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Post by andrewteale on Sept 19, 2013 20:05:37 GMT
COSELEY EAST: Lab 53 UKIP 21 C 16 BNP 4 Grn 4 NF 2 FOUR MARKS AND MEDSTEAD: C 52 UKIP 22 Lab 18 Grn 8 NORTH (OXFORD): Lab 39 LD 38 Grn 12 C 11 SEASALTER: C 40 UKIP 32 Lab 20 Grn 4 LD 4 |
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Post by middleenglander on Sept 19, 2013 20:16:27 GMT
10 entries this week - Dibs and Just Looking again absent.
greatkingrat initially posted 16% for a non existent LD in Hampshire before significantly amending his post after prompting by Pete Whitehead. In some sports outside assistance does incur elimination at the judges' discretion. However I will award 5 additional faults for posting the amended entry within hour late.
tonyotim had 24.2% for the same non existent LD but as he initially posted as a private message, Pete Whitehead was unable to prompt him about the mistake. I could leave matters as posted but feel this does put tonyotim at something of a disadvantage compared to greatkingrat. I am therefore minded to award move the 24.2% from the non existent LD and allocate to the UKIP candidate whilst awarding an arbitrary 15 additional faults for his error. However, if greatkingrat had not amended his posting, I would have left matters for both entrants.
Canterbury: 8 Conservative holds, Arthur Figgis & Pete Whitehead UKIP gain
Dudley: 100% Labour hold
East Hampshire: 100% Conservative hold
Oxford: 9 Labour gain from LD, Robert Waller LD hpld
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Sept 19, 2013 23:22:26 GMT
I think Middle Englander went to bed and I have not entered people's predictions onto the spreadhseet. Perhaps Robert has some thoghts about how things are going?
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Post by middleenglander on Sept 20, 2013 0:19:08 GMT
Canterbury, Seasalter
Pete Whitehead 8.2 faults, Arthur Figgis 12.9, CatholicLeft 15.4+10, hempie 20.9+10, Andrew Teale 22.5+10, greatkingrat & tonyotim 25.0+10, Mark Senior & Robert Waller 28.5+10, PhilDav 33.8+10
Dudley, Coseley East
PhilDav 14.7 faults, Mark Senior 16.7, Andrew Teale & hempie 18.7, tonyotim 20.3, CatholicLeft 22.8, Robert Waller 23.3, greatkingrat 26.0, Arthur Figgis 26.1, Pete Whitehead 26.4
East Hampshire, Four Marks & Medstead
Pete Whitehead 3.2 faults, CatholicLeft 6.6, Arthur Figgis 9.1, Robert Waller 10.8, PhilDav 11.3, Mark Senior 13.3, greatkinrat 11.5+5, hempie 19.3, tonyotim 5.6+15, Andrew Teale 22.2
Oxford, North
hempie 11.1 faults, Arthur Figgis 14.5, Mark Senior 15.1, Phildav 17.6, Pete Whitehead 18.7, CatholicLeft 19.0, greatkingrat 21.1, tonyotim 24.8, Andrew Teale 25.5, Robert Waller 17.1+10
and for Thursday the 19th:
Pete Whitehead 56.5 faults, Arthur Figgis 62.6, CatholicLeft 73.8, hempie 80.1, Mark Senior 83.6, PhilDav 87.4, greatkingrat 98.6, Andrew Teale 98.9, Robert Waller 99.7, tonyotim 100.7
and month to date:
519.9 greatkingrat
529.1 PhilDav
535.5 tonyotim
548.9 Pete Whitehead
572.6 CatholicLeft
594.9 Andrew Teale
594.9 hempie
601.4 Mark Senior
624.5 Robert Waller
626.9 Arthur Figgis
If I had left tonyotim as posted he would have received 54.0 faults in East Hampshire (29.8+24.2) instead of the 20.6 awarded above.
Objections please by 5 pm Saturday
10 contests next week. Predictions on this thread by 9.00 on Thursday.
