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Post by batman on Oct 17, 2024 8:31:07 GMT
Ashford, Aylesford & East Stour - GRN 29, LAB 28, REF 25 CON 14 LD 4 Bexley, Belvedere - LAB 40 CON 35 RFM 12 GRN 9 LD 4 Ceredigion, Tirmynach - PC 47, LD 15, LAB 12, REF 12, CON 10, GRN 4 Cumberland, Keswick - LAB 50 LD 20 CON 15 GRN 15 Cumberland, Wetheral - CON 60 LD 30 LD 10 Falkirk, Falkirk South - LAB 43, SNP 31, CON 8, MCKEAN 7, RFM 4, GRN 4, LD 3 (LAB win on transfers) Greenwich, Eltham Town & Avery Hill - CON 42, LAB 38, RFM 10, GRN 5, LD 4, TARLING 1 Gwynedd, Llanberis - PC 41, JONES 31, LD 20, GRN 8 Kirklees, Holme Valley South - CON 41, LAB 30, RFM 16. GRN, 7, LD 4, FINCH 2 North Herts, Royston Palace - LD 35, LAB 31, CON 16, RFM 10, GRN 8 St Albans, Harpenden North & Rural - LD 50, CON 31, GRN 15, LAB 4 Stockport, Bradbury Green & Romiley - LD 38, CON 35, LAB 24, GRN 3 Stockport, Cheadle West & Gatley - LD 47, CON 33, LAB 16, GRN 4 Swindon, Rodbourne Cheney - CON 47, LAB 41, GRN 6, LD 5, PETRACHE 1 Westmorland & Furness, Grange & Cartmel - CON 53, LD 47 Windsor & Maidenhead, Ascot & Sunninghill - CON 36, LD 27, BFI 21, LAB 16 you have 2 Lib Dem scores for Wetheral. One of them is obviously supposed to be Labour but you need to say which one. |
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gaz76
Non-Aligned
Posts: 38 
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Post by gaz76 on Oct 17, 2024 8:39:36 GMT
Ashford, Aylesford & East Stour - GRN 29, LAB 28, REF 25 CON 14 LD 4 Bexley, Belvedere - LAB 40 CON 35 RFM 12 GRN 9 LD 4 Ceredigion, Tirmynach - PC 47, LD 15, LAB 12, REF 12, CON 10, GRN 4 Cumberland, Keswick - LAB 50 LD 20 CON 15 GRN 15 Cumberland, Wetheral - CON 60 LD 30 LD 10 Falkirk, Falkirk South - LAB 43, SNP 31, CON 8, MCKEAN 7, RFM 4, GRN 4, LD 3 (LAB win on transfers) Greenwich, Eltham Town & Avery Hill - CON 42, LAB 38, RFM 10, GRN 5, LD 4, TARLING 1 Gwynedd, Llanberis - PC 41, JONES 31, LD 20, GRN 8 Kirklees, Holme Valley South - CON 41, LAB 30, RFM 16. GRN, 7, LD 4, FINCH 2 North Herts, Royston Palace - LD 35, LAB 31, CON 16, RFM 10, GRN 8 St Albans, Harpenden North & Rural - LD 50, CON 31, GRN 15, LAB 4 Stockport, Bradbury Green & Romiley - LD 38, CON 35, LAB 24, GRN 3 Stockport, Cheadle West & Gatley - LD 47, CON 33, LAB 16, GRN 4 Swindon, Rodbourne Cheney - CON 47, LAB 41, GRN 6, LD 5, PETRACHE 1 Westmorland & Furness, Grange & Cartmel - CON 53, LD 47 Windsor & Maidenhead, Ascot & Sunninghill - CON 36, LD 27, BFI 21, LAB 16 you have 2 Lib Dem scores for Wetheral. One of them is obviously supposed to be Labour but you need to say which one. One Lib Dem is bad enough, never mind two. |
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Post by sanders on Oct 17, 2024 8:42:01 GMT
