 3 LD 3 Pirate 2 Con 2 Comm 1 Liberal 1
Nuneaton Lab 45 UKIP 21 Con 18 BNP 6 Green 5 TUSC 3 Eng Dem 2
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carlton43
Reform Party
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Post by carlton43 on Dec 4, 2013 22:33:17 GMT
Cardiff Riverside Lab 42 PC 39 UKIP 7 Con 6 LibDem 5 TUSC 1
Cardiff Splott Lab 50 LibDem 35 UKIP 9 Con 5 TUSC 1 Ind *
Chelmsford (SW) SWFI 39 Con 34 UKIP 15 Lab 8 LibDem4
Dartford (S) SGRA 47 UKIP 17 Lab 16 Con 10 Ind 10
Glasgow (S) Lab 58 SNP 28 Con 5 UKIP 4 GRN 2 Libdem 1 STUSC 1 SCP 1 Others *
Liverpool (R) Lab 78 UKIP 11 GRN 4 LibDem 3 EndDem 1 TUSC 1 Con 1 Inds 1
Manchester (A) Lab 70 UKIP 17 Con 5 GRN 3 PP 1 BNP 1 LibDem 1 Comm 1 TUSC 1 Lib *
Nuneaton & Bedworth (A) Lab 48 Con 23 UKIP 15 GRN 9 BNP 3 TUSC 1 EngDem 1
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Post by greatkingrat on Dec 5, 2013 1:35:11 GMT
CARDIFF (Riverside) - Lab 50, PC 33, Con 7, UKIP 5, LD 3, TUSC 2
CARDIFF (Splott) - Lab 51, LD 34, UKIP 5, Con 4, Ind 4, TUSC 2
CHELMSFORD - Con 33, SWFI 31, UKIP 25, Lab 7, LD 4
DARTFORD - Con 28, SGRA 25, UKIP 19, Ind 16, Lab 12
GLASGOW - Lab 56, SNP 27, NBT 6, Con 4, UKIP 2, Grn 2, LD 1, Oth 2
LIVERPOOL - Lab 68, Grn 8, Goudie 7, UKIP 5, TUSC 4, Con 3, LD 2, Cooney 2, ED 1
MANCHESTER - Lab 68, UKIP 9, Grn 5, Con 5, PP 3, BNP 3, LD 2, TUSC 2, Lib 2, Comm 1
NUNEATON - Lab 48, Con 25, UKIP 13, Grn 7, BNP 3, TUSC 2, ED 2
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Post by hempie on Dec 5, 2013 8:23:04 GMT
Cardiff, Riverside: Lab 48, Plaid 30, UKIP 8, Con 7,LD 5, TUSC 2
Cardiff, Splott: Lab 53, LD 27, UKIP 8, Ind 5,Con 5, TUSC 2
Chelmsford, South Woodham Ferrers & Woodville: SWFI 38, Con 32, UKIP 18, Lab 7, LD 5
Dartford, Swanscombe: SGRA 47, Lab 23, UKIP 15, Ind 10, Con 5
Glasgow, Shettleston: Lab 38, SNP 30, NBT 9, Con 5, UKIP 4, Green 3, LD 3, Others 8
Liverpool, Riverside: Lab 63, Green 7, UKIP 6, LD 5,TUSC 5,Con 4, Ind Cooney 4, Ind Goudie 4, Eng Dem 2
Manchester, Ancoats & Clayton: Lab 59, UKIP 12, Green 6, Con 5, Pirate 5, BNP 4, LD 4,TUSC 2, Liberal 2, Communist 1
Nuneaton, Arbury: Lab 42, Con 24, UKIP 14,Green 11, BNP 5, TUSC 2, Eng Dem 2
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Dec 5, 2013 10:07:23 GMT
Liverpool MB - Riverside Lab 71.3% UKIP 6.8% Grn 5.2% TUSC 4.2% LD 4.0% Con 3.6% ED 1.9% Ind C 1.7% Ind G 1.3% Manchester MB - Ancoats & Clayton Lab 69.3% UKIP 7.3% Grn 4.7% Con 4.2% TUSC 4.0% PP 3.5% BNP 2.4% LD 2.1% Com 1.3% Lib 1.2% Chelmsford BC - South Woodham Elmwood & Woodville Con 36.4% SWFI 28.9% UKIP 20.9% Lab 9.6% LD 4.2% Dartford BC - Swanscombe SGRA 43.5% Lab 19.1% UKIP 18.6% Ind 12.4% Con 6.4% Nuneaton & Bedworth BC - Arbury Lab 44.0% Con 24.2% UKIP 13.4% BNP 8.4% Grn 5.5% ED 2.4% TUSC 2.1% Glasgow CC - Shettleston Lab 54.1% SNP 24.7% NBT 6.4% Con 4.1% UKIP 2.4% Grn 1.2% LD 1.0% Oth 6.1% Cardiff CC - Riverside Lab 47.2% PC 30.5% Con 8.8% UKIP 5.9% LD 4.7% TUSC 2.9% Cardiff CC - Splott Lab 50.3% LD 28.7% Ind 9.5% Con 4.5% UKIP 3.8% TUSC 3.2% |