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Tony Otim
Green
Suffering from Brexistential Despair
Posts: 11,892
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Post by Tony Otim on Sept 20, 2013 8:33:24 GMT
Congratulations to Pete on the week.
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The Bishop
Labour
Down With Factionalism!
Posts: 38,889
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Post by The Bishop on Sept 20, 2013 9:39:46 GMT
Despite coming bottom in one of the contests too!
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dibs
Non-Aligned
Posts: 63
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Post by dibs on Sept 24, 2013 22:27:54 GMT
BARNSLEY - Wombwell
LAB 60 UKIP 20 ED 12 CON 8
BLACKPOOL - Highfield
LAB 35 CON 25 UKIP 15 LIBDEM 10 GREEN 5 HUNTER 5 MOTTERSHEAD 5
CHERWELL - Banbury Ruscote
LAB 50 CON 28 UKIP 22
FOREST OF DEAN - Coleford East
LAB 30 ABURROW 28 CON 20 UKIP 12 LIBDEM 10
FOREST OF DEAN - Redmarley
CON 45 LAB 30 UKIP 25
MID DEVON - Way
CON 40 UKIP 25 JORDAN 20 LIBDEM 15
MOLE VALLEY - Mickleham, Westhumble and Pixham
CON 45 LIBDEM 30 UKIP 25
SEVENOAKS - Crockenhill and Well Hill
LAB 35 CON 30 UKIP 25 LIBDEM 10
TENDRING - St James
CON 35 TF 25 LAB 20 UKIP 15 LIBDEM 5
WEST SUSSEX - Storrington
CON 40 UKIP 30 GREEN 20 LIBDEM 10
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Post by Robert Waller on Sept 25, 2013 20:50:47 GMT
BARNSLEY - Wombwell
LAB 60 UKIP 27 ED 9 CON 4
BLACKPOOL - Highfield
LAB 33 CON 26 UKIP 16 LIBDEM 2 GREEN 8 MAHER 5 MOTTERSHEAD 10
CHERWELL - Banbury Ruscote
LAB 53 CON 30 UKIP 17
FOREST OF DEAN - Coleford East
LAB 40 ABURROW 15 CON 23 UKIP 17 LIBDEM 5
FOREST OF DEAN - Redmarley
CON 60 LAB 15 UKIP 25
MID DEVON - Way
CON 40 UKIP 25 JORDAN 20 LIBDEM 15
MOLE VALLEY - Mickleham, Westhumble and Pixham
CON 39 LIBDEM 41 UKIP 20
SEVENOAKS - Crockenhill and Well Hill
LAB 31 CON 34 UKIP 25 LIBDEM 10
TENDRING - St James
CON 35 TF 23 LAB 15 UKIP 25 LIBDEM 2
WEST SUSSEX - Storrington
CON 42 UKIP 32 GREEN 20 LIBDEM 6
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Post by marksenior on Sept 25, 2013 21:56:06 GMT
Barnsley Lab 64 UKIP 22 Eng Dem 8 Con 6
Blackpool Con 32 Lab 30 UKIP 14 Ind Mott 11 Green 7 LD 4 Ind Maher 2
Cherwell Lab 55 Con 28 UKIP 17
FofDean Coleford E Lab 40 Con 22 LD 17 UKIP 15 Ind 6
FofDean Redmarley Con 55 UKIP 30 Lab 15
Mid Devon Con 48 Ind 20 UKIP 20 LD 12
Mole Valley LD 42 Con 38 UKIP 20
Sevenoaks Con 36 Lab 28 UKIP 18 LD 18
Tendring Con 40 Lab 22 UKIP 17 TF 16 LD 5
West Sussex Con 44 UKIP 31 LD 15 Green 10