Ashford, Aylesford & East Stour - GRN 29, LAB 28, REF 25 CON 14 LD 4 Bexley, Belvedere - LAB 40 CON 35 RFM 12 GRN 9 LD 4 Ceredigion, Tirmynach - PC 47, LD 15, LAB 12, REF 12, CON 10, GRN 4 Cumberland, Keswick - LAB 50 LD 20 CON 15 GRN 15 Cumberland, Wetheral - CON 60 LD 30 LD 10 Falkirk, Falkirk South - LAB 43, SNP 31, CON 8, MCKEAN 7, RFM 4, GRN 4, LD 3 (LAB win on transfers) Greenwich, Eltham Town & Avery Hill - CON 42, LAB 38, RFM 10, GRN 5, LD 4, TARLING 1 Gwynedd, Llanberis - PC 41, JONES 31, LD 20, GRN 8 Kirklees, Holme Valley South - CON 41, LAB 30, RFM 16. GRN, 7, LD 4, FINCH 2 North Herts, Royston Palace - LD 35, LAB 31, CON 16, RFM 10, GRN 8 St Albans, Harpenden North & Rural - LD 50, CON 31, GRN 15, LAB 4 Stockport, Bradbury Green & Romiley - LD 38, CON 35, LAB 24, GRN 3 Stockport, Cheadle West & Gatley - LD 47, CON 33, LAB 16, GRN 4 Swindon, Rodbourne Cheney - CON 47, LAB 41, GRN 6, LD 5, PETRACHE 1 Westmorland & Furness, Grange & Cartmel - CON 53, LD 47 Windsor & Maidenhead, Ascot & Sunninghill - CON 36, LD 27, BFI 21, LAB 16 you have 2 Lib Dem scores for Wetheral. One of them is obviously supposed to be Labour but you need to say which one. That has now been corrected, comrade. |
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Tony Otim
Green
Suffering from Brexistential Despair
Posts: 11,892
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Post by Tony Otim on Oct 17, 2024 12:11:40 GMT
Good to see both predictions for Cumberland Wetheral so far have me winning. Now all the official entries are in, do you fancy offering your own on the ground prediction of how it will go? |
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gaz76
Non-Aligned
Posts: 38
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Post by gaz76 on Oct 17, 2024 17:15:13 GMT
Good to see both predictions for Cumberland Wetheral so far have me winning. Now all the official entries are in, do you fancy offering your own on the ground prediction of how it will go? I’ve been bitten by silent votes of Lib Dems in the past. If I gave on the ground info whilst still live, our campaign organiser would take me out back and shoot me. |
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Post by robbienicoll on Oct 17, 2024 22:01:42 GMT
8 entries this week, with no corradino. All correct, but with sanders receiving 5 faults for amending an entry half an hour over the deadline (the initial error would've been more so this was the right call). Aylesford and East Stour, Ashford: 100% Green gain from Labour, with majorities ranging from 1% (sanders) to 13% (batman). Belvedere, Bexley: 100% Labour hold, with majorities ranging from 4% (batman) to 12.5% (Tony Otim). Tirymynach, Ceredigion: 6 Plaid Cymru gain from Liberal Democrat, with andrewp and kevinf Liberal Democrat hold. Keswick, Cumberland: 100% Labour hold, with majorities ranging from 11% (batman) to 30% (sanders). Wetheral, Cumberland: 100% Conservative hold, with