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Dec 5, 2013 11:14:44 GMT
Can't blame the computer this time - out late last night and then called out this morning. Just had a paddling pool fly out in front of me whilst driving, which begs the question: who has a paddling pool pumped up and outside in December?
CARDIFF (Riverside) - Lab 48, PC 32, Con 8, UKIP 7, LD 3, TUSC 2
CARDIFF (Splott) - Lab 48, LD 37, UKIP 6, Con 4, Ind 3, TUSC 2
CHELMSFORD - SWFI 32, Con 31, UKIP 25, Lab 9, LD 3
DARTFORD - SGRA 29, Con 26, Lab 20, UKIP 14, Ind 11
GLASGOW - Lab 54, SNP 27, NBT 8, Con 3, UKIP 3, Grn 2, LD 1, Oth 2
LIVERPOOL - Lab 70, Grn 10, Goudie 5, UKIP 5, TUSC 3, Con 3, LD 2, Cooney 1, ED 1
MANCHESTER - Lab 70, UKIP 9, Grn 5, Con 5, BNP 3, PP 2, LD 2, TUSC 2, Lib 1, Comm 1
NUNEATON - Lab 45, Con 27, UKIP 15, Grn 5, BNP 4, TUSC 2, ED 2
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Post by Philip Davies on Dec 5, 2013 13:10:47 GMT
CARDIFF - Riverside Joel BEER (Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition) 2.5 Aled CROW (Welsh Conservative Party Candidate) 7.5 Sian DONNE (Liberal Democrats / Democratiaid Rhyddfrydol) 3.5 Elizabeth GOULD (Plaid Cymru - The Party of Wales) 30 Darren WILLIAMS (Welsh Labour / Llafur Cymru) 51.5 Simon ZEIGLER (UKIP Wales / UKIP Cymru) 5 CARDIFF - Splott Elys JOHN (Independent) 2 Daniel MASON (Welsh Conservative Party Candidate) 4.5 Jamie MATTHEWS (Liberal Democrats / Democratiaid Rhyddfrydol) 31.5 Brian MORRIS (UKIP Wales) 5 Edward STUBBS (Welsh Labour / Llafur Cymru) 54 Katrine WILLIAMS (Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition) 3 CHELMSFORD - South Woodham Elmwood and Woodville Derek BARNETT (The Labour Party Candidate) 10.5 Linda DENSTON (The Conservative Party Candidate) 30 Jeni GOLDFINCH (Liberal Democrats) 3.5 Ian NICHOLLS (UK Independence Party) 20 Ian ROBERTS (South Woodham Ferrers Independents) 36 DARTFORD - Swanscombe Steve DORAN (Labour Party Candidate) 20 Steven JARNELL (The Conservative Party Candidate) 15 Richard LEES (Independent) 20 Vic OPENSHAW (Swanscombe and Greenhithe Residents Association) 27.5 Stephen WILDERS (UKIP) 17.5 GLASGOW - Shettleston Laura DOHERTY (Scottish National Party (SNP)) 30 Alasdair DUKE (Scottish Green Party) 1.5 John FLANAGAN (No Bedroom Tax - No Welfare Cuts) 9 Raymond MCCRAE (Scottish Conservative and