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Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
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Post by Deleted on Sept 25, 2013 23:19:14 GMT
Barnsley Lab 62 UKIP 25 Eng Dem 7 Con 6
Blackpool Lab 33 Con 30 UKIP 14 Ind Mott 9 Green 7 LD 4 Ind Maher 3
Cherwell Lab 55 Con 27 UKIP 18
FofDean Coleford E Lab 37 Con 28 UKIP 15 LD 13 Ind 7
FofDean Redmarley Con 48 UKIP 31 Lab 21
Mid Devon Con 46 Ind 23 UKIP 18 LD 13
Mole Valley LD 43 Con 41 UKIP 16
Sevenoaks Lab 32 Con 30 UKIP 24 LD 14
Tendring Con 37 Lab 22 TF 20 UKIP 15 LD 6
West Sussex Con 45 UKIP 30 LD 13 Green 12
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Post by greatkingrat on Sept 25, 2013 23:29:25 GMT
BARNSLEY - Lab 74, UKIP 15, Con 6, ED 5
BLACKPOOL - Lab 36, Con 31, UKIP 11, Mottershead 9, Grn 5, LD 4, Maher 4
CHERWELL - Lab 54, Con 29, UKIP 17
FOREST OF DEAN (Coleford) - Lab 38, Con 21, UKIP 20, LD 13, Ind 8
FOREST OF DEAN (Redmarley) - Con 58, UKIP 23, Lab 19
MID DEVON - Con 56, UKIP 20, LD 15, Ind 9
MOLE VALLEY - LD 47, Con 36, UKIP 17
SEVENOAKS - Con 51, Lab 22, UKIP 17, LD 10
TENDRING - Con 41, UKIP 23, Lab 17, TF 14, LD 5
WEST SUSSEX - Con 47, UKIP 33, LD 13, Grn 7
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Post by hempie on Sept 26, 2013 7:10:53 GMT
Barnsley, Wombwell: Lab 71, UKIP 15, Eng Dem 10, Con 4
Blackpool, Highfield: Lab 30, Con 22, UKIP 15, Ind Mottershead 15, Green 8, LD 5, Ind Maher 5
Cherwell, Banbury Ruscote: Lab 53, Con 30, UKIP 17
Forest of Dean Coleford East: Lab 32, Con 20, Ind 20, UKIP 18, LD 10
Forest of Dean Redmarley: Con 54, UKIP 30, Lab 16
Mid Devon, Way: Con 60, Ind 20, UKIP 10, LD 10
Mole Valley, Mickleham, Westhumble & Pixham: LD 47, Con 41, UKIP 12
Sevenoaks, Crockenhill & Well Hill: Lab 37, Con 30, UKIP 21, LD 12
Tendring, St James: Con 40, UKIP 20, Lab 18, TF 15, LD 7
West Sussex, Storrington: Con 44, UKIP 39, LD 10, Green 7
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Post by Arthur Figgis on Sept 26, 2013 7:33:26 GMT
Barnsley: L 63.7, UKIP 21.4, ED 7.8, C 7.1.
Blackpool: L 30.9, C 28.6, UKIP 13.9, G 13.0, Ind Mo 6.9, LD 3.7, Ind Ma 3.0.
Cherwell: L 50.1, C 36.0, UKIP 13.9.
Forest of Dean, Coleford E: L 40.6, C 22.4, UKIP 15.5, LD 12.5, Ind 9.0.
Forest of Dean, Redmarley: C 52.7, UKIP 34.1, L 13.2.
Mid Devon: C 59.6, UKIP 23.1, Ind 10.1, LD 7.2.
Mole Valley: LD 46.1, C 31.0, UKIP 22.9.
Sevenoaks: L 40.2, C 35.4, UKIP 18.8, LD 5.6.
Tendring: C 45.5, UKIP 23.9, L 12.5, TF 10.7, LD 7.4.
West Sussex: C 43.4, UKIP 39.5, G 10.6, LD 6.5.
