|
|
Post by AdminSTB on Oct 24, 2013 21:25:35 GMT
I would argue against that, it's often possible for tellers and campaigners on the ground to have a feel of the mood of the electorate, and how much of their own support has turned out to vote. I'm not saying they can accurately predict results to the percentage point, but you can usually tell if one side has swept to victory, or if it's going to be a long night of recounts.
|
|
|
|
Post by East Anglian Lefty on Oct 24, 2013 21:32:28 GMT
I think campaigners can (tellers not so much), but they rarely have access to the data to tell if what they're seeing is representative. What's more, if you know what's going on you're more likely to still be involved. Reliable data doesn't come back until everybody's had time to pack up and have a pint.
|
|
|
|
Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Oct 24, 2013 21:33:17 GMT
Live report on Reporting Scotland just now showing no ballot papers have yet touched the green baize on the tables. Reporter refusing to predict result.
|
|
andrea
Non-Aligned
Posts: 7,773
|
Post by andrea on Oct 24, 2013 21:34:52 GMT
Usually at 10 PM it's always too close to call according to journalists.
|
|
|
|
Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Oct 24, 2013 21:35:03 GMT
Oooh! Newsnicht is promising us some clips from the Govan byelection special (1988 not 1973).
|
|
|
|
Post by LDCaerdydd on Oct 24, 2013 21:35:44 GMT
Is it correct that the SNP's majority in the Scottish Parliament will be down to one seat if they lose Dunfermline tonight? The 2 Green MSPs will support the SNP in a vote of confidence as will the 2 or 3 who are independents who left the SNP over NATO will back the SNP in any confidence vote. It'l take a lot of deaths/defections to shift them pre 2016. |
|
Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
|
Post by Deleted on Oct 24, 2013 21:43:38 GMT
Is it correct that the SNP's majority in the Scottish Parliament will be down to one seat if they lose Dunfermline tonight? The 2 Green MSPs will support the SNP in a vote of confidence as will the 2 or 3 who are independents who left the SNP over NATO will back the SNP in any confidence vote. It'l take a lot of deaths/defections to shift them pre 2016. Not that the Greens would do it for free  |
|
Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
|
Post by Deleted on Oct 24, 2013 21:47:11 GMT
The 2 Green MSPs will support the SNP in a vote of confidence as will the 2 or 3 who are independents who left the SNP over NATO will back the SNP in any confidence vote. It'l take a lot of deaths/defections to shift them pre 2016. There's certainly no formal agreement for the Green MSPs to back the SNP in a vote of confidence this time round, though the SNP could well seek some sort of deal with us should such a situation arise. I can't see us joining an Everyone-but-the-SNP coalition, but it's possible that we'd abstain. Jean Urquhart however said last week at a CND fringe meeting at the Scottish Green Party autumn conference that she essentially continues to support the SNP government as she was elected on an SNP manifesto. |
|
|
|
Post by AdminSTB on Oct 24, 2013 21:47:51 GMT
Not that the Greens would do it for free We'll buy you some organic falafel if you don't make a fuss. |
|
|
|
Post by LDCaerdydd on Oct 24, 2013 21:50:46 GMT
Not that the Greens would do it for free We'll buy you some organic falafel if you don't make a fuss. Says the former Green Member :-) |
|
|
|
Post by Devonian on Oct 24, 2013 21:53:15 GMT
|
|
|
|
Post by AdminSTB on Oct 24, 2013 21:55:24 GMT
We'll buy you some organic falafel if you don't make a fuss. Says the former Green Member :-) I'd complain, but I literally did used to go to a falafel shop after Green Party branch meetings, because there was a really nice one just around the corner from where the branch meetings in Edinburgh were held... |
|
Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
|
Post by Deleted on Oct 24, 2013 22:00:55 GMT
You mean you didn't go to the Castle Arms?
|
|
|
|
Post by AdminSTB on Oct 24, 2013 22:03:48 GMT
You mean you didn't go to the Castle Arms? I think I went once or twice, but I didn't really drink at that time. |
|
Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
|
Post by Deleted on Oct 24, 2013 22:09:50 GMT
|
|
Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
|
Post by Deleted on Oct 24, 2013 22:15:04 GMT
Prof John Curtice is discussing British Electoral Facts 1832-2012.
|
|
andrea
Non-Aligned
Posts: 7,773
|
Post by andrea on Oct 24, 2013 22:21:12 GMT
Tom Gordon @scottishpol ora
Tory prediction of >2k majority for Lab in #Dunfermline
|
|
|
|
Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Oct 24, 2013 22:31:42 GMT
Several people on Twitter saying Labour people now looking slightly less nervous and slightly happier at the count.
|
|
Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
|
Post by Deleted on Oct 24, 2013 22:36:27 GMT
Several people on Twitter saying Labour people now looking slightly less nervous and slightly happier at the count. Tranquillisers, quite cheap in Dunfermline. |
|
carlton43
Reform Party
Posts: 50,941 
Member is Online
|
Post by carlton43 on Oct 24, 2013 22:43:00 GMT
'Global'...'Moderator'...'Optimist'... My computer seems to have developed a fault.
|
|