Unionist) 4 Martin NEILL (Scottish Labour Party) 48 James SPIERS (Scottish Liberal Democrats) 0.5 Arthur THACKERAY (UKIP) 2 Charles BAILLIE (Britannica) Tommy BALL (Scottish Socialist Party - People Not Profit) Jamie COCOZZA (Scottish Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition) Victor MURPHY (Scottish Christian Party "Proclaiming Christ's Lordship") James TROLLAND (Scottish Democratic Alliance) Combined: 5 LIVERPOOL - Riverside Peter COONEY (Independent) 2 Michelle CORRIGAN (The Labour Party Candidate) 69.5 Martin DOBSON (The Green Party) 7.5 Alison GOUDIE (Independent) 1 Chris HALL (The Conservative Party Candidate) 3.5 Adam HEATHERINGTON (UK Independence Party) 5 John MARSTON (Trade Unionists and Socialists Against Cuts) 5 Steven MCELLENBOROUGH (English Democrats - "Putting England First!") 2.5 Kevin WHITE (Liberal Democrat) 4 MANCHESTER - Ancoats and Clayton Caroline BELLAMY (Communist League) 1 Pete BIRKINSHAW (Green Party) 4 Gareth BLACK (British National Party) 2 Alex DAVIDSON (Trade Unionists and Socialists Against Cuts) 2 Ken DOBSON (The Liberal Party) 7 Loz KAYE (Pirate Party UK) 3 Ollie MANCO (Labour Party Candidate) 66 Claude NSUMBU (Liberal Democrat) 2.5 Martin POWER (UK Independence Party) 8 David SEMPLE (Conservative and Unionist Party) 4.5 NUNEATON AND BEDWORTH - Arbury Trevor BEARD (UK Independence Party (UKIP)) 15 Alwyn DEACON (British National Party) 3 Patricia ELLIOTT (Labour Party Candidate) 53 Jeffrey MORGAN (Conservative Party Candidate) 20 Aiden O'TOOLE (Trade Unionists and Socialists Against Cuts) 2 Stephen PAXTON (English Democrats - "England's National Party!") 2 Michael WRIGHT (The Green Party Candidate) 5 |
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Tony Otim
Green
Suffering from Brexistential Despair
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Post by Tony Otim on Dec 5, 2013 20:44:11 GMT
Chelmsford: Con 36.1 SWFI 27.4 UKIP 22.7 Lab 9.2 LD 4.6 Dartford: Res 34.4 Lab 21.5 UKIP 17.2 Con 14.7 Ind 12.2 Liverpool: Lab 70.8 Ind G 6.6 Grn 5.8 UKIP 4.0 TUSC 3.9 LD 3.2 Con 3.0 ED 1.6 INd C 1.1 Manchester: Lab 66.8 UKIP 9.8 Grn 4.9 Con 4.6 Pir 4.1 BNP 2.8 TUSC 2.4 LD 2.1 Lib 1.7 Comm 0.8 Nuneaton & Bedworth: Lab 50.8 Con 20.2 UKIP 13.7 BNP 6.2 Grn 4.6 TUSC 2.9 ED 1.6 Cardiff - Riverside Lab 47.2 PC 32.1 Con 7.9 UKIP 4.9 LD 4.1 TUSC 3.8 Cardiff - Splott Lab 46.7 LD 31.3 Ind 10.2 Con 4.1 UKIP 3.9 TUSC 3.8 Glasgow Lab 57.2 SNP 26.6 NBT 7.1 Con 3.1 Oth 2.5 UKIP 1.5 Grn 1.2 LD 0.8 |
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Post by middleenglander on Dec 5, 2013 23:37:22 GMT
Apolpgies for being slow tonight, but have been dealing with my mother's death a few days before her 95th.
