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Post by carlton43 on Jun 7, 2024 10:57:39 GMT
That is so typical of you and your general uncaring toff Tory attitude to everything. That justifiably outraged gentleman is suffering from 'Fat Git Syndrome' brought on by the mental anguish of living on benefits for 20-years which are so low he has to send his Fat Slag Wife and Daughter out to Food Banks to supplement his otherwise poverty diet. Often it is only the foreign premium lager that has kept him alive. I am in tears as I write this. (Emote emote.) First time I’ve ever been called a toff  We aim to please even if stretching all bounds of truth. |
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Post by johnloony on Jun 7, 2024 12:58:51 GMT
Next you'll be telling me you've never opened a gate and accidently let a giant rabbit out of a garden, and then had to set off in hot pursuit after the critter? I have never opened a gate and accidently let a giant rabbit out of a garden, and then had to set off in hot pursuit after the critter. |
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iain
Lib Dem
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Post by iain on Jun 7, 2024 15:26:45 GMT
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binky
Non-Aligned
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Post by binky on Jun 13, 2024 11:03:18 GMT
How many resources are the Liberals putting into this? Seems like they're mostly on the defensive, with the exception of Mid Dunbartonshire.
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Post by olympian95 on Jun 13, 2024 11:11:46 GMT
My understanding is that there is an active and well-funded campaign from the LDs here, and has been for a while.
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stb12
Top Poster
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Post by stb12 on Jun 13, 2024 11:30:36 GMT
How many resources are the Liberals putting into this? Seems like they're mostly on the defensive, with the exception of Mid Dunbartonshire. Depends how confident they are with the seats they hold, the base is there in the Highlands albeit there is some decent travel time required within that part of the world O&S and Edinburgh West are definitely safe, boundary changes do put them notionally behind in NEF and Caithness etc but considering the national picture they should be in a very good place with them unless the SNP have a miraculous recovery before the election date |
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The Bishop
Labour
Down With Factionalism!
Posts: 38,889
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Post by The Bishop on Jun 13, 2024 12:42:58 GMT
How many resources are the Liberals putting into this? Seems like they're mostly on the defensive, with the exception of Mid Dunbartonshire. What is this based on? Not on those almost literally incredible YouGov MRP findings, I hope. |
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Ports
Non-Aligned
Posts: 605
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Post by Ports on Jun 13, 2024 13:09:29 GMT
Surely it's sort of by default - two of their MPs are in notionally SNP seats and only here and Mid Dunbartonshire are credible targets. One wonders if they could've tried to hold on to or rebuild their old vote in places like West Aberdeenshire and Kincardine where they could take advantage of other parties' unpopularity, but an opportunity to do so hasn't been forthcoming.
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binky
Non-Aligned
Posts: 63
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Post by binky on Jun 13, 2024 13:11:04 GMT
How many resources are the Liberals putting into this? Seems like they're mostly on the defensive, with the exception of Mid Dunbartonshire. What is this based on? Not on those almost literally incredible YouGov MRP findings, I hope. Admittedly on a sampling of Cole-Hamilton's tweets, which are not super indicative. |
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Tony Otim
Green
Suffering from Brexistential Despair
Posts: 11,892
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Post by Tony Otim on Jun 13, 2024 13:41:56 GMT
One issue is that they don't have that many obvious targets beyond the ones they hold ( including the 2 that notionally went SNP with the boundary changes) and mid-dunbartonshire. They've really fallen back out of contention in the borders and Aberdeenshire to a large extent.
This would probably be one of the main prospects outside of those 5 seats
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Post by MacShimidh on Jun 13, 2024 14:44:22 GMT
Certainly looks like the Lib Dems are going all in here. Yesterday we had a visit from Alex Cole-Hamilton himself who gave us the classic “only we can beat the SNP here” spiel, although admittedly he came across very well and was very personable. This is on top of a leaflet through the letterbox every week since the campaign got going, and indeed they’ve been a visible presence since even before that.
Save from one leaflet, I’ve seen very little activity from the SNP so far, they seem rather lackadaisical in comparison. Not wise at all to give the LDs such a free run in a seat like this.
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cogload
Lib Dem
I jumped in the river and what did I see...
Posts: 9,140
Member is Online
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Post by cogload on Jun 13, 2024 17:46:51 GMT
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john07
Labour & Co-operative
Posts: 15,774
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Post by john07 on Jun 13, 2024 19:17:56 GMT
Surely it's sort of by default - two of their MPs are in notionally SNP seats and only here and Mid Dunbartonshire are credible targets. One wonders if they could've tried to hold on to or rebuild their old vote in places like West Aberdeenshire and Kincardine where they could take advantage of other parties' unpopularity, but an opportunity to do so hasn't been forthcoming. Notional results are not that important where tactical voting is in play. Edinburgh West and Edinburgh South are both safe for the Lib Dems and Labour respectively. If areas from a neighbouring seat was brought it into such a constituency, the newcomers would quickly adept to the situation and may vote differently than in their previous constituency. I don’t see that Lib Dem MPs will lose their seats due to comparatively minor boundary changes. |
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Ports
Non-Aligned
Posts: 605
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Post by Ports on Jun 13, 2024 19:33:03 GMT
I don’t see that Lib Dem MPs will lose their seats due to comparatively minor boundary changes. No and I agree with what you've said. But it makes sense that some of the Lib Dem campaign will be spent establishing themselves in those new parts. |
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xenon
Forum Regular
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Post by xenon on Jun 13, 2024 22:19:39 GMT
I don’t see that Lib Dem MPs will lose their seats due to comparatively minor boundary changes. No and I agree with what you've said. But it makes sense that some of the Lib Dem campaign will be spent establishing themselves in those new parts. Especially when places like Leven are usually strongholds for the main opposition in the SNP. |
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Post by John Chanin on Jun 14, 2024 7:45:37 GMT
angusmaclibdem? Really? One for the amazing hilarity I think. |
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Deleted
Deleted Member
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Post by Deleted on Jun 15, 2024 5:30:55 GMT
Lib Dem gain inshallah - justice for Charles Kennedy's defeat in 2015.
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Post by carlton43 on Jun 15, 2024 9:11:39 GMT
Lib Dem gain inshallah - justice for Charles Kennedy's defeat in 2015. Justice? Please explain. |
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Post by johnloony on Jun 15, 2024 9:46:18 GMT
Lib Dem gain inshallah - justice for Charles Kennedy's defeat in 2015. Justice? Please explain. Revenge? |
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Post by batman on Jun 15, 2024 10:40:40 GMT
Lib Dem gain inshallah - justice for Charles Kennedy's defeat in 2015. Justice? Please explain. there is a widespread perception that Ian Blackford’s attacks on Charles Kennedy in 2015 were personal and unpleasant. I wasn’t there so cannot either confirm or deny that. Of course Kennedy died days after his defeat |
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