stb12
Top Poster
Posts: 8,365 
|
Post by stb12 on Jul 9, 2024 16:17:27 GMT
Election maps
|
|
|
|
Post by Pete Whitehead on Jul 9, 2024 16:54:37 GMT
|
|
|
|
Post by Pete Whitehead on Jul 14, 2024 12:04:23 GMT
|
|
|
|
Post by Pete Whitehead on Jul 14, 2024 12:17:06 GMT
|
|
|
|
Post by Pete Whitehead on Jul 14, 2024 12:27:07 GMT
Peckham was the only ward where Labour exceeded 70% on my figures.
The highest Conservative share was 62.8% in Stanmore (Harrow East). This is likely to be the highest share in the nation (I have worked out notionals for Hertfordshire and there are a number of wards along the Middlesex border where they scored over 60% but lower than the figure in Stanmore. The only other contender would likely be somewhere in Epping Forest (most likely Chigwell Village) where of course they may be assisted by the absence of a Reform candidate)
|
|
|
|
Post by Pete Whitehead on Jul 15, 2024 5:45:31 GMT
| | Lab | Con | LD | Grn | Ref | Ind | WP | Oth | | | | | | | | | | | | Havering | 30.3% | 31.8% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 25.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | | Barking & Dagenham | 45.9% | 13.1% | 2.6% | 12.6% | 16.3% | 2.7% | 6.0% | 0.8% | | Redbridge | 36.3% | 20.2% | 3.4% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 24.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% | | Waltham Forest | 46.3% | 15.0% | 4.0% | 14.1% | 5.0% | 12.5% | 2.5% | 0.7% | | Newham | 46.9% | 9.7% | 3.9% | 12.5% | 5.3% | 19.0% | 2.0% | 0.7% | | Tower Hamlets | 39.5% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 14.5% | 5.9% | 20.4% | 2.5% | 0.7% | | Hackney | 59.0% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 23.1% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.7% | | Islington | 42.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 10.7% | 5.5% | 28.0% | 0.0% | 0.8% | | Camden | 49.0% | 12.9% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 6.2% | 10.3% | 0.0% | 0.9% | | City of London | 40.6% | 25.7% | 12.7% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 0.5% | 2.0% | 1.5% | | Westminster | 44.4% | 26.9% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 0.4% | | Kensington & Chelsea | 37.0% | 38.0% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 3.3% | 0.2% | 1.3% | | Hammersmith & Fulham | 51.4% | 24.8% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 0.1% | 1.5% | 1.0% | | Haringey | 58.8% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 16.0% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.1% | | Enfield | 48.7% | 20.5% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.7% | | Barnet | 42.6% | 35.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.1% | | Brent | 46.5% | 23.8% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 0.0% | | Harrow | 35.6% | 41.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | | Hillingdon | 39.8% | 33.8% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 12.1% | 0.0% | 1.7% | 0.5% | | Ealing | 47.3% | 17.5% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 7.1% | 2.2% | 6.7% | 0.8% | | Hounslow | 43.4% | 22.3% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 0.4% | | Richmond | 11.9% | 19.1% | 54.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | | Kingston | 12.9% | 19.0% | 51.3% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | | Sutton | 15.4% | 27.6% | 39.9% | 3.4% | 12.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | | Croydon | 44.8% | 26.8% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 0.1% | 1.2% | 0.6% | | Merton | 39.2% | 17.8% | 25.8% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 0.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% | | Wandsworth | 51.2% | 21.5% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 5.6% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 0.8% | | Lambeth | 56.3% | 8.8% | 11.9% | 17.6% | 4.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | | Southwark | 54.8% | 7.3% | 13.3% | 16.0% | 6.1% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 1.0% | | Lewisham | 57.5% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 18.3% | 6.1% | 0.2% | 1.1% | 1.6% | | Greenwich | 53.9% | 15.3% | 6.7% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 0.2% | | Bexley | 35.2% | 32.4% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 21.9% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | | Bromley | 36.8% | 32.0% | 9.1% | 6.1% | 15.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% |
| | | | | | | | | | London | 43.0% | 20.6% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
Bromley wtf.. So that's three boroughs voting Conservative, three Lib Dem and 26 plus the city for Labour. Havering and Kensington & Chelsea are close enough that they could conceivably have gone the other way, therefore only Harrow clearly in the Conservative column |