majorities ranging from 10% (Right Leaning) to 35% (batman). Falkirk South, Falkirk: 5 SNP ahead on first preferences and gain from Labour after transfers, with andrewp and Tony Otim SNP ahead on firsts and Labour hold after transfers, and sanders Labour ahead on firsts and hold after transfers. Eltham Town and Avery Hill, Greenwich: 7 Conservative gain from Labour, majorities ranging from 1% (Robert Waller) to 12% (batman). Kevinf Labour hold with 5% majority. Llanberis, Gwynedd: 100% Plaid Cymru hold, with majorities ranging from 10% (sanders) to 55% (batman). Holme Valley South, Kirklees: 100% Conservative gain from Labour, with majorities ranging from 1% (kevinf and Robert Waller) to 14% (batman). Royston Palace, North Hertfordshire: 4 Labour hold, with andrewp, Right Leaning and sanders Liberal Democrat gain, and batman Conservative gain. Harpenden North and Rural, St Albans: 7 Liberal Democrat hold, with majorities ranging from 13% (kevinf) to 23% (Robert Waller). Tony Otim Conservative gain with 3.5% majority. Bredbury Green and Romiley, Stockport: 100% Liberal Democrat hold, with majorities ranging from 3% (sanders) to 45% (kevinf). Cheadle West and Gatley, Stockport: 100% Liberal Democrat hold, with majorities ranging from 14% (sanders) to 37.4% (Tony Otim). Rodbourne Cheney, Swindon: 5 Labour hold, with Right Leaning, sanders and Tony Otim Conservative gain. Grange and Cartmel, Westmorland and Furness: 7 Liberal Democrat hold, with majorities ranging from 30% (batman) to 50% (Robert Waller). Sanders Conservative gain with 6% majority. Ascot and Sunninghill, Windsor and Maidenhead: 5 Conservative hold, with kevinf, Right Leaning and Robert Waller Liberal Democrat gain. Results available at - docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/11vxqCrElZURCKVWVqPnrjI6kUHLB8SMyJtIAXBHFHGU/edit?usp=sharing - good luck to all! |
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The Bishop
Labour
Down With Factionalism!
Posts: 38,889
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Post by The Bishop on Oct 18, 2024 9:41:16 GMT
Now all the official entries are in, do you fancy offering your own on the ground prediction of how it will go? I’ve been bitten by silent votes of Lib Dems in the past. If I gave on the ground info whilst still live, our campaign organiser would take me out back and shoot me. No need for false modesty now, though  |
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Post by Robert Waller on Oct 18, 2024 12:38:43 GMT
And a dominant performance this week by Tony Otim. I really think that winning a week like these last two is like winning a month .... ... though Tony Otim is now the leader for October as well. |
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Tony Otim
Green
Suffering from Brexistential Despair
Posts: 11,892
