stb12
Top Poster
Posts: 8,366 
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Post by stb12 on Mar 14, 2024 1:08:40 GMT
Stratford-on-Avon
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Post by John Chanin on Mar 15, 2024 12:13:23 GMT
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YL
Non-Aligned
Either Labour leaning or Lib Dem leaning but not sure which
Posts: 4,905
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Post by YL on Apr 3, 2024 17:14:44 GMT
YouGov's MRP out today has the Lib Dems taking this: LD 38%, Con 31%, Lab 16%, Reform 11%, Green 7%.
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iang
Lib Dem
Posts: 1,813
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Post by iang on Apr 3, 2024 18:46:42 GMT
As said elsewhere, this is the "other" target for the regional party
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Post by John Chanin on Apr 3, 2024 19:04:31 GMT
As my profile says if there is anywhere in the West Midlands that resembles the home counties, then this is it. However I still struggle to see the Liberal Democrats getting anything other than a strong second place.
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Harry Hayfield
Green
Cavalier Gentleman (as in 17th century Cavalier)
Posts: 2,922
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Post by Harry Hayfield on Apr 3, 2024 19:35:34 GMT
When Stratford council went Lib Dem last year after decades of trying, my immediate thought was "Well done to them, closest they will ever get to winning the seat", even today I see this poll and I think "The Conservatives cannot be doing that badly, can they?"
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Post by woollyliberal on Apr 4, 2024 18:51:40 GMT
When it comes to Stratford, the old maxim holds true. Oppositions don't win, incumbents lose.
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Post by woollyliberal on May 9, 2024 8:36:08 GMT
Speaking of incumbents, there won't be one. Nadim Zahawi has announced he won't stand again. Perhaps he's been knocking on doors in his patch and has got the message.
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YL
Non-Aligned
Either Labour leaning or Lib Dem leaning but not sure which
Posts: 4,905
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Post by YL on May 9, 2024 8:37:39 GMT
Speaking of incumbents, there won't be one. Nadim Zahawi has announced he won't stand again. Perhaps he's been knocking on doors in his patch and has got the message. Is this one of those retirements which might help the incumbent party? |
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Post by woollyliberal on May 9, 2024 9:04:17 GMT
Speaking of incumbents, there won't be one. Nadim Zahawi has announced he won't stand again. Perhaps he's been knocking on doors in his patch and has got the message. Is this one of those retirements which might help the incumbent party? I can't see many scenarios where it will harm the incumbent party. If Zahawi has a personal vote, its number starts with a minus sign. I think the mood is primarily anti-tory, with a garnish of anti-Zahawi. |
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ricmk
Lib Dem
Posts: 2,615
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Post by ricmk on Jun 3, 2024 23:44:45 GMT
Tory candidate is Chris Clarkson, outgoing MP for Heywood and Middleton. Probably not as negative a personal vote as Zahawi would have had, but not exactly tough for the Lib Dems to campaign against.
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Post by edgbaston on Jun 3, 2024 23:55:41 GMT
Tory candidate is Chris Clarkson, outgoing MP for Heywood and Middleton. Probably not as negative a personal vote as Zahawi would have had, but not exactly tough for the Lib Dems to campaign against. A warm welcome to the midlands Clarko. Though at your present rate of movement I expect you will be contesting Southampton by the end of the next parliament  |
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Foggy
Non-Aligned
Yn Ennill Yma
Posts: 6,135
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Post by Foggy on Jun 4, 2024 0:38:14 GMT
Tory candidate is Chris Clarkson, outgoing MP for Heywood and Middleton. Probably not as negative a personal vote as Zahawi would have had, but not exactly tough for the Lib Dems to campaign against. A warm welcome to the midlands Clarko . Though at your present rate of movement I expect you will be contesting Southampton by the end of the next parliament That would put him on essentially the same latitude as where he's from: a constituency in which the conservative incumbent is sitting on a tidy majority of 19,846 votes. |
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Post by carolus on Jun 7, 2024 15:57:59 GMT
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Post by eastmidlandsright on Jun 7, 2024 20:59:17 GMT
A bit of sneaky behaviour there from Chris Clarkson, using what I assume is his home address but omitting "Salford" from the address leaving the postcode as the only things that identifies where he lives. Therefore at a casual glance most voters will not glean he that lives over 100 miles away from the constituency.
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Post by ClevelandYorks on Jun 7, 2024 22:25:23 GMT
A bit of sneaky behaviour there from Chris Clarkson, using what I assume is his home address but omitting "Salford" from the address leaving the postcode as the only things that identifies where he lives. Therefore at a casual glance most voters will not glean he that lives over 100 miles away from the constituency. I assume it will be widely reported in the local press, which will have more reach than a council document. |
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Post by gwynthegriff on Jun 7, 2024 22:27:51 GMT
A bit of sneaky behaviour there from Chris Clarkson, using what I assume is his home address but omitting "Salford" from the address leaving the postcode as the only things that identifies where he lives. Therefore at a casual glance most voters will not glean he that lives over 100 miles away from the constituency. I assume it will be widely reported in the local press, which will have more reach than a council document. Might even get onto one or two Lib Dem leaflets ... |
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Post by John Chanin on Jun 8, 2024 5:53:18 GMT
While it's a perfectly valid line of attack that a candidate doesn't know the area because they live a long way away, it is largely beside the point. If Mr Clarkson is elected, he will move to one of the attractive villages in the constituency, which is what MPs usually do in these circumstances.
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The Bishop
Labour
Down With Factionalism!
Posts: 38,889
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Post by The Bishop on Jun 8, 2024 10:49:07 GMT
Though if it was really no big deal, he surely wouldn't be trying to hide it in the way that he has.
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Chris from Brum
Lib Dem
What I need is a strong drink and a peer group.
Posts: 9,729
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Post by Chris from Brum on Jun 12, 2024 9:58:14 GMT
Ed Davey here this morning.
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