|
YL
Non-Aligned
Either Labour leaning or Lib Dem leaning but not sure which
Posts: 4,905
|
Post by YL on Jul 15, 2024 20:13:24 GMT
|
|
|
|
Post by where2travel on Jul 15, 2024 20:31:36 GMT
This is interesting and shows what I was seeing going through individual results. I originally thought the number of seats where the Tories lost more than half their percentage vote share would be fairly small, but I kept seeing more and more of them (that it'd be a long list). What was also surprising is that in some of these, it was in places where they started from a very low base - Merseyside, Glasgow etc. I'd have thought in previous elections the support had almost reached its floor beyond which it wouldn't fall much further. But even there they can fall through the previous floor to a new one. |
|
|
|
Post by Peter Wilkinson on Jul 15, 2024 22:48:26 GMT
| Lab | Con | LD | Grn | Ref | Ind | WP | Oth |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| | Havering | 30.3% | 31.8% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 25.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | | Barking & Dagenham | 45.9% | 13.1% | 2.6% | 12.6% | 16.3% | 2.7% | 6.0% | 0.8% | | Redbridge | 36.3% | 20.2% | 3.4% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 24.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% | | Waltham Forest | 46.3% | 15.0% | 4.0% | 14.1% | 5.0% | 12.5% | 2.5% | 0.7% | | Newham | 46.9% | 9.7% | 3.9% | 12.5% | 5.3% | 19.0% | 2.0% | 0.7% | | Tower Hamlets | 39.5% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 14.5% | 5.9% | 20.4% | 2.5% | 0.7% | | Hackney | 59.0% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 23.1% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.7% | | Islington | 42.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 10.7% | 5.5% | 28.0% | 0.0% | 0.8% | | Camden | 49.0% | 12.9% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 6.2% | 10.3% | 0.0% | 0.9% | | City of London | 40.6% | 25.7% | 12.7% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 0.5% | 2.0% | 1.5% | | Westminster | 44.4% | 26.9% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 0.4% | | Kensington & Chelsea | 37.0% | 38.0% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 3.3% | 0.2% | 1.3% | | Hammersmith & Fulham | 51.4% | 24.8% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 0.1% | 1.5% | 1.0% | | Haringey | 58.8% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 16.0% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.1% | | Enfield | 48.7% | 20.5% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.7% | | Barnet | 42.6% | 35.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.1% | | Brent | 46.5% | 23.8% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 0.0% | | Harrow | 35.6% | 41.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | | Hillingdon | 39.8% | 33.8% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 12.1% | 0.0% | 1.7% | 0.5% | | Ealing | 47.3% | 17.5% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 7.1% | 2.2% | 6.7% | 0.8% | | Hounslow | 43.4% | 22.3% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 0.4% | | Richmond | 11.9% | 19.1% | 54.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | | Kingston | 12.9% | 19.0% | 51.3% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | | Sutton | 15.4% | 27.6% | 39.9% | 3.4% | 12.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | | Croydon | 44.8% | 26.8% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 0.1% | 1.2% | 0.6% | | Merton | 39.2% | 17.8% | 25.8% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 0.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% | | Wandsworth | 51.2% | 21.5% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 5.6% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 0.8% | | Lambeth | 56.3% | 8.8% | 11.9% | 17.6% | 4.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | | Southwark | 54.8% | 7.3% | 13.3% | 16.0% | 6.1% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 1.0% | | Lewisham | 57.5% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 18.3% | 6.1% | 0.2% | 1.1% | 1.6% | | Greenwich | 53.9% | 15.3% | 6.7% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 0.2% | | Bexley | 35.2% | 32.4% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 21.9% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | | Bromley | 36.8% | 32.0% | 9.1% | 6.1% | 15.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| | London | 43.0% | 20.6% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
