stb12
Top Poster
Posts: 8,409 
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Post by stb12 on Mar 14, 2024 1:25:44 GMT
Leeds South West and Morley
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Post by markgoodair on Mar 14, 2024 11:00:46 GMT
Can't wait to see Jenkins collect her well earned P45.
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YL
Non-Aligned
Either Labour leaning or Lib Dem leaning but not sure which
Posts: 4,915
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Post by YL on Mar 14, 2024 17:24:46 GMT
Almanac profileCandidatesChris Bell (Green) Howard Dews (Yorkshire Party) Michael Fox (Lib Dem) Andrea Jenkyns* (Con) James Kendall (Reform UK) Nigel Perry (SDP) Mark Sewards (Lab)
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philvn
Labour
Posts: 173
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Post by philvn on Mar 24, 2024 6:38:40 GMT
Knew him a bit at uni. Nice fella. |
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Post by batman on Mar 24, 2024 16:33:13 GMT
Is he related to Fred Trueman, whose mother's maiden name was Sewards? It's not a common surname
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philvn
Labour
Posts: 173
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Post by philvn on Mar 25, 2024 4:43:02 GMT
Is he related to Fred Trueman, whose mother's maiden name was Sewards? It's not a common surname Can't help with that one ha. |
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Post by batman on Mar 25, 2024 8:31:18 GMT
and we can't ask Fred either
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Post by Ron Swanson on May 29, 2024 15:36:02 GMT
Apparently the Morley Borough Independents are putting up a candidate…
The last time the local elections were held on the same day as the GE, in 2015, they carried one Morley ward easily and were only 500 behind in the other, even on the higher turn out.
So a very solid showing is in order, potentially…
Apparently there has been a fall out between Andrea Jenkyns and the MBIs, who have usually been supportive at GEs…
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Post by greenhert on May 29, 2024 17:40:25 GMT
Apparently the Morley Borough Independents are putting up a candidate… The last time the local elections were held on the same day as the GE, in 2015, they carried one Morley ward easily and were only 500 behind in the other, even on the higher turn out. So a very solid showing is in order, potentially… Apparently there has been a fall out between Andrea Jenkyns and the MBIs, who have usually been supportive at GEs… If this is true then this seat should be an easy (or at least plausible) gain for Labour. |
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YL
Non-Aligned
Either Labour leaning or Lib Dem leaning but not sure which
Posts: 4,915
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Post by YL on May 29, 2024 17:43:50 GMT
Apparently the Morley Borough Independents are putting up a candidate… The last time the local elections were held on the same day as the GE, in 2015, they carried one Morley ward easily and were only 500 behind in the other, even on the higher turn out. So a very solid showing is in order, potentially… Apparently there has been a fall out between Andrea Jenkyns and the MBIs, who have usually been supportive at GEs… If this is true then this seat should be an easy (or at least plausible) gain for Labour. It was already a plausible gain. The boundary changes reduce Jenkyns' notional majority, and of course even under the old boundaries it voted for Balls in 2010. The MBI Facebook page has a post indicating that they are intending to stand. |
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Post by Ron Swanson on May 29, 2024 18:22:34 GMT
The new boundaries are more favourable to Labour, as Tories will have no data for Farnley & Wortley… and they’re losing the two Wakefield wards, one of which is normally Tory leaning, the other Labour.
I’d be surprised if Labour failed to gain it ordinarily but with the addition of the MBI, ought to be a fairly decent majority.
Who knows what the MBI might poll, 5000 at least you’d think.
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YL
Non-Aligned
Either Labour leaning or Lib Dem leaning but not sure which
Posts: 4,915
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Post by YL on May 29, 2024 18:24:35 GMT
Who knows what the MBI might poll, 5000 at least you’d think. It's all very well voting for a Local Party for Local People to stand up for your town on Leeds council; it's a different matter in a Westminster election. I think they won't do as well as they think they will. |
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Post by Ron Swanson on May 29, 2024 18:26:13 GMT
Who knows what the MBI might poll, 5000 at least you’d think. It's all very well voting for a Local Party for Local People to stand up for your town on Leeds council; it's a different matter in a Westminster election. I think they won't do as well as they think they will. Robert Finnigan got 4600 in Morley & Rothwell, in 2005. |
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john07
Labour & Co-operative
Posts: 15,832
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Post by john07 on May 29, 2024 18:56:12 GMT
Who knows what the MBI might poll, 5000 at least you’d think. It's all very well voting for a Local Party for Local People to stand up for your town on Leeds council; it's a different matter in a Westminster election. I think they won't do as well as they think they will. In the words of Kenny Dalgleish ‘MiBbIes Aye, MiBbIes Nae?’ |
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Post by thejedi on May 29, 2024 22:20:36 GMT
Apparently the Morley Borough Independents are putting up a candidate… The last time the local elections were held on the same day as the GE, in 2015, they carried one Morley ward easily and were only 500 behind in the other, even on the higher turn out. So a very solid showing is in order, potentially… Apparently there has been a fall out between Andrea Jenkyns and the MBIs, who have usually been supportive at GEs… A MBI candidate all but kills Jenkyn’s chances of winning, off. |
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Post by Ron Swanson on May 30, 2024 13:05:03 GMT
Apparently the Morley Borough Independents are putting up a candidate… The last time the local elections were held on the same day as the GE, in 2015, they carried one Morley ward easily and were only 500 behind in the other, even on the higher turn out. So a very solid showing is in order, potentially… Apparently there has been a fall out between Andrea Jenkyns and the MBIs, who have usually been supportive at GEs… A MBI candidate all but kills Jenkyn’s chances of winning, off. Yes… Labour would carry F&W with ease, given that Mark Sewards is at least partially responsible for turning it from a Green stronghold into a ward with three Labour councillors with decent majorities. Labour’s vote in Ardsley is fairly steady, any spoiler/other candidate tends to affect the Tories, MBIs could pull 500-1000 here. Meaning Jenkyns would have to carry Morley in a big way, which isn’t happening if MBIs stand, unless all their vote came from Labour, which I’d say is highly unlikely. |
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YL
Non-Aligned
Either Labour leaning or Lib Dem leaning but not sure which
Posts: 4,915
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Post by YL on Jun 7, 2024 16:27:22 GMT
7 candidates here. Note no MBI or other Independent.
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cogload
Lib Dem
I jumped in the river and what did I see...
Posts: 9,144
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Post by cogload on Jun 12, 2024 10:23:50 GMT
What is going on here then?
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Merseymike
Independent
Posts: 40,562
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Post by Merseymike on Jun 12, 2024 10:35:12 GMT
What is going on here then? Pointless. There is a Reform UK candidate. She will lose. |
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Yaffles
Non-Aligned
Posts: 526
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Post by Yaffles on Jun 12, 2024 10:38:54 GMT
What is going on here then? Pointless. There is a Reform UK candidate. She will lose. In some ways it reflects the reality of half of the modern Tory party - its leader IS Nigel Farage even if he isn’t technically one of them. Where he goes they follow like demented little sheep |
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