stb12
Top Poster
Posts: 8,366 
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Post by stb12 on Mar 14, 2024 1:05:56 GMT
South Shropshire
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Post by ClevelandYorks on Mar 14, 2024 12:04:30 GMT
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nyx
Non-Aligned
Posts: 1,025
Member is Online
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Post by nyx on Apr 2, 2024 19:28:34 GMT
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stb12
Top Poster
Posts: 8,366
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Post by stb12 on Apr 2, 2024 19:37:44 GMT
So a former MP and a sitting MP for another seat going head to head here
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nyx
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Post by nyx on Apr 2, 2024 22:44:03 GMT
Probably the best possible circumstances for a potential return by Matthew Green, considering how easy it is to point to his opponent being non-local. Still quite a large majority to overturn and the Lib Dems will be reluctant to spread resources too thinly, but still he's probably the clear tactical choice.
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Post by John Chanin on Jun 8, 2024 11:34:26 GMT
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cogload
Lib Dem
I jumped in the river and what did I see...
Posts: 9,140
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Post by cogload on Jun 9, 2024 21:59:18 GMT
Probably the best possible circumstances for a potential return by Matthew Green, considering how easy it is to point to his opponent being non-local. Still quite a large majority to overturn and the Lib Dems will be reluctant to spread resources too thinly, but still he's probably the clear tactical choice. Matthew Green is (if his twatter feed is to be believed) spending most days, if not everyday in South Shropshire. Matthew Green has not been told in no uncertain terms to go and help in North Shropshire - this ofc may not hold but it is IMO an interesting pointer. |
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Post by monksfield on Jun 10, 2024 5:24:43 GMT
My costituency and I expect a strong showing from the LD’s. The tactical choice is based on the premise that the LibDems have shown they can win this seat. Whereas I couldn’t see Labour doing so. Ever.
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The Bishop
Labour
Down With Factionalism!
Posts: 38,889
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Post by The Bishop on Jun 10, 2024 15:36:37 GMT
The main cast of 5 only here. |
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YL
Non-Aligned
Either Labour leaning or Lib Dem leaning but not sure which
Posts: 4,905
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Post by YL on Jun 11, 2024 5:47:09 GMT
How’s the spirit of 2001 here?
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cogload
Lib Dem
I jumped in the river and what did I see...
Posts: 9,140
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Post by cogload on Jun 17, 2024 12:34:16 GMT
Best for Britain has decided that people should vote tactically for the...Labour Party here..
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Sibboleth
Labour
'Sit on my finger, sing in my ear, O littleblood.'
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Post by Sibboleth on Jun 17, 2024 12:43:19 GMT
Look, I live here and will be voting Labour, but rather a lot of people who I know personally and who want a Labour government will be casting a vote for a different party, because the aim of the game is for the other side to lose. On an unrelated note there's a lot of ragwort about these days.
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cogload
Lib Dem
I jumped in the river and what did I see...
Posts: 9,140
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Post by cogload on Jun 17, 2024 14:43:03 GMT
Look, I live here and will be voting Labour, but rather a lot of people who I know personally and who want a Labour government will be casting a vote for a different party, because the aim of the game is for the other side to lose. On an unrelated note there's a lot of ragwort about these days. Ragwort is an unfairly castigated plant which is "home" to over 100 species. Aunt and Uncle plus other family live here as well. Absolutely cracking part of the world. |
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Post by batman on Jun 17, 2024 15:28:05 GMT
This is one of the only odd pieces of advice in the Best for Britain list. Mostly, if one wears a generic anti-Tory hat which I in truth cannot don, they have things pretty right in the great majority of seats. I've predicted a LD gain here though of course a Tory hold is absolutely possible.
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YL
Non-Aligned
Either Labour leaning or Lib Dem leaning but not sure which
Posts: 4,905
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Post by YL on Jun 19, 2024 20:15:57 GMT
The YouGov MRP has the Tories only 1 point ahead of the Lib Dems here.
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Post by batman on Jun 19, 2024 20:27:46 GMT
That's probably not a million miles away from the reality.
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Post by gwynthegriff on Jun 19, 2024 20:30:51 GMT
Look, I live here and will be voting Labour, but rather a lot of people who I know personally and who want a Labour government will be casting a vote for a different party, because the aim of the game is for the other side to lose. On an unrelated note there's a lot of ragwort about these days. Ragwort is an unfairly castigated plant which is "home" to over 100 species. Aunt and Uncle plus other family live here as well. Absolutely cracking part of the world. You have family who live on ragwort ? !  Splendid plant; we allowed some to grow on our lawn in '23 and had Cinnabar Moth breeding! |
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Tony Otim
Green
Suffering from Brexistential Despair
Posts: 11,892
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Post by Tony Otim on Jun 21, 2024 7:43:36 GMT
It's interesting that the collective wisdom of the forum has this as a Lib Dem gain whilst it's one of the oy 20 seats that none of the MRPs have the Tories losing.
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Post by carolus on Jun 21, 2024 7:56:05 GMT
It's interesting that the collective wisdom of the forum has this as a Lib Dem gain whilst it's one of the oy 20 seats that none of the MRPs have the Tories losing. I suspect some of the votes may be more in hope than expectation. That said, the Conservative vote here seems to have been in freefall over the last few years in local byelections - I would be unsurprised to see a pretty large swing, and particularly that it may be one of the few seats where we're notionally third that we see substantial progress. |
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YL
Non-Aligned
Either Labour leaning or Lib Dem leaning but not sure which
Posts: 4,905
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Post by YL on Jun 21, 2024 8:04:08 GMT
It's interesting that the collective wisdom of the forum has this as a Lib Dem gain whilst it's one of the oy 20 seats that none of the MRPs have the Tories losing. As mentioned above, YouGov only had the Tories ahead by 1 point, and I wouldn’t expect most of the other MRPs to pick up trouble for them in a seat like this. |
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