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Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
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Post by Deleted on Sept 26, 2013 8:12:43 GMT
Blimey, you're all being very optimistic for me, I make that an average of 12.4% for tonight; if I get above 10% I shall be delighted! Special thanks to dibs and robert, I genuinely thought you'd got me down for 10 and 6 respectively, and only belatedly checked party names. Hope you haven't all been counting on me doing lots of work, or being very well known in Storrington  I shall tweet the result from the count as soon as it's available tonight, #storrington |
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Post by Philip Davies on Sept 26, 2013 8:20:18 GMT
This will boost your average a little James! BARNSLEY - Wombwell Robert FROST (Labour Party Candidate) 72 Kevin RIDDIOUGH (English Democrats - "Putting England First!") 3 Neil ROBINSON (UK Independence Party (UKIP)) 21 Clive WATKINSON (Conservative Party Candidate) 4 BLACKPOOL - Highfield Stephen FLANIGAN (UK Independence Party) 18 Bill GREENE (Liberal Democrats) 3 Peter HUNTER (Labour Party Candidate) 35 Chris MAHER (Independent) 1 Rob MOTTERSHEAD (Independent) 8 Shereen REEDMAN (Green Party Stop Fracking Now) 5 Sue RIDYARD (The Conservative Party Candidate) 30 CHERWELL - Banbury Ruscote Mark CHERRY (Labour Party Candidate) 49 Christian MILLER (UKIP) 23 Pat TOMPSON (The Conservative Party Candidate) 28 FOREST OF DEAN - Coleford East Keith ABURROW (Independent) 7 Alan GRANT (UK Independence Party (UKIP)) 20 Harry IVES (Local Conservatives) 20 Heather LUSTY (Liberal Democrat) 15 Tanya PALMER (Labour Party Candidate) 38 FOREST OF DEAN - Redmarley Andy HEWLETT (Labour Party Candidate) 12 Alec TRITTON (UK Independence Party (UKIP)) 25 Clayton WILLIAMS (Local Conservatives) 63 MID DEVON - Way Judi BINKS (Liberal Democrat) 20 Bob EDWARDS (UK Independence Party (UKIP)) 24 Cathryn HEAL (The Conservative Party Candidate) 51 John JORDAN (Independent) 5 MOLE VALLEY - Mickleham, Westhumble and Pixham Adrian DANIELS (UKIP) 19 Roger HURST (Liberal Democrat) 54 Duncan IRVINE (The Conservative Party Candidate) 27 SEVENOAKS - Crockenhill and Well Hill Allrik BIRCH (The Conservative Party Candidate) 40 Philip HOBSON (Liberal Democrat) 23 Steve LINDSAY (UKIP) 25 Rachel WATERTON (The Labour Party Candidate) 12 TENDRING - St James Dave BOLTON (The Labour Party Candidate) 18 Amanda PETERS (Liberal Democrat) 3 Susan SHEARING (UK Independence Party (UKIP)) 31 Mark STEPHENSON (Tendring First) 10 Andy WOOD (The Conservative Party Candidate) 38 WEST SUSSEX - Storrington Philip CIRCUS (The Conservative Party) 41 James DOYLE (Green Party Stop Fracking Now) 15 Nick HOPKINSON (Liberal Democrats) 12 John WALLACE (UKIP) 32 |
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Post by andrewteale on Sept 26, 2013 8:28:18 GMT
