steve
Non-Aligned
Posts: 547
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Post by steve on Jul 4, 2024 10:18:00 GMT
Overnight the Lib Dem odds have moved from 2/5 to 2/17 which is a huge move. Somebody throwing their money about.
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YL
Non-Aligned
Either Labour leaning or Lib Dem leaning but not sure which
Posts: 4,907
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Post by YL on Jul 4, 2024 23:33:38 GMT
Lib Dems claiming victory apparently.
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Eastleigh
Jul 4, 2024 23:42:35 GMT
via mobile
Post by Devil Wincarnate on Jul 4, 2024 23:42:35 GMT
Lib Dems claiming victory apparently. I was surprised that their list of confident wins didn't include Winchester. Which surely will fall. |
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cogload
Lib Dem
I jumped in the river and what did I see...
Posts: 9,141
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Eastleigh
Jul 23, 2024 9:34:55 GMT
via mobile
Post by cogload on Jul 23, 2024 9:34:55 GMT
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Post by East Anglian Lefty on Jul 23, 2024 10:50:30 GMT
A surprisingly close result and with a much less squeezed Labour vote than in some LD gains. Presumably the national party shifted resources from here to more difficult targets?
More generally, looking at LD gains I get the impression that it's not just the size of the majority that determines how easy they'll be to retain in future, but also how many votes to the left there were that they can squeeze. The majority here isn't very much bigger than in NE Hampshire, but the fact that Labour+Greens is more than 20% here and less than 12% there makes a massive difference.
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Post by Devil Wincarnate on Jul 23, 2024 10:53:22 GMT
Sensible for it to come under Eastleigh. Indeed, if they were to ever revisit councils areas, it should not be in Test Valley. |
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