Bromley wtf.. So that's three boroughs voting Conservative, three Lib Dem and 26 plus the city for Labour. Havering and Kensington & Chelsea are close enough that they could conceivably have gone the other way, therefore only Harrow clearly in the Conservative column The borough percentages you give here are presumably based on your ward estimates already used in the maps? One thing that is pretty noticeable here is how, while the Lib Dems are slightly ahead of the Greens in London as a whole, this is very clearly because of their south-west London constituencies (not entirely coincidentally, I'm sure, the only part of London where the Labour vote gets really badly squeezed). Take this out, and the Lib Dems have smallish leads over the Greens in west central London but are behing almost everywhere else, even where they have been strong in the past and/or still have council seats (for instance, Haringey). Just who are the Lib Dem voters in those council seats voting for in parliamentary (and indeed GLA) elections? |
|
rr
Non-Aligned
Posts: 20
|
Post by rr on Jul 16, 2024 12:14:07 GMT
Peckham was the only ward where Labour exceeded 70% on my figures. The highest Conservative share was 62.8% in Stanmore (Harrow East). This is likely to be the highest share in the nation (I have worked out notionals for Hertfordshire and there are a number of wards along the Middlesex border where they scored over 60% but lower than the figure in Stanmore. The only other contender would likely be somewhere in Epping Forest (most likely Chigwell Village) where of course they may be assisted by the absence of a Reform candidate) Looking at the London ward map the remaining coalition in London for the Tories looks to be: Mainstream Orthodox Jewish areas; Hindu areas; Daily Mail/Truncheon Valley outer Croydon/Bromley/Bexley; Romford "Essex Man"; A few west London Sloanes;and IDS personal vote. |
|
Harry Hayfield
Green
Cavalier Gentleman (as in 17th century Cavalier)
Posts: 2,922
|
Post by Harry Hayfield on Jul 16, 2024 12:28:47 GMT
Hackney 2024: 59.0% 6.6% 4.4% 23.1% 3.6% 1.3% 1.2% 0.7%
Hackney 2022: 53.4% 11.4% 8.4% 23.0% 0.0% 2.3% 0.0% 1.6%
Change on Locals 2022: Lab +5.6%, Con -4.8%, Lib Dem -4.0%, Green +0.1%, Reform +3.6%, Ind -1.0%, WP +1.2% Others -0.9%
How much of that extra Lab vote was Diane Abbot?
|
|
aargauer
Conservative
Posts: 5,979
Member is Online
|
Post by aargauer on Jul 16, 2024 12:34:15 GMT
Hackney 2024: 59.0% 6.6% 4.4% 23.1% 3.6% 1.3% 1.2% 0.7% Hackney 2022: 53.4% 11.4% 8.4% 23.0% 0.0% 2.3% 0.0% 1.6% Change on Locals 2022: Lab +5.6%, Con -4.8%, Lib Dem -4.0%, Green +0.1%, Reform +3.6%, Ind -1.0%, WP +1.2% Others -0.9% How much of that extra Lab vote was Diane Abbot?About a thousand hundred and twelvty and six. |
|
|
|
Post by ntyuk1707 on Jul 16, 2024 12:55:41 GMT
Posted on Past Scottish elections in today's council wards thread 2024 General Election by ward in Scotland  |
|
|
|
Post by ntyuk1707 on Jul 16, 2024 12:59:25 GMT
Lead by party, Scotland  |
|
john07
Labour & Co-operative
Posts: 15,774
|
Post by john07 on Jul 16, 2024 14:39:40 GMT
Is there any reason why this thread is filed under London? Just asking.
|
|
|
|
Post by doktorb🏳️🌈🏳️⚧️ on Jul 16, 2024 15:04:05 GMT
Is there any reason why this thread is filed under London? Just asking. Mods couldn't create a new standalone thread, this was the next best thing |
|
|
|
Post by bjornhattan on Jul 16, 2024 16:59:59 GMT
Is there any reason why this thread is filed under London? Just asking. Mods couldn't create a new standalone thread, this was the next best thing I've just attempted to move it to the overall general election board (on the same level as the region folders), but for some reason doing that just locked the thread and made it impossible to reply. It must be down to some issue with the software where for some reason that board is classed as read only but the subforums within it aren't. |
|
|
|
Post by doktorb🏳️🌈🏳️⚧️ on Jul 16, 2024 17:25:12 GMT
Mods couldn't create a new standalone thread, this was the next best thing I've just attempted to move it to the overall general election board (on the same level as the region folders), but for some reason doing that just locked the thread and made it impossible to reply. It must be down to some issue with the software where for some reason that board is classed as read only but the subforums within it aren't. Technology eh. |
|
|
|
Post by greatkingrat on Jul 16, 2024 20:22:31 GMT
It might be best in the general psephology section
|
|
Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
|
Post by Deleted on Jul 16, 2024 21:09:14 GMT
I'm pretty sure Andrew Feinstein carried St Pancras & Somers Town. Our canvass returns only found two Labour voters there compared to about 50 for Feinstein. |
|