I've gone through a rather embarrassing process of trying to do these last night when I should be sleeping. These entries added up to 100% first time round: BANBURY RUSCOTE: Lab 60 C 25 UKIP 15 COLEFORD EAST: Lab 40 C 19 Ind 16 UKIP 14 LD 11 REDMARLEY: C 60 UKIP 30 Lab 10 MICKLEHAM, WESTHUMBLE AND PIXHAM: LD 53 C 37 UKIP 10 WOMBWELL: Lab 75 UKIP 16 C 5 EDP 4 These entries added up to 100% after gentle prodding last night by middleenglander: HIGHFIELD: Lab 36 C 28 Mottershead 11 UKIP 10 Grn 7 Maher 4 LD 4 STORRINGTON: C 46 UKIP 36 Grn 10 LD 8 ST JAMES: C 40 UKIP 20 Lab 18 Tendring First 16 LD 6 This one took two prods: WAY: C 50 UKIP 30 Ind 15 LD 5 And Crockenhill I didn't get right until 09:16 this morning, for which I'll accept a penalty: CROCKENHILL AND WELL HILL: C 40 UKIP 32 Lab 20 LD 8 You wouldn't think I do arithmetic for a living... |
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Tony Otim
Green
Suffering from Brexistential Despair
Posts: 11,892
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Post by Tony Otim on Sept 26, 2013 8:30:56 GMT
Barnsley: Lab 72.3; UKIP 16.8; Con 6.2; ED 4.7 Blackpool: Lab 34.4; Con 31.1; Ind Mo 12.3; UKIP 11.2; LD 4.3; INd Ma 3.4; Grn 3.3 Cherwell: Lab 51.4; Con 27.8; UKIP 20.8 Forest of Dean, Coleford East: Lab 33.8; UKIP 23.9; Con 21.3; Ind 11.2; LD 9.8 Forest of Dean, REdmarley: Con 59.8; UKIP 24.4; Lab 15.8 Mid Devon: Con 54.2; UKIP 24.6; Ind 11.1; LD 10.3 Mole Valley: LD 49.2; Con 35.3; UKIP 15.5 Sevenoaks: Con 36.9; UKIP 25.5; Lab 24.4; LD 13.2 Tendring: Con 42.1; UKIP 27.6; Lab 16.4; TF 10.2; LD 3.7 West Sussex: Con 48.3; UKIP 33.4; LD 11.1; GRn 7.2 |
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Sept 26, 2013 8:33:47 GMT
Barnsley MB - Wombwell Lab 68.9% UKIP 20.8% Con 5.2% ED 5.1% Blackpool UA - Highfield Lab 33.9% Con 28.3% Ind Mo 14.8% UKIP 13.2% LD 4.7% Grn 3.0% Ind Ma 2.1% West Sussex CC - Storrington Con 46.3% UKIP 30.7% LD 15.7% Grn 7.3% Cherwell DC - Banbury Ruscote Lab 52.1% Con 25.6% UKIP 22.3% Forest of Dean DC - Coleford East Lab 30.1% Con 22.6% UKIP 20.4% Ind 19.2% LD 7.7% Forest of Dean DC - Redmarley Con 47.5% UKIP 36.9% Lab 15.6% Mid Devon DC - Way Con 41.9% UKIP 23.6% Ind 18.8% LD 15.7% Mole Valley DC - Mickleham etc Con 42.5% LD 40.2% UKIP 17.3% Sevenoaks DC - Crockenhill UKIP 30.5% Lab 26.4% Con 25.8% LD 17.3% Tendring DC - St James Con 36.0% UKIP 27.0% Lab 15.8% TF 14.0% LD 7.2% |
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Post by Arthur Figgis on Sept 26, 2013 9:02:50 GMT
You wouldn't think I do arithmetic for a living... Stick to maps... |
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Post by middleenglander on Sept 26, 2013 11:08:18 GMT
Just to clarify what happened with Andrew.
He first posted at 01.04 just as I was about to go to bed but I decided to input his entries. Unfortunately there were 5 contests that did not add up to 100%. However he corrected 3 of these himself at 01.07, leaving Mid Devon still adding to 90% whilst for Sevenoaks he gave his Barnsley figure predictions, which meant I was in some difficulty in how to interpret his entry.
At 1.21 I made my first prod by saying "Still problems". I then called it a night. At 1.25 he corrected Mid Devon which I did not pick up until this morning. It still left me with a bit of a headache as he then had an entry for Sevenoaks which added up to 108% but also one where the figures actually related to Barnsley.
I then made a second prod at 8.00 by saying "Still problems where Jack and Jill may have lived." At 9.16 he amended the Sevenoaks entry by reducing the Conservative share from 48% to 40%, thereby incurring 5 penalties for a late submission.
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