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Post by rcronald on Jun 1, 2024 4:06:35 GMT
It looks like the Ramaphosa wing of the ANC wants a coalition with DA. But there are a couple of significant barriers: 1.Will the rest of the party be ok with that? 2.Will the DA be ok with that? (especially since the NNP’s collapsed due to agreements with the ANC) 3.Will they even be able to agree to a common program?
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Post by johnloony on Jun 1, 2024 9:48:09 GMT
Is MK just picking up the old Inkatha vote? I guess that’s not a big demographic in Cornwall
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Post by markgoodair on Jun 1, 2024 10:08:19 GMT
It looks like the Ramaphosa wing of the ANC wants a coalition with DA. But there are a couple of significant barriers: 1.Will the rest of the party be ok with that? 2.Will the DA be ok with that? (especially since the NNP’s collapsed due to agreements with the ANC) 3.Will they even be able to agree to a common program? Surely a more likely scenario is an ANC/MK coalition?
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Post by rcronald on Jun 1, 2024 10:20:16 GMT
It looks like the Ramaphosa wing of the ANC wants a coalition with DA. But there are a couple of significant barriers: 1.Will the rest of the party be ok with that? 2.Will the DA be ok with that? (especially since the NNP’s collapsed due to agreements with the ANC) 3.Will they even be able to agree to a common program? Surely a more likely scenario is an ANC/MK coalition? They despise each other, and one of MK’s main demands is Ramaphosa’s resignation.
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Georg Ebner
Non-Aligned
Roman romantic reactionary Catholic
Posts: 9,500
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Post by Georg Ebner on Jun 1, 2024 16:16:18 GMT
Is MK just picking up the old Inkatha vote? Based on the municipal map, (surprisingly) not really…*That is unless you are talking about their pre-Zuma vote, which then would only be partially true. I have unfortunately not found any map of MK's actual strength, just this: ![](https://up.picr.de/47851444uv.png) ...on the first place, which is unsurprisingly in sharp negative corRelation to IFP's former results: ![](https://up.picr.de/47851425sn.png)
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Post by Dave Morgan on Jun 2, 2024 16:45:21 GMT
Just been looking at the regional results. The ANC did terribly in KwaZulu Natal and Mpumalanga, with large Zulu populations, but outside it the MK seem to be pretty low. Just looking, ANC down only a couple of percent in places like Free State or Limpopo.
Is this the case of an issue with the ANC and the Zulu population, and it retain other black communities.
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Post by markgoodair on Jun 3, 2024 12:51:16 GMT
An ANC/DA coalition would have 246 in the National Assembly.
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Post by rcronald on Jun 3, 2024 13:13:55 GMT
An ANC/DA coalition would have 246 in the National Assembly. It would be an ANC+MPC parties rather than just DA.
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Post by markgoodair on Jun 14, 2024 10:33:30 GMT
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Post by rcronald on Jun 14, 2024 10:34:36 GMT
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Post by rcronald on Jun 15, 2024 19:14:34 GMT
Provincial updates:
Gauteng - Unity government with MK & IFF in opposition KwaZulu Natal- IFP led government with ANC, DA, and NFP Northern Cape - Unity government with EFF in opposition
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