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Post by batman on May 22, 2024 20:34:00 GMT
Labour needs a swing, even on the new boundaries, of only about 6%. That's equivalent to a national Labour lead of about 1%. Although some elements of the Tory vote are superwealthy and hard to squeeze, many voters who voted for Umunna last time will vote Labour this time. Even allowing for a lower swing to Labour in London than average, which I regard as likely, it's very tough indeed for the Tories to hold this one notwithstanding its Tory history. Also Labour's candidate is pretty effective, and the Tory MP is not standing for re-election.
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cogload
Lib Dem
I jumped in the river and what did I see...
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Post by cogload on Jun 2, 2024 14:03:16 GMT
Sunak here this morning (Pimlico - did he remember his passport...?).
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carlton43
Reform Party
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Post by carlton43 on Jun 2, 2024 14:35:15 GMT
Sunak here this morning (Pimlico - did he remember his passport...?). Problem is it would be burgundy coloured. |
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Post by doktorb🏳️🌈🏳️⚧️ on Jun 3, 2024 8:20:39 GMT
Postcard from the LD candidate   [ |
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Jun 3, 2024 8:31:39 GMT
When Ed Lucas went out doing Voter ID in Pimlico on Saturday morning, he didn't have "dozens" of activists joining him. In fact he didn't even have one dozen, nor half a dozen. It was a round number though.
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Post by michaelarden on Jun 3, 2024 9:38:31 GMT
Could see this turning. A three way battle between Tory/Lib Dem/Labour. I think The Tories might lose this. It's very possible. it's very impossible that this will be a three-way battle. It's a straight fight between the Labour & Conservative Parties to all intents & purposes. Not as easy a Labour gain as it looks on paper, but I think we will make it Suspect the Lib Dem vote will return to 10-12% (pretty much it's historic average). It will mainly go to Labour putting them over the top reasonably comfortably. And that's with no swing from Con to Lab. |
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Jun 7, 2024 17:13:49 GMT
11 candidates www.westminster.gov.uk/media/document/statement-of-persons-nominate-and-notice-of-poll---cities-of-london-and-westminster-constituencyBARNES, Tim - The Conservative Party Candidate BLAKE, Rachel Nancy - Labour and Co-operative Party BURFORD, Liz - Rejoin EU CARR, Mathew Nigel - Independent DE BURGH, Huge - Social Democratic Party GENERIC, John - Independent GHULATI, Tarun - Reform UK HALLETT, Tim - Independent LUCAS, Edward - Liberal Democrat SHAFIEI, Hoz - Workers Party – For Britain, For Gaza SINHA, Rajiv Rahul - Green Party |
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Post by finsobruce on Jun 8, 2024 18:58:56 GMT
I saw a poster for Edward Lucas here today, after I had been to Tate Britain to see the "Now You See Us: Women Artists in Britain 1520-1920" exhibition. *
*worth a visit btw.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Jun 8, 2024 19:09:52 GMT
How hard is Labour working in the City of London? IMO, they made a mistake not contesting the Cripplegate Alderman election since they'll likely carry the Barbican wards this year. In a general election, I think Labour will run ahead of the Tories in Portsoken, Aldersgate, Cripplegate, Queenhithe and possibly the Farringdon wards and many others. I wonder if Labour win Amen Corner, where the lay canons of St Paul's live - they should have put someone up in Farringdon Within. How significant is the business vote in general elections in the City? I know Khan won the City in 2021. Maybe Davıd Boothroyd has an insight into the campaign in the Square Mile. |
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Post by norflondon on Jun 8, 2024 22:08:56 GMT
A fairly easy win imo for Blake, a Tower Hamlets cllr. She's one of at least three sitting London women cllrs who will probably become MPs. Others are, Gould in Queens Pk and Tatler in Chingford.
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Post by doktorb🏳️🌈🏳️⚧️ on Jun 9, 2024 8:10:58 GMT
"Vote for Direct Democracy
Welcome to the website of Mr John Generic, independent candidate for the Cities of London and Westminster constituency.
John is running on a platform of efficiency and the eradication of seeking power through the political process which encourages the manipulation of processes within government and leads to long term inefficient governance.
John is based in the UK but is always looking to create partnerships with other entities also driven on cleaning out government for a more efficient evolution so please feel free to leave your details in the sign up section and we will be in contact as soon as possible.
What does the Direct Democracy candidate stand for?
Direct Democracy basically means that the total population of a society is directly involved in the decision making for the society.
We believe that the further power is divided, the less corruption and inefficiencies can grow in a system because the power to enact change is never concentrated to a few.
The fact is that representational democracy bottlenecks the power of all society into the hands of a few people by trusting them with our power to enact and what to enact on. This not only encourages Power to be a factor to be manipulated but also enables third party entities in society to manipulate the governance of society by infiltrating these areas of weakness in the system.
John’s background in process improvement means that the solution he is bringing forward has been specifically designed to equally distribute power but also fairly distribute Accountability, Responsibility, Risk, and Reward so that all people in a society, no matter background, class etc, can contribute to the efficient running of society and evolve their thinking around society together.
So with the intention to divide the power of governance between every living member of that society, John made the following manipulation to the process:"
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Post by redtony on Jun 9, 2024 20:48:08 GMT
Blake is also secretary of the Labour Housing Group
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right
Conservative
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Post by right on Jun 24, 2024 20:23:49 GMT
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Post by doktorb🏳️🌈🏳️⚧️ on Jul 7, 2024 6:49:02 GMT
First Labour. MP  |
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Jul 7, 2024 6:50:29 GMT
First Labour. MP Well done to Davıd Boothroyd as you campaigned here. The next step is for Labour to make more inroads in the City of London Corporation election next March. |
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Post by batman on Jul 7, 2024 7:29:01 GMT
Probably Labour will be more concerned with gaining further Westminster council seats. There are clearly some remaining Tory wards with potential including St James’s which includes Covent Garden.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Jul 7, 2024 8:09:30 GMT
Lib Dems did poll well in Marylebone in 2022 and could win with tactical voting if the Tories don't recover. I predict a huge win for Labour in Westminster in 2026.
LAB gain from CON - Lancaster Gate, Little Venice (2), Pimlico North (3), Regents Pk (2) St James's (3), Vincent Square (2); LD gain from CON - Marylebone (3)
LAB 44 (+13) CON 7 (-16) LD 3 (+3)
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Jul 7, 2024 9:34:30 GMT
Not sorry to advertise my own Twitter thread but I had to say it.
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Post by aargauer on Jul 7, 2024 9:42:14 GMT
Lib Dems did poll well in Marylebone in 2022 and could win with tactical voting if the Tories don't recover. I predict a huge win for Labour in Westminster in 2026. LAB gain from CON - Lancaster Gate, Little Venice (2), Pimlico North (3), Regents Pk (2) St James's (3), Vincent Square (2); LD gain from CON - Marylebone (3) LAB 44 (+13) CON 7 (-16) LD 3 (+3)Often local government recovers first in opposition. I don't think that's likely. Especially given the fairly small swing at this election. |
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Post by batman on Jul 7, 2024 9:53:04 GMT
Yes. We are expecting a bit of a Tory fightback in the 2026 local elections in many council areas.
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