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Post by Tony Otim on Oct 18, 2024 13:00:11 GMT
Quite pleased with that - the only wrong winner I got was Ceredigion, which given the week I'll take.
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Post by iainbhx on Oct 19, 2024 9:52:27 GMT
Honestly do think this month should count double in the form guide.
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Post by kevinf on Oct 19, 2024 13:17:46 GMT
Honestly do think this month should count double in the form guide. Err..definitely not!!! |
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Post by iainbhx on Oct 19, 2024 14:08:10 GMT
Quite pleased with that - the only wrong winner I got was Ceredigion, which given the week I'll take. I summed up Ceredigion to a friend as Local - 527 votes - not Local - 56 votes and yes, you can say that in a Tubbs Tattsyrup voice. |
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Post by batman on Oct 23, 2024 18:56:48 GMT
BOURNEMOUTH CHRISTCHURCH & POOLE, Muscliff & Strouden Park : C 33 Lab 22 Ind Rogers 13 Green 11 Ind Houldey 9 Ind O'Luby 8 LD 4
CALDERDALE, Calder : Lab 41 Green 28 C 19 Ind 6 LD 4 SDP 2
CRAWLEY, Northgate & W.Green : Lab 38 C 32 Green 12 RefUK 11 WPB 5 TUSC 2
DENBIGHSHIRE, Prestatyn N. : C 30 Lab 29 PC 16 Ind 13 RefUK 7 LD 5
E.LINDSEY, Croft : C 61 Ind 15 SUDS 9 Lab 7 Green 5 LD 3
GATESHEAD, Whickham N. : LD 61 Lab 19 C 11 Green 9
ISLE OF ANGLESEY, Talybolion : PC 37 Ind 34 C 27 Green 12
MIDDLESBROUGH, Hemlington : Lab 47 Ind 23 C 21 LD 5 WPB 4
MONMOUTHSHIRE, Town : Lab 50 C 37 LD 8 Green 5
NEW FOREST, Barton & Becton : C 59 LD 41
S.CAMBRIDGESHIRE, Histon & Impington : LD 37 Ind 25 C 14 Green 13 Lab 11
S.RIBBLE, Middleforth : Lab 48 C 33 LD 13 Green 6
SURREY HEATH, Old Dean : C 45 Lab 29 RefUK 15 LD 7 Ind 4
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Post by iainbhx on Oct 23, 2024 19:44:07 GMT
BOURNEMOUTH, CHRISTCHURCH & POOLE UA, Muscliff & Strouden Park : Con 29 Ind Houldey 26 Ind Rogers 13 Grn 11 Lab 10 LDm 8 Ind O'Luby 3
CALDERDALE MBC, Calder : Lab 48 Grn 20 Con 14 Ind Borrows 10 LDm 6 SDP 2
CRAWLEY DC, Northgate & West Green : Lab 35 Con 32 Grn 15 Reform 10 Workers 6 TUSC 2
DENBIGHSHIRE UA, Prestatyn North : Lab 35 PC 18 Ind Flynn 17 Con 15 Reform 10 LDm 5
EAST LINDSEY DC, Croft : Con 51 Ind Collins 29 Lab 8 SUDS 5 Grn 4 LDm 3
GATESHEAD MBC, Whickham North : LDm 55 Lab 23 Grn 12 Con 10
YNYS MÔN UA, Talybolion : PC 37 Ind Hughes 35 Con 15 Grn 13
MIDDLESBROUGH UA, Hemlington : Lab 42 LDm 30 Ind Bell 15 Con 12 Workers 1
MONMOUTHSHIRE UA, Town : Con 40 Lab 38 Grn 14 LDm 8
NEW FOREST DC, Barton & Becton : Con 53 LDm 47
SOUTH CAMBRIDGESHIRE DC, Histon & Impington : Ind Stonham 31 LDm 29 Grn 18 Con 13 Lab 9
SOUTH RIBBLE DC, Middleforth : Lab 39 Con 33 LDm 22 Grn 6
SURREY HEATH DC, Old Dean : Con 41 Lab 31 Reform 15 LDm 9 Ind Belnik 4
will check in the morning
