cogload
Lib Dem
I jumped in the river and what did I see...
Posts: 9,141
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Post by cogload on May 29, 2024 18:11:28 GMT
Polling stations close at 1900 GMT. Final results by the weekend.
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cogload
Lib Dem
I jumped in the river and what did I see...
Posts: 9,141
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Post by cogload on May 29, 2024 19:26:59 GMT
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iain
Lib Dem
Posts: 11,435 
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Post by iain on May 29, 2024 21:20:39 GMT
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iain
Lib Dem
Posts: 11,435
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Post by iain on May 29, 2024 22:06:00 GMT
And, after long delays:
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iain
Lib Dem
Posts: 11,435
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Post by iain on May 29, 2024 22:58:27 GMT
All very small voting districts so far, but early results look bad for the ANC but very good for Zuma’s new MK Party.
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Merseymike
Independent
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Member is Online
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Post by Merseymike on May 29, 2024 23:11:44 GMT
All very small voting districts so far, but early results look bad for the ANC but very good for Zumba’s new MK Party. Trouble is the MK Party is even more corrupt - Zuma ? The Zumba ... a bit different..🕺 |
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Georg Ebner
Non-Aligned
Roman romantic reactionary Catholic
Posts: 9,813
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Post by Georg Ebner on May 29, 2024 23:14:33 GMT
Not in all, but in most precincts doubleDigit-losses for ANC - and this in tiny rural areas!
First number from Zulu/Natal: 26% from ANC to MK.
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Post by markgoodair on May 30, 2024 6:22:15 GMT
With 10% of the vote counted the ANC are down to 42.3% and the DA up on 26.34%.
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Post by rcronald on May 30, 2024 6:36:14 GMT
If the ANC is down by double digits in the Eastern Cape (where one would have expected their vote to hold up better than in most provinces), than they are more than screwed in Gauteng and Zulu-Natal…
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Post by rcronald on May 30, 2024 6:48:09 GMT
Very strong numbers for the Patriotic Alliance, which is led by a convicted Gangster…
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iain
Lib Dem
Posts: 11,435
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Post by iain on May 30, 2024 7:46:43 GMT
CSIR's first national projection:
ANC - 42% (-16%)
DA - 22% (+1%)
MK - 13% (new)
EFF - 9% (-2%)
PA - 2% (+2%)
Democratic Alliance have recovered with whites and possibly made a little ground with blacks (though I may be jumping the gun on that last point), but have bled badly to the PA with their Coloured base.
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Post by rcronald on May 30, 2024 7:51:36 GMT
CSIR's first national projection: ANC - 42% (-16%) DA - 22% (+1%) MK - 13% (new) EFF - 9% (-2%) PA - 2% (new) Democratic Alliance have recovered with whites and possibly made a little ground with blacks (though I may be jumping the gun on that little point), but have bled badly to the PA with their Coloured base. I’m curious as to why the PA did well with Coloured voters, as McKenzie is black. |
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iain
Lib Dem
Posts: 11,435
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Post by iain on May 30, 2024 7:52:38 GMT
And some state projections:
Northern Cape
ANC - 53% (-5%)
DA - 21% (-5%)
EFF - 11% (+1%)
PA - 8% (new)
FF+ - 3% (0%)
MK - 1% (new)
Eastern Cape
ANC - 64% (-5%)
DA - 15% (-1%)
EFF - 10% (+2%)
UDM - 2% (-1%)
PA - 2% (new)
FF+ - 1% (0%)
MK - 1% (new)
Free State
ANC - 53% (-8%)
DA - 21% (+3%)
EFF - 12% (-1%)
FF+ - 4% (0%)
MK - 3% (new)
ActionSA - 1% (new)
PA - 1% (0%)
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Post by ntyuk1707 on May 30, 2024 7:55:20 GMT
CSIR's first national projection: ANC - 42% (-16%) DA - 22% (+1%) MK - 13% (new) EFF - 9% (-2%) PA - 2% (new) Democratic Alliance have recovered with whites and possibly made a little ground with blacks (though I may be jumping the gun on that little point), but have bled badly to the PA with their Coloured base. So basically no change apart from a reasonable chunk of ANC voters going for MK? Disappointing. I assume ANC will continue to be the largest party in all provinces outside of the Western Cape? |
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iain
Lib Dem
Posts: 11,435
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Post by iain on May 30, 2024 7:55:51 GMT
CSIR's first national projection: ANC - 42% (-16%) DA - 22% (+1%) MK - 13% (new) EFF - 9% (-2%) PA - 2% (new) Democratic Alliance have recovered with whites and possibly made a little ground with blacks (though I may be jumping the gun on that little point), but have bled badly to the PA with their Coloured base. I’m curious as to why the PA did well with Coloured voters, as McKenzie is black. He is Coloured, as is Kenny Kunene the co-founder. They have pitched themselves pretty squarely towards the Coloured electorate. |
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Post by rcronald on May 30, 2024 7:59:16 GMT
I’m curious as to why the PA did well with Coloured voters, as McKenzie is black. He is Coloured, as is Kenny Kunene the co-founder. They have pitched themselves pretty squarely towards the Coloured electorate. He’s coloured? He looks like an average black South African. My bad. |
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iain
Lib Dem
Posts: 11,435
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Post by iain on May 30, 2024 8:05:18 GMT
Western Cape projection:
DA - 55% (0%)
ANC - 20% (-9%)
PA - 9% (new)
EFF - 4% (0%)
FF+ - 2% (0%)
MK - 1% (new)
DA:
White, Anglo: 81% -> 89%
White, Afrikaans: 77% -> 85%
Coloured, Urban: 70% -> 58%
Rural: 55% -> 50%
Black: 4% -> 9%
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iain
Lib Dem
Posts: 11,435
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Post by iain on May 30, 2024 9:11:25 GMT
And some state projections: Northern Cape ANC - 53% (-5%) DA - 21% (-5%) EFF - 11% (+1%) PA - 8% (new) FF+ - 3% (0%) MK - 1% (new) Updated projection: ANC - 50% DA - 21% EFF - 13% PA - 11% FF+ - 3% MK - 1% So touch and go for a majority in Northern Cape. No detailed projection yet, but Dawie Scholtz / News 24 have said that the ANC will (predictably - they won 50.1% last time) lose its majority in Gauteng |
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Merseymike
Independent
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Member is Online
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Post by Merseymike on May 30, 2024 9:20:20 GMT
And some state projections: Northern Cape ANC - 53% (-5%) DA - 21% (-5%) EFF - 11% (+1%) PA - 8% (new) FF+ - 3% (0%) MK - 1% (new) Updated projection: ANC - 50% DA - 21% EFF - 13% PA - 11% FF+ - 3% MK - 1% So touch and go for a majority in Northern Cape. No detailed projection yet, but Dawie Scholtz / News 24 have said that the ANC will (predictably - they won 50.1% last time) lose its majority in Gauteng However, a ragbag of small parties won't help - some of them are corrupt or bizarre! |
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Post by rcronald on May 30, 2024 9:29:05 GMT
Updated projection: ANC - 50% DA - 21% EFF - 13% PA - 11% FF+ - 3% MK - 1% So touch and go for a majority in Northern Cape. No detailed projection yet, but Dawie Scholtz / News 24 have said that the ANC will (predictably - they won 50.1% last time) lose its majority in Gauteng However, a ragbag of small parties won't help - some of them are corrupt or bizarre! So are the big parties in SA. 🙂 |
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