Nuneaton & Bedworth, Arbury
greatkingrat 31.9+10 faults, hempie & Pete Whitehead 32.8+10, Carlton43 35.9+10, Robert Waller 36.2+10, tonyotim 42.6+10, CatholicLeft 28.2+15+10, PhiDav 43.4+10, Mark Senior 46.2+10
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Post by Philip Davies on Dec 5, 2013 23:41:45 GMT
Apolpgies for being slow tonight, but have been dealing with my mother's death a few days before her 95th. Nuneaton & Bedworth, Arburygreatkingrat 31.9+10 faults, hempie & Pete Whitehead 32.8+10, Carlton43 35.9+10, Robert Waller 36.2+10, tonyotim 42.6+10, CatholicLeft 28.2+15+10, PhiDav 43.4+10, Mark Senior 46.2+10 Very sorry to hear your sad news  |
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Dec 5, 2013 23:48:00 GMT
Apolpgies for being slow tonight, but have been dealing with my mother's death a few days before her 95th. Nuneaton & Bedworth, Arburygreatkingrat 31.9+10 faults, hempie & Pete Whitehead 32.8+10, Carlton43 35.9+10, Robert Waller 36.2+10, tonyotim 42.6+10, CatholicLeft 28.2+15+10, PhiDav 43.4+10, Mark Senior 46.2+10 I am so sorry for your loss. I'll light a candle for her and all your family. |
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Dec 5, 2013 23:52:11 GMT
Very sorry to hear that Middle Englander
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Post by Philip Davies on Dec 5, 2013 23:54:35 GMT
I am getting 10.8 faults for myself on Cardiff Riverside.
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carlton43
Reform Party
Posts: 50,890
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Post by carlton43 on Dec 5, 2013 23:57:42 GMT
Our condolences and deep sympathy ME coupled with profound respect for your diligence to duty.
As new boy to this thread will you direct me to where I can look at rules, scoring system and 'faults' please.
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Post by Andrew_S on Dec 6, 2013 0:03:57 GMT
Our condolences and deep sympathy ME coupled with profound respect for your diligence to duty. As new boy to this thread will you direct me to where I can look at rules, scoring system and 'faults' please. I'd like to associate myself with carlton's comments regarding this sad news. |
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Post by marksenior on Dec 6, 2013 0:08:47 GMT
Our condolences and deep sympathy ME coupled with profound respect for your diligence to duty. As new boy to this thread will you direct me to where I can look at rules, scoring system and 'faults' please. I'd like to associate myself with carlton's comments regarding this sad news. Also my condolences , same age as Nelson Mandela !! |
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Post by greatkingrat on Dec 6, 2013 0:21:29 GMT
Our condolences and deep sympathy ME coupled with profound respect for your diligence to duty. As new boy to this thread will you direct me to where I can look at rules, scoring system and 'faults' please. Basically your score is the sum of the differences between your prediction and the actual results. For example Prediction - Con 40, Lab 35, LD 25 Actual - Con 44, Lab 29, LD 27 Score would be (44-40) + (35-29) + (27-25) = 4+6+2 = 12 faults. In addition you receive an extra 10 faults if you predict the wrong winner. |
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carlton43
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Post by carlton43 on Dec 6, 2013 0:24:13 GMT
Our condolences and deep sympathy ME coupled with profound respect for your diligence to duty. As new boy to this thread will you direct me to where I can look at rules, scoring system and 'faults' please. Basically your score is the sum of the differences between your prediction and the actual results. For example Prediction - Con 40, Lab 35, LD 25 Actual - Con 44, Lab 29, LD 27 Score would be (44-40) + (35-29) + (27-25) = 4+6+2 = 12 faults. In addition you receive an extra 10 faults if you predict the wrong winner. Many thanks for courtesy of reply GKR. What a lots of +10s tonight! |
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