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Post by sanders on Oct 23, 2024 20:08:45 GMT
Bournemouth, Christchurch & Poole, Muscliff & Strouden Park - CON 31 LAB 21 ROGERS 11 HOULDEY 10 GRN 10 O'LUBY 9 GRN 4 LD 4
Calderdale, Calder - LAB 44 GRN 26 CON 15 IND 7 LD 5 SDP 3
Crawley, Northgate & W. Green - CON 45 LAB 38 GRN 6 RFM 5 WPB 5 TUSC 1
Denbighshire, Prestatyn N - CON 34 LAB 29 RFM 20 PC 8 IND 5 LD 4
E. Lindsey, Croft - CON 60 IND 19 LAB 11 SUDS 4 GRN 3 LD 3
Gateshead, Whickham N - LD 46 LAB 21 CON 20 GRN 13
Isle of Anglesey, Talybolion - IND 40 PC 33 CON 24 GRN 3
Middlesbrough, Hemlington - IND 51 LAB 26 C 13 WPB 6 LD 4
Monmouthshire, Town - CON 45 LAB 41 LD 9 GRN 5
New Forest, Barton & Becton - CON 52 LD 48
S. Cambridgeshire, Histon & Impington - LD 47 IND 27 CON 11 GRN 9 LAB 6
S. Ribble, Middleforth - CON 49 LAB 43 LD 6 GRN 2
Surrey Heath, Old Dean - CON 46 LAB 28 RFM 13 LD 7 IND 6
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Tony Otim
Green
Suffering from Brexistential Despair
Posts: 11,892
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Post by Tony Otim on Oct 23, 2024 20:12:41 GMT
BCP: Con 25.2; Houldey 22.3; Rogers 17.6; Lab 13.4; O'Luby 11.5; LD 7.6; Grn 2.4
Calderdale: Lab 54.5; COn 16.0; Grn 14.8; LD 7.4; Borrows 5.9; SDP 1.4
Crawley: Lab 39.9; Con 26.4; Ref 15.3; Grn 11.7; WP 3.9; TUSC 2.8
Denbighshire: Con 24.6; Lab 22.5; Ref 19.3; PC 14.6; Flynn 13.0; LD 6.0
East Lindsey: Con 45.5; Collins 29.5; LD 10.0; SUDS 7.5; Lab 4.6; Grn 2.9
Gateshead: LD 58.2; Lab 21.1; Con 12.5; GRn 8.2
Anglesey: PC 40.4; Hughes 36.0; Con 16.8; Grn 6.8
Middlesbrough: Lab 42.3; Con 22.5; Cooper 20.9; WP 8.5; LD 5.8
Monmouthshire: Con 48.9; Lab 34.6; LD 12.3; Grn 4.2
New Forest: Con 59.2; LD 40.8
South Cambs: LD 35.0; Stonham 30.6; Con 14.8; Grn 9.9; Lab 9.7
South Ribble: Lab 44.2; Con 32.0; LD 14.3; Grn 9.5
Surrey Heath: Con 42.4; Ref 22.2; LD 18.0; Lab 14.0; Belnik 3.4
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andrewp
Non-Aligned
Posts: 9,580
Member is Online
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Post by andrewp on Oct 23, 2024 21:12:15 GMT
BCP IndHouldey 33 Con 28 Ind Oluby 10 Lab 9 LD 8 Green 7 Rogers 5
Calderdale. Lab 42 Green 23 Con 15 Ind 12 Ld 5 SDP 3
Crawley. Lab 37 Con 34 REfUK 16 Green 8 WP 3 TUSC 2
Denbighshire. Lab 26 Con 23 Ind 19 REfUK 15 Pc 14 LD 3
East Lindsey, Con 45 Ind 24 SUdS 12 Lab 8 Green 7 LD 4
Gateshead LD 58 Lab 23 Con 11 Green 8
Anglesey. PC 44 Hughes 35 Con 13 Green 8
Middlesbrough. Lab 46 LD 19 Con 17 Ind 16 WP 2
Monmouthshire. Lab 43 Con 41 Ld 9 Green 7
New Forest Con 55 LD 45
S Cambridgeshire, LD 36 Stonham 25 Con 17 Lab 11 Green 11
S Ribble. Lab 39 Con 28 LD 25 Green 8
Surrey Heath, Con 41 Lab 29 LD 14 RefUK 13 Ind 3
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Post by Robert Waller on Oct 23, 2024 21:39:29 GMT
