stb12
Top Poster
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Post by stb12 on Mar 14, 2024 2:01:48 GMT
Inverness, Skye and West Ross-shire
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Post by yellowfox on Mar 18, 2024 17:07:43 GMT
This is one of the new seats that is less recognisable with a predecessor constituency. For what that's worth, its been analysed to be Inverness, Nairn, Badenoch and Strathspey, i'm not sure if the new name is better or worse.
Drew Hendry, who has sat for Inverness since 2015, defends a 12,865 (25%) vote notional majority for the SNP over the Conservatives. Hendry is currently the SNP treasury spokesperson, effectively the nationalist shadow chancellor and has held several other portfolios over the years.
The conservatives, who last won in Inverness in 1959, are standing Ruraidh Stewart, a Skye councillor and leader of the Conservative opposition group on Highland Council. The Lib Dems, notionally now 4,000 votes behind the tories, who lost this seat to the SNP in 2015 are standing Angus MacDonald, a councillor for Fort William who is also a local businessman.
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iang
Lib Dem
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Post by iang on Apr 1, 2024 14:49:29 GMT
My understanding is (from a considerable distance) that this is one of the few Scottish seats beside those we held in 2019 that we are fighting seriously
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stb12
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Post by stb12 on Apr 1, 2024 14:52:48 GMT
My understanding is (from a considerable distance) that this is one of the few Scottish seats beside those we held in 2019 that we are fighting seriously I think it’s quite close to a form of one of Charles Kennedy’s old seats? |
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iang
Lib Dem
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Post by iang on Apr 1, 2024 15:05:47 GMT
And Inverness itself which we have held at various points since the mid 60s
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Post by uthacalthing on Apr 6, 2024 22:38:04 GMT
Where if anywhere is Ian Blackford standing?
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Apr 6, 2024 23:14:25 GMT
Where if anywhere is Ian Blackford standing? He announced on 6 June last year that he wouldn't be contesting the next general election. |
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Post by uthacalthing on Apr 6, 2024 23:35:32 GMT
I had that vaguest of memories, but feared it was a dream
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Sandy
Forum Regular
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Post by Sandy on Apr 8, 2024 11:38:32 GMT
At least I will likely retain the fairly inoffensive Drew Hendry as my MP now, rather than the gobshite adulterer.
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nyx
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Post by nyx on Apr 8, 2024 12:00:13 GMT
At least I will likely retain the fairly inoffensive Drew Hendry as my MP now, rather than the gobshite adulterer. I wouldn't be entirely certain of that- the Lib Dems' Angus MacDonald is having a fairly serious campaign. SNP hold is what I'd expect ultimately, with the Lib Dems in a fairly strong second, but I wouldn't be shocked by an upset. |
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Post by uthacalthing on Apr 8, 2024 12:23:27 GMT
Or upset by a shock
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stb12
Top Poster
Posts: 8,366
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Post by stb12 on Apr 8, 2024 19:18:23 GMT
The Lib Dems in the Highlands will surely be mainly focussed on Caithness with the boundary changes having them notionally behind there, they also put a lot of effort into unseating Blackford in 2019 and got nowhere near doing it
Although if the SNP continue to look weak then it may be worth a shot here
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john07
Labour & Co-operative
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Post by john07 on Apr 8, 2024 20:18:46 GMT
This is one of the new seats that is less recognisable with a predecessor constituency. For what that's worth, its been analysed to be Inverness, Nairn, Badenoch and Strathspey, i'm not sure if the new name is better or worse. She gets everywhere! |
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Sandy
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Post by Sandy on Apr 8, 2024 21:11:48 GMT
The Lib Dems in the Highlands will surely be mainly focussed on Caithness with the boundary changes having them notionally behind there, they also put a lot of effort into unseating Blackford in 2019 and got nowhere near doing it Although if the SNP continue to look weak then it may be worth a shot here Unless they think CSER is in the bag and they’re diverting their resources down here? Slight tangent, but while I’m glad the abysmal “Highland North” was abandoned, “Caithness, Sutherland and Easter Ross” is a pretty silly name now that the seat contains most of Wester Ross as well. |
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Ports
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Post by Ports on Apr 8, 2024 22:23:53 GMT
The Lib Dems in the Highlands will surely be mainly focussed on Caithness with the boundary changes having them notionally behind there, they also put a lot of effort into unseating Blackford in 2019 and got nowhere near doing it Although if the SNP continue to look weak then it may be worth a shot here Unless they think CSER is in the bag and they’re diverting their resources down here? Slight tangent, but while I’m glad the abysmal “Highland North” was abandoned, “Caithness, Sutherland and Easter Ross” is a pretty silly name now that the seat contains most of Wester Ross as well. It's possible the Easter would have been dropped were it not for the name of the relevant Scottish Parliament constituency. On that note I'm not sure what the rule is prohibiting (non-coterminous) Scottish Parliament constituencies with identical names to those of Westminster and where, if anywhere, that rule is formally stated. |
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Post by aidanthomson on Apr 8, 2024 22:42:53 GMT
Unless they think CSER is in the bag and they’re diverting their resources down here? Slight tangent, but while I’m glad the abysmal “Highland North” was abandoned, “Caithness, Sutherland and Easter Ross” is a pretty silly name now that the seat contains most of Wester Ross as well. It's possible the Easter would have been dropped were it not for the name of the relevant Scottish Parliament constituency. On that note I'm not sure what the rule is prohibiting (non-coterminous) Scottish Parliament constituencies with identical names to those of Westminster and where, if anywhere, that rule is formally stated. I can think of one case – Rutherglen – where a new Westminster constituency has been given the same name as an existing Holyrood constituency, and where the seats are non-coterminous. So the prohibition is a custom rather than a rule, and one that is honoured in the breach. They could have got round it in CSER's case by going with something like Caithness, Sutherland and Ross-shire, though that would also have been inaccurate given that the new seat doesn't include all Ross-shire. |
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Sandy
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Post by Sandy on Apr 8, 2024 22:46:31 GMT
Unless they think CSER is in the bag and they’re diverting their resources down here? Slight tangent, but while I’m glad the abysmal “Highland North” was abandoned, “Caithness, Sutherland and Easter Ross” is a pretty silly name now that the seat contains most of Wester Ross as well. It's possible the Easter would have been dropped were it not for the name of the relevant Scottish Parliament constituency. On that note I'm not sure what the rule is prohibiting (non-coterminous) Scottish Parliament constituencies with identical names to those of Westminster and where, if anywhere, that rule is formally stated. That rule is applied pretty inconsistently anyway. |
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Post by MacShimidh on May 27, 2024 15:56:02 GMT
Been thinking a lot about how the election is going to go here in my home seat, and I must admit I'm a bit stumped. I'm fairly sure the SNP will hang on, although it looks like the Liberal Democrats are going to have a right go for it. On paper this is one of the SNP's safest seats in the country, and if they can't hold on here then they really will be in single digits seat-wise. Despite all the hype I just don't think that is going to happen.
Maybe something like
SNP 35
LD 30
CON 15
LAB 15
OTH 5
Not confident in that at all though! Will definitely revisit later in the campaign.
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Post by No Offence Alan on May 27, 2024 20:10:54 GMT
Current odds at Ladbrokes
SNP
2/7
Liberal Democrats
5/1
Labour
6/1
Conservatives
20/1
Greens
100/1
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Post by doktorb🏳️🌈🏳️⚧️ on Jun 7, 2024 4:14:46 GMT
Filmed and posted by the Conservative candidate:
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