maxque
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Post by maxque on Jul 16, 2024 21:42:00 GMT
Ironic that by giving the IoW protected status with two constituencies in the boundary review, the Tories just added another MP to Labour’s majority. In 5th Republic France, every election after a redistribution (they are gerrymandering in France) has actually resulted in the party drawing the new boundaries losing power. |
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nyx
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Post by nyx on Jul 16, 2024 21:44:49 GMT
Ironic that by giving the IoW protected status with two constituencies in the boundary review, the Tories just added another MP to Labour’s majority. Eh, I think Quigley would have pulled it off in an undivided IoW constituency, |
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jamie
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Post by jamie on Jul 16, 2024 22:30:41 GMT
Ironic that by giving the IoW protected status with two constituencies in the boundary review, the Tories just added another MP to Labour’s majority. Eh, I think Quigley would have pulled it off in an undivided IoW constituency, Presumably the Greens would have bothered in the west in which case the vote would still be split enough for a Tory victory. |
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Post by batman on Jul 17, 2024 0:34:58 GMT
Ironic that by giving the IoW protected status with two constituencies in the boundary review, the Tories just added another MP to Labour’s majority. In 5th Republic France, every election after a redistribution (they are gerrymandering in France) has actually resulted in the party drawing the new boundaries losing power. in 2002, the Lib Dems gerrymandered (in that they pulled the wool over the Boundary Commission's eyes) our ward boundaries in Richmond-upon-Thames. They were so intent on getting us out of the council chamber that they ended up making some of their safest wards marginal, and guess what, the Tories took control. |
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Post by Andrew_S on Jul 31, 2024 3:02:49 GMT
What an enormous surprise to us all that NEITHER of them returned the promised Green with a huge majority. Were they ramping again? I don't recall anybody saying that either of these seats would return a Green this time around. Though this seat is, on paper, our number 2 target for 2029 (needing only a 6.04% swing). One of my biggest mistakes this time in terms of forecasting was thinking the Greens might win Isle of Wight East. They did get around 3 times the share of the vote in East compared to West though, which I don't think the MRPs were picking up. |
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