stb12
Top Poster
Posts: 8,398 
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Post by stb12 on Mar 14, 2024 1:21:18 GMT
Harrogate and Knaresborough
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YL
Non-Aligned
Either Labour leaning or Lib Dem leaning but not sure which
Posts: 4,915
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Post by YL on Mar 14, 2024 17:57:47 GMT
Almanac profileCandidatesTom Gordon (Lib Dem) Paul Haslam (Ind) Andrew Jones* (Con) Stephen Metcalfe (nd) Shan Oakes (Green) Jonathan Swales (Reform UK) Conrad Whitcroft (Lab)
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Post by LDCaerdydd on May 23, 2024 13:10:05 GMT
Ladbrooks odds - 2pm 23/5
Lib Dem 1/4
Con 4/1
Lab 8/1
Reform 33/1
Green 100/1
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The Bishop
Labour
Down With Factionalism!
Posts: 39,009
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Post by The Bishop on May 23, 2024 13:22:26 GMT
Well those Labour and indeed Reform prices are laughable.
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Post by Pete Whitehead on May 23, 2024 14:03:18 GMT
This is the sort of seat that looks like it will be a good value bet. I think a Lib Dem gain is quite likely, but 4 to 1 against? I'll take some odds like that.
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Post by thejedi on May 23, 2024 14:34:06 GMT
This is the sort of seat that looks like it will be a good value bet. I think a Lib Dem gain is quite likely, but 4 to 1 against? I'll take some odds like that. Good lad is Tom Gordon, the Lib Dems candidate. He’s been working hard for over a year on that seat now. I suspect he will win. |
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Post by markgoodair on May 23, 2024 15:11:47 GMT
This is the sort of seat that looks like it will be a good value bet. I think a Lib Dem gain is quite likely, but 4 to 1 against? I'll take some odds like that. A 25% return is better than you would get leaving your money in the Building Society. |
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Post by Ron Swanson on May 23, 2024 15:18:26 GMT
If you can get 8/1 on the exchange, lay against Labour at those odds.
Easiest 12% return you'd ever get, totally risk free.
If Labour won here, we might as well abolish democracy for the next 20 years, because there'd be zero chance of anyone else winning anywhere. Might as well save the £££ that elections cost.
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Post by Old Fashioned Leftie on May 23, 2024 16:23:47 GMT
If you can get 8/1 on the exchange, lay against Labour at those odds. Easiest 12% return you'd ever get, totally risk free. If Labour won here, we might as well abolish democracy for the next 20 years, because there'd be zero chance of anyone else winning anywhere. Might as well save the £££ that elections cost. Excuse my betting naivety, but how does that work? I quite like the sound of a risk free 12% return. |
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right
Conservative
Posts: 18,875
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Post by right on Jun 6, 2024 13:51:41 GMT
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Post by devolutionist on Jun 6, 2024 16:07:07 GMT
Almanac profileCandidatesAndrew Jones* (Con) Tom Gordon (Lib Dem) Shan Oakes (Green) Conrad Whitcroft (Lab) John Swales (Reform UK) You are missing Paul Haslam independent candidate (also stood as an indie in the NY mayoral) No YP candidate in this seat, we did select somebody but he's gone through a period of ill health so decided not to stand. |
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J.G.Harston
Lib Dem
Leave-voting Brexit-supporting Liberal Democrat
Posts: 14,804
Member is Online
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Post by J.G.Harston on Jun 7, 2024 16:48:13 GMT
Tom Gordon (Lib Dem)
Paul Haslam (Ind)
Andrew Jones (Con)
Stephen Metcalfe []
Shan Oakes (Green)
John Swales (Reform UK)
Conrad Whitcroft (Lab)
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Post by devolutionist on Jun 17, 2024 13:23:28 GMT
The amount of election literature I'm getting from the Lib Dems is bordering on obnoxious now and I worry that it will turn people off, its essentially hard selling.
There is investing in a target seat, and there is 7 distinct election leaflets/letters in 7 days (between the wife and I, she a postal voter and me somebody who likes to walk to the polling station with the dog). It feels a bit OTT.
That said, I want this Tory out so I'll still vote for them, just wondering whether I should seek a restraining order in the meantime!
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Post by LDCaerdydd on Jun 17, 2024 13:30:03 GMT
The amount of election literature I'm getting from the Lib Dems is bordering on obnoxious now and I worry that it will turn people off, its essentially hard selling....just wondering whether I should seek a restraining order in the meantime! Every party has been guilty of going OTT on leaflets at one point or another in one seat or more. Lib Dems of course are famous for it and it often works. Out of curiosity how many letters/leaflets have the Conservatives delivered? I'm guessing you're in an urban area? The whole seat certainly won't have had a leaflet a day. |
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Post by thejedi on Jun 17, 2024 13:34:00 GMT
Tom Gordan has been working hard in that area to be fair, he will make a good MP for Harrogate and Knareborough.
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Post by devolutionist on Jun 17, 2024 13:35:04 GMT
The amount of election literature I'm getting from the Lib Dems is bordering on obnoxious now and I worry that it will turn people off, its essentially hard selling....just wondering whether I should seek a restraining order in the meantime! Every party has been guilty of going OTT on leaflets at one point or another in one seat or more. Lib Dems of course are famous for it and it often works. Out of curiosity how many letters/leaflets have the Conservatives delivered? I'm guessing you're in an urban area? The whole seat certainly won't have had a leaflet a day. Most of it has been delivered by Royal Mail, just seems the Lib Dems are throwing tens of thousands at it. I live in Knaresborough, which has Lib Dem councillors. I know that this is one of the Lib Dems main target seats, but it feels like overkill now. I don't know how many leaflets I've had from the Conservatives overall since the election was called, I'd perhaps estimate that as a couple, since the calling of the election, we've had something like 12 Lib Dem leaflets of distinct design and 2 from the Tories. A forlorn looking Andrew Jones was apparently spotted delivering leaflets on his own recently. |
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The Bishop
Labour
Down With Factionalism!
Posts: 39,009
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Post by The Bishop on Jun 17, 2024 15:13:08 GMT
The amount of election literature I'm getting from the Lib Dems is bordering on obnoxious now and I worry that it will turn people off, its essentially hard selling. Not saying that this never happens, but it is speculated about rather more often than it actually occurs. |
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Post by batman on Jun 17, 2024 15:32:10 GMT
I agree. It's very rare for voters to complain that they're getting too many leaflets from any particular party. More commonly they complain of not getting enough information.
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Post by johnloony on Jun 17, 2024 15:59:03 GMT
I agree. It's very rare for voters to complain that they're getting too many leaflets from any particular party. More commonly they complain of not getting enough information. My agent pointed out the other day that such complaints often come from people who have “No Leaflets!” signs on their doors |
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Post by arnieg on Jun 17, 2024 16:06:12 GMT
I hear similar complaints in Wokingham and yet I'm still meeting people who are unaware Redwood isn't standing.
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