stb12
Top Poster
Posts: 8,366 
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Post by stb12 on Jul 3, 2024 16:54:30 GMT
I'm making a visit here tomorrow myself as it happens. Read into that what you will. Not defecting to the SNP I hope! |
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Ports
Non-Aligned
Posts: 605
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Post by Ports on Jul 3, 2024 16:56:42 GMT
I'm making a visit here tomorrow myself as it happens. Read into that what you will. Well that's my final prediction out the window! |
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Post by Kristofer Keane on Jul 4, 2024 13:45:34 GMT
Keir Starmer made his final constituency visit of the campaign here. I do think this will be a hyper-marginal seat. I still think we'll hold it, though that's probably affected by just a bit of personal bias. I expect the majority will be sub-1000 either way.
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stb12
Top Poster
Posts: 8,366
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Post by stb12 on Jul 4, 2024 13:58:54 GMT
When my work finishes at half 4 I will go and cast a ballot for here
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Post by Kristofer Keane on Jul 4, 2024 23:50:15 GMT
Not good for us. Result coming shortly.
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Post by Kristofer Keane on Jul 5, 2024 11:28:13 GMT
So, obviously not a good night. It did come as a surprise, all the experience on the doors was that there was a move to Labour but still plenty of SNP voters about, with returns being about 50/50. There were a lot of usual Tories reporting being undecided and I had written most of those off as Reform but a fair group of them must have moved to Labour too. The big drops in turnout were a surprise too, and presumably were disproportionately SNP voters.
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stb12
Top Poster
Posts: 8,366
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Post by stb12 on Jul 5, 2024 11:29:25 GMT
Kristofer Keane Not a gloating type question at all but interested that you seemed pretty confident of an SNP hold here. Were you just trying to be optimistic or did the swing to Labour across the central belt turn out to be worse than the party activists expected?
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Post by Kristofer Keane on Jul 5, 2024 11:39:33 GMT
Kristofer Keane Not a gloating type question at all but interested that you seemed pretty confident of an SNP hold here. Were you just trying to be optimistic or did the swing to Labour across the central belt turn out to be worse than the party activists expected? Definitely worse than expected. Throughout the campaign, I thought we would hold some of the other new town seats too like Cumbernauld and Livingston, and maybe a Glasgow seat. I had been saying about 20 seats most of the campaign but then in the final week it had felt like things were starting to shift a little in our favour if anything. I spent the final weekend out canvassing and we were getting good figures and good feedback, although there was also a fair bit of "I'll vote SNP, but you need to fix x..." There was one particular bit of Greenhills where the doors were overwhelmingly positive, but I actually sampled its box at the count and Labour led even there (albeit to a lesser degree than elsewhere). |
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