BOURNEMOUTH, CHRISTCHURCH & POOLE UA, Muscliff & Strouden Park : Con 30 Ind Houldey 28 Ind Rogers 12 Grn 4 Lab 12 LDm 9 Ind O'Luby 5
CALDERDALE MBC, Calder : Lab 50 Grn 20 Con 15 Ind Borrows 7 LDm 7 SDP 1
CRAWLEY DC, Northgate & West Green : Lab 37 Con 33 Grn 12 Reform 12 Workers 5 TUSC 1
DENBIGHSHIRE UA, Prestatyn North : Lab 32 PC 17 Ind Flynn 17 Con 17 Reform 14 LDm 3
EAST LINDSEY DC, Croft : Con 50 Ind Collins 28 Lab 7 SUDS 6 Grn 4 LDm 5
GATESHEAD MBC, Whickham North : LDm 60 Lab 20 Grn 8 Con 12
YNYS MÔN UA, Talybolion : PC 42 Ind Hughes 38 Con 13 Grn 7
MIDDLESBROUGH UA, Hemlington : Lab 42 LDm 14 Ind Cooper 25 Con 15 Workers 4
MONMOUTHSHIRE UA, Town : Con 46 Lab 39 Grn 5 LDm 10
NEW FOREST DC, Barton & Becton : Con 58 LDm 42
SOUTH CAMBRIDGESHIRE DC, Histon & Impington : Ind Stonham 20 LDm 43 Grn 12 Con 10 Lab 15
SOUTH RIBBLE DC, Middleforth : Lab 42 Con 32 LDm 16 Grn 10
SURREY HEATH DC, Old Dean : Con 44 Lab 20 Reform 24 LDm 8 Ind Belnik 4
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Post by kevinf on Oct 23, 2024 22:21:41 GMT
Bournemouth
Ind Houdley 25, Con 23, Ind Rogers 20 Lab 15, LD 8, Green 5, Ind O’Luby 4
Calderdale
Lab 32, Green 24,, Ind 17, Con 16 LD 9, SDP 2
crawley
Lab 43, Con 22, Ref 16, Green 15, WP 2.5, Tusc 1.5
Denbighshire
Ind 24, Lab 23, PC 19, Ref 14, Con 13, LD 7
East Lindsey
Con 26, Ind 21, Green 19, Suds 15, LD 14, Lab 5
Gateshead
LD 59, Lab 16, Green 13, Con 12
Isle of Anglesey
PC 40, Ind 25, PWC 20, Con 15
Middlesbrough
Lab 40, Ind 30, LD 15, Con 10, WP 5
Monmouthshire
Con 40, Lab 35, LD 15, Green 10
New Forest
Con 61, LD 39
South Cambs
LD 34, Ind 18, Con 17, Green 16, Lab 15
S Ribble
Lab 35, Con 30, LD 25, Green 10
Surrey Heath
Con 42, Ref 22, Lab 17, LD 12, Ind 7
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Post by rightleaning on Oct 24, 2024 5:52:19 GMT
BOURNEMOUTH, CHRISTCHURCH & POOLE UA, Muscliff & Strouden Park : Con 36, Ind Houldey 25, Ind Rogers 13, Grn 10, Lab 10, LDm 6, Ind O'Luby 2
CALDERDALE MBC, Calder : Lab 50, Grn 23, Con 14, Ind Borrows 8, LDm 4, SDP 1
CRAWLEY DC, Northgate & West Green : Lab 37, Con 34, Grn 14, Reform 10, Workers 4, TUSC 1
DENBIGHSHIRE UA, Prestatyn North : Lab 35, Con 20, PC 16, Ind Flynn 16, Reform 8, LDm 5
EAST LINDSEY DC, Croft : Con 55, Ind Collins 25, Lab 9, SUDS 5 Grn 4 LDm 2
GATESHEAD MBC, Whickham North : LDm 59, Lab 20, Grn 13, Con 8
YNYS MÔN UA, Talybolion : PC 42, Ind Hughes 38, Con 14, Grn 6,
MIDDLESBROUGH UA, Hemlington : Lab 40, LDm 33, Ind Bell 13, Con 13, Workers 1
MONMOUTHSHIRE UA, Town : Con 43, Lab 33, Grn 18, LDm 6
NEW FOREST DC, Barton & Becton : Con 60, LDm 40
SOUTH CAMBRIDGESHIRE DC, Histon & Impington : LDm 39, Ind Stonham 27, Grn 20, Con 10, Lab 4
SOUTH RIBBLE DC, Middleforth : Lab 38, Con 35, LDm 21, Grn 6
SURREY HEATH DC, Old Dean : Con 47, Lab 24, Reform 16, LDm 10, Ind Belnik 3
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